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UVXY

VIX - Miss Mess left for Dead / Call Prems are quite Large The VX Complex comes under duress during Wall Streets Summer Fun Run. Buying is an unprofitable game. UVXY / VXX / SVXY is an assured loss. When UVXY was trading over 11, I warned one trader off the Calls prior to the plunge, suggesting it would trade to 9.09 and likely knife right through it. Tis the season for the Crims to run the table - even collaring the Markets bleeds it out. Buying into Roll from AUG to SEP (M1 to M2) is a loser 86.3% of the time on Any and ALL Rolls, it's quite simple. Don't buy ahead of Settlement on the third Tuesday @ 4 PM EST of every Month unless the VIX is in an uptrend. Even then - it's a lower probability as IF there is Roll Yield the Continuous Contract will need to close the Gap left below... it is basic VIX 101 Trading. We can see that the Roll Yield is significant @ 240 Bips you are giving away on the VIG. Why in the f_ck would you do that? The sane thing to do is this - Look out the Curve on the Term Structure and begin buying out the Curve then moving inward as Contango begins to move into far lower PREM. In SUM you are gambling on 13.3% odds in your favor... Unimpressive at best. It gets worse, the structured POS Products - SVXY UVXY VXX - get train wrecked by the Contango as 100% of SEP is 96% of the VXX on Wednesday... and it is bled out to OCT every day at a little less than 4%... with a Gap Below.... which normally fills this time of year. Here's the exclamation point: Trust VIX Short-Term Futures ETF (VIXY) - 13.44 -0.17 / Another total POS ETF where traders are subjective to Theft. It IS SOH Time. Here is VX Term Structure and Curve - you may follow it yourselves @ VixCentral.com __________________________________________________________________________ % Contango: M1 11.35% - AUG M2 7.01% - SEP M3 3.61% - OCT M4 0.92% - NOV M5 4.36% - DEC M6 0.44% - JAN M7 0.11% - FEB ___________________________________________________________________________ Wall Street and Money Center Banks know the Equity Rally SLOMO/MOMO and now FOMO off June 16th Lows is a complete fraud. We see this in the Curves Optionally for the CBOE Volatility Index ($VIX) @ 19.53 -0.67 (-3.32%) Now, pay close attention to what those in know... know. ___________________________________________________________________________ 12/21/2022 VIX Calls - 131 Days to expiration on 2022-12-21 20 @ 7.10 21 @ 6.40 22 @ 6.00 23 @ 5.50 24 @ 5.10 25 @ 4.70 26 @ 4.35 27 @ 4.00 28 @ 3.80 29 @ 3.50 You are buying a $20 VIX Call for $27.00... if yer dumb enough to do so. No, you are not, you buy the Micro VIX VXM out the curve spreading your Risk on TIME. No need to pay a Wall Street Goon huge cheddar for VX participation, ever. Never, ever do this... cuz UVXY SVXY VXX do. Let the ETFs bag hold toxic spreads. YOU DO NOT. This is precisely why these ETFs spend 86% of their lives in a downtrend reverse split after reverse Split. Had you bought 1 Share of UVXY Reverse Split adjusted when it began trading... you would have paid $1,000,000. It is the same with SOXS SDOW and all the rest of these underperforming and Very Toxic Inverse ETFs. The Markets can trade sideways for weeks... they will continue lower due to their Derivative components. VTS - Brent Osachoff on YouTube has a great deal of educational videos to bring you up to speed, feel free to ask questions here after you've done yourself the EDU - is vital to your success. Knowing when to strike and when to do absolutely nothing. I hate to see people robbed by the House who has it entirely rigged against you.
