2023.6.2 Daily European Perspective GBP is strengthening !2023.6.2 Daily European Perspective
GBP is strengthening !
Hello, I'm Older Duan. Today is Friday, June 2 2023.
Now it's 16pm Beijing time.
Let me give you a quick comment on the technical forms of the current international mainstream varieties!
First, what we see is the daily graph of the dollar index.
As shown in the figure, the US dollar index fell downwards yesterday and returned to below the daily levels of 144MA (103.51) and 377MA (103.55). It is likely that after stepping back on the daily level of 21MA (103.04), it will once again rise upwards!
Now, let's look at gold.
Now you can see the daily chart of gold.
The figure superimposes the combination of gold's recent bottom-up golden section and Fibonacci parameter mean square!
As shown in the figure, gold broke through the daily level of 21MA (1977.3 US dollars) yesterday and today! So, for the rest of today, use this point as an important point for intraday operations! Above this point, bulls dominate; Below this point, bears dominate!
Let's take a look at American crude oil.
What you are now seeing is 4-hour level candle chart of US crude oil. The graph superimposes the recent bottom-up golden section of US crude oil and the Fibonacci parameter mean square combination!
As shown in the figure, US crude oil returned above the integer level of $70 yesterday! So, for the rest of today, just use this position as an important point during the day! Above this point, bulls dominate; Below this point, bears dominate!
Let's look at EURUSD.
What you can see now is the daily chart of EURUSD.
The figure superimposes the combination of European and American currencies against the recent bottom of the golden section and Fibonacci parameter mean square!
As shown in the figure, European and American currencies rebounded against the daily line of 165MA (1.07456) yesterday! So for the continuation period today, just use this position as an important point for operation during the day! Above this position, bulls dominate; Under this position, bears dominate!
Finally, let's take a look at GBPUSD.
Now you can see the daily chart of GBPUSD.
The figure superimposes the combination of the recent bottom of the GBPUSD against the golden section and the Fibonacci parameter mean square!
As shown in the figure, the pound US currency has returned to its recent top position (1.25460) against yesterday and today! So for the continuation period today, just use this position as an important point for operation during the day! Above this point, bulls dominate; Below this point, bears dominate!
Well, the above is a quick inventory of the technical forms of the international mainstream varieties in today's European period!
Special reminder, Today is Friday, the second trading day of June, and there will be a big non agricultural data market tonight! Please pay attention to the risks!
Im Older Duan. Wish you happy win . Goodbye!
Usousd
2023.6.1 Daily European Perspective USDX is flat2023.6.1 Daily European Perspective
USDX is flat
Hello, I'm Older Duan. Today is Thursday, June 1 2023.
Now it's 16pm Beijing time.
Let me give you a quick comment on the technical forms of the current international mainstream varieties!
First, what we see is the daily graph of the dollar index.
As shown in the figure, the US dollar index has been vying for long and short positions against the 2.000 level (around 104.28) of the gold split at its recent top for several consecutive days!
Now, let's look at gold.
Now you can see the daily chart of gold.
The figure superimposes the combination of gold's recent bottom-up golden section and Fibonacci parameter mean square!
As shown in the figure, gold today swallowed up yesterday's gains and continued to engage in long short competition near the 2.000 level (1960 US dollars) of the gold split at the bottom of the daily level! So, for the rest of today, use this point as an important point for intraday operations! Above this point, bulls dominate; Below this point, bears dominate!
Let's take a look at American crude oil.
What you are now seeing is 4-hour level candle chart of US crude oil. The graph superimposes the recent bottom-up golden section of US crude oil and the Fibonacci parameter mean square combination!
As shown in the figure, the highest point of US crude oil today has peaked at 0.618 points (68.9 US dollars) above the recent bottom of the gold split! So, for the rest of today, just use this position as an important point during the day! Above this point, bulls dominate; Below this point, bears dominate!
Let's look at EURUSD.
What you can see now is the daily chart of EURUSD.
The figure superimposes the combination of European and American currencies against the recent bottom of the golden section and Fibonacci parameter mean square!
As shown in the figure, the European and American currencies rebounded slightly against the recent bottom up gold split of 2.000 (1.06635) yesterday, but continued to weaken today! So for the continuation period today, just use this position as an important point for operation during the day! Above this position, bulls dominate; Under this position, bears dominate!
