US OIL is now BearishThis has been very steadily grinding downwards and is now entering a Bearish environment again. I think this will reject off the lower trendline that it broke yesterday, it is just below this now. From here I have set 3 targets for TP that can either be held or swing traded. If this does reject the trendline mentioned the SL can be just above this. I do think this could drop even further as indicated by the Fibonacci at 0.382 ($46.19) but it is very risky to hold a short and expect it to reach there.
Usoiltrade
US OIL at Important SupportIf this can break the support level we are currently at this could have a big fall. IF it does break then we can look to short with a target of 49.30. I have been looking for this to have a big correction for some time. Other key target levels are at Fibonacci levels 0.382 and 0.5 which also align with key structure. First we need to break current support though as oil has been very strong and may resist this.
Oil Hedge Buy OrderOil Long Position
Entry: $53.07
TP & RR: $54.12 (2.49)
Stop Loss: $52.76
REASONS FOR THE TRADE
If you followed my trade idea from yesterday, then you should have an open short position at $53.55. I was expecting a lower high, but instead, the price formed a double top. Our SL wasn't hit.
Anyway, I believe a new uptrend channel has formed and in order to secure your profits from the short yesterday, I suggest moving your Stop Loss as well as considering a hedge long position. Should this trade idea prove valid, you will be piggybacking on the small uptrend until we reach the upper channel. If it turns out to be invalid, then part of your short order will cover the losses for this long. Stop Loss is under the lower trendline and the target is set at the upper one.
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USOIL, WTI is MOSTLY impacted by fundamentals. Key levels only serve as entry and exit points. Fundamentals will destroy chart patterns any day of the week in this specific market. We caught a really good move this morning with a buy order that we had in place.
OIL - Black dilemmaThis is not the best setup , I'm not going to trade this because right now there are much better possibilities on the market.
The 2 reasons it's worth taking a shot :
1. 200 SMA
2. Time wise we are arriving into the timing band of the possible ICL decline.
After the severe declines the 200 SMA acted as an important resistance many times
I used it in a few ideas too:
Right now we are in the 3rd daily cycle of this intermediate cycle.Oil had every chance to break the 200 SMA and start a trending move. It didn't happen though.
The 50 SMA and 200 SMA forms an unbreakable resistance after the strong uptrend from the negative prices.
I'm expecting a bottom between the end of October and middle of November.
I will use the Fibonacci retracement to set a target:
the 50% retracement seems a reasonable target in this decline.
US OIL Long term short opportunity Whats going on everyone.
My favourite setup of the day is USOIL.
You can clearly see this asset is in a bearish structure, with a lower low, and now a lower high formation.
So whats next, logically? A new lower low.
We're starting to see OIL struggle in between the 61.8 and 78.6 fib extensions, and sellers are beginning to push price down.
Im short from this area, with stops set quite tight here.
Target: 34.06.
USOIL Long PlayUSOIL looking perfect for a long
Huge rejection of the 78.6 as well as a higher low on the 1H timeframe.
The prior wick indidcates some strong buying pressure from the region below and a long makes a lot of sense.
Stops just below the prior hourly wick, take profit at $44.
Hope this helps.