Ensure you hedge your trades and know your maximum loss and profit, especially if you have limited funds to dollar cost average or are trading options. For informational and educational purposes only, I prefer buying laddered call options on UVIX (1.5x), VXX (1x), and UVXY (2x) at sub-$13 levels over 2-4 weeks that align with my long "risk on" call expirations....
50 DMA should easily cross the 200 DMA if Iran will retaliate and it looks like they are set to do so. Can't stand politics, but we have to respect the pillars in order: Macro, Fundamental and finally Technicals,
Dowbt Im only one who is front running reversal unjustified market rally with no earning proof driven by inflation that is diminishing no longer supporting earnings JPM'a theory basically mid this pas year but he was correct but too early to the earnings crash party! Now that Dem's fiscal punch bowl is nearly empty adding 7 trillion to national debt in less than a...
I will reiterate again, as I have in my past posts, notably: Nasdaq NQ - A Fundamental and Technical Warning Signal That if you are bullish on US equities into the future and want to see a healthy economy into '24 and '25, you DO NOT want to see a new all time high to be set yet. Instead, you want a correction. A major correction is just that: a...
DIA daily went to a sell, waiting for price action to approach the P.O.M.O Position of maximum opportunity on DIA. With such a nice risk reward why not. My idea would be to play it via SDOW This short is riskier, Vix 1hr and 15min are R/R. DIA and SPY 1hrs went green. You just want to note the daily went to sell on DIA, waiting for it to retrace up to the pomo'y...
RSI has fallen back under 70 & ADX is rising. Selling could become a STRONG TREND as the dollar rebounds with rising yields. Expecting a $VIX spike to occur if $DXY continues upward. Staying HEDGED for the DEBT BUBBLE implosion with $UVIX $UVXY $HDGE $TZA
Bulls are being baited into "the new bull market" theory as consumer DEBT is at all time highs with rates at extremely high levels AND STILL RISING. Layoffs are picking up and the debt will become unserviceable leading to defaults. Call writers are raking in profits as naive "investors" GAMBLE their life savings on call options. The desire for "instant...
Every time RSI has reached the 30 level it has bounced aggressively. With the recent fall of #kingdollar, stocks & crypto spike, & $VIX crush, I expect a REVERSAL PATTERN with a SURGE IN VOLATILITY. If margin calls get triggered we could see a MASSIVE WATERFALL SELLOFF in RISK "assets". Protect your #kingdollar. HEDGED with for CRISIS with $UVIX $UVXY. GL.
Treasury yield is the effective annual interest rate that the U.S. government pays on one of its debt obligations, expressed as a percentage. Put another way, Treasury yield is the annual return investors can expect from holding a U.S. government security with a given maturity. Treasury yields don't just affect how much the government pays to borrow and how much...
The weekly ADX indicator is sitting at 8 (NO TREND) at the same time VVIX reached it's lowest value since March 2017. EXTREME COMPLACENCY can be presumed. A market without fear is DANGEROUS. Either markets continue higher in the face of continuing rate hikes & QT or markets SELLOFF & VIX spikes catching everyone offsides. I go with the latter. Expecting VVIX...
The ADX indicator was rising from 15 (weak trend) to 35 (strong trend) since March 2022 before a recent decline. As the dollar has lost its strength, the ADX rolled over along with RSI. I believe the Dollar will find support here and begin another uptrend. Potentially a violent upswing as the Fed HAS NOT PIVOTED and continues to tighten financial conditions...
VVIX was trapped in a trading range for 12 weeks. It finally managed to break out last Friday portending higher prices for VIX. It is quite possible that it will retest the 95.5 level before confirming the uptrend.
I anticipate a massive volatility spike as Crypto and meme stonks implode throughout these long lasting rate hikes and QT. Hedging Long UVXY and UVIX shares with call options.
New all-time high means time to consider shorting the market especially there is so much gap between fundamental and equity. Usually, this is the time when institutions and big banks take their profit and dump all the leftovers to retail. VIX will be a good hedge to an unexpected fall in the market. UVIX recently got out of the falling wedge, which can be a...