The High Oil Price ConundrumI'd like to draw your attention to an issue that has been brewing beneath the surface, silently impacting emerging market countries and their currencies. It is the high oil price, which many argue functions as a form of tax, cooling economic growth and putting additional strain on these nations.
The recent surge in oil prices has undoubtedly caught the attention of investors and traders worldwide. While this may appear to be a favorable opportunity for short-term gains, we must consider the long-term repercussions it may have, particularly on emerging market economies. These nations, often characterized by their growing industries and developing infrastructure, are now facing an unexpected challenge that threatens their progress.
The high oil price acts as a burden on emerging market countries, effectively functioning as a tax that hampers economic growth. As these nations rely heavily on imported oil to sustain their industries and meet domestic energy demands, the rising cost of oil significantly impacts their budgets. The increased expenditure on oil imports leaves less room for investment in vital sectors such as education, healthcare, and infrastructure development.
Furthermore, the high oil price also exerts pressure on emerging market currencies, leading to depreciation against major global currencies. This depreciation, in turn, makes imports more expensive, exacerbating the already strained economic situation. As a result, these countries face a double whammy of reduced purchasing power and increased inflationary pressures, further dampening their economic prospects.
In light of these challenges, I would like to encourage you to pause and reflect on the potential consequences of trading oil at its current high price. While the temptation to capitalize on short-term gains may be strong, let us not overlook the broader impact on emerging market economies. By exercising caution and restraint, we can contribute to a more sustainable and balanced global market ecosystem.
As traders, we have a responsibility to consider the long-term implications of our actions. By taking a step back and re-evaluating our trading strategies, we can help mitigate the negative effects of high oil prices on emerging market countries. This pause will allow these nations to regain their footing and implement measures to alleviate the burden imposed by soaring oil prices.
Let us remember that our actions have far-reaching consequences. By acting responsibly and with a cautious approach, we can contribute to a more equitable and stable global market environment. Together, we can help ensure the sustainable growth and development of emerging market economies, benefitting us all in the long run.
Thank you for your attention, and let us pause, reflect, and trade responsibly.
Usoiltrade
Crude oil: short at high points
Crude oil fell first and did not give short-selling opportunities. Then short-selling can only be considered when it goes up to the support line. The short-selling opportunities in the 90.8-91.6 area were also prompted in the roadshow and in the group (as shown below). . With the sharp counterattack of crude oil, bulls began to save themselves, but eventually gave up most of the gains. At present, oil prices have fallen into short-term shocks, and bulls and bears are expected to compete here. Crude oil is expected to rebound, so it will fall back first and wait for the counter-draw. , as to whether this is a reversal topping stage or a rise relay, currently I personally prefer the first.
The main reason for the rebound in crude oil is that the overall upward trend of wave 3 has most likely ended. Starting from the high point of 92.41, there is a high probability that it will enter the mid-term 4-wave adjustment. The specific breakdown is in wave 4 A of it. Crude oil pressure 90.85~91.45,
USOIL:Trading strategy
Oil is the same as I predicted yesterday. Today, it fell directly and broke through the support point, but Russia suddenly announced a ban on the export of gasoline and diesel, causing oil to rise again. Now the trend of oil has become blurred.
Now we can only observe the resistance and support points of the range
The range is 88.9-91.1
So we can trade in the range.
Strictly set the stop loss and wait for the trend to become clear
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USOIL:Trading strategy
Oil finally fell. When many people thought it would rise, I always believed that oil would fall.
Because since last week, oil prices have been postponed last week because of the joint production cuts by Saudi Arabia and Russia, but the technical indicators show that they have been overbought.
Our medium-term goal is still 86
Short-term trading advice:
USoil:Sell:91-92
TP1:90.1
TP2:89.2
TP3:88
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USOIL:Trading strategy
Oil is the same as I predicted last time, reaching resistance and falling, the lowest falling to my predicted TP2: 89.2
Now oil is rising again, but I think oil will definitely adjust and fall in the end.Medium-term target is still: 86
Short-term trading advice:
USoil:Sell:92.3-92.8
TP1:91.5
TP2:89.9
TP3:89.5
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USOIL: Today's operation plan
Crude oil on Wednesday morning: At present, crude oil is the daily low of 89.8 line, whether the bears begin to force or a false shot to see today to verify, so first maintain the range of 89.3-91.8.
Today's operation suggestion:
Rally to 90.6-91 short;
Retracting to 89.3 Try a long light position.
Russia Oil Shipment Hits 3-Month High,NEW Oil Price Target As you may be aware, Russia's oil shipment has hit a new three-month high, which has prompted us to revise our oil price target to $100. In light of this, we believe there may be a potential opportunity for long oil positions.
