UVXY
Volatility - Green Line.This is how the next level collapse would look in the UVXY Volatilty derivative. The SP500 is pretty much inverse of this.
Each movement propagates and grows as the crashes become increasingly volatile, as the historic inflationary levels of the entire market begin to collapse.
Good Luck, God Speed, Love & Light to all!
UVXY 4hr Bull FlagI sold in May and went away... It worked. I am back and charting part time until the weather chills more, then full time. The UVXY is potentially playing out a bull flag with good momentum potential to the upside (stoch rsi being low and moving up). We have clear stair stepping action as you zoom out. Not financial advice. Blessings!
Good Evening, Volatility.I once read a post on here suggesting that the vix was “un-charitable” due to its perpetually declining nature… or some complexity like that.
Ever since then, its been my favorite :)
Looks ke we have some options for a pretty big jump… and also some that show more strength in the SPX short term.
Good Luck, God Speed, Love & Light to all :)
SPY UVXY SHORT SALE VOLUME and PMIsShort sale Volume seen spiking on UVXY.
Data releases today from Chicago Fed showing Economic activity Index slowdown: actual 0 versus consesnus 0.24, prior 0.29; and Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index miss: -17.2 versus consensus -5 and prior -12.9.
Dow Jones Industrial Average made yearly lows late last week and again today as it lingers at low 29K. Nasdaq and SPX lingering at their June/yearly lows.
***Please note: Projections shown with yellow dashed arrows are merely conceptual/quizzical, and not intended as an "idea" or a "call" of what's to come. Just observations, and considerations of possibilities.
BULL TRAP BEAR MARKET BULL RUN WATCHING UVXYAMEX:UVXY
UVXY is known to watch greed and fear while rising on fear.
Federal minutes release is tomorrow; in the meanwhile this late afternoon
the indices and the ETFs that track them printed bearish engulfing candles
taking away as much as 1% in moments- this may be a fear escalation process.
To capitalize on this I took call options on UVXY with an expiration on this Friday.
UVXY is 3 the YTD low. SMAs 50, 100 and 200 are above. as target candidates.
Horizontal resistances are drawn. Time will tell. Looks good right now.
UVXY Speculative Long ( Buy Low Sell High)AMEX:UVXY
My UVXY is that fear and volatility will rise after the Powell speech
from Jackson Hole WY tomorrow. Accordingly, I expect UVXY
to reverse its current downtrend while the S & P and NASDAQ
slowly rise
Accordingly, I will buy the $9.50 strike call options expiring
September 2nd now priced at 35 cents er each or $35.00 for
one contract. I expect a good profit targeting Monday the
29th to close the position.
$UVXY decent setup 👁🗨*This is not financial advice, so trade at your own risks*
*My team digs deep and finds stocks that are expected to perform well based off multiple confluences*
*Experienced traders understand the uphill battle in timing the market, so instead my team focuses mainly on risk management*
Entry: $9.11
Take Profit: $11 (+20.7%)
Stop Loss: $8.70 (-4.5%)
*Stop loss is automatic*
If you want to see more, please like and follow us @SimplyShowMeTheMoney
VIX UVXY Reversal PatternQQQ SPY and the indices all had late afternoon Bearish Engulfing Candles Tuesday afternoon before the Fed Minutes release
I have charted the VIX as a ratio with SPY. IA down trend is persistent.
The ratio is at the lowest seen. However, RSI divergence with a slight increase in relative strength
as well as a dropping score on the Choppiness indicator both point to a reversal.
I will play this with call options on the UVXY ETF expiring on September 19th hoping to 2X the trade with
little given that the macros will hold up or raise UVXY as a bear market rally may stagnate or burn out.
What is your option?
SPX - Volatility & Divergence Good (middle of the night) to you!
I am exploring this massive structural divergence between the RSI Indicator and the UVXY.
Generally, these divergent patterns signal a reversal… and this is on a long enough range that it is implying a reversal from the bull rally of the SPX, which would result in a a bearish continuation pattern for the SPX.
