USOIL:Downtrend
Yesterday I bought near 85.2 and finally stopped at 84.8 because I thought there would be some room for a rebound from a rapid decline.
Yesterday I judged that there will be a lot of room for decline if it falls below the important position of 84, but every time it falls, there will be certain repeated shocks, so after rising above 83, I chose to buy. Today, let me recover yesterday's loss.
But now oil is already in a downward trend, so now you can choose to sell at a high level, then the chance of success will increase.
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Usoilsignals
USOIL: Oil today analysis
The International Energy Agency (IEA) said on Thursday that geopolitical risks in the Middle East have escalated following Hamas attacks on Israel, with oil markets on edge and uncertainty about how things will play out or how far the conflict could spread. In its closely watched oil market report for October, the IEA said: "A sharp escalation of geopolitical risks in the Middle East is keeping markets on edge. The region accounts for more than a third of global seaborne oil trade.
Oil prices surged on Monday after attacks by Hamas against Israel reignited tensions in the Middle East and the war premium reappeared in the market. Crude oil market yesterday morning opened at 83.21 US dollars/barrel, after the market first pulled up, the daily peak reached 85.28 US dollars/barrel, after the market fell strongly, the daily minimum to 82.35 US dollars/barrel
Short-term strategy reference: high probability scenario: bearish below 85.6, target 83.2-82.5; Low probability scenario: Bullish above 85.6, target 86.5-87.2
USOIL: Oil today analysis
The crude oil on Monday swung back to 84.8 after moving higher, yesterday's high open gap after the repair of the inter-zone is not large, due to the international environment, the potential of the ground edge, the recent period can be maintained much lower, Stay in the day 85.4 attached near many, the upper side 87 attached near can be empty.
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Crude oil: all the way down
Through the analysis of the hourly chart of crude oil, we know that yesterday’s market rebound was unable to continue the downward trend. It has now reached the 82.3 line and has slowed down the downward trend. We can clearly see from the attached picture below that a phased bottom signal has appeared again. In the last time When it appeared, it rebounded slightly and reached the No. 2 pressure level above and then fell back. At present, the No. 1 pressure level above has in turn become the first pressure. In the short term, we will continue to focus on shorting on rallies.
Strategy: 84.1 short
USOIL:Observe trends
Today, the lowest level of oil fell to around 87.76, but in the end it still returned to the range.Therefore, the success rate of trading in the range is currently very high.
Today, oil fell below the range. At present, we need to pay attention to 89.7. This place determines where the next direction is. If it continues to fall below 89.7, then oil is still a downward trend. If the rise breaks through 89.7 and stands firm, then it can be judged that the probability of oil rising increases.
If you want to trade in the range, then you need to judge his trend and the impact of the news.
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USOIL:Fluctuation in the range
Last week, oil broke through the range of 88.3-91.2 and rose as high as near 95.
Last week, I predicted that if it breaks through 91.2, it will be more likely to rise, but I did not expect that oil will rise so much. Every time it rises rapidly, there will definitely be a reversal. Now the oil is around 89.7 and it is back in the range, so now we still judge the transaction based on 88.3-91.2.
If the oil falls below 88.3, then it is necessary to judge that the range is invalid, so you need to observe more when trading, or strictly set the stop loss.
It is still possible to buy at low levels and sell cautiously at high levels in the range.
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USOIL:Choose direction
The trend of oil is still the same as I said, fluctuating in the range, as long as you follow my strategy, you should be able to have a nice weekend.
Oil rose as high as 91.3 today, but fell and did not break through the range in the end. When the second rise did not break through the high of 91.3 and fell back within the range, then you can sell decisively.
Now there are still fluctuations in the range, so the range is still valid. You can still buy at the low point and sell at the high point in the range. Waiting for the trend to break through the range, we can judge the final trend of oil.
Because oil has not risen to break through the range for three consecutive times, now we have to observe the support points in the range. If the support points cannot be effectively supported, then the possibility of oil falling will be greater.
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Crude Oil: Today’s Strategy Trend
The retracement of crude oil indeed exceeded expectations, but the bulls still stubbornly recovered the lost ground in the late trading. Therefore, the bullish position is still the main focus at present. The washout on the way is also the result of the long-short contest. If the price falls back to the point during the day, we will still be bullish. Don’t directly chase long positions in early trading.
The main reason why crude oil is bullish is that the upward trend of wave 3 and wave 5 is still continuing, and there is still a slight retracement on the way, and it is still bullish. Now it has been subdivided again and has entered the final peak moment of wave 3 of wave 5-5. Crude oil pressure is 90.80~91.50, support is 89.30~88.70.
For crude oil operations, it is recommended to wait for 90.8 to buy, with a target of 90.80~91.50. If it rises directly to 91.50, we will look at the pressure signals and decide whether to buy the top.
Crude Oil: Today’s Trend Strategy
Crude oil continues to rise in the direction of the trend. Any intraday adjustment before reaching the new target of 91.50 is an opportunity to continue to be bullish in the short term. Of course, since the overall increase has been huge enough, the current space above is limited. Another one is in this round. It is the end of the rise, so it is not advisable to be overly bullish.
The main reason why crude oil is bullish is that the upward trend of wave 3 and wave 5 is still continuing, and there is still a slight retracement on the way, and it is still bullish. Now it has been subdivided again and has entered the final peak moment of wave 3 of wave 5-5. Crude oil pressure is 89.40~90.20, support is 88.40~87.90
For crude oil operations, it is recommended to wait for 89.10 to buy, with a target of 89.1~91.50. If it rises directly to 91.50, we will look at the pressure signals before deciding whether to buy the top.
