8.14 Crude Oil Trend AnalysisShort at 80 points
Last week I predicted that the oil price would reach 80. As I expected, the oil price peaked at 80.58 and then fell back to around 78.4.
The panic in the stock market last week led to a large sell-off of crude oil, which also gave us a good opportunity to enter the market. The oil market ignored the tension in the Middle East. Now the situation in the Middle East has been repositioned and the oil price has returned to 80. This prediction went very smoothly.
My personal suggestion is "Profit-taking Exit"
Although the situation in the Middle East is not very clear, it has not yet reached an uncontrollable situation. Now is a good time to exit.
When the market is in panic, it also brings opportunities for traders to enter the market. I wonder if you have seized this opportunity.
Usoilupdate
8.6 Long-term trend of oilAs the stock market fell last Friday, traders in major markets chose to sell a large number of transactions. Crude oil was of course not immune, causing a rapid drop in prices. Compared with the oil price in July, it fell by $10 and now fluctuates around $73. Everyone is worried about the US economic recession, but at the same time ignores an important information, which is the great geopolitical tension in the Middle East. Once the situation escalates, crude oil will rise sharply again. It is also a buying opportunity now. If you are a long-term investor, then you might as well take a look at the option spread after expiration throughout August. I personally expect it to be between 78 and 80. Of course, this is also a risky pre-evaluation. There are risks in entering the market, so please be cautious.
Crude oil market analysisMarket performance
Freight rates rose in March and calmed down in May. In June, freight rates from the Middle East to China fell by 0.5 yuan month-on-month. July was also sluggish. At the same time, the gross profit margin of refining fell by 10-30% year-on-year, affecting the enthusiasm of refineries to purchase crude oil.
Market risk analysis
The US election may affect energy policy. The Democratic and Republican parties have different energy policies. In addition, the US Meteorological Corporation predicts that there will be 25 storms in the Atlantic this year, which may affect oil production and transportation
To sum up, my personal analysis shows that the crude oil market will remain low in the second half of the year.
USOIL ( UNDER BEARISH PRESSURE ) ( 4H )USOIL
HELLO TRADERS
Tendency after the price breakout , indicates the price is under bearish pressure
TURNING LEVEL : there is a purple line around 82.84 , indicates if the price trade below this level reach a support level , but if the breaking turning level reach a resistance level
RESISTANCE LEVEL: there is a green line around 85.25 , indicates selling have already increase this level , when you reach this level buyer have more supply for oil
SUPPORT LEVEL : there is a red line around 79.66 , indicates buying have already increase this level , when you reach this level selling have more demand for oil
PRICE MOVEMNET : the price stabilizing below turning level around 82.84, in my opinion until the price trade below turning level ,indicates selling have more demand for oil , so reach a support level at 79.66, then breaking this level reach a next target at 77.37, if the price breaking turning level , indicates buyer have more supply for oil , so reach 85.25 and 87.41
TARGET LEVEL :
RESISTANCE LEVEL : 85.25 , 87.41
SUPPORT LEVEL : 79.66 , 77.37
Don't sell oil easily. Very risky
The trading opportunities for oil are not very big at present, but mainly fluctuate within a narrow range. After the news boosted strength. The price is still fluctuating around 81. I made a profit by buying oil prices around 80.7 in the morning, and the U.S. market is about to begin, judging from the 1-hour trend chart. The trend is still mainly bullish. MA is also supported.
If the U.S. market falls back around 80.7, I think there is still a chance to buy, and we will trade based on the timing and conditions.
Crude oil analysis signals make you money easily
According to the current trend of crude oil, the price of crude oil is basically fluctuating at 77-78 US dollars. At this stage, the crude oil price reached 78.6 and was unable to break through due to resistance, and then fell again. As far as the current trend is concerned, the crude oil price is oscillating at 78 US dollars. Please pay attention to my signals at any time. Only then can you make the right choice.
