US Stocks Pare Back All Tariff-Fueled Losses. Are We So Back?Remember “Liberation Day”? The one that felt more like Liquidation Day ? When markets tanked, tickers turned red, and you were afraid to check the markets on the next day? Well, turns out the rumors of the market’s demise were — once again — greatly exaggerated.
If the average recession 10 years ago lasted two years, this year’s recession was approximately 37 minutes (more or less, depending on the day).
Just a month ago, the S&P 500 SP:SPX started crumbling to the point it entered into correction territory (and then got out of correction territory ).
Long story short, it took the punches, went down 15%, stood back up, and is now throwing jabs with a nine-day winning streak — its longest since 2004, when iPods were still a thing and Facebook was just for Harvard students.
So… are we back? Like, really back? Let’s dig in.
💰 Trillions Lost, Trillions Found
On April 2, President Donald Trump dropped the hammer — or rather, the online post — unveiling his “reciprocal tariffs,” which, in true Trumpian fashion, sounded equal parts policy and promo PR.
Markets didn’t take it well. Global stocks collectively threw a tantrum. The S&P 500 dropped like it had a brick in its pocket . Financials cratered, energy took a gut punch, and tech? See for yourself — we don't want to talk about it .
But now? The dip buyers are shopping up, scooping up, snapping up everything from banks to oil stocks to beleaguered megacaps. Suddenly, all those stock discounts look like missed opportunities, and the cash-on-the-sidelines traders are jumping in.
👌 Jobs Data: Not Too Hot, Not Too Cold
Friday was a good day. Why? Because April’s nonfarm payrolls ECONOMICS:USNFP report came in at 177,000 jobs — not too strong to trigger Fed-tightening fears, not too weak to imply economic decay. It was the goldilocks print.
The number was a drop from March’s revised 185,000, but what mattered was the beat: economists had pencilled in just 135,000. Markets took that as permission to throw a party.
The S&P 500 jumped 1.5%, reclaiming the level it had before Trump’s tariff tirade and putting an emphatic end to the selloff. Nine green days in a row? That’s a bull flex Wall Street hasn’t seen in two decades.
💥 Truth Social Posts That Move Markets
Not to be left out of the celebration, Trump hopped onto Truth Social with his usual caps lock enthusiasm:
“THE FED SHOULD LOWER ITS RATE!!!”
Sounds familiar?
Still, even without a rate cut (for now), the market got what it wanted: signs that the US labor market isn’t collapsing, trade talks might be back on the table, and the economy hasn’t lost its way.
😌 A Global Sigh of Relief
While the US led the rally, global markets also joined the rebound chorus. China’s commerce ministry chimed in Friday, saying Washington had expressed a “desire to engage in discussions.” In market-speak, that translates to: "Everyone calm down — we might not blow this up after all."
It doesn’t take much to change sentiment. A tweet here, a headline there, a hint of diplomatic progress — suddenly risk appetite returns and everyone forgets they were panic-selling just three weeks ago.
But don’t go lining up the espresso martinis just yet — not everything is fully recovered. The US dollar, for example, remains nearly 4% below its pre-tariff-announcement level.
🤔 We Are So… Back?
So are we officially back? Short answer — “put the word out there that we back up” for now . Markets are up, volatility is down, and everyone’s pretending they didn’t sell the dip at the worst possible time.
But — and you knew there’d be a “but” — caution still applies. Trade tensions aren’t over. The next Trump post could shake things again. The Fed hasn’t made its next move (that’s coming this Wednesday). And geopolitics remains a powder keg.
Still, what this rebound tells us is clear: the market has resilience. Maybe not logic. Maybe not grace. But resilience? Yes.
It also reminds us that trying to time news-driven selloffs is a dangerous game. Often, the best trades happen when fear peaks and everyone else is running for the hills.
