Usoiltrade
CL Monthly Technical Outlook - 9th July 2016From a technical perspective, the oil price has turned quite interesting since the start of a new trading month. The chart below shows the monthly rolling oil contract chart where June’s price action closed in a doji. It gains significance following three straight months of gains. The monthly Stochastics also shows the hidden bearish divergence currently playing out, as prices form a lower (June) high at $51.66 and the higher Stochastics while, the higher (May 2015) high at $62.51 and the subsequent lower high in the Stochs.
In the near term, oil prices could remain range bound within 48/49 and 44/45 levels.
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USOIL Choose short entry 54, SL -55.00 It has been quite long that we did not do any OIL trade
since the last time break out(52.5).
But on 23th Feb I found a structure that has reach pressure zone.
And we tried to sell @54.7,and closed @53.5,got 120pips profit.
54.00 is the previous support and now become resistance.
Choose short entry here, SL above 55.00
Aim 51.5 !
I hold a point:Good charts does not more words to explain! Good luck!
The process of losing all margin in generalThe process of losing all margin in general:
1 the first few deals are profitable, usually at 1pips to 10pips
2 traders feel good, I think the correct rate is 100%
3 start a new transaction, in the case of 100% confidence, no longer set SL, and then began to float loss.
USOIL Elliott ascending horiz. triangular with false breakoutThis is what I see on the chart. Elliott ascending horizontal triangular with false breakout ending.
correct me if i'm wrong, but this might be a nice opportunity for shorting oil 0.90% .
Although this prediction ignores FIB level (.382) of around 60-61 usd.
This might be a second version of the false breakout.
But I will stick with a sharp Short with first target of 40 usd
USOIL SHORT: OPEN THE GATESAfter the Daily Key Reversal last week which also helped form a doji on the WEEKLY, I am convinced that from this week and for the following 3-4 oil will go down. RSI and STOCHRSI have topped on the weekly and are reversing as well as the MACD.
My first target is $48 and then $44-42.5
Bulls are you there?!?!!After almost 3 weeks playing games around the 50 area oil did a great down rally and now near a major support area. In that area we have also the daily 200 MA coming from below and a minor TL and it looks like prices already reacting on that.
So how to do this trade? well i will be looking for bullish evidence as divergence on RSI we have some already, Pinbar or engulfing candle. A double bottom and divergence would be wonderful! Then you can always do it more safe and enter long IF and when price close above the 20 MA on 4H and you enter next market candle.
Like if you agree, follow and support please!
USOIL room to go downUSOIL has reached a major resistance at $52 and given that all indicators show that USOIL is currently overbought, I expect some downward movement to previous local maximum $50-49. The 200ema MACD though shows further possibility for upward movement, that's why I set my stance to neutral for the time being and stand by my previous analysis suggesting that oil will go higher in the first 2 quarters of 2017.
OIL SELL TRADEON THE DAILY WE HAVE A STRUCTURE WHERE PRICE HAS BOUNCED BACK FROM THE 43.00 FIB LEVEL.
ALSO THERE IS A SQUEEZE MOMENTUM PATTERN WHERE PRICE WILL MOST LIKELY FALL TO PROFIT TARGET 40, 8 AND PROFIT TARGET 33.63.
ENTER TRADE JUST BELOW THE 43 FIB LEVEL WITH A STOP JUST ABOVE 44 LEVEL.
PRICE SHOULD AFTER THAT TEST THE RESISTANCE TREND LINE AND FALL TO
PROFIT TARGET 1 40.80
PROFIT TARGET 2 38
PROFIT TARGET 3 33.63
AFTER THE BREAK OF EACH PROFIT TARGET DOUBLE UP ON POSITION.