Usoil:The prediction is correct
This is my forecast in the morning. Now that the oil has risen to the middle edge of the trend line, observe the resistance of 78.4.
Judging from the news, the OPEC+ meeting is discussing further production cuts, which may intensify tensions with the United States. At the same time, the market is focusing on whether Saudi Arabia and Russia will extend voluntary production cuts to 2024.Based on the comprehensive assessment of the core member states such as Saudi Arabia and Russia, based on their own interests, they are expected to do their best to maintain the stability of the crude oil market, and there is still some room for short-term prices to rebound.
I also reminded last week that oil is rebounding
From the chart, you can see that the oil has broken through the trend line, and now you need to observe the resistance above.
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Usoil:Where is the bottom?
The EIA report shows that the inventory of Cushing crude oil in the key hub of the United States has increased, rising to the highest level since August last year.In addition, the monthly report of the American Petroleum Institute (API) showed that oil shipments in October increased by 4.6% year-on-year to 31 million barrels per day.Oil supply increased by 3.2% in October to 28.8 million barrels per day.Oil production increased by 6.1% in October to 13.1 million barrels per day, a record high, an increase of 53,000 barrels per day sequentially.U.S. oil companies are taking advantage of high oil prices to sell oil quickly, and they may also smell some less optimistic news in the future.
However, it should be noted that the OPEC+ meeting is about to be held on November 26th. The decline in oil prices has increased the pressure on Saudi Arabia, Russia and other OPEC+ members. They may continue to maintain their production reduction plans and even ask other countries besides Saudi Arabia and Russia to join the reduction team.
Oil is now on a downward trend, because of the rapid decline yesterday, it is now rebounding
From a technical point of view, oil prices have returned to near the low point in early July. If they fall again, it will test the low point of the year, but I think the weekly level of 67-70 is not so easy to be broken.
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USOIL: Summary of the week
The original income this week was more than 10k, after experiencing CPI data, crude oil fell sharply to 72.2, down nearly 500 points, and rose all the way to near 76 on Friday, basically recovering the decline, next week focus on the break near 76!
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USOIL: Trend analysis and operation strategy
EIA released nearly two weeks of inventory data, a cumulative increase of 17.5 million barrels, more than expected accumulation led to a rapid decline in the disk, of which crude oil inventories reached 439 million barrels in the week of November 3, a higher since August. In addition, the market expects Saudi Arabia to extend production cuts until January next year. At present, the accumulation of expectations is deepening, and the upward movement of crude oil prices is blocked. Yesterday, oil prices on the technical side of the weak unilateral downward trend, ASEM slightly back pressure 76.6 line down to break the bottom, the evening accelerated down to 75 and 74 two integer marks, and continued to close weak near the 72 mark, the Japanese line Baoshu pressure down to break the bottom bardo, closed at a low level for three consecutive days. Oil prices fell 4.81% yesterday, closing large negative line, the decline has accelerated signs. From the perspective of technical indicators, the moving average system helped the downward form to be complete, and the superimposed MACD was located below the zero axis for a long time, and the overall form had obvious short advantages. On the operation, it is recommended to consider the rebound and short, low and many are auxiliary.
WTI Crude Oil Handling Recommendations:
Strategy 1: Rebound near 74.5-75.2 short entry, stop loss 0.6 points, target 72.6-72.2 line;
Strategy two: Callback 72.2-72.5 near multiple single entry, stop loss 0.6 points, the target 74.0-75.0 line.
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USOIL: Technical analysis and operational strategy
Us EIA crude oil inventories for the week to November 10 were released yesterday afternoon, showing a rise of 3.6 million barrels to 421.9 million barrels, expectations for a rise of 1.793 million barrels, the previous value of 13.869 million barrels, negative for oil prices. With global demand for crude oil slowing and supply increasing, some analysts believe that Saudi Arabia may extend the voluntary additional production cut of 1 million barrels per day into January or even longer, and the OPEC+ meeting next weekend (November 26) needs to be closely watched. Crude oil yesterday bardo line back. The early week of the rising space back up nearly half, and closed at the low level, the daily line to weaken again, the previous rebound was only a flash in the pan. 4-hour chart a wave of negative line reversion. Continued the previous trading day's high fall, fell below the middle rail to weaken, but also broke the small step shock to rise low, 4-hour chart empty, the rebound at the beginning of the week as a correction to confirm the resistance, but also just confirmed the previous low 79.80 area resistance, with the Asian market close down, Europe and the United States will further see the weak down.
