Nasdaq 100 Hits Yearly Low, Led by NVDA DeclineNasdaq 100 Hits Yearly Low, Led by NVDA Decline
The Nasdaq 100 (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen) has fallen below 20,500 for the first time since November 2024.
Bearish sentiment driven by:
→ The latest US jobless claims report, which showed the highest figures of 2025.
→ Concerns over the destabilising and economically damaging potential of Donald Trump’s trade policies.
Nvidia (NVDA) Among the Biggest Losers
While the Nasdaq 100 lost over 2.5% in yesterday’s session, Nvidia (NVDA) shares plunged nearly 8% despite a stronger-than-expected quarterly report, as we noted yesterday.
Technical Analysis of the Nasdaq 100 (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen)
The ongoing decline has resulted in a bearish breakout of the trendline (marked in blue) that originated in 2024. Based on key reversals (highlighted with red circles), the chart now outlines a descending channel. An attempted breakout (indicated by an arrow) failed, forming a bearish Rounding Top pattern.
If bearish sentiment prevails—especially with focus on inflation data, as the Core PCE Price Index is set to be released today at 16:30 GMT+3—Nasdaq 100 (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen) may drop further towards the lower boundary of the descending channel.
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Ustech100
NASDAQ ENTRY ON THE FLOOR?! 4H chart Sep-Feb 27.2.25Simple up-trend with a recent confirmation of support.
September24 to Feb 25 is consistent and predictable with an average 7 to 11% rise from the support within a time frame of up to 6 weeks.
If the price closes a 4h candle below the line (20,850) - Up-trend will be broken, as long as the price keeps above, aiming for $800-$1500 swing trade up can be very profitable.
Make logical, consistent decisions based on an overall plan with risk management as top priority.
NSDQ100 INTRADAY support retestThe NSDQ (USTec) index pair price action sentiment appears bullish, supported by the longer-term prevailing uptrend. The recent intraday price action appears to be a corrective pullback after reaching the all-time high.
The key trading level is at 21230 level, the consolidation price range and also the support trendline zone. A corrective pullback from the current levels and a bullish bounce back from the 21230 level could target the upside resistance at 21815 followed by the 21890 and 22033 levels over the longer timeframe.
Alternatively, a confirmed loss of the 21230 support and a daily close below that level would negate the bullish outlook opening the way for a further retracement and a retest of the 21170 support level followed by 21050.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
NSDQ100 drops on weaker than expected economic dataThe NSDQ (USTec) index pair price action sentiment appears bullish, supported by the longer-term prevailing uptrend. The recent intraday price action appears to be a corrective pullback after reaching the all-time high.
The key trading level is at 21290 level, the consolidation price range and also the previous resistance is now a newly formed support zone. A corrective pullback from the current levels and a bullish bounce back from the 21290 level could target the upside resistance at 21890 followed by the 22090 and 22260 levels over the longer timeframe.
Alternatively, a confirmed loss of the 21290 support and a daily close below that level would negate the bullish outlook opening the way for a further retracement and a retest of the 21045 support level followed by 21680.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
NSDQ100 INTRADAY Bullish Flag breakout The NSDQ (USTec) index pair price action sentiment appears bullish, supported by the longer-term prevailing uptrend. The recent intraday price action appears to be a sideways consolidation after reaching the intraday all time high.
The key trading level is at the 21890 level, the consolidation price range and also the previous resistance is now a newly formed support zone. A corrective pullback from the current levels and a bullish bounce back from the 21890 level could target the upside resistance at 22373 followed by the 22500 and 22620 levels over the longer timeframe.
Alternatively, a confirmed loss of the 21890 support and a daily close below that level would negate the bullish outlook opening the way for a further retracement and a retest of 21770 support level followed by 21640.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
NSDQ Uptrend supported at 21840The NSDQ100 (USTec) price action sentiment appears bullish, supported by the longer-term prevailing uptrend. The recent intraday price action appears to be a bullish breakout.
The key trading level is at 21840 level, previous resistance now newly formed support. A corrective pullback from the current levels and a bullish bounce back from the 21840 level could target the upside resistance at 22250 followed by the 22500 and 22620 levels over the longer timeframe.
Alternatively, a confirmed loss of the 21840 support and a daily close below that level would negate the bullish outlook opening the way for a further retracement and a retest of 21640 support level followed by 21420.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
NSDQ100 INTRADAY bullish breakout at 21815The NSDQ100 (USTec) price action sentiment appears bullish, supported by the longer-term prevailing uptrend. The recent intraday price action appears to be a bullish breakout.
