Value
FDX "FedEx" EarningsI see FDX forming a Bullish Pennant after surpassing a 52-week high and going into earnings. We have also seen record highs in online sales which signify an exceptional increase in Shipping/Transportation. I see this benefitting both FDX and UPS for their upcoming earnings reports and forward guidance. Let's see how this plays out!
Japanese Balance of Trade being released early in Sydney sessionJapan exports to U.S and Europe in similar quantities demanded. Observing the Yen per Dollar and Yen per Euro rates, 143.821 Yen per Dollar and 157.870 Yen per Euro. The euro displays strength as it costs more Yen to Purchase one Euro opposed to a smaller amount of Yen to purchase one Dollar.
HSY - Long term opportunityI tend to focus on technical plays. I like Hershey here, but more so for fundamental reasons.
Management's recent earnings forecast is solid; management also tends to be conservative in estimates.
The company certainly faces headwinds that shouldn't be ignored - continued inflation, the attention weight loss drugs are getting, and cocoa prices are at multi-decade highs.
Current PE is 19.64 while the historical PE ratio over the last five years is 24.75. That's 26% above where it currently stands. There may be some further downside, but I think ultimately much of the risk is priced into the stock.
HSY pays a dividend, but I don't see the yield at 2.6% as very material.
Alas, even on long-term buys, I focus on technical indicators to support the timing of entry. In this case, we have a stock at a 24-month low sitting at strong support. The MACD is showing positive divergence, as well.
I plan to play this by writing aggressive near the money puts in the volume shelf. Should I take ownership, I'll write covered calls.
Not a recommendation.
Flight Boarding - Grand Theft Auto 6Hey fellow gamers and number-crunchers, gather 'round! 🎮
Big news alert: Rockstar Games is dropping the first trailer for Grand Theft Auto 6 on December 5, 2023! twitter.com
Now, for those who live and breathe gaming, no further explanation needed. But hey, to the data lovers and boomers in the house, let me break it down for you.
Rockstar is the genius behind hits like Grand Theft Auto, Red Dead Redemption, Bully, and La Noire. Flashback to 2013 when they unleashed Grand Theft Auto 5, which turned out to be the best-selling console/PC-only game EVER. Talk about a gaming legend!
Fast forward to now, and GTA 5 has racked up a mind-blowing 185 million units in sales by August 2023. That's across three console generations and PC, making it the cash cow of the entertainment world.
Hold on to your controllers because Grand Theft Auto 6 is gearing up for launch, and the prediction is a whopping $1 billion in sales from the get-go! 🤑 Experts are betting on at least 25 million copies flying off the shelves on release day.
For the financial gurus out there, I've got the deets on TTWO Rockstar Games history prices in my previous analysis. And if you're eyeing the market, the sweet spot for entering the trade seems to be at that red horizontal line at 146 - 150. But here's the cherry on top: I believe we're aiming for a new all-time high beyond 210! 🚀
So, who's ready for the next gaming revolution? 🌟 Share your thoughts below and let the positive vibes flow! 🚀🎉
Bonk is Undervalued by at Least 1000%The chart shows classic price correction but this idea is not about classic technical analysis.
Under normal circumstances this bullish trade would be a process of several days or even a few weeks - dropping to resistance at 0.000015 and strong resistance at 0.000010. Then long in several strong waves.
But... these are not normal circumstances. Bonk is in the news and for good reason such as being listed on Coinbase and Binance, but that's not why I am excited.
BONK is undervalued to the point of bewilderment when you look under the hood and learn what is going on behind the scenes. Also, if you compare volume and turnover against the top 50 Cryptocurrencies it becomes even clearer. Dive deeper and discover how deeply connected BONK is with the Solana ecosystem and the projects BONK is aligned with. BONK is not just a meme coin.
I understand there is a lot more to it than trading prices when comparing the value of one coin again another however, in my opinion BONK is more valuable than Doge and several other 'big' players in the crypto space. Currently CRYPTOCAP:DOGE is trading at around $0.09 and BONK is $0.000025 and some others a lot higher and way over valued in some cases.
Disclaimer: I am not a financial advisor, this is simply an idea illustrating why I'm making my biggest investment of 2023 in BONK - when I told my friends today they thought I was crazy then I told them to put Bonk news into Google and get back to me... They want to know more now LOL :-)
BTC Price Prediction for USA Monetary BASEThe circulation of usable money in the US has changed considerably since the last bull run as a result of FED policies. The amount of usable money in circulation (M2SL), the so-called Monetary BASE 2, has declined since then. Therefore, when considering the BTC/USDT price, you may want to keep this chart in mind (I do).
Looking at the chart, you can see that the BTC/USDT price still hasn't reached the distribution area in the 40-45k range. However, if you look at the BTC/M2SL chart, you can see that this is exactly where it has been mitigated.
If you look at the other BTC/USDT chart I shared, I think you can draw meaningful conclusions.
Note: The red and green arrows on the chart show possible price movements (in my opinion).
The red box is the potential distribution area, and the green box is at least an accumulation zone for a potential reversal.
