XAU ShortTime for a pullback!
This is the blueprint.
I say price returns to $2000, but could very well regress all the way back to $1800 over the next year.
I’m looking for a much better entry on the lower time frames than the one shown on the chart, but you get the picture.
It’s time for a major regression back to where price consolidated for over a year, in 2021.
Happy Trading!
Value
OGI - a MJ penny stock upgraded LONGOGI got an upgrade from hold to buy and with it a target of 5.25 or more than double current
valuation. The ballot iniative in Florida and legalization in Gremany are recent news. VP Harris
seeks to make legalization an lection issue this fall while pushing for a DEA reboot on the whole
cleassification of MJ. Prospects for growth seem more clear for OGI . I will take a long trade
here with the National MJ Day upcoming this weekend. I will target the horizontal levels
of recent pivots as drawn in black on the 60 minute chart.
FLGC rides MJ rallying from being beatdown long term LONGFLGC here on a 30 minue chart reflects the new agenda in the swamp as incumbents try to
fortify their re-election agenda. Same is happening in Germany !. My trade started 10 days
ago. I am looking for 300% got 200% so far. Momentum continues. Hot is hot until it is not.
(See also ideas on OGI, ACB and TLRY.) Adding on any pullback or consolidation.
TAP flushed on a good earnings beat into support LONGTAP appears to to have fallen into support on a good earnigns beat Perhaps traders were
expecting a better beat. It is now 15% below the resistance zone where shorts will take
positions and longs will sell- off. TAP has sales and consumer loyalty in its brands. It is
free of the controversies that had bogged BUD down. I see this as an opportunity to get a
decent stock at a discount. My target is 62 at the half way point has designated by the fib tool.
TXRH a western theme restuarant stock LONGTXRH is here on a weekly chart with a linear regression line overlaid along with a Keltner
Channel indicator. Below the chart is the Chop Zone indicator. TXRH has been in a trend up
for more than six months. There were corrections in January and April. I conld suppose
another correction may occur in July whne trading volumes are lower for the summer.
In the meanwhile < I see TXRH as a good long trade until the anticipated July pullback or
the chop zone signal falls into the chop zone. TXRH is at an all time high. Typically it may not
be the best place to take a long trade but in this case I believe that the momentum will
persist and the trade will be quite profitable.
LCID has another falling wedge breakout LONGLCID is making its move while Fisker got halted and will be delisted. LCID has a rich uncle, a
Saudi billionaire running the national wealth fund there. Fisker lost its suitor in Nissan and tried
to raise cash by selling cars under cost. I would be afraid to buy a car from a company about
to head into bankruptcy. Anyway, time to buy LCID for now, it has a vaccine against the
contagion. I happen to be very fond of falling wedges especially when they repeat. My skills
in Elliott Wave analysis are nil but this is one to analysis. In the meanwhile, it's a buy ( no
I am not a fan of Jim Cramer.)
AMD caching the knife for desperate
down turn is drying out
price has reached the fair value
this week all the optimists from last week were scared
sentiment is good
today or monday I want to see a Wyckoff reversal
I suggest to build up position in range 144,5$ - 140$
SL as on chart
Exit probably 180$ somewhere, where the bitch scared me out of my down position
Bull PutBit of an intro below to my personal trading strategies: (future idea's will be much shorter in text and to the point)....
Most if not all of my trades are based on finding the best Option Combinations for Stocks , Indexes or ETF's which I believe follow a particular trading range. This 'expected' trend is based less on technical indicators and more on the underlying fundamentals of the equities, market psychology and simple supply and demand. To date my preferences for investing in equities goes mainly to the energy market (mainly gas), gold, silver and commodities (uranium, copper and rare earth metals) and last but not least semiconductors while the AI hype lasts.
It doesn't matter if the trend is bullish, bearish or trending sideways, there are always option combinations that can be applied, such as Strangles, Bull or Bear Put/Call spreads, Butterflies, Iron condors, Covered Calls etc. etc.
The interesting aspects of trading in options is that the Risk/Reward ratio can be high. For Put or Call spreads for example, one can easily double/triple the input, depending on the option combination. For butterflies the ratio can even go up to 1:10 or higher (i.e. input $1000 may end up at $10,000 if the butterfly combination comes true). On the other hand, one could easily lose the full invested amount if the underlying equity does not follow your expected trend, but in most cases you will always know the maximum amount you can lose for these option strategies and as such base your trading strategy on these risk/reward levels.
This XME Bull Put is a simple spread to profit while from the S&P Metals & mining ETF if this remains bullish.
LONG CHINA Ok my friends, here is what you are going to do.
Right now, you have the opportunity to get a better price on China than the vast majority of investors since 2006. AMEX:FXI is pure, undisputed value here. Instead of buying America at the top, buy China at the bottom.
Free money at these levels.
Long AMEX:FXI
Bad idea to go long on PFE?Here I am again with another trade.
Pfizer is one of the many stocks I have been following for quite a time waiting for a good setup and I think now it's the time to go long,
Bullish RSI divergence, probable double bottom on a long time strong support area. We know this company has received a lot of heat because of covid, but Pfizer is a strong player in the healthcare industry so I hope it will rise again after all this tech AI mania goes over.