👉 Final Thoughts: Watch the Calendar, Not the Chaos
The key takeaway from this tariff-to-rally rollercoaster? Markets can move fast — but they can also recover faster. If you panicked, you probably sold low. If you stayed focused, checked the earnings calendar , and remembered that market narratives shift like wind direction, you're probably doing well right now.
We’re so back — for now. But stay sharp. This market may have nine lives, but it also has the attention span of a toddler.
Your move : Did you ride the dip? Buy the bounce? Or just mute the chaos and sip your coffee? Drop your best “Liberation Day to Redemption Rally” trade below.
Usstocks
Invest in STRL: Ride the Coming US Digital Infrastructure Surge◉ Abstract
Sterling Infrastructure (NASDAQ: STRL) is a top pick to benefit from America's digital infrastructure boom, with the sector expected to grow 26% annually through 2034. The company specializes in data centers, 5G networks, and smart city projects, supported by a $1 billion backlog and improving profit margins. While risks like regional market shifts and housing demand exist, STRL's fundamentals are strong—revenue grew 7% in 2024, debt is manageable, and its P/E ratio (17.9x) looks cheap compared to peers (70.5x).
Technically, the stock shows bullish patterns after pulling back 35% from highs. With government infrastructure spending rising and strategic acquisitions likely, STRL could deliver 35-40% returns in the next 12-14 months. A good option for long term investing!
Read full analysis here...
◉ Introduction
The U.S. digital infrastructure market, valued at approximately USD 140 billion in 2024, is expanding rapidly, with a projected CAGR of 26.4% through 2034. This growth is driven by factors like the expansion of 5G networks, increased demand for data centers, rising cloud services adoption, AI automation, and investments in smart cities and edge computing. The 5G infrastructure segment alone is expected to grow at a CAGR of 20.2%, reaching USD 17.26 billion by 2030. North America holds a 42.8% share of the global market.
◉ Key Trends and Opportunities
1. Data Centers: Demand continues to rise, driven by cloud computing, AI, and data-intensive applications. Power availability and location are becoming critical, with providers moving to secondary markets to secure reliable energy sources.
2. Fiber Networks: Expansion is underway to support new data centers and remote connectivity needs. Middle-mile and long-haul fiber, as well as fiber-to-the-home (FTTH), are key areas of investment and consolidation.
3. 5G and Wireless: Ongoing rollout of 5G networks is fueling growth in hardware and network densification, with increased activity expected in wireless infrastructure and tower markets.
4. Edge Computing and Smart Cities: The proliferation of IoT devices and smart city initiatives is driving demand for edge data centers and low-latency networks.
5. Mergers and Acquisitions: The market is seeing consolidation, especially in fiber and data center segments, as major players acquire smaller firms to expand their footprint and capabilities.
Today, we’ll focus on Sterling Infrastructure (STRL), a key player navigating the U.S. infrastructure market.
This report provides a detailed look at STRL's technical and fundamental performance.
◉ Company Overview
Sterling Infrastructure Inc. NASDAQ:STRL is a U.S.-based company specializing in e-infrastructure, transportation, and building solutions. It operates through three key segments: E-Infrastructure Solutions, which focuses on site development for data centers, e-commerce warehouses, and industrial facilities; Transportation Solutions, handling infrastructure projects such as highways, bridges, airports, and rail systems for government agencies; and Building Solutions, providing concrete foundations and construction services for residential and commercial projects. Originally founded in 1955 as Sterling Construction Company, the firm rebranded to its current name in June 2022. Headquartered in The Woodlands, Texas, the company serves a wide range of sectors, including logistics, manufacturing, and public infrastructure.
◉ Investment Advice
💡 Buy Sterling Infrastructure NASDAQ:STRL
● Buy Range - 148 - 150
● Sell Target - 200 - 205
● Potential Return - 35% - 40%
● Approx Holding Period - 12-14 months
◉ SWOT Analysis
● Strengths
1. Strong E-Infrastructure Backlog – With over $1 billion in backlog, Sterling has a robust pipeline of future projects, ensuring sustained revenue growth.
