Value
Adani Enterprise Is it going to Make it BIG/BAD??????Adani Enterprises Limited (AEL) has demonstrated notable financial performance recently. In the quarter ending September 30, 2024, the company reported a consolidated net profit of ₹1,742 crore, marking a substantial increase from ₹228 crore in the same period the previous year. This growth is attributed to strong earnings from its airports and new energy units, which offset declines in the coal trading sector.
Additionally, AEL has been expanding its operations. The company commenced operations at its copper smelter in Mundra, Gujarat, aiming to reduce India's reliance on refined copper imports. The smelter is expected to reach its full capacity of 500,000 metric tons by February-March 2025, with plans to scale up to 1 million tons by 2028-29.
Value
1)The intrinsic value of one ADANIENT stock under the base case scenario is 2 969.596 INR. Compared to the current market price of 2 399.8999 INR, Adani Enterprises Ltd is undervalued by 19%.
2) The Relative Value of one ADANIENT stock under the base case scenario is 4 832.4164 INR. Compared to the current market price of 2 399.8999 INR, Adani Enterprises Ltd is undervalued by 50%.
3)According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for ADANIENT is 4 340.1 INR with a low forecast of 3 838 INR and a high forecast of 4 945.5 INR.
Relative Value is the estimated value of a stock based on various valuation multiples like P/E and EV/EBIT ratios. It offers a quick snapshot of a stock's valuation in relation to its peers and historical norms.
Revenue and Profitability:
1)Revenue: In the fiscal year 2023-24 (FY24), AEL reported a revenue from operations of ₹96,421 crore, a 24.3% decrease from ₹127,540 crore in FY23.
2)EBITDA: Despite the revenue decline, EBITDA increased by 32% to ₹13,237 crore in FY24, up from ₹10,012 crore in FY23.
3)Net Profit: The net profit for FY24 rose by 39.6% to ₹3,955 crore, compared to ₹2,833 crore in the previous fiscal year.
Quarterly Performance (Q2 FY25):
For the quarter ending September 30, 2024, AEL's net profit surged to ₹1,742 crore, a significant increase from ₹228 crore in the same period the previous year.
Balance Sheet Highlights:
1)Assets: Total assets increased by 13.7% to ₹1,606 billion in FY24, up from ₹1,413 billion in FY23.
2)Liabilities: Total liabilities grew by 13.7% to ₹1,606 billion in FY24, with long-term debt rising by 42.2% to ₹463 billion.
3)Debt-to-Equity Ratio: The debt-to-equity ratio increased to 0.34 times in FY24 from 0.21 times in FY23, indicating higher leverage.
Cash Flow:
1)Operating Activities: Cash flow from operating activities stood at ₹103 billion in FY24.
Investing Activities: Cash outflow from investing activities was ₹191 billion in FY24, reflecting ongoing capital expenditures.
2)Financing Activities: Cash flow from financing activities improved significantly to ₹89 billion in FY24.
Operational Highlights:
The company's growth was driven by its airport operations and green energy business, with the new energy segment's pre-tax profits doubling to ₹9.41 billion, now comprising 39% of the overall profit.
Following the announcement of Hindenburg's disbandment, shares of Adani Group companies experienced a surge. For instance, Adani Enterprises' stock rose by 7.7%, reaching ₹2,569.85, and Adani Power's shares jumped 9% to ₹599.90 on the BSE.
Crude Oil -Can use the fundamentals to push the strong resitanceHi guys we are going to take a look into CL. The Black Gold has had some interesting fundamental events recently , with the Biden administration imposing a few important and key tarrifs over the Russian exports of OIL. Additionally on a technical preview as we visited this asset a few times, it has broken a few very key support levels, and the price started actually moving in a good direction.Previously we saw the price move sideweays for almost 2 months.
Entry: 77.50
Target 1: 78.50
Target 2: 79.50
Target 3. 80.50
As always my friends happy trading!