Finally, let's take a look at GBPUSD.
Now you can see the daily chart of GBPUSD.
The figure superimposes the combination of the recent bottom of the GBPUSD against the golden section and the Fibonacci parameter mean square!
As shown in the figure, the pound US currency hit the daily level of 55MA (1.04530) twice yesterday and the day before yesterday! So for the continuation period today, just use this position as an important point for operation during the day! Above this point, bulls dominate; Below this point, bears dominate!
Well, the above is a quick inventory of the technical forms of the international mainstream varieties in today's European period!
Special reminder, today is Thursday, the first trading day of June. There will be ADP, Unemployment Claims, and EIA data market tonight, and big non agricultural data market tomorrow night! Please pay attention to the risks!
Im Older Duan. Wish you happy win . Goodbye!
USOUSD H4 | Falling to an overlap support?USOUSD is falling towards a key support level and could potentially reverse from here. We could see price bounce up to our take profit target.
Entry: 69.435
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support
Stop Loss: 67.454
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support
Take Profit: 73.466
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance that aligns close to the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Oil set to break its consolidation?Today's focus: Oil
Pattern – Ascending Triangle
Possible targets – Downside 69.73, Upside 76.50
Support – 71.49
Resistance – 74.05
Hi traders, today we’re looking at oil after yesterday’s fast move down that snapped a three-day winning streak. Could this be the start of a move that breaks out of the current ascending triangle pattern? Sellers have some support to beat, and if it holds, it could hold the price in the consolidation until 74.05 is beaten.
We will be watching to see if yesterday’s selling was more than one session and if price could be set to make a new move lower.
Thanks for stopping by. Good trading, and have a great day.
USOUSD rises on reversal USOUSD today on the 15-minute chart dropped on a downtrend outside the Bollinger (lower)
Band (49, ohlc,2) hit a Doji candle and then started the upward retracement. The RSI indicator
shows relative strength hitting a bottom and bouncing up. RSI is about to go over 50. Price
is currently below the high volume area with the POC line aligned with the basis center line
of the Bollinger Bands. The ECHO indicator, a predictive algo tool is for a 2.5 % upward trend
over the next 2-3 days. I see this as a good entry point for a long leveraged forex trade.
USOUSD H4 | Reversal from 50.0% Fibo?USOUSD (WTI) is rising towards a key resistance level and potentially reverse from here. We could see price move down to our take profit target.
Entry: 73.683
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement
Stop Loss: 75.582
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance close to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement
Take Profit: 70.231
Why we like it:
There is a recent swing-low
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
USO Up or Down OIL ECOMONY in fluxAs certain countries want to exchange oil for money with anything but USD such as Chinese Yen
or even a cryptocurrency to be launched by US neutrals or adversaries cooperating, USO on
this chart rose dramatically over the past month and is now sitting at resistance as shown by
the LuxAlgo Supply and Demand Zone indicator. The RSI shows possible bearish divergence
perhaps heralding a reversal of the uptrend. I see this as a good place to take a short sell
entry and most buyers have taken their profits. Fundamentally there are enough competing
geopolitical and macroeconomic factors to deprive USO of the energy to push through resistance.
See also the link below from US federal forecasters.
I see this as a short trade at a limit price below the resistance zone and stop loss above it.
Profit targets can be the VWAP, the midline between the supply and demand zones as a 50%
Fibonacci retracement of the uptrend and finally one standard deviation below the anchored VWAP
making for a safe three-tiered take-profit procedure to optimize profit and diminish risk also
adjusting the stop loss at intervals using ATR as a guide. 40% at each of the first two targets
and the remainder at the last. Put options 20-30 DTE at the a strike above the resistance zone
for a good delta are another consideration.
Oil continues to test key resistance after the OPEC surge. Oil continues to hold firm on Wednesday after a strong surge on Tuesday that saw close to two percent added after sellers looked to test the new floor set up by buyers after the stunning gains seen after OPEC's surprise production cuts.
Since the news price has sat in a range between $79.65 and HKEX:81 , maybe we would have seen a new test lower to see how firm the gap was. No, buyers made a new push yesterday, breaking out of the mini range, but now continue to be held back at key resistance.