I'm buying PFE for a swing trade, let's see how it goes in a few months.
Tap Double Top or buying opportunity?NYSE:TAP has had a rough time as of late as noted on the weekly chart.
I am torn between the was it a double top or are we entering a buying opportunity here?
If it loses the 53 level it can continue to slide especially if earnings disappoint, on the other hand it could rise if earnings surprise at this low level. The lowest analyst had a target of 53 I am debating entering but concerned on this weekly chart.
GameStop adds $800+ million in fresh capitalAt one point this week, GameStop was up some 265% from Monday to Wednesday. That's 48 hours of trading, up 265%, and on rather large sums of volume at a $10+ billion market cap. This is real money, fast money and that's why it's hard to ignore such price action.
While many traders made and lost money on this hype trade, there is one group that played it brilliantly: GameStop itself.
Once the dust had settled, GameStop announced a new shelf offering to sell some its share to add cash to its balance sheet. How much cash? They now have the right to sell up to 45 million shares and at $20 per share, that's $800,000,000 in new capital to shore up its balance sheet.
$800 million.
If the shares go back on the move, that number could easy go back above $1 billion.
So who won after the frenzy was over? GameStop.
Their balance sheet is about to get that much stronger with the latest cash infusion.
TLRY and its peers jump on high federal news catalyst LONGTLRY on the 2H sharge shows a draamatic trading response to the DOJ recommending the
reclassification of marijuana. No much to the analysis = these will have momentum until it
fades. I suspect good continuation plays here until mid -day on Friday when profit taking
and sell-offs will dominate. Short sellers will take positions at the tops as well. In the
meanwhile long trades are the low lying fruit.. The risk is a bit lessens by the surge from
the news. Others include SNDL, OGI , ACB and the ETF MJ for those who like to spread risk
across a basket of stocks. For the time being these stocks will be truly buzzed but do not be
late. Stay home if you are.
Ashapura Minechem Ltd: Poised for Growth?Ashapura Minechem Ltd has shown a remarkable progression in its quarterly sales figures, escalating from INR 350 crores in December 202 to an impressive INR 713 crores in December 2023. This consistent upward trajectory is indicative of robust sales growth, a positive sign for potential investors.
Despite facing challenges, as evidenced by the volatile operating profit margins (OPM) which even dipped into the negative territory in December 2021, the company has managed to rebound effectively. The resilience is portrayed through the OPM climbing back to 8% by December 2023.
When we scrutinize the Profit & Loss statements over the years, it's apparent that sales have more than doubled from March 2021 to the trailing twelve months (TTM) ending in March 2024. This phenomenal growth is underpinned by a substantial increase in net profit, escalating from INR 87 crores in March 2021 to INR 254 crores in TTM March 2024.
Furthermore, the company has displayed commendable liquidity management, with its net cash flow from operating activities shifting from negative to a positive INR 47 crores in March 2023. Also, the increase in reserves from INR -364 crores in March 2012 to a robust INR 785 crores by September 2023 signals strengthened internal financial health.
The cash conversion cycle and the debt management need to be monitored closely. Nonetheless, a decline in debtor days from March 2021 to March 2023 and a steady ROCE % around 16% by March 2023 affirm efficient operations and profitability on capital employed.
Moreover, the shareholding pattern brings confidence, as increasing promoter stakes signal strong conviction in the company’s future prospects, escalating marginally to 45.39% by March 2024.
Taking our analysis to the technical realm, the current market price of INR 341 near the resistance line of the six-month linear regression channel might suggest a potential price consolidation or retracement.
However, here's why a long position holds promise:
Sales Growth: The company’s sales figures are showing strong momentum which can potentially translate into increased earnings in the coming quarters.
Profitability Increase: The Net Profit and EPS are exhibiting growth, which could lead to upward price movements as the market reassesses the company's valuation.
Robust Reserves: The steady increase in reserves is an indicator of the firm's improving net worth and financial robustness.
Promoter's Faith: The incremental increase in promoters' shareholding suggests a bullish sentiment from those with intimate knowledge of the company.
Given this information, if the price breaks through the resistance, it could be an indicator of strength, backing up the fundamental analysis and providing a solid entry point for a long position.
For investors considering the long game, the conjunction of promising fundamentals and positive technical setups could suggest that Ashapura Minechem Ltd is gearing up for a potent market move. However, this must be balanced with diligence and an understanding of risk, especially given the volatility in operating margins and the reliance on continuous market momentum.
In conclusion , Ashapura Minechem Ltd's ascendancy in financial metrics coupled with a reassuring increase in promoter holding and robust sales growth creates a compelling narrative for investors to consider a long position. The technical analysis, while currently at resistance, will serve as a crucial determinant in timing market entry. The key is to watch for a breakout which would signal undoubted strength and propel the stock into a new bullish phase.
Disclaimer: The above analysis is based on historical and current financial data. I recommend investors perform their due diligence and consult a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.