2. Higher-Margin Services Shift – The company’s strategic focus on higher-margin work (21% gross profit margin in Q4) improves profitability without relying solely on volume.
3. E-Infrastructure Growth Potential – Expected 10%+ revenue growth and 25%+ operating profit growth in 2025 position Sterling for strong earnings expansion.
4. Strategic M&A Opportunities – Strong liquidity allows for accretive acquisitions, enhancing market share and service offerings.
5. Share Repurchase Program – Active buybacks reduce outstanding shares, potentially boosting EPS and shareholder value.
● Weaknesses
1. Texas Market Transition Risks – Moving away from low-bid work in Texas may slow revenue growth in the Transportation segment if not managed well.
2. Revenue Loss from RHB Deconsolidation – Excluding $236 million in RHB revenue could distort growth metrics and reduce reported earnings.
3. Residential Market Pressures – A 14% decline in residential slab revenue (due to DFW affordability issues) could persist if housing demand weakens further.
4. Geographic Expansion Challenges – High costs and logistical hurdles in expanding data center projects outside core regions may limit growth opportunities.
5. Competitive Bidding & Acquisition Risks – Difficulty in securing profitable acquisitions or winning competitive bids could hinder margin and revenue growth.
● Opportunities
1. Data Center & E-Commerce Boom – Rising demand for data centers and distribution facilities presents long-term growth potential for E-Infrastructure.
2. Government Infrastructure Spending – Federal and state investments in highways, bridges, and airports could boost Transportation Solutions revenue.
3. Strategic Acquisitions – Pursuing complementary M&A deals could expand capabilities and market reach.
4. Diversification into New Regions – Expanding into underserved markets could reduce dependency on Texas and mitigate regional risks.
5. Operational Efficiency Improvements – Further margin expansion through cost optimization and technology adoption.
● Threats
1. Economic Slowdown Impact – A recession could reduce demand for residential and commercial construction, affecting Building Solutions.
2. Rising Interest Rates – Higher borrowing costs may pressure profitability and delay large-scale projects.
3. Labor & Material Cost Inflation – Increasing wages and supply chain disruptions could squeeze margins.
4. Intense Competition – Rival firms competing for the same infrastructure projects may drive down pricing and profitability.
5. Regulatory & Permitting Delays – Government approvals and environmental regulations could slow project execution.
◉ Revenue & Profit Analysis
● Year-on-Year
➖ FY24 sales reached $2,116 million, reflecting a 7.28% increase compared to $1,972 million in FY23.
➖ EBITDA rose to $334 million, up from $264 million in FY23.
➖ EBITDA margin improved to 15.8%, up from 13.4% in the same period last year.
● Quarter-on-Quarter
➖ Q4 sales decreased to $499 million, down from $593 million in Q3, but showed a slight increase from $486 million in Q4 of the previous year.
➖ Q4 EBITDA was $80.3 million, down from $105 million in Q3.
➖ Q4 diluted EPS saw a notable rise, reaching $8.27 (LTM), up from $5.89 (LTM) in Q3 2024.
◉ Valuation
1. P/E Ratio (Price-to-Earnings)
● Current vs. Peer Average
➖ STRL’s P/E ratio is 17.9x, much lower than the peer average of 70.5x, suggesting the stock is undervalued compared to peers.
● Current vs. Industry Average
➖ Compared to the broader industry average of 22.9x, STRL again looks relatively inexpensive at 17.9x.
2. P/B Ratio (Price-to-Book)
● Current vs. Peer Average
➖ STRL’s P/B ratio stands at 5.7x, slightly higher than the peer average of 5x, indicating overvaluation.
● Current vs. Industry Average
➖ Against the industry average of 3.6x, STRL’s 5.7x P/B ratio suggests a noticeable overvaluation.
3. PEG Ratio (Price/Earnings to Growth)
➖ STRL’s PEG ratio is 0.21, which means the stock appears undervalued relative to its strong expected earnings growth.
