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VALE

Vale - Breaking Trade 12/3/2024There was a great breakout trade opportunity on Vale's stock, enhanced by a refined entry strategy. The red zone highlights a key support level where the price struggled to break through. Eventually, a breakout occurred with a strong bearish candlestick, confirming sellers' strength. However, instead of entering immediately at the breakout, the ideal entry point would be on the pullback to the red zone. After the breakout, the price retraced back to the support zone, which then acted as resistance. Notice how the price tested this zone but failed to close above it, indicating that sellers remained in control. The optimal entry would occur when the price breaks below the low of the retracement candle, confirming the continuation of the bearish move. This approach allows for a more precise entry, reduces risk by setting a stop-loss above the resistance zone, and offers a better reward-to-risk ratio as the trend resumes downward. It’s a textbook example of a breakout-retest setup with confirmation. Thank you for reading! If you found this content helpful, don’t forget to like, comment, and share the idea. Follow me on TradingView!
BMFBOVESPA:VALE3Short
by Alexandre_Saldanha_
A case for long term investment and DCANYSE:VALE Is at an inflection point. It is a stock I have been watching for a long time as it has a nice Elliott wave pattern (If correct) Here I present the Weekly chart as I consider it for my long term portfolio (3+ years BUY and Hold) Although the chart presented here looks great (Read: Phenomenal), as an analyst utilising multiple methods, the story does not unfold as easily as I'd like. As can be seen in the snapshot below there are multiple 'anomalies' still outstanding at those green zones on the magnified weekly chart. They may or may not be filled, but our awareness of them should cause us to move forward with caution. On the Elliottwave side of things, there are two ways of looking at this. Either the recent top at ~$23 was wave i of 3 of (3) or the top of Primary w(1). If the latter is true then we will likely drop lower in to one of the green bands. So the question remains - how do we take advantage of this given a drop to just above $3? 1) You can Dollar Cost Average in at each stage distributing your allocated capital 2) Wait for a bounce in a five wave move and enter at the correction for w2 of that bounce. Use the low for a stop loss. There is no perfect way to manage the unknowns, you can only manage your primary objective, which should be to safeguard your capital - If you want to know my thoughts on NYSE:VALE and other names give this a boost and follow. best of luck!
NYSE:VALE
by investornomics
3
Vale S.A. is riding the wave of optimism as the Brazilian stockVale S.A. is riding the wave of optimism as the Brazilian stock market rebounds, buoyed by China's economic stimulus and rising iron ore prices. Vale S.A. has emerged as a frontrunner in the recent upswing of the Brazilian stock market, with shares soaring over 4.5% thanks to an increase in iron ore prices driven by renewed demand from China. As the world's largest iron ore exporter, Vale stands to benefit significantly from China's stimulus measures aimed at revitalizing its economy. This positive momentum underscores Vale's vital role in Brazil's economy, reflecting broader trends in the commodities sector and showcasing investor confidence in the company's future performance amid ongoing global challenges. Rewards Price-To-Earnings ratio (5.3x) is below the BR market (9.9x) Trading at good value compared to peers and industry Analysts in good agreement that stock price will rise by 29% Risk Analysis Earnings are forecast to decline by an average of 4.8% per year for the next 3 years Dividend of 11.58% is not well covered by free cash flows
NYSE:VALELong
by Maximus20000
1
Macro Monday 46 - South America Indexes Signaling Major Trend Macro Monday 46 Emerging Chart Trend in South America and Brazil Brazil is the largest economy in South America, followed by Argentina, Chile, Colombia, and Peru. These 5 countries together hold a huge 90% share of the South American economy. Today we will look at index charts for South America and Brazil to get an overall initial technical picture from a price standpoint of the aggregate in these regions. IShares Latin America 40 ETF - AMEX:ILF The iShares Latin America 40 ETF (ILF) is a collection of the 40 largest Latin American equities by market cap. The index is heavily weighted in Financial Services which makes up 33% of the Index. Basic materials form 19% and Energy makes up 15% of the Index allocation. Interestingly NUBank NYSE:NUS has a large c.6% holding within the index. This is a stock I hold that has performed incredibly well and I have shared many bullish charts on NU. Incredible that a relatively New Bank has grown large enough to make it into the top 5 holdings here. The Top 5 companies in the ILF Index are: 1. Vale S.A. NYSE:VALE : 9.3% Allocation. This company is a global leader in iron ore production and the second-largest nickel producer (Basic Materials). 2. Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras NYSE:PBR : 7.6% Allocation. Known as Petrobras, this is a multinational corporation in the petroleum industry (Energy). 3. Itaú Unibanco Holding S.A. $ITUB. 6.5% Allocation. Itaú Unibanco is one of the largest banks in Brazil, providing a range of financial products and services (Financial Services). 4. Nu Holdings Ltd. NYSE:NU : 5.84% Allocation. Nu Holdings is a financial technology company that offers banking services and is known for its digital banking platform, Nubank (Financial Services). 5. Grupo Financiero Banorte, S.A.B. de C.V. SKILLING:GFNORTEO.MX : 5.36% Allocation. Banorte is one of the largest and most prominent financial institutions in Mexico (Financial Services) The Latin America 40 ILF Char SUBJECT CHART ABOVE What jumps from this chart? ▫️ Firstly we appear to forming a long term pennant style flag from which a break up is more likely than a break down. ▫️ We have been rejected from the upper diagonal line repeatedly and if we break above this line it would be a very good indication of an initial trend change. ▫️ We have dashed underside diagonal support line warns of lower prices if broken (historically has been useful). ▫️ We are above the 200 week SMA at present and we are challenging the PointOfControl (POC) Line. Summary South America 40 Index As this is a long term pennant style flag from a major increase in price action in the early 2000’s, a break above the long term diagonal resistance line would be a major signal of the beginning of a new bullish trend, keep in mind that such a price move would also demonstrate a break above POC (strong trading range to hold as support). We need to watch the diagonal underside support line (dashed line) for a break lower which would be an indication of significant weakness. Either direction will give us a good signal of how the largest companies in Latin America are performing and by extension South America. Now lets look at the largest performing country in South America, Brazil. Brazil Brazil is the 8th largest economy in the world and the only country in South America to make it into the top 10 world’s economies. Brazil is the top contributor to South American nominal GDP accounting for 61% of the increase in the South American economy (Int. $264 bn). In 2nd and 3rd place are Colombia (Int. $50 bn) and Peru (Int. $25 bn) with much lower contributions. Brazil’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the year 2023 grew 2.9% and is expected to grow by c. 2% in 2024, lower is anticipated mainly as a result of the delayed effects of monetary tightening. Brazil is considered a key financial center for South America. It has the largest economy in the region and is home to a number of significant financial institutions and stock exchanges. São Paulo, in particular, is recognized as the financial capital of Brazil and is a primary hub for international business activity in the country. Brazil is also a leading producer of a host of minerals, including iron ore, tin, bauxite (the ore of aluminum), manganese, gold, quartz, and diamonds and other gems, and it exports vast quantities of steel, automobiles, electronics, and consumer goods. iShares MSCI Brazil ETF - AMEX:EWZ The iShares Brazil ETF (EWZ) seeks to track the investment results of an index composed of Brazilian equities. The ETF tracks a free float-adjusted market capitalization-weighted index designed to measure the performance of the large- and mid-capitalization segments of the equity market in Brazil. All this means is that Larger companies have a bigger impact on the index’s performance. The index is heavily weighted in Financial Services which makes up 25% of the Index. Energy at 22% and Basic materials at 16.6% of the Index allocation are 2nd and 3rd after Financial Services. The Top 5 companies in the ILF Index are: 1. Vale S.A. NYSE:VALE 3.SA : 11.3% Allocation. This is a mining company and one of the largest producers of iron ore and nickel in the world (Basic Materials) 2. Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras $PETR4.SA & $PETR3.SA: 10.1% Allocation. Commonly known as Petrobras, this state-controlled company is involved in the energy sector, primarily focusing on the exploration, production, and distribution of oil and gas (Energy). 