It is recommended to go short at high prices in the short term: short around $78.5.
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Crude oil trend analysis, easily make money for you
Crude oil trend analysis, easily make money for you
The overall trend of crude oil rose and fell back last week. The expected strength did not appear, but the upward trend has not changed. As long as crude oil price does not fall below 77 US dollars per barrel, the oil price will still rebound, and the weekly negative closing means that there will definitely be a rebound in the morning. It is bottoming out and rising, and the 4-hour moving average trend should also be bottoming out and rising. The current decline has bottomed out, and now there is a trend of bottoming out and rebounding. In the short term, we should pay attention to the support level and the short-term resistance reached by the rebound and increase. Bit.
Therefore, in terms of operation ideas, it is recommended to go short at high prices and long at low prices;
Recommendation: go long around 77.6 and go short after reaching $79.5
Tp 78.5
SL77
Go short after reaching $79.5
Tp 77.5
SL 80.5
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Crude oil price trend analysis, easily make money for you
Although OPEC+, an organization of oil-producing countries, has extended production cuts, the market remains wary of crude oil demand. Oil prices closed down more than 1% on Friday, with Brent crude oil falling by 1.69% this week and WTI crude oil falling by 2.46% this week.
Brent crude oil futures closed down $0.91, or 1.10%, to $82.05 per barrel. This week’s cumulative decline was 1.69%, and the one-week volatility was the lowest since September 2021.
WTI crude oil futures closed down $1.08, or nearly 1.37%, to $77.84 per barrel. It fell by 2.46% this week.
Supply remains tight due to slower exports due to OPEC production cuts and Russian production cuts, but demand in some countries appears to be lagging, while demand in the U.S. driving season has yet to kick off.
On the supply side, OPEC+ members led by Saudi Arabia and Russia agreed on Sunday to extend voluntary oil production cuts of 2.2 million barrels per day into the second quarter.
That provided additional support to the market amid concerns about global economic growth and rising production outside the group.
Crude oil continued to fluctuate this week, and the overall trend was a small dip and recovery.
My suggestion: go long at low prices, go long around $77.5
Tp 78.5
SL 77
Listen to my signal and advocate seeking victory in stability and not making rash advances.
Comments welcome!
Easily make money for you with crude oil trend analysis
Crude oil prices fell back from highs and will bottom out and rebound
From yesterday to today, the overall trend of crude oil fell back after rising, with $80.5 as the resistance level and $77.6 as the support level.
The U.S. Department of Energy announced the purchase of approximately 3 million barrels of oil for delivery in September to replenish the Strategic Petroleum Reserve;
Attacks by the Houthi armed forces in the Red Sea region have also blocked oil shipments and disrupted tanker activities;
EIA report: The four-week average supply of U.S. crude oil products was 19.499 million barrels per day, a decrease of 1.25% from the same period last year;
Combining the above data and events, I believe that the current crude oil price will fluctuate around $77.8 and then show an upward trend.
Recommendation: Go long around $78
TP:79.5
SL:77
Listen to my signal and advocate seeking victory in stability and not making rash advances.
Comments welcome
Today's crude oil trading analysis
Today's crude oil trading analysis
Yesterday, crude oil continued to fluctuate upwards, and the second time it tested high, it looked around 80.7, but it has not yet formed a breakthrough. The recovery range in late trading was within 80.0, and the daily closing line had an upper shadow line, which is still in the stage of shock and rise. At this stage, it is being set The upper track of Linguan is oscillating and is expected to break through the upper track.
From the daily chart, crude oil is expected to continue to fluctuate upward along the upward trend line in the short term. In the short term, buy at low prices.
Recommendation: Buy crude oil at $79.6
TP 80.5
SL 78.6
USOIL: Bulls are about to start
With the EIA data today, the market is bound to experience significant fluctuations. From the current point of view, I think the probability of an upward trend is relatively high, so my trading strategy is to go long.