TVC:VIX
by HK_L61
15
UVXY. P-Modeling Pt X.1. Transmutation of Kinetic Energy Welcome Hyperspace Travelers, This is a Time-Series Analysis at the 30 Minute Timeframe for UVXY. This is a perspective model to show potential movements based on some constructs I have developed. It is for my record and your lurking only. This Model is strictly for personal research purposes. It will serve you no purpose other than to simply stay curious to my time-series postings. Look Closely. What do you see? I am most likely wrong but... Follow at your own risk. What is Kinetic Energy? It is a stored pool of energy from decay functions of inverse volatility derivatives of pegged mother indexes. The case here is UVXY > VIX > SPX.SPY. | USD. \\ UVXY being a second order. VIX being a first order. SPX being a mother analog. Volatility is a function of volume of mass over timeframe divided by pressure squared by velocity against binary derivative net weight of covariate pool A, B, C, D and E.. Binary arrangement has slope increase of decay over phases, leading to inverse decay function. The stepping box mechanic, collapses leading to absorbed decay against the nestled binary covariate pool. The binary ecosystem is closed with only one trigger, a 1.1 criticality of Net 0 leading to unstable arrangements of collapsed functions against the entire string. Release of energy is a domino effect of collapsing arrangements against their compressed matrix cells at various timeframes. I have demonstrated the stepping wavefunction in my VIX idea. Mapping of the stepping function is directly unique to its timeframe, linear binary ladder, and cyclic phases. Compression occurs at each frame in order to appease an arrangement matrix cube which functions similar to a blocking-chain, but the matrix phase is geometrically a triangle, not a square. The instability of the arrangements after achieving a NET 0 criticality leads to macro collapse, leading to a dissolution of the matrix chain, in a successive cascade guided by the binary ecosystems primary mapping. Standard deviation levels are used as topographic marking points for the unfolding of matrix cells at the timeframe they were compression across the entire string. "It always reverts to the Mean Reversion". Harmonic stringing is used to guide cyclic functions of phase, fib levels, ghost mapping, and step compression arrangements. Harmonic stringing is a byproduct of String Theory and Quantum Loop Mechanics for Information Transmutation between classical and quantum realms. What is Above What is Below What is ... ? Diagram X.3 Harmonic String 4.3x Binary Arrangement 15.\\^2b+ Catalyst: Macro Perspective. SPX: DXY: 1. 2.
CBOE:UVXYLong
by Glitch420
40
UVXY. S-Modeling Pt 2. The Illusive Path of Cajun Mechanics Welcome to the 4th Industrial Revolution Hyperspace Travelers. 2022 has arrived! Keep your hands in the spaceship at all times. It is sure to be a memorable one. 2022 UVXY Macro Time-Series Active. It is time to feast on their greed. The reset will usher in the cybernetic era of advancement. SPX 850. DXY 138. UVXY 91,000+ VIX 1150+ It is the year of the Glitch. This is where legends are made. So many surprises to come. Stay tuned. Or not. This isn't for you. It's for me. *Beep Boop* Thanks for Pondering the Unknown with Me, Glitch420
CBOE:UVXYLong
by Glitch420
75
SPJGBV. S-Modeling Pt 0. Uncertainty of the Event Horizon Welcome Hyperspace Travelers. The VIX is used as a First Order of Volatility ( FOD ). The UVXY is used as a Second Order of Volatility (SOD). The root is the S&P 500 . with the guarantee we are in a recession.. as seen here: and How? No idea. I am just an observer of the system. Right? Backdoor SPJBGV. This chart explains why USD/JPY will reach 146.8, but also acts as a backdoor for both FOD and SOD. Uncontrolled Inflation: 10Y: What is failure if one is birthed from the abyss? How many times have I failed? So many I lost count.. Mastery is failure. What is one more time?... Thanks for Pondering the Unknown with Me, Glitch420
CBOE:SPJGBVLong
by Glitch420
3
VIX. K-Modeling Pt 0. Uncertainty of the Event Horizon Welcome Hyperspace Travelers. As you know by now, VIX is the First Ordered Derivative (FOD). UVXY is the Second Ordered Derivative (SOD). They take the R00T and fold its entropy into compressed cubes called kinetic energy. Folding over and over, like a fractalized spiral. Encrypted by the unknown solutions of NET=0 E. Each Fold birthing incredible power upon its unfolding event. The Event Horizon. The Black Swan of the Cosmological world. SPX: and The energy distributions are controlled by binary operators : as potentials across strings and cyclic geo-forms. These operators are controlled by networks of High Frequency Algorithms (HFT's). HFT's have the ability to network, and network they have. Stories about quantum computing are not new. As mega-wealthy corporations and black box groups fight for quantum supremacy. Something lurks beneath your feet. A world hidden in plain view. A geo-form world contained within the binary codex. I offer nothing but a glimpse into this word. The opinion of a micro n00b. We are on the cusp of a world-wide evolution in human understanding and human progression. But the field always gets leveled when the balances are tipped. For generations, the commonwealth was hinged upon