◉ Cash Flow Analysis
➖ Sterling Infrastructure's operating cash flow grew to $497 million in FY24, up from $479 million in FY23, showing steady financial strength.
◉ Debt Analysis
➖ The company's debt-to-equity ratio is 0.38, indicating a healthy balance sheet with manageable debt levels.
◉ Top Shareholders
➖ The Vanguard Group has significantly increased its investment in this stock, now owning an impressive 8.3% stake, which marks a 30% rise since the end of the September quarter.
➖ Meanwhile, Blackrock holds a stake of around 8% in the company.
◉ Technical Aspects
➖ On the monthly chart, the stock remains in a strong uptrend.
➖ On the daily chart, an Inverted Head & Shoulders pattern has formed, signaling a potential breakout soon.
➖ The stock is currently trading at about 35% below its all-time high, making it an attractive investment opportunity.
◉ Conclusion
Sterling Infrastructure (STRL) stands out as a strong investment candidate, backed by solid financial performance, a growing E-Infrastructure backlog, and a strategic focus on higher-margin projects. Its attractive valuation, healthy cash flow, and low debt levels provide further confidence in its growth potential. While there are challenges—such as market competition, geographic expansion hurdles, and economic uncertainties—Sterling’s strengths, including a robust project pipeline, strategic acquisitions, and exposure to high-growth sectors like data centers and 5G infrastructure, offer a favorable risk-reward balance. Overall, Sterling is well-positioned to benefit from the ongoing U.S. e-infrastructure boom, making it an attractive long-term investment opportunity.
U.S. Stock Swing TradeBRK.B
This stock remains one of the few in the U.S. market that continues to exhibit technical strength, maintaining a well-defined uptrend.
Current price action suggests a potential buy-on-dip opportunity near key support levels.
Entry Zone: 494 – 501
Take-Profit Target: 518 – 530
Stop Loss: 488
That said, it remains essential to closely monitor the S&P 500 index, along with prevailing macroeconomic developments, which continue to exert significant influence on market sentiment.
$S&P500 macro analysis , market approaching correction °•° $SPXHi 👋🏻 check out my previous analysis ⏰ on SP:SPX macro bullish analysis ⏰
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NOW I was completely 🐻 BEARISH on the market with in upcoming months SP:SPX
📌 Expecting liquidation pump $6500 - $6700
Invalid 🛑 when complete month close above $6700
¹support - $5500 ( 🎯 ¹ )
²support - $5130 ( 🎯 ² )
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US Stocks Wipe Out $6.6 Trillion in Two Days—What Just Happened?Shoutout to the real MVPs of April: the traders who did absolutely nothing. You market wizards, zen masters of the sidelines — while others were busy buying the dip that kept on dipping, you outperformed the S&P 500 SP:SPX , avoiding the nastiest market faceplant since the Covid crash of March 2020.
Since April 2, Liquidation Day , Liberation Day , the S&P 500 SP:SPX has nosedived a brutal 10%. That’s officially a correction — the kind that makes you stare out your window like a philosopher, questioning your life choices, your portfolio, and whether you really needed that Nvidia NASDAQ:NVDA call.
This isn’t just a dip. It’s a market reality check served with extra salt. So raise a (half empty?) glass to the ones who stayed flat — you just made Warren Buffett proud . In a world of overtrading, doing nothing was the most alpha move of all.
Everyone who checked the market at least once on Thursday or Friday (even today when futures markets were all red ) knows what that is all about.
It’s Trump’s tariff rollout coming like a wrecking ball. While the US President portrays his efforts as a fair and even lenient response to other countries’ trade policies with the US, investors don't seem to think so.
In just two days, Thursday and Friday, the US stock market washed out $6.6 trillion. The violent selloff threw the Nasdaq Composite NASDAQ:IXIC into a bear market (down 20% from its peak) and the S&P 500 into correction territory. The broad-based Wall Street darling waved goodbye to 6% on Friday, extending its 4.8% loss from the previous day.
