Personal Opinion! $We have a probability of seeing Gold touching between 2340 to 2350 by visiting the Order Block that was made on April 26 on the 1-Day chart, Since we have another Order Block on May 24 that touched 2347 on the 4-hour chart . So there is a high probability that the graph will visit one of those points this week.
Value
MERL (MERLIN) Airdrop SelloffStats according to Coinmarketcap and CoinGecko -
Marketcap ---------------115 million
Fully Diluted Marketcap---1 billion
Circulating Supply ------226.5 million
Total Supply ------------2.1 billion
All Time High (release) -----$1.54
Total Value Locked (BTC before airdrop began) - 2.8 billion - which is amazing!
The current situation is that people are unloading their airdrop tokens onto the market as exchanges are buying bags to trade.
A lot of these new Layer 2 narratives are great projects but they start out with high marketcaps from their total value locked up air drop incentive. Simply put, buying and selling has not yet stabilized the price action so we see a freefall.
The timing is perfect due to market drop and Japan economic status news mixed with BTC profitability for mining cost (53k ish) for bearish momentum.
There will be a bottom. I suspect it will be at the marketcap liquidity ratio of the holders which is very hard to calculate at the moment. So to give you some sort of target (not financial advice) -
I would look to long around BTC getting a confirmed uptrend from 50 - 53k. MERL could be around .4 cents by then but what do I know?
Lets Make This A Time Capsule of SortsThis is shaping up to be the biggest distrust in long term lending in the United States in history.
As we all know the yield curve is highly inverted and its always a great indicator that short term lending is encouraged more then long. Cant wait to see the short term bag holders that did the minimum down payment HAHAHHAA
GLMR has finished 1st ABC corrective wave since inceptionMoonbeam is an Ethereum-compatible smart contract parachain on Polkadot. Moonbeam makes it easy to use popular Ethereum developer tools to build or redeploy Solidity projects in a Substrate-based environment.
Moonbeam is much more than just an EVM implementation: it’s a highly specialized parachain that mirrors Ethereum’s Web3 RPC, accounts, keys, subscriptions, logs, and more. The Moonbeam platform extends the base Ethereum feature set with additional features such as on-chain governance, staking, and cross-chain integrations.
ENTRY: $0.328
EXIT 1: $0.73
EXIT 2: $0.99
EXIT 3: $1.29
EXIT 4: $1.60
Potential Multiple: 5x
Did You See What GameStop Just Accomplished?I must say, and as I wrote the other week ( see here ), the winners of the GameStop resurgence was GameStop itself. They now have $4 BILLION in cash on their balance sheet. That's right – a strong community can do wonders for a brand, its backing, and the company itself. Between Roaring Kitty, Ryan Cohen, and everyone on Reddit, they just created a viable business with an entirely new fundamental outlook.
Let me explain:
- They eliminated all of their debt, thus zero debt!
- They now have about $4 billion in cash.
- Market cap is nearing $10 billion.
- They do about $3.2 billion per year in revenue.
- They have 3x PS ratio, but many startups for for 5x or even 10x. But keep in mind that a majority of that is in cash. If we back out the cash from the market cap, the PS ratio is more like 1.5.
If you think they are on the verge of rebuilding and recreating their story, they have the revenue and balance sheet to do it.
Well worth watching…
By the way, I still can’t believe some 25%+ of the float is still short and public about it in available data.
I currently do not have a position, but as someone who appreciates fundamentals, a sound business, it surely has me watching it more closely than I have in prior years. The road will be long and difficult, and they have to execute flawlessly, but if they can, the vision is to become a gaming giant that'll be a value add to the gaming world.
Is ADBE overvalued?I ran a DCF model using exponentially smoothed revenue forecasts to fit the future growth rate characteristics of a mature growth company like ADBE. My Cost of Equity was calculated with CAPM using Prof. Damodaran's cash yield ERP (6.01%) and my terminal value was calculated with 2047 price-to-sales of 20 for my bull case, 15 for my base case, and 10 for my bear case. My PTs are $436.24 for my bull case, $381.53 for my base case, and $326.82 for my bear case.
EURGBP BUY SIGNAL EURGBP
I neither trade the news nor any SMC or chart patterns, etc. I trade solely and exclusively based on algorithmic structure. According to the algorithm, a long swing trade is warranted here. I have mentioned the entry level and TP (Take Profit) and SL (Stop Loss) below.
BUY
ENTRY = 0.84345
STOPLOSS = 0.84042
TARGIT 1 = 0.84991
TARGET 2 = 0.85400
TARGET 3 = 0.86016
Smallcap short term investing idea - KRYSTALKrystal Integrated Services is an integrated facilities management service (FMS) company with a focus on healthcare, education, and public administration.
Started in 2000 with security services in Mumbai.
Expanded to become a full-fledged integrated facilities management company. Offers services in integrated facility management, security, staffing solutions, and catering. Serves various industries including pharma, manufacturing, airports, retail, etc.
Future Growth Strategy:
Aim to grow at 25-30% annually.