Early in the LON session, buyers are trying to push, but resistance remains in play for now. Looking at yesterday's momentum, if we can see it continue, could this be the move that finally clears this level of resistance? We feel that if we do see a break, this could open up buying, and there's a chance we could see the low 90s possibly tested.
The drivers behind the rally are firm, but traders will need to keep an eye on the US response if we see oil trading back at certain levels, as this will start to impact their continuing war with inflation.
What do you think? Could we see USOUSD trading back at HKEX:83 - HKEX:85 this week or next?
Good trading.
USOUSD (Crude Oil) Daily: 02/04/2023: Bull or Bear?!
As you can see, after the downward movement, the price started correction around 64$.
Well now, the crude oil price is on an important level. It is daily resistance, the price is near 0.705 Fibo. level (Optimal trading level) and some other reason that can pull the price down.
On the other side, The momentum of this correction was high that it may cause the price to reach higher levels and then fall.
I must point out that the demand zone specified in the chart is strong and can temporarily keep the price above this range, and if not much selling power enters the market, the price may break the supply zone.
Overall, I see this chart as bearish and believe that the price will fall from here or from the supply zone.
💡Wait for the update!
🗓️02/04/2023
🔎 DYOR
💌It is my honor to share your comments with me💌
Oil Finally Broke 3 Month Consolidation USOil has been consolidating since late December. If you're a trend trader you know you're either going to be waiting for price to break the consolidation range before you trade or if you were already in the trade, you'll be holding onto the trade until price begins trending again. Well, USOil finally made a new low.
This is a great time to setup for future sell positions if rice pulls back and can stay below the last lower high price. If you haven't read my previous post on oil, where I go into detail about the consolidation range, give it a read. The post is below.
As always, thanks for reading this quick post. Be sure to like the post to boost it. I appreciate it.
USOUSD Daily: 22/02/2023: Will buyers push the price up?
As you can see, the price is in the bearish structure and we expect the price to see lower levels. I am bearish till the price is below the weekly resistance.
But for now, we can see that price move in the trading range for a while and it means there is huge liquidity on both sides of this range.
In addition, we are under 50% of the previous bearish wave so we are in discount and searching for a buy setup.
In that case, from here or low time frame demand zone with low time frame confirmation we can go long.
our first target can be the supply zone and then 50% Fibo level and finally, above 83.31 we can close our position.
💡Wait for the update!
🗓️22/02/2023
🔎 DYOR
💌It is my honor to share your comments with me💌
USOUSD (Crude Oil): 06/02/2023: Key levels of weekly chart
Well here is our long-term view of crude oil.
As you can see, the price is in the downtrend and we expect a continuation of a bear market.
Bear scenario: In this scenario, we have 66.13- 69.544 as a key zone. The price should break down this zone and stay below. For this goal, the price can move upward till around 75 and then start the main decrease.
Bull scenario: Although I see the market in a downtrend, I believe we should be ready for both sides of the market. In this scenario, there is a liquidity pool below 70.22 and exactly after that, we have an important demand zone of 66.13- 69.544. If this zone work, the price can rise to 78.18 as the first target after that goes higher than 82.37, and 87.83 is our last target.
💡Wait for the update!
🗓️06/02/2023
🔎 DYOR
💌It is my honor to share your comments with me💌
USOUSD (OIL) 4H: 29/12/2022: Bear Market
Obviously, the trend is bearish, but $70 is on the way (this is an interesting price for buyers).
On the other hand, we are in the discount so we should wait and give a time to price raise to our optimal price entry.
So we're looking for a nice short setup on:
79.9 - 81-5
84.3 - 86.3
💡Wait for update!
🗓️29/12/2022
🔎 DYOR
💌It is my honor to share your comments with me💌
Oil reverses losses. Could we see a push higher? Hi TradingView community, today’s focus is on oil as price has, for now, reversed seller momentum and could be starting to form a support bounce.
Overall the price remains range-bound between 93.50 and 83.65. But price continues to trade outside of the last major downtrend, and we have two higher lows after the September low.