The key trading level is at 21815 level, previous resistance now newly formed support. A corrective pullback from the current levels and a bullish bounce back from the 21815 level could target the upside resistance at 21950 followed by the 22132 and 22420 levels over the longer timeframe.
Alternatively, a confirmed loss of the 21815 support and a daily close below that level would negate the bullish outlook opening the way for a further retracement and a retest of 21400 support level followed by 21240.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
NSDQ100 Consolidation capped at 21820 levelThe NSDQ100 (USTec) index price action sentiment appears bullish, supported by the longer-term prevailing uptrend. However, since reaching an all-time high on 24th December 2024 the NSDQ100 index price action is consolidating in a sideways trading range.
The key trading level is at 21400, which is the current swing low. A corrective pullback from the current levels and a bullish bounce back from the 21400 level could target the upside resistance at 21820 followed by the 21950 and 22130 levels over the longer timeframe.
Alternatively, a confirmed loss of 21400 support and a daily close below that level would negate the bullish outlook opening the way for a further retracement and a retest of 21240 support level followed by 21940.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Nasdaq 100 Hovering Near Weekly Highs in a Volatile WeekNasdaq 100 Hovering Near Weekly Highs in a Volatile Week
As shown on the 4-hour chart of the Nasdaq 100 (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen), the index stood around the 21,600 level this morning, near the weekly high that formed at Monday’s open.
This suggests that the tech-stock index has almost fully recovered from the decline triggered by the launch of AI from the Chinese startup DeepSeek. According to media reports:
→ Experts have pointed to signs that the Chinese startup used a technique known as “distillation” – in simple terms, this means that DeepSeek’s model extracted knowledge from more advanced models such as ChatGPT. In other words, this is not about innovation but rather an unfair practice.
→ Nassim Taleb believes that the sharp drop in NVDA shares is only the beginning of a potential market downturn inflated by AI-driven expectations. Further declines could be more significant than what we witnessed on Monday.
Apart from news surrounding DeepSeek, traders were also focused on earnings reports from major corporations (which we will cover in detail in separate articles):
→ Tesla (TSLA) is holding above $400 in pre-market trading today, despite earnings per share falling short of expectations. Meanwhile, company executives believe that Trump’s policies could negatively impact Tesla’s operations.
→ Microsoft (MSFT) shares fell by more than 4%, Meta Platforms (META) surpassed $700 per share in post-market trading for the first time, and IBM surged by approximately 9%.
Additionally, the fundamental backdrop became even more eventful following yesterday’s Fed updates, which, however, contained no surprises:
→ As expected, interest rates remained unchanged.
→ According to The Wall Street Journal, the Fed has entered a “Wait-and-See” phase, showing less confidence that inflation will continue to decline.
The Nasdaq 100 (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen) chart reveals that the price:
→ Tested a key support line (marked in blue) at the weekly low.
→ Remains within the red descending channel.
From a bullish perspective, the red channel can be seen as a large-scale correction within the broader uptrend on higher timeframes.
From a bearish perspective, the bearish gap that formed at Monday’s open may act as resistance. Whether bulls will be able to overcome this barrier in the near term will depend, among other factors, on the next batch of earnings reports from major tech companies.
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Nasdaq 100: Bearish Signals Amid Increased VolatilityNasdaq 100: Bearish Signals Amid Increased Volatility
As revealed by the technical analysis of the 4-hour Nasdaq 100 chart (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen), the ATR indicator has been above 125 since the start of 2025, in contrast to late 2024 when it was mostly below this level. This reflects heightened volatility in the US stock market due to:
→ Trump’s inauguration: The president has already signed an executive order withdrawing the US from the World Health Organization. Market participants anticipate further decisions in the near future that could significantly impact the nation’s economy.
→ Earnings season: Companies are releasing reports, prompting analysts to revise forecasts. For instance, a Jefferies analyst downgraded Apple’s (AAPL) stock rating and lowered the price target from $211 to $200, citing potentially weak revenue figures. Apple’s quarterly report is due on 30 January.
On the Nasdaq 100 chart (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen), a bearish move (indicated by the arrow) is notable for:
→ Indicating that the median line of the ascending channel has turned into resistance;
→ Suggesting that the apparent bullish breakout above the upper red line now seems to be a false breakout.
The long lower wick on the far-right bearish candle points to strong demand around the 21,300 level. However, will buyers remain active if Trump’s actions and corporate earnings reports increase risks for them?
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.