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Riding Wave 5: Is $700 Just Around the Corner?Hey Realistic Traders, Will META Bullish Bias Continue ? Let’s Dive In.... In the Daily timeframe, META rebounded above the 38.2% Fibonacci level, marking the completion of wave 4. Within this wave, a Descending broadening wedge pattern was formed. Recently the price has broken out of the pattern. This breakout was further confirmed by a bullish MACD crossover, signaling increasing momentum and strengthening the case for a continued upward move. Based on these technical signals, I foresee a potential upward movement toward the first target at $638. After reaching this level, a minor pullback is likely before the rally continues toward a new high at $700. This outlook remains valid as long as the price holds above the stop-loss level at 550.00. Support the channel by engaging with the content, using the rocket button, and sharing your opinions in the comments below. Disclaimer: "Please note that this analysis is solely for educational purposes and should not be considered a recommendation to take a long or short position on META.
NASDAQ:METALong
by financialfreedomgoals101
10
TSLA around a confluence zone : Technical Analysis and ForecastTSLA Technical Analysis and Forecast Tesla (TSLA) is currently positioned at a critical confluence zone, where both horizontal and ascending trendlines intersect. Should the selling pressure persist and the stock breaks below the $325 level, there is a potential for further downside movement toward a psychological support zone at $300. It is important to note that TSLA has experienced a significant decline of approximately 33% from its peak on December 18, 2024, which could indicate potential for a rebound at these levels. Given the stock's current discount, I believe it may present a compelling opportunity for long-term investors. I intend to continue building my position through a disciplined Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA) strategy, gradually accumulating shares as the price moves lower. Should TSLA reach the $300 mark, I consider it a strong buying opportunity. As always, please trade with caution and consider your risk tolerance before making any decisions.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by ForexClinik
1
Costco Wholesale: Robust Earnings Support Bullish Trend◉ Technical Observation ● The stock price is exhibiting a strong uptrend, moving within an ascending parallel channel. ● A recent breakout from a rounding bottom pattern has propelled the price higher, nearing the upper boundary of the channel. ◉ Two Possible Scenarios 1. Rejection and Pullback: The price may face resistance at the upper end of the channel, leading to a potential decline. 2. Breakout and Continuation: Alternatively, the price may break through the upper boundary, sustaining the uptrend and driving the stock higher. ◉ Q1 FY25 Result Highlights ● Net Income: Up 13.1% to $1.79 billion, compared to $1.58 billion in Q1 FY24. ● Comparable Sales: Increased by 5.2% in the US and 5.8% in Canada. ● E-commerce: Comparable sales soared by 13%, with adjusted e-commerce comparable sales rising to 13.2%. ● Membership Revenue: Grew by 7.8% to $1.166 billion, reflecting strong customer loyalty. ● Gross Margin: Improved by 24 basis points to 11.28%.
NASDAQ:COST
by NaranjCapital
100% Gains in Walmart! What’s Next at This Key Level?Hello readers, Back in July 2023, I pointed out a major breakout in Walmart (WMT) after years of struggle around the $150-$154 zone. Fast forward, and here we are – Walmart has doubled in price! 📈 Of course, this isn't the raw $300 we might expect because of the 3-for-1 stock split, but the percentage gain remains a solid 100%+ from our entry. What Now? $100 is a round number, and historically, NYSE:WMT has reacted to these psychological levels. The market has started to range in these level, suggesting some hesitation. Taking partial or full profits could be a smart move – but as always, the choice is yours! This is just a reminder and a heads-up to stay aware of price action. Trade smart! 💡 Let me know your thoughts – are you holding or booking profits? Cheers, Vaido
NYSE:WMT
by VaidoVeek
1
ISSC: A Key Investment Opportunity in Aerospace and Defense◉ Investment Advice 💡 Buy Innovative Solutions and Support NASDAQ:ISSC ● Buy Range - 11.5 - 11.8 ● Sell Target - 14.6 - 15 ● Potential Return - 25% - 30% ● Approx Holding Period - 08-12 months ◉ Company Overview Innovative Solutions and Support, Inc., founded in 1988 and based in Exton, Pennsylvania, is a systems integrator specializing in aviation technology. The company designs, manufactures, and services flight guidance systems, autothrottles, cockpit displays, and related products, including air data computing devices, flight management systems, GPS units, and inertial reference systems. It also provides magnetic variation software and operates manufacturer system software. Serving commercial airlines, corporate aviation, the U.S. Department of Defense, government agencies, foreign militaries, and OEMs, the company delivers advanced solutions for aviation and defense sectors globally. ◉ Market Capitalization - $207 M ◉ Other Key Players in the Same Industry 1. GE Aerospace NYSE:GE - $219.6 B GE Aerospace is a leading global provider of commercial and military aircraft engines, systems, and services. The company is a subsidiary of General Electric (GE) and has a rich history dating back to 1917. 