On Thursday, Trump unveiled his new plan to boost the US economy through reciprocal tariffs. China got hammered with a total of 54% , while Europe wasn’t spared either, slapped with a flat 20%.
Some uninhabited islands also made the list — Heard and McDonald Islands (Australia's icy outpost) and Jan Mayen (Norway's frozen Arctic rock) got served a 10% tariff.
Now, the thing with tariffs is, they tend to backfire. Because they are paid by the party receiving them, i.e. US companies, they hike the prices of imported goods, squeeze consumers, and isolate the country imposing them. They strain international trade relationships, disrupt supply chains, and — as history shows — often spark retaliation.
And that’s exactly what happened. On Friday, China hit back hard, launching a 34% tariff barrage on US imports — a sharp counter-strike against Trump’s escalating trade war tactics.
What did Trump say on the matter? “CHINA PLAYED IT WRONG, THEY PANICKED - THE ONE THING THEY CANNOT AFFORD TO DO!” he said on his social media platform.
Just as the markets were a dumpster fire on Friday, Federal Reserve boss Jay Powell gave a speech at a business journalists' conference. In his remarks, he said that Trump’s tariffs would cause “higher inflation and slower growth.”
“It is now becoming clear that the tariff increases will be significantly larger than expected. The same is likely to be true of the economic effects,” Powell said.
Trump's response?
“This would be a PERFECT time for Fed Chairman Jerome Powell to cut Interest Rates. He is always ‘late,’ but he could now change his image, and quickly,” Trump wrote in a post. “Energy prices are down, Interest Rates are down, Inflation is down, even Eggs are down 69%, and Jobs are UP, all within two months - A BIG WIN for America. CUT INTEREST RATES, JEROME, AND STOP PLAYING POLITICS!”
So here we are — $6.6 trillion lighter, futures in free fall, inflation fears reignited, and a full-blown trade war back on the table. The Fed’s caught in a political crossfire, Trump’s turning up the heat, and markets are flashing every red light imaginable.
On top of it all, corporate earnings are just around the corner with the big banks on Wall Street kicking off the first-quarter reporting at the end of this week. Keep track of all big reports in the Earnings Calendar .
One thing’s for sure: this isn’t the time to trade on hope or headlines. It’s the time to trade with eyes wide open, risk tightly managed, and a clear understanding that your next move could shape the rest of your year. Most of all, don’t panic .
Off to you now: are you sitting this one out like Buffett — or are you moving in before the smoke clears?
S&P 500 (SPX) 1M next week?The S&P 500 is pulling back from a key resistance after completing a bearish AB=CD pattern on the monthly chart. Price action suggests a potential correction toward the 4662–4700 zone, aligning with the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level, which may serve as a key area for bullish reaccumulation. Momentum indicators show bearish divergence, hinting at a cooling rally.
Fundamentally, the index remains supported by strong earnings in tech and AI sectors, but risks persist from elevated interest rates, sticky inflation, and potential Fed policy shifts. A pullback into the 4662–4700 zone may offer a medium-term setup for continuation toward 5198 and potentially 5338. A breakdown below 4662 would invalidate the bullish structure and shift focus to lower Fibonacci levels.
Head & Shoulder Breakdown: Will S&P 500 Drop Another 10%?● The S&P 500 has experienced significant volatility recently, mainly due to President Donald Trump's announcement of new tariffs.
● On April 3, 2025, the index saw a nearly 5% drop, its worst single-day loss in five years.
● The recent price action suggests that the index has broken below the neckline of the Head and Shoulder pattern, indicating a potential continuation of the downward trend.
◉ Key support levels to watch
● 1st Support - 5,200 - 5,250
● 2nd Support - 4,950 - 5,000
Nvidia’s Sell-Off Deepens: How to Capitalize on the Decline?📉 Nvidia’s Technical Breakdown:
● Nvidia’s stock has been caught in a storm of selling pressure over the past month.