However, before proceeding further, I would like to emphasize the need for caution and prudence when considering any investment decision. While the recent increase in Russia's oil shipment is a positive indicator for oil prices, it is crucial to consider various factors that may impact the market dynamics.
We encourage you to thoroughly analyze the market conditions, including geopolitical tensions, global economic recovery, and any potential disruptions in the supply chain. These factors can significantly influence oil prices and should be taken into account before making any trading decisions.
Considering the cautious tone, it is imperative to conduct thorough research and consult with your financial advisor or analyst to evaluate the potential risks and rewards associated with long oil positions. Market volatility remains a significant concern, and it is crucial to have a well-defined risk management strategy in place.
With this in mind, we would like to remind you of the importance of diversification. While oil may present an attractive opportunity, it is essential to maintain a balanced portfolio that includes a range of assets across various sectors. This approach can help mitigate potential risks and enhance your overall investment strategy.
In conclusion, as Russia's oil shipment reaches a new three-month high, we believe that the oil price target of $100 presents a potential opportunity for long positions. However, we urge you to exercise caution and consider the various factors that may impact the market dynamics. Thorough research, consultation with experts, and a well-defined risk management strategy are crucial in making informed trading decisions.
Should you require any further information or assistance, please do not hesitate to comment. We are here to support you in navigating the complexities of the market and making sound investment choices
Crude oil: trend analysis continues to push back more
Although we are currently at the end of a phased rise in crude oil, the bulls are still very strong and continue to hit new highs. Therefore, we still maintain a bullish and long thinking before the necessary turning signal appears. The only thing that needs to be paid attention to is the number of each transaction. Risk control must be strictly implemented to prevent emergencies from occurring. Still looking for opportunities to continue trading lower during the day.
The main reason why crude oil is bullish is that the upward trend of wave 3 and wave 5 is still continuing, and there is still a slight retracement on the way, and it is still bullish. It has now entered the final peak moment of wave 3 of wave 5-5. Crude oil pressure 91.30~92.10, support 91.4
Crude Oil: Today’s Strategy Trend
The retracement of crude oil indeed exceeded expectations, but the bulls still stubbornly recovered the lost ground in the late trading. Therefore, the bullish position is still the main focus at present. The washout on the way is also the result of the long-short contest. If the price falls back to the point during the day, we will still be bullish. Don’t directly chase long positions in early trading.
The main reason why crude oil is bullish is that the upward trend of wave 3 and wave 5 is still continuing, and there is still a slight retracement on the way, and it is still bullish. Now it has been subdivided again and has entered the final peak moment of wave 3 of wave 5-5. Crude oil pressure is 90.80~91.50, support is 89.30~88.70.
For crude oil operations, it is recommended to wait for 90.8 to buy, with a target of 90.80~91.50. If it rises directly to 91.50, we will look at the pressure signals and decide whether to buy the top.
Directly empty, ready to plummet to the 80 line
Crude oil is about to plummet to the 80line, if you have any questions, come to me, it is so domineering
Crude oil’s daily line is obviously in the trend of multiple tops, at least a quadruple top. Every time it rushes to around 82, and then is suppressed strongly. At the same time, there is a waterfall downward, and the Bollinger Bands have closed. already empty
USOIL:Trading strategy
Oil has now reached the short-term resistance point.
But today we need to pay attention to whether we can break through the previous high.
Usoil Today's trade building:
Usoil:sell84.75-85.25 TP:84.1-83.7
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Crude oil: back above 80 again
Oil prices rebounded at the opening and remained stable. On the whole, whether it is the Fed’s interest rate hike expectations cooling, the dollar’s fall, the rise in U.S. stocks, or the possible impact of U.S. hurricanes on supply, coupled with a sharp decline in crude oil inventories and geopolitical tensions, they all tend to support oil prices. Technical The short-term bullish signal has also strengthened, and oil prices are expected to retest the resistance near the August high of 84.87.
The trend of crude oil daily chart is currently stable above the short-term moving average, and today it is stable again above the middle rail line. The market outlook will rely on the middle rail line and the short-term moving average to support the bullish rebound. Below, focus on the support around $81.00 and $81.5. In terms of operational thinking, the main focus is to go long and be bullish.
Go long near 81.20, stop loss: 80.70: target 83.00
WTI Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
USOIL: Oil today analysis
Crude oil technical analysis: crude oil yesterday cross small Yin K line closed flat, the space is not much, maintain in the last week's range of oscillating operation, currently continue to be in the short-term direction of choice, is poised to break the low point further fall, or start a steady recovery to recover lost ground, short-term in the shock of the momentum, the rhythm is slow. The Japanese K line entity is small and has no practical reference significance, waiting for the entity K line to break the current deadlock.
