POET: A Technical Play with Fundamental RisksThe recent announcement of POET Technologies, Inc.'s ( NASDAQ:POET ) collaboration with Mitsubishi Electric on September 19, 2024, suggests greater upside potential for the company. Given the current trend, the stock could reach $6-7 per share by year-end.
Over the past year, the stock has risen 56%, with a 377% increase year-to-date. Despite this strong performance, there are several risks to consider:
• Negative net income (the company has not been profitable)
• Frequent stock-based compensation (a 39% increase in shares outstanding since 2020)
• Negative operating cash flow
• Regulatory risks related to business operations in China
While there is potential for substantial price growth, it does come with risks. I think starting with a small position and monitoring the technical and fundamental developments is the best way to play this opportunity.
Usstocks
US Markets Demonstrate Confidence Despite Election JittersThe US markets are currently demonstrating a bullish sentiment, despite concerns surrounding the upcoming election.
All major indices, including the S&P 500, NYSE Composite, and Nasdaq Composite, have formed a bullish Cup & Handle chart pattern and have subsequently broken to follow an upward trend.
While the S&P 500 and NYSE Composite have reached new all-time highs, the Nasdaq Composite is close to its highest peak, further reinforcing the positive market outlook.
'This overall bullish sentiment suggests that the upward trend in the US markets is likely to continue, even in the face of election-related uncertainties.
Exxon's Make-or-Break Moment: $123 Resistance in FocusThe chart distinctly illustrates that the stock has been in a consolidation phase for over a year and is presently trading slightly below its resistance zone.
For a potential upward movement, the price must surpass the 123 level and maintain its position above this threshold.
At the same time, there is a significant likelihood that the stock price may encounter rejection once more, leading to a decline towards its trendline support level.
US30 (DowJones) - Daily Bearish SetupThe BLACKBULL:US30 index experienced a bullish spike, followed by a period of consolidation within a bullish channel. However, after a fake breakout above the upper boundary of this channel, it appears that the index could be poised for a downward correction. Based on the technical analysis, a fall toward the lower boundary of the channel is expected, providing traders with potential shorting opportunities in the near term.
Fundamentally, stock market volatility tends to rise during September, a historically weak month for stocks. This pattern is often attributed to traders returning from summer vacations, rebalancing portfolios, and increased bond offerings, which divert capital away from equities. In 2024, this volatility is further exacerbated by uncertainty around the Federal Reserve’s rate decisions and the upcoming U.S. presidential election. Investors are closely watching labor market data, inflation trends, and the Fed’s stance on potential rate cuts, all of which could impact market sentiment and drive further fluctuations in stock prices.
With the TVC:DJI at the top of the bullish channel and signs of weakness after the fake breakout, a pullback to the lower end of the channel seems likely. Traders should stay cautious and monitor key economic events and technical signals for opportunities to re-enter positions at more favorable levels.
Analyzing Microsoft: Patterns and Profit-Taking Opportunities
Microsoft is in a profit-taking zone based on the Parallel Channels and Equal Weight method.
The round number of $500 could act as a psychological level, affecting future price movements.
This is not a shorting zone, but a chance to manage your position and consider taking profits if it fits your strategy.
The second time in my analysis, I want to highlight the idea of Parallel Channels and Equal Waves, which is a helpful method for deciding when to take profits. One of its main benefits is that it helps find profit-taking areas, especially when there’s no major resistance or "traffic" on the left side of the chart.
Right now, Microsoft has reached important levels that look similar to patterns we’ve seen in gold. Also, the price is approaching a third key point, the round number of $500, which could play an important role in the near future.
It’s important to point out again that this is not a shorting area, but rather a potential profit-taking zone. If you’re managing your position as a mid-term investor and you might need your invested money soon, this could be a good place to take some profits.
Make sure to align this analysis with your overall investment plan. If you're ready to act, now could be a good time to lock in some profits.
Regards,
Vaido
Coca-Cola's Bull Run Intensifies: Pole & Flag Breakout Expected!The chart shows that the stock price encountered resistance near the $65 level, subsequently dropping to $52, where it found support.
After rebounding from this support, the price began to rise, successfully breaking through the Inverted Head & Shoulders pattern that had formed during the consolidation phase.
Following this breakout, the price entered another consolidation period, created an Ascending Triangle Pattern.
With another breakout, the stock price surged to an all-time high of $73.5 before experiencing a pullback.
A bullish Pole & Flag pattern has emerged on the chart, signaling a potential continuation of the upward trend.
It is expected that the price will break through this pattern and reach new highs in the near future.