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Usoilshort

Is this still the ‘Top Trade’ of 2025? (WTI crude oil)It’s not a big secret actually- I’m talking about crude oil! In the final week of 2024, the team and I highlighted two versions of the WTI crude oil weekly chart and asked ‘is this the top trade of 2024?’ Version 1 has already happened, WTI crude hit $55 per barrel, the downside objective of the smaller triangle pattern on the chart. Version 2 showed a much larger triangle pattern (which we show again this week) and had a downside target of nearly $30! It would take a lot of conviction to ride the price that far down, but could crude oil still move a lot lower this year? What’s interesting is that this is still one of the ‘less talked about’ situations in the market today because of the huge volatility seen in both stocks, forex and fixed income. And I like that nobody’st talking about it - because you don’t want everyone in on it - that means the move could already be over. Crude oil hit a five-year low. That’s meaningful. Strong markets don’t hit 5-year lows, weak markets do. And we like to sell weak markets. Of course, ‘oversold markets’ hit 5-year lows too - and that largely explains the ‘bottom feeders’ who bought WTI crude oil at $55. Downside volatility got extreme owing to Trump’s tariffs and mean-reversion helped it rebound on news of the 90-day pause, much like stock markets. I am completely open to the idea that $55 is a multi-year low and essentially marked the bottom. The huge Hammer reversal candlestick pattern adds weight to that idea. But with the price having hit $65 last week, buying the lows is yesterday’s trade. What do we do today? We will be looking to do what we said in Week 53 of 2024 in case crude oil turns out to be the ‘top trade of 2025’ as we imagined. By the way, Brent crude oil has a very similar setup so this is not a ‘US oil’ thing. There are two parts to trading ‘planning the trade, and trading the plan’. There isn’t much use in making a plan, and not taking the trade. There are always reasons not to take a trade- but if it’s a ‘good trade’ that fits the rules of your trading strategy, then those reasons are usually just ‘noise’. WTI Crude (USO/USD) Long term chart (weekly) Trend: Down Phase: Re-test of breakdown Resistance = $70 Support = $55 Price action: Price has broken down, rebounded and is now testing the breakdown level, while under the 30-week moving average. Should the price break back over the broken long term rising trendline then we know the idea, or at least the timing on the idea is not right. View: Bearish while under broken up-sloping long term support
OANDA:WTICOUSDShort
by jasperlawler
Bullish on USOILAs the chart shows, in the 1 - hour timeframe, USOIL is in an upward - trending channel 📈. The price fluctuates upwards between two trendlines. Despite pullbacks, the uptrend persists, suggesting short - term bullish dominance. Still, the frequent swings reveal ongoing bull - bear market battles.📈 ⚡⚡⚡ USOIL ⚡⚡⚡ 🚀 Buy@61.5 - 62.0 🚀 TP 63.5 - 65.0 Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟
TVC:USOILLong
by Sovereign-
USOIL Opening Trends and Trading Strategies Next WeekTrend Analysis As shown in the chart, in the 1 - hour time frame, USOIL is moving within an upward - trending channel 📈. This channel is defined by two trendlines, and the price is fluctuating upwards within it. Although there have been pullback trends during this period, the overall trend remains upward. This indicates that in the short term, the bullish forces are relatively dominant, driving the price to gradually climb 📈. However, the frequent price fluctuations also reflect a certain degree of game - playing between the bulls and bears in the market 🤺. ⚡⚡⚡ USOIL ⚡⚡⚡ 🚀 Buy@61.5 - 62.0 🚀 TP 63.5 - 65.0 Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟
TVC:USOILLong
by Sovereign-
Primary and secondary rhythm: sudden drop in crude oil pricesLast week, OPEC announced a new compensation plan to offset previous overproduction. Under the plan, eight affected countries plan to reduce production by a total of 457,000 barrels per day by mid-2026, failing to sustain a short-term rise in oil prices. Crude oil's short-term trend hit strong resistance near 64.90 and fell, with the decline erasing the gains of the previous three trading days. The MACD fast and slow lines remain within bearish momentum, indicating abundant downward momentum. From the perspective of primary and secondary rhythms, the decline in the North American market yesterday formed a primary downward trend, while the weak rebound in early trading today represents a secondary rhythm. According to the law of primary-secondary alternation, crude oil is expected to continue to decline today, breaking below the 61.50 support level and testing 60. USOIL sell@62.8-63.3 tp:61.5-61 I hope this strategy will be helpful to you. When you find yourself in a difficult situation and at a loss in trading, don't face it alone. Please get in touch with me. I'm always ready to fight side by side with you, avoid risks, and embark on a new journey towards stable profits.