Crude oil: exceeded my expectations and keeps rising
Crude oil bulls continue to take the initiative in the market and pulled up again yesterday. It is now close to the previous secondary high of 85.5. This is not the ultimate goal of the bulls, but the only thing that needs to be considered is that there may be an adjustment within the day and then rise. In the short term The node still looks at the previous high of 87 as the target.
According to the deduction of the wave trading system, the main reason why crude oil is expected to rise is that: the overall rising rhythm of waves 3 and 5 has gradually changed from the initial shock upward to a unilateral rise, and the performance of bulls has become more and more obvious. Crude oil pressure 85~85.3,
For crude oil operations, it is recommended to buy at 84.5, with a target of 84.0~84.50. (The point may be revised as the market changes during the day, subject to real-time strategy)
USOIL:Trading strategy
Oil has now reached the short-term resistance point.
But today we need to pay attention to whether we can break through the previous high.
Usoil Today's trade building:
Usoil:sell84.75-85.25 TP:84.1-83.7
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Crude oil: back above 80 again
Oil prices rebounded at the opening and remained stable. On the whole, whether it is the Fed’s interest rate hike expectations cooling, the dollar’s fall, the rise in U.S. stocks, or the possible impact of U.S. hurricanes on supply, coupled with a sharp decline in crude oil inventories and geopolitical tensions, they all tend to support oil prices. Technical The short-term bullish signal has also strengthened, and oil prices are expected to retest the resistance near the August high of 84.87.
The trend of crude oil daily chart is currently stable above the short-term moving average, and today it is stable again above the middle rail line. The market outlook will rely on the middle rail line and the short-term moving average to support the bullish rebound. Below, focus on the support around $81.00 and $81.5. In terms of operational thinking, the main focus is to go long and be bullish.
Go long near 81.20, stop loss: 80.70: target 83.00
Crude oil: continue to maintain decline
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WTI crude oil October futures closed at US$78.89/barrel, falling below US$80/barrel for the first time in a week, down 0.9% on the day. The EIA report released earlier today was mixed. Crude inventories fell by 6.1 million barrels, but investors also took a bearish look at the report, which showed U.S. crude production rose to a three-year high of 12.8 million barrels per day. Also, implied gasoline demand was below 9 mb/d for the sixth of the past seven weeks, a weak sign for gasoline demand in what should be the peak summer driving season
Go short around 79.20 on the rebound, stop loss: 79.80, target at 77.00
USOIL:Trading strategy
Oil has been fluctuating narrowly today, so today's trading is sold short when it reaches resistance, and bought when it reaches support. As long as you are not greedy, then you can make a profit today.
But the general direction of oil is still short selling, because it is still suppressed by the daily line and has not reached the support point.
Usoil Short-term trading:
Usoil:buy79.55-78.8 TP:80.3-80.6 SL: 78.3
In the long run, it is more risky not to fall to the support level, so you must strictly set the stop loss.
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Crude oil: bottoming trend again
The main reason for crude oil to look down is: the rebound for several consecutive days touched the pressure and fell back. Or a more bullish view is the sub-wave 2 adjustment in the midst of 3 waves and 5 rises. Crude oil pressure 80.65~81.10, support 79.70~79~78.60.
Crude oil operation is recommended to enter at 81.1, take profit at 79.6, target at 79.2~79.5, and take profit at 80.3 (the point may be revised as the market changes during the session, and the real-time strategy shall prevail)
Crude oil: peaking again
Crude oil should have mentioned that it will rebound, and the rebound trend is not small. It has already come out this time. From the indicators, the high point of this rebound is around 82. If the peak trend remains unchanged, this Nearby is more difficult to break.
Moreover, crude oil is negatively correlated with the U.S. dollar in a certain trend. The sharp rise of the U.S. dollar will also affect the price of crude oil. Gold is in a weak position, but crude oil is due to factors such as production cuts and expectations of interest rate hikes. The price of crude oil continues to soar, but still the same sentence, the reduction in interest rate hike expectations has been large enough. As long as there is something that is not conducive to the suspension of interest rate hikes, the interest rate hike expectations will still rise, and crude oil will be under pressure.
Strategy: 81.7 buy up 83.4 buy down
The demand for crude oil is expected to increase, but crude oil is not the same as gold after all. Crude oil has no currency attribute after all. Although it also has a hedging attribute, it is still not as strong as gold, and the aspects that can be affected are not as extensive as gold, so the demand for crude oil The expected increase in volume is also a matter of this year, but the price will not be too inclined.
USOIL:summary
Oil is the same as I expected. It has fallen below the five-day line since Monday and fell below the rising channel on Wednesday. I judge that oil will be adjusted this week, so this week's strategy is to sell short if it rebounds.
But before the close of trading on Friday, it rose again by 81.35 to reach the lower edge of the rising channel, so next week we must look again and wait for the market to make a new choice.
We will trade oil cautiously next Monday and wait for the trend to be obvious before trading, so that we will be safer.
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USOIL: Will usher in a new wave of decline
Crude oil rebounded slightly and fell again. The idea is to place an empty order at the resistance position of 83-83.2. Friends who read the article may not necessarily wait for the point, but members and friends have kept up. When there is a short signal, decisively enter the market with an empty order. The current price is around 81.3 You can go up a little bit first. This is the difference between the idea of the article and the specific entry. The support resistance is that area. The specific entry depends on the real-time changes in the market. When there is a signal, you can enter the market at 81.0-81.3.
Strategy 81.0-81.3 enter long 82.0-82.2 take profit or enter decline