USOUSD Oil Long bets. Moving up slowly but surely. Daily TF.
The intraday chart around the 1hr and 2hr is a tad hectic with double / triple top, so the daily chart here has a triple bottom for structure support and a head'n' shoulders pattern which I dont think has triggered quite yet.
This trade I recommended on Monday for a long position and these price levels are a bit of a bargain.
If you wanted to buy in I would be buying the closing candle at 69.20
1 HR chart below. Price is just a nudge under 69 now
Usousdlong
Potential bullish rise?USO/USD has reacted off the support level which is a pullback support that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 69.13
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that line sup with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 67.923
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with they78.6% Fibonacci retracement,.
Take profit: 71.51
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 127.2% Fibonacci retracement.
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A case for oil to rise/rally. Xmas period + world turmoil
I took a position in USOUSD a couple of days ago on Friday, I felt it reasonable that oil was undervalued & with more money starting to flow back to households with reduced interest rates worldwide, albeit Australia and soon to become a 'banana republic' as it was supposed to become a a couple of decades ago.
So, oil I tip may be breaking out and if you take a position in USOUSD as I have, well you might be keen to know that if price plays out for USOUSD as I think it will because of the bullish head n shoulders on the daily chart, forget the 15m chart HnS's pattern because this is on the Daily and its a mammoth pattern that if triggered very soon as I think it will later in the week, take price up to 90+ in a heartbeat.
Take a look at the chart Daily. The bullish story is there including a strong Bottom 3 pattern which price is launching from currently.
Below, 15 minute chart USOUSD showing price-action bouncing off the triple bottom acting as strong support, price is keen to move upwards in the next pattern. H&S's pattern will nudge price to 90+ possibly by end of next week.
Bullish case for WTI crude (USOUSD) Price above the cloud? Yes
Tenkan-sen crossed above the Kijun-sen? Yes
Chikou span above the cloud? Almost there
Chikou span above price? Yes
Future cloud bias? Bullish
This is not a trade recommendation, it is just my analysis.
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USDUSD Oil Prices react to Middle EastOn Thursday January 11th ( earlier today) WTI Crude prices gyrated widely
likely in reaction to US /UK intervention on the terrorists who seized a tanker on the behalf of
Iraq in the Red Sea / Suez Canal area putting shipping and supply concerns into the oil industry
to offset any weak demand. The 15 minute chart shows a megaphone pattern as a
demonstration of waves of relative volatility in price action. I have a position shorting oil
and will now close that position as I see a long entry developing here. US companies that use
rail and pipeline matching domestic production to consumption are less impacted by this
oceanic shipping issue. I will focus on them especially. OXY is at the top of the list and then
MRO.