TVC:USOIL
by H_C_12
Concerns about demand limit the upside potentialYesterday's strategic analysis noted that U.S. sanctions on Iranian oil exports limited crude oil's upside, though short-term rebounds occurred. Combined with the U.S. plan to zero out Iranian energy exports, short-term news-driven oil price gains primarily reflect supply disruptions and sentiment repair rather than fundamental improvements. While U.S.-Iran sanctions and OPEC quota adjustments may trigger periodic tensions, intensified global trade concerns and institutional downward revisions to demand forecasts will cap the upside potential of oil price rebounds. USOIL sell:64.5-65 tp:63-62 I hope this strategy will be helpful to you. When you find yourself in a difficult situation and at a loss in trading, don't face it alone. Please get in touch with me. I'm always ready to fight side by side with you, avoid risks, and embark on a new journey towards stable profits.
TVC:USOIL
by H_C_12
Concerns about demand limit the upside potentialDriven by the U.S. sanctions on Iran's oil exports, crude oil rebounded in the short term. OPEC has received updated compensation production reduction plans from eight countries (reducing daily oil production by 305,000 barrels until June 2026), coupled with the U.S. intention to reduce Iran's energy exports to zero. The recent oil price rally is primarily driven by short-term news, reflecting supply disruptions and sentiment repair rather than fundamental improvements. Although U.S.-Iran sanctions and OPEC quota adjustments may trigger periodic tensions, escalating global trade concerns and institutional downward revisions to demand forecasts will limit the upside of oil price rebounds. USOIL buy@62-63 tp：64-65 I hope this strategy will be helpful to you. When you find yourself in a difficult situation and at a loss in trading, don't face it alone. Please get in touch with me. I'm always ready to fight side by side with you, avoid risks, and embark on a new journey towards stable profits.
TVC:USOIL
by H_C_12
Recent correlation breakdown between $USOIL and $DXYUsually, market watchers will say if the Dollar index TVC:DXY is down then commodities like Crude Oil and Gold should outperform. But recent market events have invalidated this assessment. Since 2022 we see that there is a correlation breakdown between TVC:USOIL and $DXY. These 2 indexes have been moving in tandem recently. In 2025 we saw a massive sale in the TVC:DXY and a similar downturn in the US Dollar index. With TVC:DXY below 100 and TVC:USOIL recently below 60 $, these 2 indexes are clearly indicating a US recession with low Oil demand. IN this chart we see that the next key support levels in TVC:USOIL is 54 $. If we go below 54 $ then the next level to watch will be 35 $. That will be a recessionary scenario last seen during COVID lows. That can bring down the TVC:DXY to 90 levels. All those will indicate a deep recession which is not my base case scenario. My assessment we will see TVC:USOIL @ 55 $ and TVC:DXY @ 95 and then we will hover around those levels. Verdict: TVC:USOIL can touch 55 $ if TVC:DXY touches 95.
TVC:USOILShort
by RabishankarBiswal
USOIL Today's strategyWith the combination of oversupply, weak demand, technical factors, and geopolitical uncertainties, there is a high probability of a short-term decline in USOIL prices. Investors should closely monitor the dynamic changes. USOIL sell@61.5-62 tp:60.5-60 I hope this strategy will be helpful to you. When you find yourself in a difficult situation and at a loss in trading, don't face it alone. Please get in touch with me. I'm always ready to fight side by side with you, avoid risks, and embark on a new journey towards stable profits.
TVC:USOIL
by H_C_12
Daily Analysis of USOILChanges in Crude Oil Supply and Demand: Demand Side: China imposes tariffs on U.S. crude oil, raising the import cost and reducing the import volume. The United States imposes tariffs on energy imports from Canada and Mexico, affecting the crude oil exports of these two countries to the U.S., reducing the demand for crude oil in the United States and putting pressure on the price of USOIL 😟. Supply Side: After China reduces its imports of U.S. crude oil, it increases imports from other exporting countries, changing the global crude oil supply pattern and possibly strengthening the expectation of a supply surplus. The decrease in U.S. crude oil exports may lead to an increase in domestic inventory, exerting downward pressure on the price of USOIL 😣. 💰💰💰 USOIL💰💰💰 🎯 Sell@61.0 - 61.2 🎯 TP 59.5 - 59.5 Traders, if you're fond of this perspective or have your own insights regarding it, feel free to share in the comments. I'm really looking forward to reading your thoughts! 🤗 The accuracy rate of our daily signals has remained above 98% within a month! 📈 We sincerely welcome you to join our channel and share in the success with us! 🌟
TVC:USOILShort
by PearlMichael
USOIL Today's strategyCurrently, USOIL is fluctuating within a range without a clear directional bias. If it stably breaks through the range of $63 to $64, it is highly likely to continue rising. Conversely, if it fails to break through, it may trigger a decline towards the range of $59 to $57. USOIL sell@63-62 tp:60-59 I hope this strategy will be helpful to you. When you find yourself in a difficult situation and at a loss in trading, don't face it alone. Please get in touch with me. I'm always ready to fight side by side with you, avoid risks, and embark on a new journey towards stable profits.