P.S. If you have questions or inquiries about one of my existing set-ups or personal questions / 1 on 1 sessions consider joining my community so you can follow up with me in private!
BUY QUBT PUTS NOWWWW!!!!The quantum computing hype is real. Incredible short term gains and incredible mid to long term risk. Companies such as NASDAQ:RGTI and NYSE:IONQ have promising technological/industrial prospects that justify the excitement but NASDAQ:QUBT Quantum Computing Inc. is not one of those companies. They are not a quantum computing company as the name suggests. The same entity has changed their "business model" multiple times with each coming trend to no success. Before quantum computing they were involved with beverage distribution as "Innovative Beverage Group Holding, Inc.", selling printer ink, and they made a brief attempt at AI.
Notes :
- Iceberg Research discovered that the foundry Quantum Computing Inc. listed on their website and cited in a press release was actually just a small office building clearly incapable of producing TFLN wafers (or any sort of mass production for that matter).
"In September 2023, QUBT told investors that the location for its “new facility is on five acres within the extensive 320-acre research park hosted by ASU”. However, the entire entire 2050 building is barely more than an acre, let alone Suite 107 in the building. At that time, production was supposed to start in the first half of 2024."
I encourage you to read the full report (link below).
- QUBT's revenue for 2024 was only $300K. Their market cap is currently $1.5 Billion.
Technical Analysis
While the fundamental analysis was enough to convince me to enter a put position, the TA is also promising. The "pump" caused by recent quantum computing hype is not the only pump and dump in QUBTs recent history. There are two very similar patters that have occurred since Jan 2018.
Interestingly, the 50 SMA crossing above the 200 SMA on the weekly timeframe has signaled the peak of both movements. As for the current movement, the SMAs are expected to cross by next week at the latest.
As you can see in the chart, the cross (and peak) are followed by a drastic rejection and then a retracement to the 38.2 fib level. As of today, price is currently between the 50 and 38.2 retracement levels.
In the short term, it is possible that price will enter the volume gap created on 08 Jan and potentially fill up to $16.25. This break above the 38.2 fib level will be of key interest to anyone seeking entry into a short or put position. As you can see in the 2021 movement, price did indeed break above the level, fell short of retesting highs, and initiated a reversal and 78% drop. Only after this did QUBT retest and reject off of the 38.2 fib level and proceed to drop another 86%.
iceberg-research.com
www.globenewswire.com
$PCG - Did market just panic dumped the wrong stock?The recent wildfires in California, particularly the Palisades and Eaton Fires in Los Angeles County, have primarily affected Southern California.
This recent wildfire news caused NYSE:PCG to crash alongside NYSE:EIX (which bounced as well).
However, PG&E's service area is predominantly in Northern and Central California. PG&E will not have to pay back the wildfire fund if deemed prudent.
Furthermore, PG&E is a stable utility with monopoly-like dominance in California’s massive market. It benefits from regulated pricing, essential services, wildfire liability caps, and state support for clean energy and infrastructure upgrades. With strong cash flows, improving safety measures, and alignment with decarbonization trends, PG&E offers resilience, growth potential, and a compelling "buy the fake fear" opportunity. Don’t let short-term noise overshadow its solid fundamentals.
So, did market just panic dumped the wrong stock?
#USDT.D DOMINANCE ANALYContinuing the previous analysis of #USDT.D DOMINANCE
I sent you a chart again in a lower timeframe so that you can understand the trend well
It is currently moving towards a LEG D OF TRIANGLE .. The target for this move is 3.90%
The LEG D ends around 3.90% and completes the LEG E with a correction.