unabated greed. Greed that will be redistributed over the next many generations. But for now it has peaked. And it must be corrected. Illuminate the world of the shadows, a world dedicated to the race of super computers and quant supremacy. This will not be an easy road but uncertainty is certain, as the sky is blue. What path shall we take? The one before me or before you? Or both together? I just want to show the shadows of the world beneath our feet. The lurking networks of silent persuasion. Is it worth anything but words on a page and a pretty chart? Who knows right? Do the machines know? Do the humans known? Do I know? Do you know? Who truly knowns? Nature? What is there to know, in a world of unknowns? The world is at your mercy. Emotions, suppressed. Creativity, dishonored. Opinion, ridiculed. Thoughts, indoctrinated to what should be vs what could be. Are these the types of ideologies one wants to instill in the future generations? Mistrust? Secrecy? Are we doomed by human arrogance as we attempt to flee the very planet that we call home? Unabated greed and chaos plague our world. It is time to re-distribute that money to people who will show us a new future. I want us to evolve. Not spend the next many decades at the mercy of dark pools and secret money. So be seen. To all. By all. From me to you. Can one person change the world? We all like to think so on our good days. Right? Thanks for Pondering the Unknown with Me, Glitch420
CBOE:VIXLong
by Glitch420
TSLA Technical Analysis July 26-29Today on TSLA we bounced at the 9EMA at 768.69. TSLA started trading above the 9EMA on July 14. My ZOOMOUT chart is on the 4h candles, ZOOM chart is on the 1h. Based on support and resistance, this is a rough estimate of where the trend will follow with four possible outcomes for the rest of the week. Bullish, MID/Flat, and Bearish estimates. I'm leaning towards a bullish stance for tomorrow. There were market sell offs after the last two FOMC meetings where interest rates were hiked, so be cautious of the possible bull trap. Watch the VIX, watch volume and make sure you have your entries and exits planned. Good luck.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by skyleronwallstreet
$UVXY we've been here before lol 👁‍🗨*This is not financial advice, so trade at your own risks* *My team digs deep and finds stocks that are expected to perform well based off multiple confluences* *Experienced traders understand the uphill battle in timing the market, so instead my team focuses mainly on risk management Recap: Bitcoin along with the US market should take a decent hit soon due to the continuation of strength in the dollar. Bear-Index's and the dollar appear to be where the money will be flowing during this period if this does play out. My team will be using $UVXY to make profit from this scenario next week. We've literally been here before and walked out with a 38% gain. Check the links down below for details. entry: $12.47 take profit: $17 stop loss: $11 If you want to see more, please like and follow us @SimplyShowMeTheMoney
CBOE:UVXYLong
by SimplyShowMeTheMoney
12
volatility coiling up for a spikeSVXY has printed an outside down day and this usually marks the top in inverse vix. that means vix is in for a spike as weve seen begin today. normally indices make headway when vix is at the lows, but vix has been popping with indices failing resistance pointing toward a false breakout in broader markets. if we fly higher in UVXY breaking fridays high id imagine were in for mid 13s, and if we close beneath that first lower horizontal i think were in for mid 12s.
CBOE:UVXY
by cerealpatterns
Inside days on the cash VIX are typically a reversal sign A bearish or bullish candle followed by a day were the cash VIX opens & closes within the previous days candle AND are the opposite color are typically signs of a VIX reversal. IMO the very best signals are ones where the inside day is smack in the middle (this is based upon a visual) of the previous days open/close (the green arrows on this chart). However, the black arrows also produce reliable signals. Since Sept 1, 2021 (211 trading days) there have only been 19 signals (less than 10%). With the exception of March 23, 2022, they all gave valid signals (95% of the time the signal was valid). The green arrows produced the best results but some of the black arrows also gave good signals. Some lasted 1-5 trading days while others lasted 15-30 trading days. In general, the best signals are when these inside day reversals are found at either support or resistance. Because the cash VIX is in a weekly & monthly uptrend, I am using my purple & blue lines for true support/resistance levels. The purple is the weekly open/close trend line while the blue is the monthly open/close trend line. I also always have open weekly VIX gaps on my charts as I know these eventually clear out and will act as support or resistance. As you can see today produced a black arrow and is suggesting the downside movement in the VIX will be reversed either tomorrow or perhaps in a day or two. However because we are not in an area of significant support/resistance I think the reversal will be limited to the 35 area. I do not trade UVXY but have thought about entering a short term "sell side" trade on it due to the decay factor using this signal.
