Bitcoin Update - Deep in the diagonalWith Bitcoin at 29200, this would be validating a solid 5th diag. (this one is invalid above 29850 ==> this wave can't be longer than 3.) Volume and oscillator profiles match this thesis.
Ethereum following closely on price action. I'd be very surprised to see a close above the upper diagonal TL, but it could wick violently above. If this should happen with a close above 29850, we'd be looking at a whole new structure. We are ready for anything.
Valhalla
$FTM - Odin Zone$FTM - Odin Zone.
So the first thing I want us to notice here is the FSS doing pretty good on this timeframe. Even the second buy signal during the drop yielded 13% upside.
In a previous iteration of this chart, the .618 zone barely gave any resistance to the drop. It led me to believe, that we might have had a full run here (12345). After adjusting the fibs, we see that the golden pocket held much better, with just a small few wicks under the pocket. As a result, I moved my original Odin zone to favor a lower entry at the new .786 point.
The waves are ever evolving as we chart them. As Elliottists, we must be constantly updating what we see to reflect the new price action. But in general FTM always makes great looking, textbook waves, which is why it is one of my favourite coins to look at on a consistent basis.
$BTC - March 2023 #Bitcoin Analysis UpdateHere's an updated count. One thing I'd like to draw attention to is the non-stop increasing volume you can see on this move.
While it is possible to see wave 5s have more volume than wave 3, It is not a likely occurrence; plus RSI has already been divergent for a while.
This whole move above 19k could be the whole of wave 3, and wave 5 could take us well into the box above (which would increase the likelihood that this is a new impulse, and not the C wave of a nasty flat.).
A break above the 1.618 (green fib extension on the chart) is necessary for this to happen.
$BGB - Bitget's flagship coin. This is Bitget's platform token. I've been looking at this chart for a few days and could clearly see the retrace wasn't over.
The volume started to pick back up again early 2023 to form an impulse. Where this is situated in the grand scheme of things, only time will tell, but this structure most certainly needs a wave 5. Unless this is nothing more than an ABC with higher than average volume. I believe a break below 0.238 would confirm the corrective conclusion.
Please notice the Shallow retrace of (2) on the chart. This is what allowed me to suspect a deeper correction in this wave (4) we are currently in. I'm expecting for us to test the 33 cent mark rather soon.
Safe Trades to all!
$WIN - Rounded bottom pattern
The rounded bottom is clear and this is a good spot to fill up on spot bags for the long term. I don't foresee another 90% drop in value from here! Time will tell whether this too is accurate, but I'm hoping to have an FSS Print on this timeframe. The ABC (C diagonal in particular) took a crazy long time to play out.
My past analyses of this coin have been nowhere near accurate. I had failed to recognize the ongoing bear market signs. hopefully I can make amends with this EW count, so we can all catch the next 2000% move, if it ever comes!
Safe trades to you all. Make sure to check the related ideas as well.
$NEAR - A few key areas to buy/sell. Long term bullish on this coin for my part. However, all are subject to corrections, near is no different.
I seen a lot of pennant drawings on CT in early Feb, but none of the breakouts really bore fruit.
The way I see it now is all this fuss was a huge flat+ low volume 5th, aimed at trapping as many bullish traders as possible before dipping down for what I predict to be a very deep ZigZag correction well under $2.00.
I do, however, expect a significant B correction to the upside in the neighborhood of .5 fib correction vs A.
This setup could take us well into April with a bounce in the $1.55 area.
$JASMY - Long Idea.Odin Zone. I can finally give away this awesome looking setup. With an astonishing 35:1 RR, this one is a no brainer.
Keep in mind that this could take 2-3 weeks to play out, and we're not safe from the black swan event. So putting the SL will be super important, as well as having a plan B for if that SL hits: There are other entries to be had as well, the .786 zone has some confluence as well.
Looking the macro count, where you can see I have the initial bearish move being done, with the 1st wave of the new impulse also done, barring a Black Swan event. If we zoom in a bit... we see the subwaves of C. So depending on whether C is a diagonal or an impulse, that will determine the timing of our entry hitting.
I won't provide the exact numbers for the ideas here, you'll have to look on the chart.
Safe trades to all, and don't forget your SLs.
hiVALHALLA offering great entries for potential trend reversalhiVALHALLA is offering some great entries for a potential trend reversal. 💸Money may start to flow from low cap #alts to Kucoin FractionalNFT collections. I mapped out some entries & potential paths for price. VERY risky so SL is a must! R/R is worth it for me🚀 Some of these Fractional NFTs traded sideways for a while before mooning so it's a patient trade. That's ok, "The larger the base.... the more into space" .
10% to 20% pumps are common though. So scalping along the way could yield great gains. H4 EMA21 is 23% away, so that would be a profitable scalp.