$PEP as a potential anti-cyclical buying opportunityFor conservative anti-cyclical investors seeking annual returns in the 8-12% range, PepsiCo NASDAQ:PEP is becoming very interesting
Bollinger Bands & RSI Signal (chart 1):
Late last week, the stock generated my favorite oversold signal at the weekly level
My personal Accumulation Strategy in three tranches:
- First Tranche: Buy at $144
- Second Tranche: Buy at $136 if price dips further
- Third Tranche: Consider buying at $132, supported by 2021 Order Block (Chart 2)
- Potential Crash Scenario: If a market crash occurs, I will buy at ~$110 for final position completion
Fundamental Insights (Chart 3):
- Current earnings yield: 4.7%; Dividend yield: 3.7%
- Dividend growth rate over last decade: 7.5% per year
- PE ratio around 21, low since the Rona crash
Reasons Recent Price Decline:
- Inflation impact: Consumers switching to cheaper alternatives
- USD Strength: Diminishing international profits
- Rising US Government Bond Yields: Competing with dividend stocks, though NASDAQ:TLT at 2007 Order Block support suggests possible reversal (Chart 4)
-> Political Influence:
- Trump's stance: High interest rates and inflation, aiming to address these issues could weaken USD, benefiting PepsiCo
Conclusion:
PepsiCo presents a compelling choice for steady, anti-cyclical investments, with technical support, dividend growth, and potential economic policy shifts
"Battle-Ready: Outsmarting Giants in the Trading Arena" Traders: Soon, I’ll be sharing some deep, insightful data with you. Before I do, there’s something you need to understand. Sure, I could explain every intricate detail behind it, but here’s the thing—if I expose the core mechanics openly, smart money intruders could turn around and use that very knowledge against us. And then, what’s the point of sharing at all?
Many of you already have your own ways of predicting where prices might head. I don’t fault you for keeping your methods under wraps. In fact, I respect it. After all, smart money never broadcasts its next move. Never. Why? Because the moment they reveal their hand, the game is over. Trading, my friends, is not merely about following charts—it’s about survival. It’s a battle. It’s warrior trading.
Picture yourself as a gladiator, thrust into the heart of a grand arena, standing alone against towering giants. Perhaps today, you're still learning, still sharpening your blade. But as time goes on, with skill and relentless practice, you’ll grow stronger. Strong enough to take on the greatest of challenges. Now imagine the king of Rome himself—symbolizing the whales and dark pools—giving a signal to unleash his might upon you. Around you, the coliseum roars with the fury of the crowd, representing the institutions—hungry to see your defeat.
Yet, despite the odds, you don’t back down. You raise your weapon and fight with skill and precision. With each passing battle, you grow more cunning, more adept, until the day comes when you can stand toe-to-toe with the king of Rome himself. And when that day arrives, the very institutions that once sought to crush you will tremble.
The game changes when you gain mastery. No longer are you just another target for the giants to feast on. Instead, you become someone they fear. Someone who follows the king’s every move, not as prey, but as a rival—a fellow predator in the vast market wilderness.
Let this be a call to arms. Let this vision of you rising through the ranks, becoming an unstoppable force, serve as your motivation. It’s not about hoping for fortune—it’s about fighting for it, step by step, battle by battle. You may not start as the champion, but with time, grit, and relentless drive, you can become one.
So, when the king of Rome moves, you’ll be ready—not to be defeated, but to conquer.
Flight Boarding - Grand Theft Auto 6Hey fellow gamers and number-crunchers, gather 'round! 🎮
Big news alert: Rockstar Games is dropping the first trailer for Grand Theft Auto 6 on December 5, 2023! twitter.com
Now, for those who live and breathe gaming, no further explanation needed. But hey, to the data lovers and boomers in the house, let me break it down for you.
Rockstar is the genius behind hits like Grand Theft Auto, Red Dead Redemption, Bully, and La Noire. Flashback to 2013 when they unleashed Grand Theft Auto 5, which turned out to be the best-selling console/PC-only game EVER. Talk about a gaming legend!
Fast forward to now, and GTA 5 has racked up a mind-blowing 185 million units in sales by August 2023. That's across three console generations and PC, making it the cash cow of the entertainment world.