2. Honeywell International NASDAQ:HON - $144.8 B Honeywell is a multinational conglomerate that produces a wide range of products, including aerospace systems, industrial control systems, and consumer products. The company's aerospace division is a leading provider of avionics, engines, and other aircraft systems. ◉ Key Drivers of Future Revenue and Profit Growth 1. Growth in Military Programs: New contracts, like the U.S. Army's adoption of the ThrustSense Autothrottle and multifunction displays for foreign military platforms, signal strong future revenue potential in defense markets. 2. ISSC Next Strategy: Focused on commercial growth, this strategy includes new OEM and retrofit programs, product acquisitions, and launches like UMS2, aiming to accelerate revenue growth and improve operating margins. 3. Manufacturing Expansion: Increased in-house production and capacity enhancements are expected to boost operating margins and EBITDA by reducing reliance on external suppliers and improving scale efficiencies. 4. Strategic Acquisitions: Acquisitions, particularly from Honeywell, provide revenue synergies and cross-selling opportunities, diversifying offerings and expanding customer bases to drive profitability. 5. Investment in Advanced Technologies: Innovations like AI-integrated cockpit automation position the company to meet future demand in both commercial and military sectors, supporting long-term earnings growth. ◉ Key Risks to Consider 1. Margin Pressure from Military Sales: The company's reliance on military contracts, which typically have lower gross margins than commercial contracts, may negatively impact overall profitability. 2. Integration Challenges from Acquisitions: The integration of recent acquisitions, such as those from Honeywell, is uncertain and may prove difficult, potentially affecting revenue growth and operating margins. 3. Debt-Related Financial Risks: The significant debt incurred from the Honeywell acquisitions poses a financial risk, which could lead to cash flow constraints or higher interest expenses, impacting net income. 4. Operating Expense Pressures: The planned increase in manufacturing capacity and R&D investment may add pressure on operating expenses. If not managed effectively, this may not translate to proportionate revenue growth, impacting net margins. 5. Revenue Realization Risks: The long sales cycle and complexities associated with military contracts may delay revenue realization. If anticipated backlogs do not convert as scheduled, this could affect short- to mid-term revenue expectations. ◉ Technical Analysis ➖ Following a record high of $14.6, the stock plummeted by nearly 90% and entered a prolonged period of consolidation. ➖ However, a bullish reversal pattern, known as an Inverted Head & Shoulder, has formed during this phase. ➖ With a decisive breakout, the stock has also cleared its long-term trendline resistance, indicating a potential trend reversal. ➖ We expect this upward momentum to persist, driving the stock price higher. ◉ Revenue and Profit Analysis ● Year-on-year ➖ FY24 sales soared 36% to $47.2 million, up from $27.7 million in FY23. ➖ EBITDA jumped to $12.6 million, a significant increase from $8.5 million in FY22. ➖ EBITDA margin expanded to 26.7%, up from 24.32% in the same period. ● Quarter-on-quarter ➖ Q4 sales reached a record high of $15.4 million, surging 30% from $11.8 million in Q3 and 18% from $13 million in Q4 2023. ➖ Q4 EBITDA climbed to $5.9 million, up from $2.6 million in Q3. ➖ Q4 diluted EPS rose to $0.40 (LTM) from $0.37 (LTM) in Q3 2024. ◉ Valuation ● P/E Ratio ➖ ISSC's P/E ratio stands at 29.8x, which is relatively in line with the industry average of 33.7x, indicating fair valuation. ● P/B Ratio ➖ With a P/B ratio of 3.3x, ISSC appears undervalued compared to the industry average of 4.5x. ● PEG Ratio ➖ ISSC's PEG ratio of 1.83 suggests the stock is fairly valued, considering its anticipated earnings growth. ◉ Cash Flow Analysis ➖ ISSC achieves remarkable growth in operational cash flow, rising 176% to $5.8 million in FY24 from $2.1 million in FY23. ◉ Debt Analysis ➖ ISSC's debt-to-equity ratio stands at 0.60, signalling that debt is not a significant concern for the company. ◉ Top Shareholders ➖ The Vanguard Group holds a significant 3% stake in the company, indicating institutional confidence in its growth prospects. ◉ Conclusion The U.S. aerospace and defense market is projected to grow significantly, reaching an estimated $694.86 billion by 2030, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 5.76%. This growth is fueled by rapid technological advancements, including innovations in artificial intelligence (AI), advanced materials, 3D printing, and autonomous systems, which are reshaping the industry landscape. Innovative Solutions and Support, Inc. (ISSC) is strategically positioned to capitalize on this expanding market, leveraging its expertise in advanced aviation systems, strong military and commercial contracts, and ongoing investments in cutting-edge technologies. For investors seeking exposure to the aerospace and defense industry, ISSC represents a compelling opportunity, supported by its solid financial performance, favorable valuation metrics, and alignment with long-term market trends.
