The Japanese yen has stemmed a 3-day slide, in which it declined around 1.5% against the US dollar. In the European session, USD/JPY is trading at 149.31, down 0.23%. In the US, third estimate GDP for the second quarter is expected to be revised lower to 2.1%. Japan will release Tokyo Core CPI on Friday. The core rate, a key inflation gauge, is expected to ease...
US yields are coming higher once again and looks like new high can show up soon, and this is something that is drving the USD higher. Even stocks are coming down this morning, cannot handle the USD strenght anymore so it appears that we ahve some risk-off flows at the moment which can last a few more sessions. The elliott wave A-B-C rally on SP500, NASDAQ100 and...
US10Y remains in an established uptrend on the daily chart, and Friday's bullish engulfing candle suggests a swing low has formed and more gains are to follow. But having looked back at price action since the April low, we note that prices are yet to break the low of a bullish engulfing candle if it has formed after a pullback or period of consolidation....
1. Gold has reached Daily supply zone 1957-73 2. 1960 is also the lower end of long term Weekly supply zone. 3. Gold is also near the top of the descending channel from May 2023 high 1981.82 4. Fall in DXY and drops in US yields did not lead to growth in Gold today. Sell in the 1957-1973 supply zone for : Short term targets - 1925/1912/1902 Medium term target -...
🔆MULTI-TIME FRAME TOP-DOWN ANALYSIS OVERVIEW☀️ 1:✨Eagle eye: Since 1987, the market has been continuously declining, reaching its valid low in 2020 and confirming the lows in 2022. This is the first valid low in 35 years. 2:📆Monthly: The market is undergoing a change of character from bearish to bullish after 35 years. However, the high has not been confirmed...
I've been loading on these like crazy, all day long. Yields have peaked, by any measure. Also, the inevitable - continuous - U$D buying can't help but push these higher. The Yuan/Rubble based trade, while present, is miniscule and capital isn't exactly flowing into mainland China. No one trusts the Chinese and the Russo-Chinese alliance is about as stable as a...
The Canadian dollar is trading close to a two-month low, as the currency remains under pressure. USD/CAD is trading at 1.3646 in the European session, up 0.34%. Canada releases GDP later today, and the markets are projecting a modest 0.4% q/q for the first quarter, after flatlining in Q4 2022. On an annualized basis, GDP is expected to jump by 2.5%, after...
GBP/USD is trading quietly at 1.2423, down 0.11% on the day. UK inflation has been a thorn in the side of the Bank of England for months and is still above 10%. The UK releases the April inflation report on Wednesday and relief may finally have arrived. Headline CPI is expected to fall from 10.1% all the way to 8.3% y/y. That would be welcome news, but core CPI,...
We have a convergence of levels around the 4.19/4.20 zone of the chart, it is a long term double Fibonacci retracement and represents significant lows seen in 1998 and 2001. Will be quite interested to see if the market pauses here in order to consolidate sharp gains that have been pretty relentless since August. Disclaimer: The information posted on Trading...
In today's video I will look into a detail analysis of USDMXN, which is doing quite well compared to the strong USD Index. So my assumption is that when USd index will hit resistance, possibly after the 10 year US notes completed the current fifht wave up, the USDMXN can easily break through the support and will be targeting Feb 2020 pandemic low. Crude oil is...
It has been a volatile day for the pound. GBP/USD started the day with losses but has reversed directions and posted strong gains in the North American session. GBP/USD is trading at 1.0799, up 0.61%. The new Truss government has started off on the left foot, sending the pound to a record low in the process. The trouble began on Friday, as Chancellor Kwarteng's...
if last high not break we must see new downtrend on 10year yield so gold and many markets must go up let wait 2 week and see
We're looking at the US Government 10-year Treasury yield again and this time we're going back in time multiple decades to see the significance of where we are right now. High stakes area, to say the least.
Cup and handle pattern = Bullish signal + Fractal backbone support! Target: Upper Trendline. Upper top consolidation --> Room for Equity melt-up rally. ETA: H1 2023. Recession by Q1 '24 at latest.
Looks like rates should be rising, I'm sure the overnight REPO/reverse REPO from the FED is fueling it.
Fed's Kaplan noted that they are watching Delta variant, and says he may need to adjust view regarding tapering. This is very important for speculators who were recently betting on the USD as this can limit the USD strenght if it proves correct. In such situation traders may turn back to gold where price recovered back to $1800 and even erased all of the...
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... Feel free to come up with your own preferred narrative. Here is the the Original Post; This current post; is generally just a cleaned up version of the original.