Today sellers took control in the Asian session, but with a risk asset recovery into the LON session, we have also seen oil’s fortunes reverse back to the buyer side.
We can see a solid area for demand from and below support, which lines up with the higher lows. Today’s reversal maintains 85.40 support and will continue to back up yesterday’s higher low if we see a higher close today. These are all good signs, and if buyers can continue, we will be looking to see if they can retest the supply area. A break of supply could set off a new leg higher that we hope could retest resistance.
If buyers fail today and we see a new move back below 85.40 support, this will keep us on the lines as we wait to see if supply can continue to hold.
EIA crude inventories are due Thursday morning at 2:30 am AEDT.
Have a great Wednesday and good trading
USOUSD: Short Signal with Entry/SL/TP
USOUSD
- Classic bearish formation
- Our team expects bearish continuation
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Short USOUSD
Entry - 86.740
Sl - 92.866
Tp - 77.536
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from higher levels.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
COMMODITIES (OIL ) vs EQUITIES ( DIA)In this chart, I have plotted the ratio of the price of the USOIL ETF over the DIA, which is the broad ETF for the DJI.
The chart shows the USOIL ETF has been stronger than the DIA until the market lows in mid June after which
the DIA rebounded while hot oil prices cooled off.
The analysis would be is that oil prices may be relatively undervalued at present and so represent a potential
basement sale at a time when the federal goverment just approved a vast upgrade in oil leases on federal land.
If investing in big oil at this time ( like Warren Buffet) what stock or ETF trade would you be inclined to take? AMEX:USO
FEDS open federal land for oil exploration LONG SETUP USOUSDVANTAGE:USOUSD
With the news catalyst of massive new open leases on federal land for USOIL
and the big oil companies USOUSD has reacted with a big uptrend.
with major resistance 3 to 4 percent higher this may continue.
This seems to be a good setup for a swing long trade on USOUSD
and potentially any of the big oil stocks.
CFD News; Oil sees demand after testing key support.Welcome to Wednesday's update, subscribers and TradingView community Today our focus is on oil as price has started to move higher after testing and holding for now at key support.
Price continues to trade in a short to medium-term downtrend after sellers turned momentum back in June. Since that point, it's been a series of LHs and LLs. Today's price has shown defensive action from buyers after this morning's lower gap failed to beat 94.90 area support and demand.
Could yesterday's bar be seen as exhaustion? If buyers can hold this level of support, we will be looking for price to continue to push higher. Obviously, if we see a break, then it's back to looking for new LLs maintaining the downtrend.
The MAs remain bearish, but the OBV has stopped putting in clear LLs despite yesterday's strong move lower. Could support be hiding plenty of fresh demand from oil buyers? We will have to wait and see if buyers can hold the level again today.
Data to keep an eye out for today. 10:30 pm US CPI and core CPI. 12:30 am US crude oil inventory numbers.
USOUSD OIL,Yesterday's buyer fightback to push a new leg higher?Thanks for tunning in TradingView community. Today we're looking at USOUSD oil and wondering if yesterday's price rejection could lead to a new leg higher from buyers.
So far this week, we have seen mixed trade with buyers coming close to breaking last week's high before sellers took hold and set up a two-day retracement. It would have been three, but buyers had other ideas yesterday, stopping sellers once they tested 112.75. Buyers quickly took price back up above 117 and posted a higher close for the session.
Today so far price has been on the quieter side. If we can see a new move above yesterday's high, we will be looking for a new up leg, but if sellers can close below 115.14 this could be a warning that the current retracement could have further to go.
If we do see a new leg higher would look for price to possibly get back into the 120/21 area if buyers can maintain momentum.
Happy Friday, all. We hope everyone has a lovely weekend and good trading.
Crude oil! Go with the flow!EIGHTCAP:USOUSD
The trend of crude oil and gold in the day is basically similar, also due to the influence of Russia's withdrawal of some troops. However, the difference between gold and crude oil is that crude oil itself has given some support to crude oil due to the current production capacity constraints. At the same time, the technical bulls of crude oil have a strong trend. Unless Iranian crude oil enters the market, this constitutes the theoretical basis for the crude oil reversal. Therefore, for the next trend of gold and crude oil, we cannot make generalizations, and crude oil will still be bullish in the follow-up.