NASDAQ:ISSCLong
by NaranjCapital
Fundamental Weakness Meets Technical Strength, AMD at a Turning?Hello readers, Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) posted strong Q4 earnings, with a 24% year-over-year revenue increase to $7.66 billion, slightly surpassing estimates. Adjusted EPS came in at $1.09, just above expectations. However, the data center segment underperformed, bringing in $3.86 billion a 69% YoY increase but below the $4.1 billion analysts had anticipated. Additionally, CEO Lisa Su cautioned that data center sales may decline by 7% in the next quarter. This guidance, combined with the revenue miss, led to an 8.2% pre-market drop in AMD’s stock price. Technical Perspective The price has finally arrived at the first key area of interest. This level has been anticipated for some time, and the fundamental reaction has now drawn the price close to the marked zone. For those considering this as a potential investment, I can provide a small but valuable confirmation: from a technical standpoint, this is not a mistake to take, as this area holds the potential to generate strong liquidity for further growth. Key criteria: 1. Strong horizontal price zone around the $100 2. The round number itself $100 3. The trendline since 2018 4. Channel projection 5. Equal waves from the top For a more in-depth technical analysis, visit my Substack channel - content is now available for English readers. Simply go to my profile and click on "Website." Regards, Vaido Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consider risk management before making any investment decisions.
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by VaidoVeek
Investing in US Construction & Engineering: PWR vs FIX vs PRIM◉ Abstract The U.S. construction and engineering sector is experiencing a significant boom, driven by infrastructure investments, rapid urbanization, and the rise of renewable energy projects. Leading companies such as Quanta Services NYSE:PWR , Comfort Systems USA NYSE:FIX , and Primoris Services Corporation NYSE:PRIM are capitalizing on these trends, each demonstrating strong performance. Among them, PRIM stands out with exceptional financial health and attractive valuation metrics, positioning it as a compelling choice for investors. PWR and FIX are also performing well, benefiting from the sector's growth momentum. With substantial government spending and ongoing urbanization fueling demand, the sector presents promising opportunities for long-term investors. However, thorough research, clear investment goals, and effective risk management remain crucial to navigating this dynamic landscape successfully. ◉ Introduction The U.S. construction and engineering sector is a vital component of the nation's economy, driving infrastructure development, urbanization, and economic growth. It encompasses various activities, including residential, commercial, industrial, and infrastructure construction, as well as engineering services for design, planning, and project management. Recent trends shaping the sector include urbanization, sustainability, technological advancements, and government investments in infrastructure. ◉ Key Drivers of Growth 1. Infrastructure Investments: $1.2 trillion allocated for roads, bridges, railways, and clean energy infrastructure. 2. Renewable Energy: Funding boost for solar and wind farms driving demand for construction services. 3. Urbanization: Rapid urbanization fueling demand for residential and commercial construction. 4. Sustainability: Emphasis on green building, energy efficiency, and renewable energy projects. 5. Technological Advancements: Adoption of BIM, drones, and automation improving efficiency and reducing costs. 6. Resilience and Disaster Recovery: Demand for resilient infrastructure and disaster recovery projects due to natural disasters. ◉ Key Players in the Sector 1. Fluor Corporation NYSE:FLR : A global leader in engineering and construction, focusing on energy, chemicals, and infrastructure projects. 