Focus on acquiring new business in sectors like manufacturing, healthcare, education, and waste management.
Plans to expand geographically to reduce dependence on Maharashtra and Tamil Nadu.
Emphasis on service efficiency, training, and recruitment to improve margins.
Operational Insights:
Majority of revenue comes from government contracts.
Contracts typically 3+1 year, with rebidding after the renewal period.
Renewal rate for government contracts at 65-70%.
Robust project selection criteria to ensure strategic bidding.
Plans to establish training centers in different geographies to enhance training capabilities.
Quant mutual fund has bought stock recently
Invest in 4 phases, starting now.
Expecting 1500+ levels in less than 18 months
HATSUN AGRO - FMCG diversification IdeaHere are a few interesting things about chart and company:
1) It took 3 years for this chart to reclaim the 2017 high, and then stock rallied up to 2x and more from the previous high
2) On a monthly closing basis, it fell around 50% after 2017 before making a new high. If we consider all prices, then 60%
Now, post September 21 (Stock price - 1400-1500), the stock has shown a maximum fall of 47% (43% closing) and recovered. Meanwhile, the institutional holdings have been going up. The number of total shareholders of this company is 25,000 (Screener.in), which indicates there's no sign of overownership in this idea.
Considering the agriculture sector and possibly the populist budget of the upcoming coalition government, this stock might rally quickly and have the potential to give high returns in the short term.
However, valuations are not cheap, so one has to consider investing in a staggered (3-5 phases) way and with a horizon of 6-18 months.
Can Hamster Kombat become another Notcoin(NOT)!?Today, I want to examine a new Telegram game that has become very trending and see if the Hamster Kombat project can be another Notcoin(NOT) .
You have probably heard about the Hamster Komba game in the past few weeks at work, school , university , and in the family (maybe even the notification of people joining your contact in Telegram is a lot for you😂). I suggest you read this article to find out if Hamster Kombat is worth your time or not.
Please stay with me.
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What is Hamster Kombat?
Hamster Kombat is a Tap-to-earn type of game that is activated on the Telegram platform . This game was officially launched on March 25, 2024 on the TON network.
Hamster Combat currently has more than 60 million users , with more than 24 million active users
The game allows players to manage a virtual cryptocurrency exchange and earn in-game coins, which can subsequently be converted into real tokens to withdraw the earned funds. The gameplay is similar to the popular game Notcoin.
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Now, let's check the Hamster Kombat project with the help of SWOT ( Strengths - Weaknesses - Opportunities - Threats ).
What is the SWOT!?
SWOT ( Strengths-Weaknesses-Opportunities-Threats ) analysis is a framework used to evaluate a company's competitive position and to develop strategic planning. SWOT analysis assesses internal and external factors, as well as current and future potential.
🔸 Strengths : More interesting game than Notcoin _ High number of active users (Notcoin less than 40 million users) _ Good marketing _ Very good conditions on social media _ Having a road map.
🔸 Weaknesses : No whitepaper _ Poor website _ Not having a clear future for the Hamster Kombat project _ The total number of tokens is not clear - the distribution method may not be fair _ the development team is unclear _ wastes a lot of energy and time.
🔸 Opportunities : Hard Forks to improve the Hamster Kombat project_ Willingness of big investors to invest _ Improving the website and white paper.
🔸 Threats : High number of miners _ Emergence of Whales _Unspecified fee_ Hackers _ Competitors.
Can you add other parameters to the options above or not!?
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Conclusion : Due to the fact that there are more Tap-to-Earn games these days, we should be a little careful in choosing the game, because no matter what you like, you will eventually have an income for the time you spend.
According to the above description and the information so far about the Hamster Kombat project, it seems that considering the high number of active users, the token of this project will be listed at least because of its attractiveness for exchanges (volume trading). The point here is whether you can earn for the time you spend or not? Because this game seems to take more time than the similar Notcoin project, so in conclusion, I recommend you look at the Hamster Kombat game as a side hobby and not spend all your time on a project that is uncertain.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
LMT a defense large cap dips for buyers LONGLMT has been flat sideways since a good earnings beat 5 weeks ago. Lockheed Martin as a
defense contractor is in a growth environment with the US supplying arms to Ukraine as well
a Isreal. Domestic stockpiles and those of NATO are somewhat depleted. The contraacts will not
catch up for years. Gone are the days of making face masks and gowns during COVID to keep
revenues flowing in. I see this 2% dip as a change to get a small discount on what should
be a stock with upside for some years to come. This is a long swing trade not expectant of
a 3-4% profit in a week. I expect to hold this at least until the next earnings if not through
the presidential elections where the defense and national security perspectives of the
incoming or returning president may be a factor in the fundamentals of defense contractors.
MNTS- Momentus secures federal contract LONGMNTS is now contracted with the Pentagon and NASA for space exploration work including
satellites and a space station pages.optimallivingdynamics.com
Traders and investors reacted in the past day or two. MNTS is currently priced at about 99.9 %
of its ATH of about $1250 three years ago. Accordingly, it is a penny stock with a potential
1000X upside. That is to say $ 1000 could become $1 M. 135 million shares traded in the past
day. Revenue increased 4X quarter to quarter. The Price X Volime Trend had and impressive
pop I will take a speculative long trade here for a long duration swing trade to see if
MNTS can launch higher.
