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UVXY

[UVXY] Micorcosm Analysis: New Upchannel + We Got Our Breakout!Ok guys, yesterday we had a bit of a split decision with a bullish sentiment. Today looked like it was gonna eviscerate short positions but lo and behold UVXY and VVIX and the Volatility Ratio all bounced off their long term horizontal supports. After Price briefly tested and even pierced the white S/R it rejected and bounced as expected and ended exactly right back into our horizontal support channel well above it. This is the first long green candle we've gotten in weeks and the first to break entirely out of the local downchannel. Anytime today could have been a great entry, especially while it was around white as we knew it would very likely reject Price. Next entry confirms (for a higher confidence entry) would be staying above yellow uptrend channel and a close above the blue support channel.
CBOE:UVXYLong
by ProfitHarvest
3
[UVXY] Heiken Ashi Signaling Upward Breakout.. Candles Disagree!Looks like we're on the fence between normal candles and Heiken Ashi. As we did get our close above the yellow uptrend, could be a decent entry point. We also got wide BUY entry window, LL, SB and LB, all pretty bullish here as additional signals. Will keep an eye tomorrow for a good possible entry. Would like to see Price hang above the uptrend a bit, maybe even put a little distance and get an additional confirm from the normal candles too. If that happens, we're likely in store for a small spike end of this week or next week. Liquidity will limit any upside, hence the small TPs (gold lines).
CBOE:UVXYLong
by ProfitHarvest
[UVXY] Volatility Matrix: Firing On All Cylinders.. 2W Forecast!My Volatility Matrix model is indicating high odds of an incoming volatility spike. We're lookin for a confirm with break and close above the yellow line. Meanwhile we have this cool data supporting a high chance of volatility: 1. UVXY: 1 x LB, 9 x Entry Window, 2 x SBs straddling 1 x SS, 1 x LL (Very Bullish) 2. VIX: 1 x LB, 1 x SB, 2 x LL (Very Bullish) 3. VVIX: 1 x LB, 2 x SBs straddling 1 x SS, 1 x LL opposing 1 x HH (Bullish) 4. VXN: 1 x LB canceled by LS, 2 x SBs straddling 1 x SS, 2 x LLs (Slightly Bullish) We will most likely hit one if not, both TPs (gold lines) within the next two weeks. Purple line will almost certainly reject Price strongly being the core 6 month S/R and push it into another falling wedge leading up to another bigger volatility spike as that wedge gets tighter and tighter against the medium strength white horizontal S/R. However, if it does get above, expect very quick retracement, can be used as a 3rd TP. Happy harvests! B)
CBOE:UVXYLong
by ProfitHarvest
4
[UVXY] Mapping the Price Framework... Now w/ TPs!Price got caught at the blue horizontal minor trend right above the much stronger green and white major trends. Still would like to see a breakout and hold above the yellow wedge to confirm the trade but assuming it does, $21.70 and $22.70 are great TPs. Given high market liquidity, I do not anticipate this going much higher for the next spike around EOM but if it did, it'd be stopped by the purple core trend. We'll see it drop back down after that and close in on the white line again (it will likely hold) until early October where liquidity should be much lower than now and we'll see a more volatile HH spike as it breaks above the purple core tend.
CBOE:UVXYLong
by ProfitHarvest
1
VIX compressionThe vix has a history of forming explosive price wedges. It wouldn't be a stretch of the imagination to say we're forming a new wedge here. Also, I suspect that we're on the verge of a new upward wave in volatility from here- it might just be a lower high in a new wedge. The market has gotten way ahead of itself and there are just too many new traders piling into popular stocks. They are fish in a barrel and the cork is about to get pulled. The sentiment is absurd and we now have some of the lowest put:call ratio's I've seen in my years of trading (shorts squeezed out). I'm hoping for the market to retrace 50% of the last fed rally but I would be thrilled to see lower lows by Nov-Dec. Take a look at the other chart below on VIX weekly timeframe and notice the very clear cycle lows/highs with the sine wave on stoch/rsi indicator.. We're very close!