4 hours Tubrin road began to close, the short-term temporary saw back and forth between the upper and lower rail, the current upper and lower rail there is a certain range, the support of the lower rail is still at the low point 77.70-78.30. The upswing was near yesterday's high. At present, in the contraction shock, the short-term unilateral quantity is insufficient, and it will be maintained in the interval, and the operation is mainly to deal with the ultra-short line. In summary, crude oil today's short-term operation, above the short-term focus on the resistance of 80.6-81, strong support of 81.3-81.5, below the short-term focus on 79.0-78.5 support
USOIL:Trading strategy
Oil fluctuated a lot last Friday, rising to 80.4, then fell under resistance, but finally rose again.
All when the oil falls to support, we can try to buy.
Usoil Today's trade building:
Usoil:buy79.2-79.6 TP:80.4-81
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Crude oil: operation strategy, high and low
Oil prices continued to rebound at the opening and performed first. Overall, Fed officials believe that there may be no need to raise interest rates. The decline in European diesel inventories boosts oil prices, but demand concerns still limit oil price gains. During the day, we will pay attention to the speech of the chairman of the Federal Reserve at the annual meeting of global central banks. If the speech is dovish, the oil price is expected to return to above US$80/barrel. If it is hawkish, the oil price may drop sharply, pointing to US$75/barrel; market uncertainty risks increase, and trading needs to be cautious.
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The trend of crude oil bottomed out twice in a row and closed up. There is a certain signal of bottoming out in the short term. There may be a continuation of the rebound in the market outlook, but the upper side needs to pay attention to the resistance of the middle rail line. Under pressure, there is a risk of going lower again. At the top, focus on the resistance around $80.40/barrel, and the operation is mainly short-selling
Short crude oil and keep making moneyThe crude oil trading strategy shared with you today, USOIL: @79.2-79.4 Sell, TP: 78.5. We made a good profit again, and the lowest crude oil fell to around 77.6 today.
Similarly, our crude oil trading strategy has successfully reached my expected profit target. Congratulations here to all friends who keep up with trading strategies.
Looking at the current structural trend of crude oil, although the local trend of crude oil has rebounded structurally, overall, the global manufacturing data is weak, increasing demand concerns. In addition, the short-term trend of crude oil fell below the lower support of the range. Although oil prices rebounded vigorously after hitting a new low, it only eased the continuity of the decline and failed to change the direction of the downward trend. Therefore, crude oil still has downside risks in the short term. Therefore, short-term trading of crude oil is still dominated by shorting at high levels.
There is no fluke in the market, we need more time to look for opportunities and be good at seizing them. And I spend a lot of time every day researching the market and profiting from it. Similarly, I also make more detailed trading plans and trading signals based on the market every day. The article has a certain lag. In order to grasp the market dynamics and trading plan in time, you can follow the bottom of the article to master the wealth code and create your own wealth!
Crude oil: continue to maintain decline
I have encountered many investors who are still losing money and are confused. There is no fixed market, and there are no fixed investors. They need to continuously learn and adjust to integrate into the market. Years of experience in the industry and a caring guidance team will accompany you on your investment journey and provide you with solid investment ideas. The market is endless, the market is constantly evolving, and the transaction will never stop. Although we can't do everything in every wave of market, we can seize the ever-changing opportunities, treat the market with an objective and calm attitude, and analyze the market , wait for the market, and make full preparations for each transaction. If a worker wants to do a good job, he must first sharpen his weapon. It is not that trading is better than trading.
WTI crude oil October futures closed at US$78.89/barrel, falling below US$80/barrel for the first time in a week, down 0.9% on the day. The EIA report released earlier today was mixed. Crude inventories fell by 6.1 million barrels, but investors also took a bearish look at the report, which showed U.S. crude production rose to a three-year high of 12.8 million barrels per day. Also, implied gasoline demand was below 9 mb/d for the sixth of the past seven weeks, a weak sign for gasoline demand in what should be the peak summer driving season
Go short around 79.20 on the rebound, stop loss: 79.80, target at 77.00
USOIL:Trading strategy
Oil has been fluctuating narrowly today, so today's trading is sold short when it reaches resistance, and bought when it reaches support. As long as you are not greedy, then you can make a profit today.
But the general direction of oil is still short selling, because it is still suppressed by the daily line and has not reached the support point.
Usoil Short-term trading:
Usoil:buy79.55-78.8 TP:80.3-80.6 SL: 78.3
In the long run, it is more risky not to fall to the support level, so you must strictly set the stop loss.
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