Good Luck, God Speed, Love & Light to All!
i do think the vix is going to bounce, but not yeti think the vix will have to sink before it gets the rebound that it seems destined for. ive marked out a couple scenarios. if we climb above pivot i would look for upper horizontals and one of the green scenarios yo play out. if we remain beneath it id look for one of the red scenarios and lower horizontals.
UVXY and ETF ShortIt's high time we accept the new reality of the inverted reality. The week of July 25th was perhaps one of the most volatile in a long time. Why? We had CPI report, earnings, and Fed Rate Hike.
What did volatility indecies like UVXY do? They sold off. It doesn't take too much logic and common sense to see something egregiously fraudulent is taking place when companies miss earnings, and their stock price rally. Or, in the grander scheme of things, horrible economic data sends markets rallying.
At this point, the market has become a literal casino gambling machine with luck, not technical analysis, economic data, geopolitical issues, trends, patterns having ANY influence. It's simply a yes or no by someone or some people at the top who dictates the move of the market.
I believe now that retail investors are at their smallest ownership of equities, the volatility index and ETFs like UVXY no longer really apply. Why? Institutions, computers, and algorithms can not panic or feel fear, only retail investors aka human aspect can. This is why you no longer see significant sell offs when there is bad news like a possible Taiwan invasion or conflict with the US.
So in conclusion, at this point, its best to get calls on pretty much anything. AMC, BBBY, Apple and others go up without reason. BestBuy stated they would see losses in Q3, and that rallied their stock. Nothing can bring this market down, so I wouldn't even be scared about getting calls, investing and waiting as your portfolio grows even in the worst of it. Perhaps actual WWIII would send markets to new record highs.
Short the volatility ETFs, UVXY, SQQQ, SDOW, SPXS, misc.. because they're destined to collapsed even if the world was on fire and there were 50% unemployment. I think the stock market is everyone's financial safety with no risks of losing money at this point.
playing a dangerous game with vixthe vix, vx1! and s&p500 volatility index is making its rounds around a pivot price. if we cross above that and trama i would look for a test of sss moving average and upperhorizontals. if we staybeneath pivot and trama i wouldlook for continued weakness and lower horizontals. uvxy is the instrument to play.
30 days of chop.my main target of 4300 has been hit.
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exactly 30 days from today, a majority of all of the puts in this market will expire worthless.
there is tens of millions of far otm contracts across the board.
majority of the stonk market is apparently short 👀.
majority of the market also tends to be wrong, every single time.
maybe this time is different, but something tells me it's not.
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i'm theorizing the market will chop sideways for 30 straight days, to make sure all of those contracts expire worthless.
maybe it puts in another leg up after (if this turns out to be a phase of re-accumulation),
maybe it completely falls off a cliff after this ugly chop (if this turns out to be a phase of distribution),
but whatever happens - i think it will happen in exactly 30 days from today.
if you're on the short side, ponder upon what i'm saying here.
✌
vix dumpsterfire is getting taken to the landfillits been a powerful statement from bulls the way vix has been in the dumps on the weekly. if you shorted vix since early june you made out really well. the problem is that a high vix displays a market letting off steam, and the rally has been a faceripper to the upside without consolidating on the weekly. if we have some choppier action on es1!/spy treting the low of yesterday as support above a pivot price it wouldnt be unusual to see this etf 1 or 2 dollars higher, but if we crash below that price treating pivot as resistance i would wager it will thrust toward lower horizontals. all i see is downtrend, and thats why im questioning the logic of vix bears here. i wouldnt try to short this thing much further.
$VIX has peaked or is close to its peak.Since November 10th, the Stoch RSI topping out has been a reliable indicator that a short-term top is in or very close to being in (a few trading days away) and a precipitous fall is to follow.
The indicator has been right 7/7 of the last time. I believe the trend will continue and go 8/8.