RDFN fintech small cap reverses higher LONGRDFN on the 15 minute chart has move up from a low pivot which included a mass index
indicator triggering. ATH was $85 so current price is 7-8% of that ATH. I will take a long trade
here. My targets are the May high pivot at $8 and the January high pivot at $10 with a stop
loss at $6 to be managed as the price moves toward 8. RDFN to a certain degree is subject to
rates and federal actions. I am convinced that when the time is ripe the Biden administration
will pressure the " independent" fed into a rate cut which should give RDFN the momentum it
needs to push toward those targets or even higher.
Butterfly COPX for 21 Jan'25. This butterfly for COPX. (copper ETF) for 21 Jan 2025 at 55/57/59 is very interesting as it has a ratio of 1:20. (i.e. $1000 purchase for this butterfly today can turn into $20,000 if COPX reaches a price of 57 on 21 January.
If COPX closes between 55 and 59 in Jan'25 then a percentage of the $20,000 will be the profit.
XAU XAG SPREADThe spread between XAU (gold) and XAG (silver) provides insight into the relative performance of these two precious metals. Over the past few months, the XAU/XAG ratio has shown an upward trend, indicating gold's outperformance relative to silver. Technical indicators such as the 50-day and 200-day moving averages confirm this bullish trend, with the spread consistently trading above these averages. However, recent RSI readings above 70 suggest overbought conditions, hinting at a potential short-term pullback. Support for the spread lies near the 80 level, while resistance is around 90. Watch for a break below the support as a signal for silver to start outperforming gold.
ON-BALANCE VOLUME-Possible Target $70,378OBV green trend lines has been confirmed by OBV. For that reason they are aligned that way. The dotted arrow points to the top according to halving.
Follow the white moving average which refers to price guidance. Indeed candlestick trend moved downwards as price guidance and now points to the upside
Possible Target $70,378
Liquity / LQTY & Binance The price of LQTY is $2.3 today with a 24hour trading volume of 80 million dollars. This represents a 80% price increase in the last 24 hours and a 250% price increase in the past 30 days. With a circulating supply of 91 Million LQTY, Liquity is valued at a market cap of 200 million dollars thanks to CZ!
Liquity is a decentralized borrowing protocol built on Ethereum that utilizes LQTY, a USD-pegged stablecoin. Ether holders can draw loans in the form of LQTY with algorithmically adjusted redemption and loan issuance fees
as you see LQTY whales are notorious for dumping on retails so don't forget the stop loss(rug). next targets are 2.7 and 2.9$
Forecasting the US 10-Year Yield: Insights for Q2 and Q3Traders, as we navigate through the second and third quarters, understanding the potential movements of the US 10-year yield TVC:US10Y becomes increasingly crucial. Join me as we analyze the factors shaping the bond market and anticipate the trajectory of the 10-year yield in the coming months.
I'm excited to share a comprehensive outlook, encompassing a short-term surge to 4.625%, a subsequent retracement to 4.3%, and finally, a bold move up to 5% by the end of July.
TVC:US10Y
Prepare for market turbulence! With inflation data grabbing the spotlight, brace yourself for a potential seismic shift in the financial landscape. As inflation data becomes the talk of the town, all eyes turn to the US 10-year yield TVC:US10Y , which stands on the brink of a surge towards the pivotal 4.625% threshold.
We're in for a wild ride as inflation data takes center stage and sets the stage for market volatility.
Reasoning:
Economic Recovery Outlook: Assessing the pace and trajectory of economic recovery will be paramount in forecasting the US 10-year yield. Keep an eye on key indicators such as inflation rates, GDP growth, employment figures, and consumer sentiment surveys.
Inflation Expectations: Rising inflation expectations can put upward pressure on bond yields as investors demand higher returns to offset the eroding purchasing power of their investments. Monitor inflation data releases and central bank statements for insights into future policy actions.
Profit-Taking Opportunity: In anticipation of the yield surge, I'm eyeing profit-taking opportunities on USD pairs. The heightened yield environment could attract investors seeking higher returns, driving up demand for the USD in the short term.
Inflation Data Surge: As inflation data takes center stage, the US 10-year yield is poised to surge towards the critical 4.625% threshold. This anticipated increase in bond yields is likely to trigger a ripple effect across the forex market, particularly impacting USD pairs.
Global Economic Trends: Global economic trends and geopolitical developments can also impact the US 10-year yield. Factors such as international trade dynamics, monetary policy decisions by major central banks, and geopolitical tensions can influence investor sentiment and bond market movements.
As we journey through the second and third quarters, let's stay proactive and informed to capitalize on opportunities in the bond market. Join the discussion as we navigate the intricacies of bond yield forecasting! #US10YearYield #Forecasting #BondMarketAnalysis 📈📉💡