Hold on to your controllers because Grand Theft Auto 6 is gearing up for launch, and the prediction is a whopping $1 billion in sales from the get-go! 🤑 Experts are betting on at least 25 million copies flying off the shelves on release day.
For the financial gurus out there, I've got the deets on TTWO Rockstar Games history prices in my previous analysis. And if you're eyeing the market, the sweet spot for entering the trade seems to be at that red horizontal line at 146 - 150. But here's the cherry on top: I believe we're aiming for a new all-time high beyond 210! 🚀
So, who's ready for the next gaming revolution? 🌟 Share your thoughts below and let the positive vibes flow! 🚀🎉
Quantum Bubble Ready to PopRGTI looks like the poster child of irrational exuberance in quantum stocks. New Year Dump incoming after a 1000% in a little over a month and around 2,500% from the 52-week low. No fundamental new sales or orders to back this new increase which is driving the price to sales to all-time highs.
50-60% pullback imminent. scale in.
SELL EUR/USD (A Fundamental and Technical Outlook)Results May Vary: 1.01-1.015 range of exit
1) Volume rally shows investor sentiment into USD as many countries are faced with tariffs from the Trump Administration with heavy FDI inflow.
- FDI will continue as foreign investors flow capital into GOLD/USD/CHF (safe haven) to offset local volatility.
- High likelihood Trump goes through with tariffs which would damage everyone, including US. However, US would be hurt less, solidifying US dominance as his pride. (Need to watch for every Euro Zone country accounts).
- Inauguration 01/20/2024
2) Euro Zone in heavy recession with rate cuts showing limited stimulation.
3) Investor sentiment, insane USD overvaluation short term.
4) Post market hours show price consolidating with complete flat line volatility.
5) Other factors also play in. EUR/USD trade compatibility allows KEY Government Leaders to make irrational decisions for benefit of own countries. Gov stability in Euro Zone will also attribute to EUR growth. Many factors to watch out for.
HCA Healthcare | HCA | Long at $299.00NYSE:HCA Healthcare: P/E of 13x, earnings are forecast to grow 6.01% per year; earnings have grown 10.6% per year over the past 5 years, and trading at good value compared to peers and industry.
From a technical analysis perspective, it dipped to my selected historical simple moving average area and may represent a buying opportunity to fill the daily price gap up to $394.00. Thus, NYSE:HCA is in a personal buy zone at $299.00.
Target #1 = $324.00
Target #2 = $362.00
Target #3 = $394.00
MSTR vs BTCThis is a MicroStrategy vs Bitcoin comparison chart. I multiplied MSTR shares x 500 to get an average value of MSTR in relation to BTC over the last 4 years. As you can see, as of October 2024, MSTR had a massive disconnect compared to BTC's price action. I see this as a red flag and reason to take caution going long MSTR while it's so overvalued compared to BTC. It's my speculation that MSTR trading momentum won't slow down until there's a catastrophic collapse of MSTR share price for an unknown reason in the future. Until then, trade long with proper risk management and plan accurate short entry positioning. On the average day MSTR moves +40 -40 from high to low according to the ATR indicator 20 moving average.
MSTR = white
BTC = blue
Options data:
1/10/25 expiry
Put Volume Total 115,980
Call Volume Total 369,028
Put/Call Volume Ratio 0.31
Put Open Interest Total 122,469
Call Open Interest Total 245,015
Put/Call Open Interest Ratio 0.50
1/17 expiry
Put Volume Total 68,578
Call Volume Total 95,060
Put/Call Volume Ratio 0.72
Put Open Interest Total 540,322
Call Open Interest Total 305,998
Put/Call Open Interest Ratio 1.77
1/24 expiry
Put Volume Total 7,154
Call Volume Total 11,078
Put/Call Volume Ratio 0.65
Put Open Interest Total 20,348
Call Open Interest Total 14,009
Put/Call Open Interest Ratio 1.45
Pyrogenesis a sustainable solution
Pyrogenesis is a company that works with pyrolysis. Pyrolysis is the thermal decomposition of materials at high temperatures in an inert atmosphere, producing gases, liquids, and solid residues, that can be used as energy resources. This can be done with plastic meterials which makes it very sustanible. This could be a protential for a good future.