3. Itaú Unibanco Holding S.A. $ITUB4.SA: 8.3% Allocation. Itaú Unibanco is one of the largest financial conglomerates in the Southern Hemisphere (Financial Services) 4. Banco Bradesco S.A. $BBDC4.SA: 8.0% Allocation. This is another major player in the Brazilian financial market, offering a wide range of banking and financial services (Financial Services) 5. WEG S.A. $WEGE3.SA: 3.5% Allocation. WEG is an industrial company that operates globally in the electric engineering, power, and automation technology areas (Industrials). The EWZ Chart What jumps from this chart? ▫️ Firstly we appear to forming a long term pennant from which a break up is more likely than a break down IMO. ▫️ We have been rejected from the upper diagonal line repeatedly and if we break above this line it would be a very good indication of an initial trend change. ▫️ We have dashed underside diagonal support line warns of lower prices if broken (historically has been useful). ▫️ We have yet to break above the 200 week SMA and we are challenging the PointOfControl (POC) Line. Summary Brazil Index A break above the long term diagonal resistance line would be a major signal of the beginning of a new bullish trend, keep in mind that such a price move would also demonstrate a break above POC (strong trading range to hold as support). We need to watch the diagonal underside support line (dashed line) for a break lower which would be an indication of significant weakness. Either direction will give us a good signal of how the largest companies in Brazil are performing and by extension South America (as Brazil is thee major contributor to South America. Overall Overall IF the Latin America ETF and the Brazil ETF break out of their respective pennants to higher levels and find support prior diagonal resistance lines, the 200 weekly SMA, and the POC, this could indicate a bullish trend in South America for years to come. It would then be worthwhile to then look at companies within Brazil and South America for trading and investing opportunities. All these charts are available on my Tradingview Page and you can go to them at any stage over the next few years press play and you'll get the chart updated with the easy visual guide to see how the South America market has performed. I hope its helpful. PUKA
AMEX:ILFLong
by PukaCharts
📈💹 Vale (VALE) Investment Overview 🌐🇧🇷 📈💹 Vale (VALE) Investment Overview 🌐🇧🇷 📊 Growth Projections: VALE, a leading Brazilian iron ore producer, is poised for growth. Iron ore sales expected to increase to 360-370 million metric tons in the next five years. 🔄 Capacity Restoration: Growth attributed to bringing back online a significant portion of the 100 million metric tons capacity offline since the Brumadinho dam disaster in 2019. 💰 Price Support Factors: Current support for iron ore prices driven by positive sentiment around China's reopening and robust steel output. 📈 Financial Outlook: Anticipation of improved gross margins for VALE. 💸 Dividend Strength: VALE stands out as a dividend powerhouse, offering an impressive yield of 13.6%. 📉📈 Market Projection: Bullish outlook suggests support levels above $14.00-$14.50. Targeted upside in the range of $23.00-$24.00. 📣 Conclusion: VALE presents growth opportunities backed by capacity restoration and favorable iron ore market conditions. Strong dividend yield adds to its appeal. Bullish outlook projects support levels and targeted upside for potential investors. 📰💹 #Vale #InvestmentAnalysis #MarketWatch 🌐📊
NYSE:VALELong
by Richtv_official
1
VALE PUT OPTION and VOLUME storytellingVALE has a nice possible put play, but it needs confirmation to fulfill its potential. Wait for the open/confirmation/retest of 13.09 before committing to the buy put option. Put Volume Total 4,738 Call Volume Total 997 Our target if the buy puts prevail, is inside the green box. I'm just looking to get in and get out. Volatility is king in this unstable world economy, inflation and world conflict. My strategy - buy VALE $13 Put 10/20 0.22 then look for exits at; *Target 1 - sell for 0.29 31.8% winner, and if it is moving further in my put direction, then *Target 2 - sell for 0.38 72.7% Winner!! Why Buy Put Option? - All EMAs are upside down, adding hard resistance to any bullish move - Stochastic has now turned bearish - RSI is now flat - Volume is showing Buy Puts are the play to make NOTHING IS CERTAIN! This stock could find its footing on the GREEN 8 EMA and hold, requiring paytience to look for the direction **Let's see what happens** DISCLAIMER - I am not a professional trader. These are merely my thoughts and possible moves; i enjoy watching these stocks validate my process or slap me across the face lol. If you are in need of professional assistance with your trades, don't look here. I am not that guy.
NYSE:VALEShort
by mrmaximo74
1
VALE a junior miner can rise on the Gold bullrunNYSE:VALE as a junior miner could be reaosnably expected to follow spot gold. The bottom line is quite simple. With fixed costs to mine gold, VALE can easily expect to increase its margins when stop gold rises will above the breakeven on a spreadsheet. The 2H chart shows price has descended into the support of the long term anchored mean anchored VWAP line after a VWAP breakdown. The PMO and ZL MACD are confirmatory for a consolidation sitting on dynamic support. Overall, the analysis is that of VALE setup to make a reversal for a bullish move reflecting the gold run at large. I will take this trade long now.