● The recent breach of critical trendline support levels suggests the downward trend could gain momentum in the days ahead, opening the door for savvy traders to capitalize on the bearish momentum.
🔄 NVDS: The Perfect Inverse Play for Nvidia’s Slide
● For those looking to navigate this decline, an inverse ETF like NVDS NASDAQ:NVDS offers a compelling opportunity.
● Designed to move in the opposite direction of Nvidia’s stock, NVDS has shown a chart pattern that almost perfectly inverse Nvidia’s price action.
● This makes it a strategic tool to potentially profit from the stock’s anticipated slide.
Abbott and Amazon: Two Bright Spots in a Sea of Red◉ Abbott Laboratories NYSE:ABT
● The stock previously faced strong resistance near the $134 level, leading to an extended consolidation phase.
● During this period, a Rounding Bottom pattern emerged, signalling a potential continuation of the upward trend.
● Following a recent breakout, the stock has surged to its all-time high and is expected to maintain its upward momentum in the coming days.
◉ Amazon NASDAQ:AMZN
● Since August 2020, Amazon's stock has been consolidating, forming a clear Inverted Head & Shoulders pattern.
● After breaking above the neckline, the stock rallied sharply and reached an all-time high near $242.
● Following this, the price pulled back to retest the breakout level and with a successful retest, the stock is now well-positioned to resume its upward trend.
Weekly & Monthly Closing on a Positive Note is Important.Immediate Support is around 355 - 357,
if this level is Sustained on Monthly basis,
we may witness further upside around 400.
However, the monthly candle is not yet closed.
Weekly candle closing above 357 - 360 may confirm
a Morning Star Formation which will be a Positive Sign.
Strong Resistance is around 400 - 415.
Crossing & Sustaining 490, may lead it towards 600.
Berkshire Soars to New Heights: Q4 Results Smash Records◉ Q4 Result Highlights:
● Berkshire Hathaway reported record operating earnings of $14.5 billion, driven by higher interest rates and a strong performance in its insurance business.
● Insurance investment income soared by 48% to $4.1 billion.
● The company's cash reserves hit an all-time high of $334.2 billion, reflecting Warren Buffett's cautious yet strategic approach to investments in a volatile market.
● Net earnings for Q4 2024 stood at 19.7billion ,down from 19.7billion, down from 37.6 billion in Q4 2023, primarily due to lower gains from its investment portfolio.
● Book value per share rose by 1% sequentially and 16% year-over-year, reaching $451,507, underscoring the company's consistent value creation.
◉ Technical Observations:
● The stock is currently in a strong uptrend, consistently achieving higher highs and higher lows.
● After a period of consolidation, the price has broken out decisively and is now trading at all-time highs.
● This bullish momentum is expected to continue, potentially driving the stock price even higher in the near term.
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Again making complete analysis for next bull run 🐂
Before entering pls #DYOR
Below this post I will update you everything 🙂
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S&P 500's Big Drop Raises Alarm: Is a Market Correction Looming?◉ Fundamental Rationale:
● US stocks fell sharply on Friday, with major indices like the S&P 500 SP:SPX and Dow Jones Industrial Average TVC:DJI experiencing significant losses.
● The sell-off was triggered by a warning from Walmart NYSE:WMT , which raised concerns about weakening consumer demand, rising costs, or other challenges impacting its business. As a retail giant, Walmart's outlook is seen as a barometer for consumer health.
● The decline coincided with the release of consumer sentiment data, which dropped to a 15-month low, signalling growing pessimism among consumers about the economy.
● The market reacted to fears of inflation, rising interest rates, and the potential for a recession, which could further weigh on corporate earnings and economic growth.
● The sell-off was not limited to retail stocks but reflected broader anxieties about the economy and future market performance.
◉ Technical Observations:
● Following a significant sell-off of nearly 1.7%, the index is expected to find initial support at the trendline.
● If the index breaches this support level, the next strong support zone is anticipated in the range of 5,650 to 5,700.