During this process, since the fluctuations will be very large, you must do a good job in risk management and never let your transactions bear too much risk.
Each of our transactions should involve small risks and large gains. Only such transactions will be long-lasting.
Analyzing the market is a complicated matter, but if you can master a method proficiently and get it verified, your trading will become simple.
I hope all my friends can profit from the market! good luck!
USOIL: Oil today analysis
The crude oil on Monday swung back to 84.8 after moving higher, yesterday's high open gap after the repair of the inter-zone is not large, due to the international environment, the potential of the ground edge, the recent period can be maintained much lower, Stay in the day 85.4 attached near many, the upper side 87 attached near can be empty.
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USOIL is about to rise.USOIL reached a peak of 93.000 last week, and the trading strategy this week is still long. First of all, it has experienced two declines and is now hovering around 91.100. My suggestion is to enter the market now and take profit at 91.800. Stop loss 90.700. Good luck and happy trading.
Crude oil, today's strategy is bearish
Crude oil is now clearly in a bearish trend. The k-line starts to exert force from the upper rail, the big Yin line breaks through the middle rail, and the k-line goes all the way south to the lower rail. At present, the k-line directly dives downward, and the Bollinger Band track is also opened downward. The opening is gradually enlarged, the lower triple bottom is near 79.0, the big Yinxian will inevitably break through, empty, 79.0 air
The market continues to consolidate weakly in the bottom area, and the overall oscillation at the support level of the trend line has now converged. We can clearly see from the attached picture below that the bottom area signal has appeared yesterday, and the bottom area in the early stage is relatively stable. In terms of a wave of rebound, yesterday’s intraday reappearance is relatively a rebound. In the short term, we can focus on the pressure. Only when we recover the lost ground will we go up further. , the specific suggestions are as follows:
Operating strategy: crude oil 79.0 empty, take profit 78.5-78.0,
Crude oil 78.0 into,
Crude oil: bottoming trend again
The main reason for crude oil to look down is: the rebound for several consecutive days touched the pressure and fell back. Or a more bullish view is the sub-wave 2 adjustment in the midst of 3 waves and 5 rises. Crude oil pressure 80.65~81.10, support 79.70~79~78.60.
Crude oil operation is recommended to enter at 81.1, take profit at 79.6, target at 79.2~79.5, and take profit at 80.3 (the point may be revised as the market changes during the session, and the real-time strategy shall prevail)
Crude oil: peaking again
Crude oil should have mentioned that it will rebound, and the rebound trend is not small. It has already come out this time. From the indicators, the high point of this rebound is around 82. If the peak trend remains unchanged, this Nearby is more difficult to break.
Moreover, crude oil is negatively correlated with the U.S. dollar in a certain trend. The sharp rise of the U.S. dollar will also affect the price of crude oil. Gold is in a weak position, but crude oil is due to factors such as production cuts and expectations of interest rate hikes. The price of crude oil continues to soar, but still the same sentence, the reduction in interest rate hike expectations has been large enough. As long as there is something that is not conducive to the suspension of interest rate hikes, the interest rate hike expectations will still rise, and crude oil will be under pressure.
Strategy: 81.7 buy up 83.4 buy down
The demand for crude oil is expected to increase, but crude oil is not the same as gold after all. Crude oil has no currency attribute after all. Although it also has a hedging attribute, it is still not as strong as gold, and the aspects that can be affected are not as extensive as gold, so the demand for crude oil The expected increase in volume is also a matter of this year, but the price will not be too inclined.
USOIL: Will usher in a new wave of decline
Crude oil rebounded slightly and fell again. The idea is to place an empty order at the resistance position of 83-83.2. Friends who read the article may not necessarily wait for the point, but members and friends have kept up. When there is a short signal, decisively enter the market with an empty order. The current price is around 81.3 You can go up a little bit first. This is the difference between the idea of the article and the specific entry. The support resistance is that area. The specific entry depends on the real-time changes in the market. When there is a signal, you can enter the market at 81.0-81.3.