Trade Plan for ATT($T)The purpose of this is to document and track my trade plan for ATT. This is not financial advice and these are not plays.
Nomenclature: Accumulation to me is the acquisition of "free" shares that are paid for by profits on trades. I.E. If I buy 100 shares and sell 80 at 20% profit, the remaining 20 are "free" since my initial entry cost was recovered. If I do this 5 times, I have 100 "free" shares.
The Rules (Cause trade plans need rules.):
1. Upon entering an option position, a GTC order to sell at 20% profit (after fees) goes in immediately. Runners will only be a thing when 5+ contracts are purchased.
2. Stop losses are determined but do not go on the tape.
Indicators:
13/48EMA Daily
50/200SMA Daily
30SMA Weekly
SRChannels
Volume Profile
RSI
DMI
MACD
Stupid Willy
Cumulative Delta Volume.
Fibonacci retracements, extensions, channels with proprietary levels.
Trading methods:
Weinstein
Wyckoff
The idea to trade this popped on the radar when I was notified by a co-worker that ATT dropped to a ten year low. After looking at the chart, I saw a potential opportunity to utilize what I learned since the Gamestop sneeze and I do not mind holding ATT long term should a trade go horribly against me.
The goal initially was to swing trade an overreaction by the market and snag some dividends before exiting with a small profit. The Weinstein SMA(Burgandy MA Line) indicates an accumulation phase beginning so there is a possibility of scalping more alpha.
Comments in Orange are explicitly for Weinstein and Wyckoff commentary.
Random drawings will be fib levels and other artifacts from indicators that are off to clean up the publish.
$INJ Updated Target levels / Resistance and supportsAfter the great success of CRYPTOCAP:INJ since our last call I wanted to update some price targets.
It has had an absolute rip since my first call yielding about 100% gain in about a month.
I can see its success continue, but we need to break over the yellow updated resistance level outlined in this chart. (33.77)
Another Critical component of this trade to pay attention to is the recent fud posted to twitter yesterday.
This is the tweet I am referring to/ x.com
It claims that collusion among market makers is the only thing keeping the price up.
Another particularly alarming fact is the TVL compared to FDV
11m to 3 billion - which is absolutely horrendous.
I personally will take profit on a good portion of my position and let the rest ride at critical points outlined.
No point being greedy in this market. Plenty of opportunities await.
QS has above average 6 year potentialDespite the slowdown in EV sales, it appears this market will increase year over year. Solid State batteries will bring lower costs, improved ranges to vehicles which could bring a new wave of EV volume increases. QS is in a position to take a significant share of the Solid State battery market either through battery sales or through licensing of technology. Lack of revenue may be keeping QS lower for now, but cash on hand is impressive and some actual sales may hit the books in by 2025 or 2026. My opinion: Now is the time to go long on QS, and hold.
AIG Quietly Approaches Historic LevelsAmerican International Group had one of the biggest drops during the Global Financial Crisis. Now, after 15 years in the penalty box, the former Dow member could be fighting back.
The main pattern on today’s chart is the January 2017 peak of $67.47. It remains AIG’s highest level since October 2008 -- one month after the insurance giant lost about 90 percent of its value. (A 1-for-20 reverse stock split the following summer restored some of its value on a per-share basis.)
Given the importance of the GFC collapse, a break above last decade’s highs could make long-term investors view the stock as a comeback play.
Next is the January high of $64.88, which AIG probed early last month. Prices broke resistance in the second half of November and last week held the same zone. Has old resistance become new support?
Third, the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) had a “golden cross” above the 200-day SMA in August.
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E moves with P; Euros per Dollar. #1.On October 12, 2023. The U.S released the Inflation Rate as well as the CPI figures. Both for the Sep period. The Dollars per Euro rate having depreciated by 0.93% to end the week following the release of price data. Do exchange rates moving conjoinedly with price levels? This would be a good thesis to create that hypothesis. One example is statistically insignificant; nonetheless, it is notable.
Neurocrine Biosciences (NBIX: NASDAQ)Neurocrine Biosciences (NBIX), a biotech company specializing in treatments for neurological, endocrine, and psychiatric disorders, is poised for opportunities in congenital adrenal hyperplasia (CAH). Analysts project NBIX to potentially achieve worldwide revenue of $660 million by fiscal year 2030, emphasizing substantial market potential. Crinecerfont, an NBIX drug, has shown a positive impact, allowing 63% of adults to lower their glucocorticoid doses.
With a 77% boost in EBIT and a robust free quarterly cash flow of $280.80 million, NBIX demonstrates financial strength. The bullish outlook on NBIX suggests a favorable stance above $99.00-$100.00, with an upside target set at $150.00-$155.00.
Crypto101 - How to Make Money with DeFiHi Traders, Investors and Speculators 📈📉
Ev here. Been trading crypto since 2017 and later got into stocks. I have 3 board exams on financial markets and studied economics from a top tier university for a year. Daytime job - Math Teacher.