WTI Crude Oil Handling Recommendations:
Strategy 1: Rebound 77.5-77.2 near the short entry, stop loss 0.6 points, the target 75.6-75.2 line;
Strategy two: Callback 75.2-75.6 near multiple single entry, stop loss 0.6 points, the target 77.0-77.5 line.
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usoil: accurate signal
Crude oil's downtrend continues, testing support at $72. Anticipate another decline after reaching around $74. If you have long positions in crude oil, consider closing near $74 and following the trend by shorting. Personally, I expect crude oil to reach $70 in the near term before resuming an upward trend.
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Usoil:Is it back to the downtrend?
Yesterday, oil fell rapidly, broke below the five-day line, and returned to the downward trend again. From the chart, it can be seen that 75-76 has certain support.
We need to observe the support strength of the previous low of 75. If it falls below the previous low, the room for decline will be opened.
So we can short and sell along the resistance point
now you can observe the fluctuations in the range, which is 74.9-77.4
Trading needs to strictly set the stop loss, even if you are in the wrong direction, you will not lose too much.
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Usoil:Repeated shocks
Oil peaked at around 79.8 yesterday. Due to signs that tensions in the Middle East may ease and uncertainty about U.S. crude oil inventories, it fell to near 77.7 yesterday.
As can be seen from the daily line, the price has been supported and stabilized near the lower Bollinger band, and has emerged from a continuous rebound trend. Although the price fell after the increase yesterday, it did not fall below the important support position of 77.5.
So we can still choose to buy in the support range, but you need to strictly set the stop loss to prevent the oil from falling further.
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USOIL: Crude oil analysis and operation
Oil prices rose and fell, and the U.S. CPI data released in the evening showed that the annual rate of CPI reached 3.2%, the lowest since July this year, boosting market risk appetite. After the data was released, the dollar fell sharply, risk assets rebounded, and oil prices quickly pulled up from the intra-day low, but the final oil price did not hold the intra-day rise, and the intra-day rise was completely reversed after midnight from the high level! Yesterday reached the upper 79.70 line high fall, the daily line includes a small Yin line entity, after the oil price even three Yang is Yin, further indicating that the rise has come to an end, the market has entered a new trend. The pullback in oil prices late yesterday changed the previous bullish pattern, so today's trend may be volatile or down, and the probability of continuing to break is low, of course, focusing on EIA data guidance.
WTI Crude Oil Handling Recommendations:
Strategy 1: Rebound 79.5-79.2 near the short entry, stop loss 0.6 points, the target 77.6-77.8 line;
Strategy two: Callback 77.6-77.8 near multiple single entry, stop loss 0.6 points, the target 79.0-79.5 line.
Good trading opportunities within the day Additional tips!
US OilPair : US Oil
Description :
Bearish Channel as an Corrective Pattern in Short Time Frame. Completed " 1234 " Impulsive Wave at Fibonacci Level - 23.80%. Break of Structure and Retracement with Strong Divergence. Bullish Channel in STF with the Breakout of Lower Trend Line
Entry Precautions :
Wait for the Proper Rejection
Usoil:bottom
Oil now has a clear bottom. It stopped falling and rose last Friday, and continued to rise this Monday. The bottom continued to rise and broke through the suppression of the unilateral moving average, forming a clear bottom foundation.
Today, we need to observe the resistance of the ten-day line and whether it can break through the range of 78.9-79.2. If it breaks through, there will be a lot of room for growth. Today, as long as it falls to the support level, you can choose to buy and set a stop loss to prevent accidents, so that your success rate will be very high.
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USOIL: Crude oil opens upward channel
After today's CPI data was released, crude oil rose rapidly, reaching a maximum of 79.77, and then continued to reverse the increase, the current position is 78.3, below the support position of the rising channel, we can be long crude oil in this position!
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Crude oil short selling is bound to win
The current MACD dead cross shrinkage is gradually consolidating, and the smart indicator STO's hook is repairing upward, which means that the daily line is a shock-biased rebound trend. However, the current candle chart is suppressed by the moving average MA10 and the parabolic turning point, which suppresses the 78.7 line. At the same time, the candle chart also deviates from the moving average MA5 near the 77 line; therefore, there is a certain degree of retracement during the day.
In 4 hours, the current macd golden cross is running with heavy volume, and the smart indicator sto has repaired upward and entered the overbought area. Therefore, in 4 hours, the current shock is strong, and in the short term, focus on the moving average MA60 suppressing the 79.3 line.