Strategy 81.0-81.3 enter long 82.0-82.2 take profit or enter decline
Crude oil: today's trend
Crude oil may sell a lot at the moment, so the 84 line is directly empty, because crude oil has reached the top, and it is currently closing the shadow line. If the k-line can be so strong, then he must have a bad fall. It is an extremely dangerous trend, the k-line will definitely return to the moving average, empty, 84 is directly empty.
Operating strategy: crude oil 84 empty, stop loss 85, target 78
Crude oil: today's trend
Crude oil once again hit a new high point, and the strength was in a mess. Even though the price fell after a surge in the U.S. session, it eventually rose again. This is why I have not been doing short orders recently. Your entry point may not be ideal, but you can still exit with a profit. Although the announced increase in crude oil inventories, the sharp reduction in refined oil inventories has helped the bulls in oil prices. At present, there is no sign of crude oil turning around, so you need to be cautious when buying short orders at the top.
Crude oil unilaterally rises, step back and go long today9/8Daily level, rising unilaterally; oil prices have continued to rise since the end of June, and are currently encountering strong resistance near the April high of 83.51. They have risen and held for two consecutive trading days, and closed close to the "cross star" K line on Monday, further reflecting the upper resistance Stronger, the short-term faces greater callback pressure, and even the risk of peaking. After the MACD diverges from the high level, there is a dead cross trend. The KDJ dead cross signal continues. The initial support below is around the 10-day moving average 81.14, and then the support near the 80 integer mark , The strong support is near the 21-day moving average of 78.5988, and the support at the low point last week is also near this position. If this support is lost, it will increase the bearish signal in the market outlook. The initial resistance above is around the intraday high of 82.47. If it can break through this position, it will weaken the short-term bearish signal; if it can break through the resistance around 83.51 strongly, you need to beware of the short-term rapid pull up of the market after the short-term is stopped. For resistance, refer to the position near the low of 84.70 on November 10. On the whole, the short-term operation of crude oil today is recommended to step back on the low and buy, and rebound and short for caution.
Crude oil operation strategy:
Rebound to 83.2-83.5 short, stop loss 83.9, near TP81.8.
Step back to 81-81.3 to do more, stop loss 80.5, near TP82.5.
Crude oil: high correction consolidation, short-term continued b
Crude oil prices retreated slightly. On the one hand, the suspended Druzhba oil pipeline in central Poland is expected to ease supply constraints; However, OPEC+'s production cuts continue to support the rise in crude oil prices. At the same time, the overall sentiment in the crude oil market is bullish, and there is potential for further rises after a slight retracement and stabilization of prices.
The overall upward trend is volatile. It is normal for the market to have a callback during the rising market. In the short-term, it is expected that there will be a wave of callback first, but the callback will not be too strong. Wait for the price to stabilize after the callback can be placed. The 4-hour belt closed and went flat, and the price formed a sideways oscillating trend at a high level, and the retracement was also held above the support of the middle rail. In the short term, continue to pay attention to the support of this position, which is the 81.3-81.5 area. If you hold this position, the price will be The possibility of breaking out of new highs again.
Operation strategy: call back the 80.9-81.1 area to do more, and target 82.9-83.5 to be empty
Crude oil: bulls are strong, step back to 80 and go long directl
Crude oil has been in a unilateral upward trend, and there is no need to say more about the bullish trend. If you don’t make a move, you will miss it. Now it falls back to 80.3 and goes long directly. There is still more than 200 points of space from the pressure of the high point of 83.5. Although The space is not very large, but the odds of winning are very high. If you fall back and go long, it is almost a market to bend down to pick up money!
But the overall trend remains unchanged, and the decline is just to give us a better point to go long. As can be seen from the trend in the figure, the nearest support level is 80.8, which is the moving average support of MA60. The lowest trend line support can be traced back to 80.3. You can do more, and the goal is to look at the high point of 82.1!