TVC:VIX
by gghsusa
12
[UVXY] Volatility Matrix Prediction Strategy... Data is $$$!Last time we got a volatility spike we had this signal sequence: June 3rd: LL VVIX June 5th: Small Buy VVIX, LL UVXY/VIX/VXN (4 x LL, 1 x SB) June 9th: SB VXN, Large Buy VVIX, SB VIX (4 x LL, 2 x SB, 1 x LB - enough signals at all levels, possible entry confirm) June 10th: SB UVXY (add'l confirm) June 11th: LB UVXY (your money is probably good) June 12th: HH UVXY/VXN/VVIX June 13th: HH VIX What we got now indicates that we're not going to see any volatility spike in the next few days (at least aside from our Buy Entry Window for UVXY but that Small Sell kinda ruins it). If we keep an eye and collect enough signals though it could give us everything we need to jump in right before a spike. Signal Stages Weak/Start: LL Strong/Entry Confirm: SB Strongest/Entry Confirm: LB Keep in mind any Small or Large Sell in between would cancel out the previous Buys. I'll keep you guys posted! B) Shoutout to @itsallsotiresome for the VVIX and VXN education and @avacamir for the indicators.
CBOE:UVXYLong
by ProfitHarvest
10
Indicators for UVXYThis is the UVXY at the hourly. I think I found indicators that help predict a VIX bull day. 1) The purple lines on the chart are the Bollinger Bands set at the daily scale. 2) Middle indicator is the Divergence Indicator. It's the RSI, but helps identify divergences with RSI. 3) Bottom indicator is the MACD Divergence Indicator. Essentially, if the UVXY is or near oversold and has a bullish divergence (RSI or MACD), then a bull run happens shortly after. Whenever the UVXY touches/breaks the lower daily Bollinger Band, a bull run won't be that far away. If this can be mastered with identifying wedge patterns, then you can make serious profits from volatility trading.
CBOE:UVXYLong
by Itsallsotiresome
2
How to trade UVXY - TVIX - VIX Volatility FuturesHow to trade UVXY and other VIX volatility financial instruments - Look at the 1h chart. - Once the RSI crosses 30, wait 3 days for confirmation before buying UVXY. - Monitor the markets. - You want S&P500 to be overbought. Conditions before buying UVXY: - RSI has crossed 30 and is in a downward trend - MACD descending gap is forming and widening - Buy when the two lines cross on the MACD after the gap - Increase in volume Sell after 2-3 days In the example on the chart, you missed out on 44% and 66% profit! You won't miss out next time all the conditions are met! I hope you enjoy my trading guide and will test it in the future! Let me know your results!
CBOE:UVXYEducation
by brian7683
8
[RIP TVIX] Credit Suisse Gives 9 Day Market Shutdown Notice! :(Fckin unbelievable, this shit should be illegal. 9 days notice... what in the actual fck! Here's the news for those unaware: www.prnewswire.com I've poured countless hours into triangulating my play here over the past month and they just burn it all to the ground by bailing right when they know it's gonna get super juiced. What a consistency and reliability Credit Suisse, my god. I'm scrambling to figure out what this all means but as a knee jerk reaction here's where I'm at... 1. It should continue to perform as normal, if market goes down, price goes up. The problem is that we now have a 9 day deadline instead of being able to be patient and wait till we get our spike. You apparently "may" be able to trade OTC after the delisting but they have the right to totaly fck you if they want and are making nothing certain here. I will not be participating in that mess. 2. The Fed also noted it'll prop the market through the 13th which I have to assume played into Credit Suisse's July 2nd (Nasdaq) and July 11th (NYSE) delistings. 3. Invesco's UVXY is my next best bet here. 4. I liquidated 20% of my TVIX shares today and put into UVXY. It's not a fckin Panic FOMO play anymore, just a pure risk management play, timeline way too fckin short here and I can't keep 1/3rd of my portfolio exposed that much with this new reality. 5. I'd be happy to break even at this point but do hope to hold out and liquidate the rest of the shares at a small profit on some spike this week. Otherwise I'll just gradually exit and immediately rebuy UVXY so my my net short position is essentially unchanged. Just increasingly less TVIX exposure. 6. I will not be holding much if any through this weekend. 7. Everything I liquidate goes directly to UVXY for now. I haven't even pumped an analysis on it yet but it was my best performer after TVIX and actually got in the money more quickly than TVIX and stayed in the money better (I bought at same time). Little less upside potential but still really solid. 8. All bets are off... every man for himself... good luck all! I'm tagging all my TVIX ideas as a memorial and would like to leave you with my OG idea from May 20th... TVIX How to Profit from Volatility and the Next Crash Bye bye TVIX... you will be missed :(. Survival requires adaptation. Start adapting.
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by ProfitHarvest
49