Go short around 78.6-80, stop loss 79.4, target 77.7-4
Go long at 77.4, cover long at 76.9-77, stop loss at 76.3, target 78.5-79.2-80.2
Usoil:Have reached the bottom?
As can be seen from the chart, oil has stopped falling, but it is not ruled out that it may go lower again. Today, it did not break through Friday's high of 77.7.
Today, it is necessary to observe whether the oil will fall twice. If the decline does not fall below the support range of 75-76, it can be judged that the oil may have reached the short-term bottom.
If oil breaks through 78, it can be judged that the chance of reaching the bottom is very high, and there is still room for growth this week.
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USOIL: Crude oil continues to fall
Crude oil continued to fall yesterday, from Friday to the present 4 even negative, down nearly 1000 points, yesterday's rebound space is slightly smaller, yesterday's rebound near 77.5 pressure, the European and American trading fell to a new low to 74.9, the daily line is in the bearish down, the day's rebound is the opportunity to empty, bearish not chase empty, rebound card point is the key, at present 4 hours, 77.5 is a strong pressure, short-term hourly chart, the resistance level of the medium rail is currently in the position of 76.1, the day to these two positions to rebound mainly to layout
The specific layout is as follows:
1. See 76.1 empty once for the first time, loss 0.6, the target look at 75 break below
2. See 77.3/77.5 empty at any time within the day, with a loss of 78.1, and the target at 76.1-75 break
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Usoil:Observe whether to stop the decline
The oil trend is obvious, and it continues to fall weakly, with the current lowest at 74.9
Although the oil is currently out of the downward channel, it has not confirmed whether it has reached a low point. Continue to observe the support near 73.8-74 below, and wait until the daily line stops falling or there is an upward signal to confirm.
Pay attention to the unilateral moving average suppression points of the daily cycle and the H4 cycle 78 and 76.5. Before this wave has obviously reached the bottom, you can wait for the rebound suppression point to take advantage of the trend to sell.
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USOIL: Watch next week to break out of the big range?
This week, crude oil has been running between 80 and 83.2, which is in line with my previous forecast, and I have made very good profits in this range by going short on highs and long on lows. Follow-up focus on whether the yuan oil breaks through the sub-range!
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USOIL: Oscillating operation
Today, crude oil is still oscillating between 80 and 83, and continue to pay attention to whether it breaks through this range!
Today, we are once again in the range of high short, low and long, harvested a good profit!
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Usoil:Still weak
The oil is still oscillating repeatedly, but the resistance point above is gradually declining, so it is judged that the oil is still relatively weak today.
At present, the oil is near 81.3, and the lowest point is near 80.3. Observe the support of 80.3. You can try to buy in a small position. If the oil falls below 80, you can make a stop loss.
The upper resistance is 83.2, so you can also choose to sell above 83, control your position, and your success rate will increase.
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Usoil:The willingness to rise is still not strong
Oil reached a minimum of 80.7. Because of the rapid decline, there will definitely be a certain rebound, so today we observe yesterday's high of 83.3 and the important boundary point of 84.
Oil has fallen due to the resistance of the lower edge of VWAP, so it can be judged that the willingness of oil to rise is still not strong.
So you can choose to be at 83.3 or more gradually sold
Arrange positions reasonably according to your funds and strictly set stop losses so that your success rate can be greatly increased
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USOIL: The overall direction is a volatile trend
After yesterday's pullback, crude oil continued to rise today to near the pressure level of 83.2, peaking at 83.4, we are trading in this range, and the profit is very good!
At present, the price of crude oil is around 82.2, if you can continue to do more after encountering support, in the short term, crude oil is a volatile trend, must grasp the direction of the range before trading!
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USOil WTI Technical Analysis And Trade IdeaIn this video, we conduct a comprehensive analysis of USOil WTI, with a specific emphasis on the prevailing bearish sentiment evident on the weekly (1W) chart. Throughout this presentation, we delve into fundamental principles of technical analysis, encompassing critical elements such as the current market trend, price dynamics, market structure, and other indispensable components of technical analysis. As we proceed within the video, we meticulously scrutinize a prospective trading opportunity.
It is imperative to emphasize that the insights shared in this content are exclusively for educational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial guidance. Engaging in the foreign exchange market trading entails a substantial degree of risk. Hence, it is essential to prudently integrate robust risk management strategies into your trading plan.