2. AECOM NYSE:ACM : A multinational firm providing design, consulting, and construction services for infrastructure, transportation, and environmental projects. 3. Quanta Services NYSE:PWR : A leading provider of specialized infrastructure services for the electric power, oil, and gas industries, including renewable energy projects. 4. Comfort Systems USA NYSE:FIX : A major player in mechanical, electrical, and plumbing (MEP) services for commercial and industrial buildings. 5. Primoris Services Corporation NYSE:PRIM : Provides construction services for energy, utilities, and infrastructure projects, with a growing focus on renewable energy. This report provides a comparative analysis of Quanta Services, Comfort Systems USA, and Primoris Services Corporation, examining their competitive dynamics in the U.S. construction and engineering sector. ◉ Technical Standings ➖ The charts for PWR, FIX, and PRIM exhibit similar trends, with stock prices currently experiencing a strong uptrend. ➖ Based on this momentum, it is expected that this trend will persist, driving prices even higher in the near future. ◉ Revenue & Profit Analysis ● PWR ➖ Q3 FY24 sales: $6.493 billion, up 16% sequentially and 15.5% YoY. ➖ Q3 EBITDA: $619 million, a significant increase from $463 million in Q2 and $542 million in Q3 FY23. ● FIX ➖ Q3 sales: $1.812 billion, flat sequentially but up 30% YoY. ➖ Q3 EBITDA: $238 million, up from $223 million in Q2 and $155 million in Q3 FY23. ● PRIM ➖ Q3 sales: $1.649 billion, an 8% YoY increase and the highest quaterly sales ever. ➖ Q3 EBITDA: $123 million, up from $112 million in Q2. ◉ Valuation ● P/E Ratio ➖ PWR stands at a P/E ratio of 54.2x. ➖ FIX is at a P/E ratio of 32.3x. ➖ PRIM shows a P/E ratio of 24.3x. ◾ These numbers indicate that PRIM is considerably undervalued when compared to its competitors. ● P/B Ratio ➖ PWR's P/B ratio stands at 6.2x. ➖ FIX's P/B ratio is 9.5x. ➖ On the other hand, PRIM's P/B ratio is significantly lower at 3x. ● PEG Ratio ➖ PWR boasts a PEG ratio of 3.54. ➖ FIX’S PEG ratio is recorded at 0.66. ➖ PRIM, meanwhile, has a PEG ratio of 0.90. ◾ Analyzing the PEG ratios reveals that FIX is currently undervalued relative to its peers. ◉ Cash Flow Analysis All three companies have reported significant improvements in operating cash flow for Q3 FY24: ➖ PWR saw an 82% increase to $740 million (LTM), up from $391 million (LTM) in Q3 FY23. ➖ FIX reported a 41% rise to $302 million (LTM), compared to $214 million (LTM) in Q3 FY23. ➖ PRIM achieved a 133% increase to $416 million (LTM), up from $178 million (LTM) in Q3 FY23. ◉ Debt Analysis ➖ PWR has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.6. ➖ FIX shows a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.19. ➖ In contrast, PRIM has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.73. ◾ FIX boasts the lowest debt-to-equity ratio, indicating a stronger balance sheet and reduced reliance on debt financing compared to its peers. ◉ Top Shareholders ● PWR ➖ The Vanguard Group - 11.4% ➖ BlackRock - 7.62% ● FIX ➖ The Vanguard Group - 10.5% ➖ BlackRock - 14% ● PRIM ➖ The Vanguard Group - 11.5% ➖ BlackRock - 10.4% ◉ Conclusion After a comprehensive analysis of the major players in the U.S. Construction & Engineering sector, including an in-depth review of technical capabilities and financial performance, Primoris Services Corporation NYSE:PRIM emerges as a standout candidate. The company’s robust financial health, supported by strong cash reserves, positions it well to navigate challenges such as debt concerns. The sector as a whole is poised for significant growth, driven by massive government spending on infrastructure and the ongoing trend of rapid urbanization. For investors, this presents a compelling opportunity. However, it is essential to conduct thorough research, establish clear investment objectives, and maintain a long-term perspective to capitalize on this growth while effectively managing risks.
NYSE:PWRLong
by NaranjCapital
6