$BTC - Bitcoin Jan 2023 AnalysisBINANCE:BTCUSDTPERP
Greetings, and Happy New Year to all my fellow Berserkers!
Yearly, Monthly, Weekly closes have all just happened. Which will allow us to dive deep into candle analysis as well as EW counts. Lets start with the main count on Bitcoin. (1W log Chart)
I've identified a general target zone for the year. The box was drawn based on previous S/R, but when I drew the fib lines, as we can see it also aligns with .333-.382 Fibonacci retracement lines. Which means we have a huge amount of confluence there. 25-26k also seems like a key level to reclaim in order to attain that target. This price constitutes our previous peak after the first descent under 20k.
MTF The final piece of info I want to delve into on this chart is the MTF indicator (just below the RSI). There seems to be a weekly fakeup printing there (Gray line moving upwards, alone). But we can also see the blue line curving slightly upwards. So the next week could be very determining in the direction we'll see in January of 2023.
Elliot Wave Theory The corrective count is still a bit up in the air. This could very well be a combo (WXY or WXYXZ). The only thing we're pretty sure on is that this is not a Flat for the moment! I've labelled it ABC for simplicity and for the fact that it is the most probably count. My doubts only stem from the difficulty of finding valid downward impulses with diverging 5th waves.
Falling wedge/Ending 5th while I typically don't do this, I've drawn the diagonal line from the bottom of wave 3. I'd like to see another touch to the bottom of the wedge support in order to give us a significant boost in PA on the bullish side thereafter.
$ETH - Shallow Flat playing out.$ETH - I'm looking for this sort of price action going into February. I think there's a decent long to be had at the end of this flat. If you zoom into the inside waves of the flat, its pretty clear its the main count.
The alt count is that 5 is still printing its diagonal, in which case the correction for the larger degree 4 could be deeper to around 1350-1375.
Trade safe y'all!
$EGLD - Eagle Brand. Finishing or finished its corrective structure. (could also just be wave A like with FTM).
The candle count on the bull market vs the bear market for this coin. Its 100% Symmetric at the moment (57 candles vs 57 candles).
I like what I see here. I would be interested in buying in heavily a bit lower for a 50RR minimum. 50% chance I will not get my lower entry because momentum is shifting in the market.
Safe trades and happy Analyses to you all.
FTM - Corrective structure for a while. Bullish short term. I could paint the 5 waves down as a corrective structure. But, I simply can't ignore how much they looks like an impulse, making me believe more in a wave A... :
- Deep wave 2 retrace
- Strong wave 3
- Diagonal 5 with a divergence.
This would be my main count on FTM. There is considerable upside to be had regardless. A notable minimum target on this would be the .382 of wave A.
Safe trades to all and happy analyses.
$SOL - Looks promising. 3D Chart Log.
First off: 1-2 subminuette seems likely finished (i-ii).
Secondly: Zoomed into the subwave count of (C), we have a clear divergence at the bottom with a bounce that showed is the most volume for the past 6 months. 5 waves of C seem to be in. There is always a possibility of a lower low, but I doubt we'd be breaking into anything other than a subwave 5 of 5.
Make sure you read up on the ZigZag structural reminder on the chart itself. Going back to basics and zooming out always puts things into perspective for me.
Here's an attached copy of the weekly log without oscillators.
HBAR - Ending diagonal 5th wave.My previous analysis of this coin dates back 6 months.
I got it wrong in that 70% odd should have been in favor of the correction not being done. In hindsight, there was no divergence on the weekly (there still isn't). But is that the relevant timeframe? Probably not, also in hindsight. Now, having zoomed in slightly to the 3D chart (still Log), we can see there is a nice divergence on many indicators (I've only marked RSI for clarity):
RSI
MTF
Histo
Volume
Rate of Change
Is now the right time to say that we have 70% odds of the correction is over? I won't make that mistake again :D But its looking good. I'll be waiting with an alert set on my FSS Indicator to print a buy signal on this 3D timeframe to add to my bags.
Happy and safe trades to you all.
For reference, this is the link to the former Idea is below under related ideas.
RUNE - Are your bags full ? RUNE Weekly here. (linear).
Clear bottoming pattern is forming and we're in the final stages of the WXY correction (finishing up the 5th wave of C of Y). I'm really excited about this chart and have been for sometime. The last time I added to my bags was around 1.19. If we make a new low, which is about 50/50 right now, I will add more without hesitation.
Once my FSS indicator prints a buy signal, I will also buy adding to my position. After 3 consecutive Sell signals on the 3D, I am anxiously awaiting for it to go green.
ETH / BTC ready for lift off?After a retest of the previous resistance ETH looks ready to finally push higher on the BTC pair.