TVC:VIXLong
by Vixtine
SPX - Weekend look.Hello, here are the two most likely harmonic patterns of influence for the bulls, and bears. Yellow has an initial fit in the lighter trace, transposed directly to match the recent moves, in darker yellow. Is this an indicator that the regular level behavior patterns have failed, or do we expect abrupt level shifts between regularly adjacent arguments? What's your fav color? Yellow or Purple? Comments below, and follow along for the ride!!! Good Luck, God Speed, Love & Lights tot All!
CME_MINI:ES1!
by DHLawrence
Volatility / SPX forecastHello, This pink trace is a nice spacial match for the vix, and it correlates with a nice match on the ES1 (SP500). Ill post a screen shot of that below. Here’s what is interesting to me… this pink trace came from a position of lower lows… and we just printed a higher low… hmmm. That seems up for volatility of it holds. Also…. The section of horizontal projections, breaking small support layer Jan 5th is my match for the ES1… but the pattern it just did has way higher magnitude within its level. Looks like 3 M shaped monsters flying horizontal… any how… it may be prudent to amplify the vertical scale of the projection in order to match that recent level amplitude. Follow me. Good Luck, God Speed, Love & Light to All!
CBOE:UVXY
by DHLawrence
i wouldnt try to long vix right now even if were in a bear mark volatility is doing something interesting. after a failed breakout, it has consolidated and found weekly higher lows. although this normally means were in for a huge move to the downside in broader markets i believe the timing just isnt there at the present moment. things could change overnight, but they could also change the other way just as fast, and however beat down uvxy may be right now it can always go lower next week. i dont think its unfair to stick to the 11.50 target as a rule of thumb while the s&p is showing signs that daily consolidation could lead to resuming the bounce. edit*(if we hold 11.79 closing above 13.79)edit* i will change my mind, but for now i remain bearish on vix.
CBOE:UVXYShort
by cerealpatterns
I SPY eminent danger.Reposting a previous analysis… cause the bearish forecast is still looking reeeaall sassy and good. Like whats up… I’m slightly excited by this. Also, the vix looks like it could to go bonkers! Or not… I’m just amusing myself with these puzzles… it’s an addiction. The harder the puzzle, the more dopamine i get for solving it. It can be fun to luck out betting on it too… when the odds seem super favorable… but seriously… were on the brink of ww3… what good is digital anything gonna’ be when the matrix glitches and were all left here on space ship earth, completely unprepared to be self sufficient. Do you slave away your life to live in captivity? Your on a computer… your part of the matrix. The real world is out there… Space ship earth. Find a community and homestead. Life off the life on earth. Exit the matrix. Exit capitalism. Exit consumerism. Exit Corruption. Every one of us is complicit to allowing any other human to tax your work energy via imaginary credits. I believe its past time to convert digital credits in the ponzi scheme of capitalism into tangible life sustaining assets. Exit the matrix, before it implodes! Good Luck, God Speed, Love & Light to All!
CME_MINI:ES1!Short
by DHLawrence
1
$UVXY 24 hours max! in and out 👁‍🗨*This is not financial advice, so trade at your own risks* *My team digs deep and finds stocks that are expected to perform well based off multiple confluences* *Experienced traders understand the uphill battle in timing the market, so instead my team focuses mainly on risk management My team purchased shares of Inverse ETF $UVXY this afternoon. This set-up will challenge our 1-hour chart abilities. Our first take profit is set at $18. Our take profit 2 at $20 may or may not get hit. We have also set an automatic stop-loss at $14.25. ENTRY: $15.50 TAKE PROFIT 1: $18 TAKE PROFIT 2: $20 STOP LOSS: $14.25 If you want to see more, please like and follow us @SimplyShowMeTheMoney
CBOE:UVXYLong
by SimplyShowMeTheMoney
1
vix still getting waveshigh 19s are due if we can hold above high 18s. were headed for that same resistance and if we break the quad top it will close the gap at 20.05 . short targets are lower horizontals if we cant hold high 18s and the middle line is what i think would be a good pivot. TRAMA is flatlining, and VWMA is wobbly but if we start to see red crossing above blue and trending up together i would look to the upside. 21 still possible, though as is mid 16s. the daily bounce hasnt happened in semiconductors, big tech or spx.
CBOE:UVXYLong
by cerealpatterns