TVC:USOIL
by H_C_12
USOIL Today's strategyCurrently, USOIL is in a stage of a tug-of-war between bulls and bears. Fundamentally, it is being pulled in two directions by geopolitical risks and weak demand, while technically, it shows a pattern of oscillating and converging. It is recommended to focus on range trading, pay close attention to the breakthrough situation of the resistance at $62 and the support at $57, and adjust the position flexibly. USOIL sell@62-63 tp:60-59 I hope this strategy will be helpful to you. When you find yourself in a difficult situation and at a loss in trading, don't face it alone. Please get in touch with me. I'm always ready to fight side by side with you, avoid risks, and embark on a new journey towards stable profits.
TVC:USOIL
by H_C_12
Strategic Analysis of Crude Oil for Next WeekBehind the current fluctuations in international oil prices lies the market's deep anxiety over the extreme uncertainty of global trade policies. Trump's "suspension + escalation" approach has, in the short term, stabilized relations with non - Chinese economies, but it has also dealt a blow to the global supply chain and energy consumption confidence. In terms of the trading ideas for crude oil next week, it is recommended to mainly go short at high levels during rebounds and go long at low levels during pullbacks as a supplement. In the short term, pay attention to the resistance level in the range of 62.8 - 63.2. In the short term, focus on the support level in the range of 60.5 - 59.5. Oil trading strategy： sell @ 61.90-62.10 sl 62.80 tp 61.70-61.40 If you approve of my analysis, you can give it a thumbs-up as support. If you have different opinions, you can leave your thoughts in the comments.Thank you!
TVC:USOILShort
by Trading_Grorge
USOIL may continue to decline due to tariffsRestricted Economic Growth : The United States imposes tariffs, and other countries take countermeasures, intensifying global trade frictions and greatly increasing the risk of economic recession. NIESR predicts that if Trump imposes a 10% tariff on the world and a 60% tariff on China, the global GDP will shrink by 2% and the trade volume will decrease by 6% within five years 😕. The weak economy causes the demand for crude oil in various industries to decline, leading to a drop in the price of USOIL 📉. Changes in Crude Oil Supply and Demand : Demand Side: China imposes tariffs on U.S. crude oil, raising the import cost and reducing the import volume. The United States imposes tariffs on energy imports from Canada and Mexico, affecting the crude oil exports of these two countries to the U.S., reducing the demand for crude oil in the United States and putting pressure on the price of USOIL 😟. Supply Side: After China reduces its imports of U.S. crude oil, it increases imports from other exporting countries, changing the global crude oil supply pattern and possibly strengthening the expectation of a supply surplus. The decrease in U.S. crude oil exports may lead to an increase in domestic inventory, exerting downward pressure on the price of USOIL 😣. Influenced Market Sentiment : The uncertainty of tariff policies and the escalation of trade frictions trigger market panic and speculation, intensifying the volatility of the crude oil market. Investors, being pessimistic, sell futures contracts, further driving down the price of USOIL 😨. This upward movement has led to the clearing of many traders' accounts or significant losses 😫. You can follow my signals and gradually recover your losses and achieve profitability 🌟. 💰💰💰 USOIL💰💰💰 🎯 Sell@61.0 - 61.5 🎯 TP 59.0 - 58.0 Traders, if you're fond of this perspective or have your own insights regarding it, feel free to share in the comments. I'm really looking forward to reading your thoughts! 🤗
TVC:USOILShort
by PearlMichael
WTI Crude Oil Bearish Reversal Setup – Short from Resistance ZonEntry Point: 62.66 USD Stop Loss: 65.26 USD Target Point (Take Profit): 55.09 USD Indicators: EMA 200 (blue): 60.92 USD — long-term trend indicator EMA 30 (red): 60.75 USD — short-term trend indicator Analysis: 1. Bearish Setup: The price is approaching a key resistance zone marked by the purple shaded area near 62.66. The strategy is to short from this level, anticipating a drop to the 55.09 target area. 2. Risk/Reward: Risk (SL - Entry): 65.26 - 62.66 = 2.60 USD Reward (Entry - TP): 62.66 - 55.09 = 7.57 USD Risk-to-reward ratio: ~1:2.9, which is favorable. 3. Support/Resistance Confirmation: Multiple touches at the resistance zone (or
TVC:USOILShort
by EA_GOLD_MAN_COPY_TRADE
9
USOIL Short Trade Idea – Targeting $55.05 from $61.00Entry Point: ~61.00 USD Stop Loss (SL): 64.77 USD Target (TP): 55.05 USD Risk/Reward Ratio: Favorable Risk: ~3.77 USD Reward: ~5.95 USD Approximate R/R ratio: 1:1.58 🧠 Strategy Insight Trend Context: Prior to the entry zone, price shows a strong downtrend. The price retraced upward into a resistance zone (highlighted in purple). The setup suggests a short position anticipating rejection from this zone. Indicators: Moving Averages (red & blue): Likely 50 EMA and 200 EMA showing bearish alignment (price mostly under both). Resistance Zone: The purple shaded region represents a supply zone, where price previously reversed. Entry Zone Analysis: Entry just below a recent rejection candle. It's a conservative spot to catch a move back in the direction of the dominant trend. Target Zone (55.05): Likely based on a recent support level or demand zone from earlier price action. Matches previous lows. 🔁 Possible Scenarios ✅ Bearish Scenario (Ideal Outcome): Price gets rejected from the resistance zone and continues the downtrend toward the target at 55.05. ❌ Bullish Scenario (Risk): Price breaks above 61.00 and continues toward 64.77, invalidating the short setup.