NYSE:VALELong
by AwesomeAvani
2
HYMC- Gold is Glittering Penny Junior Miner LONGGold is on a bullrun and what better equity to look to capture profits than gold junior miner penny stocks. The risk is high and the potential profit is well - perhaps on the way to the moon. Shown here is HYMC on 2 hr chart. The momentum is obvious with the climb of the green HA candles. The MTF RSI shows the low TF RSI shot up over 80 while the higher TF RSI is rising at a more gradual slope. No signs of bearish divergence are seen. The MACD shows the lines well above the positive histogram in fact three times the amplitude. Again, no signs of bearish divergence. The AI Lorentzian indicator shows a buy signal. Its algo tested a projected win rate of 73% on the signals which should buttress my confidence in this trade. I will follow the signals in the context of my targets based on TA and see how they correlate. Gold is on fire ! Junior miners are perhaps in the midst of a wildfire. I will take a long trade on this penny stock. My targets are $0.56 and $.71 representing swing high pivots earlier this year. Overall, I am expectant of 50% profit and a risk free trade once the price rises 10% and a 5% stop loss is moved to break-even.
NASDAQ:HYMCLong
by AwesomeAvani
VALE - a senior gold miner LONGVALE is a long-established gold miner with global assets and is well positioned to leverage rises in spot gold and futures in its overall operations. On the 1H chart, I have added two sets of VWAP lines and their standard deviations anchored at the beginning of both May and June. They have similar line trends. Price is crossing over those mean VWAPs a classical sign of predominating bullish momentum The Lorentzian machine learning indicator issued a buy signal two trading days ago. This indicator uses RSI, CCI, moving averages and directional indices to produce high-quality algos and trading signals. It has no psychology and issues alerts on purely mathematical criteria. The MTF RSI indicator shows the lower TF line crossed over both the higher TF line in black and the 50 level one day ago. The 3 in 1 indicator is green for all three including money flow and bullish momentum and confirmatory on RSI. Overall, given the rise in gold on the forex and futures market, I see VALE moving higher and the TA supports that view. I will take a long trade of stock and consider a call option if I can find one with enough volume to trade and a reasonable spread.
NYSE:VALELong
by AwesomeAvani
VALE @ Crispy Potato26/02/22 THE FORECAST FOR WEEK 1 MARCH 2022 IS = BULL COMBINED FORECAST FOR MARCH 2022 = BULL (unanimously Bull) DAYS WEEK 4 OF FEB FORECAST WAS = NOT ASSESSMENT COMPLETED PROBABILITY OF DAYS FOR WEEK 1 MARCH = BULL This week the retracement was completed. Opening Mon-Wed the candles were small and insignificant, running the retracement through its process. Thursday the retracement end corrected with a Bull candle and significantly increased volume. Friday followed another Bull candle. Open was at 50% of the previous day, no tail the candle remained Bull all day, and finished with little to no tail on top. A strong finish for this setup the following week. OBV is in alignment. WEEK WEEK 4 OF FEB FORECAST WAS = NO ASSESSMENT COMPLETED PROBABILITY FOR WEEK 1 MARCH = BULL This week was Bull with a tail to the bottom. The candle body was similar to the previous 2 weeks. Volume has picked up from last week. This candle, along with two weeks ago, sends a strong signal to Bears, the Bulls hold the power of play. The next resistance points begin around $19 and up to $21. It is probable this stock will rally up to around this point with little objection. MONTH FORECAST IN JAN FOR FEB = NO ASSESSMENT COMPLETED FORECAST IN FEB FOR MARCH = BULL The third Bull candle three months in a row, a strong Bull influence. Each month increases in candle body size. Volume is above average. The OBV interestingly is not in alignment, it is sideways with a slightly downward motion. Another note is the rallies are steep, steep rallies tend to create steep retracements = volatility. Also note, this stock does tend to tolerate longer steep rallies. The probability of a Bull March is higher than a Bear
NYSE:VALELong
by eatmycrispypotato
$VALE Trader Vic says Go LongBased on Trader's Vic book "Methods of a Wall Street Master" (highly recommend) , VALE has now started an uptrend. See my post on PLBY very similar, was a great trade, I'm hoping for the same here ... of course I could be completely wrong RESPECT STOP LOSS . Market has been TOUGH lately. I have a STARTER position of commons. Things that appear good from a technical perspective : - Broke out of down trend (for now) , appears to be starting trend up - EMAs turning up with 8EMA crossing 50EMA now - Nice VP gap at $14.8 , if it breaks this I will go FULL position - MOMO and RSI bullish confluence - Trading above 50ema now and holding Again, respect the stop loss Near Term PT $14.8 with a BULLISH PT upon resistance break of $18
NYSE:VALELong
by FriscoTrades