If you’ve been following me on TradingView for a while, you’ll now that I’m a believer – a believer in the promise of blockchain. One of the principals of this promise is to move away from centrally controlled banking systems. This would eventually include the act of saving and earning interest for the money that you leave in the capable hands of your banker (who also gets to decide whether or not you qualify for loans). Currently, you need to give up all of your personal information to open a bank account and furthermore you are seriously undercut in the returns / interest rate that you will be receiving (to name only two of many problems with the system). For example, where I reside, the most common interest on a savings account is 5% annually, whereas the interest on your credit card is 19.5% annually.
Before we continue, familiarize yourself with these Key Terms:
TVL – Total Value Locked in the platform
DEX - A decentralized exchange. Peer-to-peer marketplace where transactions occur directly between crypto traders like Coinbase and Binance
Blockchain – A unique way of coding that is open for anyone to use, many believe that web3 will be built on top this kind of coding
DeFi – Decentralized Finance such as cryptocurrencies and stablecoins
dApp – Software like apps that work on the basis of blockchain code and thus apps that accommodate cryptocurrency such as UniSwap and NFT Market places
LP tokens - New liquidity pool tokens. LP tokens represent a crypto liquidity provider's share of a pool, and the crypto liquidity provider remains entirely in control of the token. For example, if you contribute $10 USD worth of assets to a Balancer pool that has a total worth of $100, you would receive 10% of that pool's LP tokens.
APY - Annual Percentage Yield, think of it as yearly interest in percentage
Smart Contracts — Electronic, digital contracts coded to integrate with dApps. Automated financial agreements between two or more parties once the pre-determined terms of the contract is reached
With the rise of Blockchain, Crypto and then Decentralized apps, yield farming was born to address some of the banking system's limits. Or at least, that would be in the perfect world. Yield farming is the process of using DeFi to maximize returns. Users lend or borrow crypto on a DeFi platform and earn cryptocurrency in return for their services. This works for both parties, because yield farmers provide liquidity to various token pairs and you earn rewards in cryptocurrencies. However, yield farming can be a risky practice due to price volatility, rug pulls, smart contract hacks etc.
Yield farming allows investors to earn interest which is called ‘yield’ by putting coins or tokens in a dApp, which is an application (coded software) that integrates with blockchain code. Examples of dApps include crypto wallets, exchanges and many more. Yield farmers generally use decentralized exchanges (DEXs) to lend, borrow or stake coins to earn interest and speculate on price swings. Yield farming across DeFi is facilitated by smart contracts.
Let’s take a closer look at the different types of yield farming:
Liquidity provider: You deposit two coins to a DEX to provide trading liquidity. Exchanges charge a small fee to swap the two tokens which is paid to liquidity providers. This fee can sometimes be paid in new liquidity pool (LP) tokens.
Lending: Coin or token holders can lend crypto to borrowers through a smart contract and earn yield from interest paid on the loan.
Borrowing: Farmers can use one token as collateral and receive a loan of another. Users can then farm yield with the borrowed coins. This way, the farmer keeps their initial holding, which may increase in value over time, while also earning yield on their borrowed coins.
Staking: There are two forms of staking in the world of DeFi. The main form is on proof-of-stake blockchains, where a user is paid interest to pledge their tokens to the network to provide security. The second is to stake LP tokens earned from supplying a DEX with liquidity. This allows users to earn yield twice, as they are paid for supplying liquidity in LP tokens which they can then stake to earn more yield.
Yield farmers who want to increase their yield output can also use more complex tactics. For example, yield farmers can constantly shift their cryptos between multiple loan platforms to optimize their gains. Pro Tip: Use a High-Speed, Anonymous VPN. This lets you securely access the internet in an untraceable way. If you’re a cryptocurrency trader, you may want to remain anonymous or mask your IP address to another location.
With all of the above mentioned, the first step would be to determine your needs or interests and thereafter, opening an account or accounts. A few popular places to start exploring include:
1. Quint – Voted one of the best yield farming crypto platforms for 2022
2. Uniswap - Second-largest decentralized exchange (DEX) behind Curve Finance
3. YouHodler – Worldwide Exchange with yield farming
4. eToro – Regulated platform offering crypto interest tools
5. Crypto.com – Great platform for earning a high APY on Stablecoins
6. BlockFi – Popular Platform for Bitcoin yields. BlockFi was one of the first platforms to launch its own crypto credit card. The BlockFi Rewards Visa Signature Credit Card earns up to 2% back in the cryptocurrency of your choice and doesn't charge an annual fee
7. Coinbase – Top-Rated yield-generating platform for beginners
8. DeFi Swap – Overall best DeFi yield farming platform 2022 , earning up to 75% APY on DeFi coins
9. AQRU – Voted one of the best crypto Yield farming platforms for 2022
10. Aave - Reigning DeFi king in terms of total value locked
Note that the above is in no specific order. On the chart, you will see some fast facts on some of the options that these platforms offer. This is also not a shill, and I am not currently participating in any of the above mentioned. This is just intended as an easy introduction to another branch of what the world of Blockchain and DeFi has to offer.
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