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UWTI

Oil is doomed?From a purely technical perspective I think we're incredibility close to a short term bottom now, even with a lower low in the weekly it is still printing a bullish divergence in the RSI here. Currently, geopolitical factors plus the record short relative to longs position are a huge tail risk as seen today from the US EIA oil inventories (-3568K vs +1300K expected). Mainly a short covering event. Keep a lookout for some reaction once oil hits $32. It could be a huge buying opportunity for UWTI or CL1! $44 call options. Until then, the stage belong to the bears.
FX:USOILLong
by LastBattle
5
Oil drillers - way overdue for a huge bounce This is a time where all fundamentals about the oversupply of oil, glut, and worsening global economy should be ignored. It is simply so oversold that it in the near term it will vastly outperform most other assets. There's simply a limit to how low it can get before it bottoms. No, WTI (USOIL) isn't going to $20 in the near term yet. I do see a possibility of it testing $48~51 range again. Seadrill Limited (SDRL) Almost 20% away from the lows made in 2009. Price have not recover the slightest bit despite oil price recovering recently. Near term target is $9.5 range. Best of the 3 drillers and current price is a huge bargain here! I am accumulating this at current levels. Transocean LTD (RIG) Price recovered 27% from the recent lows. Not much opportunity unless you're going to hold it for over a year, a recovery to $26 is almost entirely possible. I would wait for a retest of $12 to pick this up. Diamond Offshore Drilling Inc (DO) Keep a lookout for $17~19 level for longs. I don't see much demand in this relative to SDRL and RIG yet. WTI price: ----------------------- Good luck :) and have a good trade.
NYSE:RIGLong
by LastBattle
6
Crude OIL: Burst out of the gate. What next?Well I was about 2 weeks early but the drop in oil has stopped (so far) above the previous long term low I labeled AA on the weekly long term chart of 2 weeks ago.(see link). What I thought was the bottom of the current drop turned out to be a classic 5 wave expanding triangle. I find expanding triangles often tough to recognize early as the previous highs and lows keep getting exceeded. If you are longer term bearish on oil then you may see this recent rise as just part of a dead cat bounce. But I favor a longer term bullish stance. BUT in the short term we have a strong negative reversal in the daily RSI and a potential bearish divergence in the 2 hour RSI. I would not be surprised to see one more jump up to the upper trend line of the channel I have drawn then would expect an a-b-c retesting of the recent low. If this happens it could provide a potential low risk entry to go long oil. It is worth watching. Take care. Have a fantastic weekend. Goodguy.
FX:USOILLong
by goodguy