TVC:USOILShort
by EA_GOLD_MAN_COPY_TRADE
7
Analysis of Crude Oil StrategiesCrude oil bottomed out and rebounded sharply on Wednesday. This was also due to the impact of the tariff war, which is currently dominating the trend of the financial market. However, on Thursday, it didn't continue to rise. Instead, it fell successively and retraced. Pay attention to going long at the support level of 58.20 below, and consider going short at the resistance level of 61.90 above. Oil trading strategy： sell @ 61.90-62.10 sl 62.80 tp 60.95-61.10 If you approve of my analysis, you can give it a thumbs-up as support. If you have different opinions, you can leave your thoughts in the comments.Thank you!
TVC:USOILShort
by Trading_Grorge
USOIL:You need to refer to this strategyPresident Trump of the United States suddenly announced the suspension of tariffs, which led to a significant change in market sentiment. Since tariffs play a crucial role in global economic relations and market expectations, this unexpected move has caused investors to adjust their investment portfolios. As the new tariff suspension policy has reduced market uncertainties to a certain extent, gold, which is usually regarded as a safe-haven asset, has been sold off. Conversely, the price of USOIL has soared, reflecting the market's rapid response to this major policy change. If you're at a loss right now, don't face it alone. Please contact me. We are always ready to fight side by side with you.
TVC:USOIL
by H_C_12
USOIL:Continue to move downwardAfter U.S. President Donald Trump announced tariffs and the OPEC+ decided to increase oil production, concerns about the demand outlook intensified, leading to a significant decline in crude oil prices on Thursday. The short-term trend of crude oil has dropped sharply, with all the gains since mid-March being given back. The oil price has touched a low near 66. The moving average system diverges downward, and objectively, the short-term trend direction is downward. The bearish momentum is abundant. It is expected that after a minor adjustment at a low level in the intraday trading, the short-term trend of crude oil will mainly continue to move downward. Trading Strategy: buy@67.5-68 TP:66-65.5 Get daily trading signals that ensure continuous profits! With an astonishing 90% accuracy rate, I'm the record - holder of an 800% monthly return. Click the link below the article to obtain accurate signals now!
TVC:USOILShort
by UnknownUnicorn91242686
Crude oil meets resistance at high levels, it is time to go shorAlthough we have used the daily line to re-count the waves, and explained that the current rising market is in the 2nd wave rebound of the daily line, which is the sub-wave c of wave 2, the market is still in a bearish trend in the daily line. After the market has completed this wave of 2nd wave rebound and adjustment, it will continue to fall by 3 waves. In the 4-hour market, the current market has not risen above 72.90 US dollars. We can still regard it as a rebound of 3-2 waves, or a rebound of the main wave 4. The main decline wave 1 of 4 hours fell from 76.57 US dollars to 69.80 US dollars, a drop of 6.77 US dollars, and the current 4-hour main decline wave 3 fell from 72.90 US dollars to 64. .85 dollars fell to 8.05 dollars. Why can it be either 3-2 waves or 4 waves? Because the current 8.05 dollars is larger than the decline of the main decline wave 1, it can be regarded as 3 waves, and the current rebound is very strong, so it can be regarded as 4 waves, but I think from the perspective of the main decline wave 3 in 4 hours, the decline should be more than that, it should be greater than 10 US dollars, so it can also be regarded as a rebound of 3-2 waves. The key is whether this wave of rise will break 72.90 US dollars. If it breaks, it will be a sub-wave of the main decline wave 1 in 4 hours. Therefore, our trading ideas today do not have a main direction. The market will make orders when the strategy reaches that first. Today's crude oil recommendations: 1. Short at 72.65 US dollars, stop loss 30 points, and take profit 70.60 US dollars.
TVC:USOILShort
by TP_Daniel1