For the technical analysis, the prices has hitted a double buttom at 0.40 and the RSI is beginning to stabilize. It had its peak just before corona at 12 which means that the company ones had the ability to be at that rate. Companies like NYSE:CVNA , NASDAQ:UPST , OMXCOP:NETC has shown sign of reversal. Why wouldn't pyrogenesis fly?
Carvana - continuation of a strong sell off?Hi guys , we would be taking a look into CARVANA Short position.
Fundamentals :
1. High Debt Levels
Carvana's capital-intensive business model, combined with aggressive expansion, has led to a substantial accumulation of debt. The company has issued high-interest debt to finance operations, acquisitions, and inventory growth. This debt burden poses a risk, especially in a rising interest rate environment, as refinancing could become more expensive or unattainable.
2. Profitability Concerns
Despite significant revenue growth over the years, Carvana has consistently struggled to achieve profitability. Operating losses remain high, and the company’s path to sustainable positive earnings remains uncertain. Elevated operating costs, including vehicle reconditioning, marketing, and logistics, have weighed heavily on margins.
3. Cash Flow Problems
Carvana has a history of negative free cash flow, reflecting its inability to generate sufficient cash from operations to fund its business activities. This reliance on external financing is unsustainable in the long term and could lead to liquidity issues if the company fails to improve its cash flow position.
4. Declining Market Sentiment
Carvana’s stock has been highly volatile, experiencing dramatic price swings due to market concerns over its financial stability and business model. Analysts and investors have expressed skepticism about the company's ability to weather economic downturns, especially as demand for used vehicles normalizes post-pandemic.
5. Macroeconomic Challenges
The broader macroeconomic environment has added pressure to Carvana’s business. Rising interest rates have made vehicle financing more expensive for consumers, potentially dampening demand for used cars. Additionally, inflationary pressures on operational costs and declining vehicle prices further strain Carvana’s already thin margins.
6. Competitive Pressure
Carvana operates in a highly competitive market, facing established players like CarMax and emerging online-only platforms. The intense competition has limited its pricing power, forcing the company to invest heavily in customer acquisition and retention, further straining profitability.
7. Regulatory and Legal Risks
The company has faced legal challenges, including consumer complaints and regulatory scrutiny over its vehicle titling and registration practices. Such issues could lead to reputational damage, fines, or increased compliance costs.
Technical Spectrum:
They reached a good strong upper level, and then failed to deliver and sustain around that area.
Entry: 176$
Target: 130$
As always my friends happy trading!
P.S. If you have questions or inquiries about one of my existing set-ups or personal questions / 1 on 1 sessions consider joining my community so you can follow up with me in private!
Harsha engineering good swing pick?Harsha engineering from fundamental pov company is debt free and has delivered a good cagr return
Now stock is at good value looks like in mid of Jan month it will pop up with good volume
Risk traders can accumulate at cmp keeping sl at 475 almost 8% while safe trader can accumulate at 485-515
Tgt 562 598 676 720
Only for educational purposes
Ask your financial advisor and broker before buying
Caledonia Mining $CMCL - Breaks of Support Lines are a concernI must admit a bit of anxiety, concerning my earlier enthusiasm with regards to the Chart for a favorite Company... Recently, I re-entered a Position in this fine company ... only to watch it continue to break support levels, I've plotted (the Yellow lines). AMEX:CMCL just broke the lowest support line that I could plot (Green line). So, I'll buy it once more at the Pink (ATTENTION!) line; and then, I'm done...