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Can Gold Rising Wedge Be Bullish? Bearish Pattern Break Up?Fellow Traders, I marked the resistance lines I identified with red, and I identified a rising wedge pattern in white color on the chart. Behind the lines, gold has been accumulating a strong demand within the wedge. The chart pattern itself is a kind that tends to break downwards. In general, a rising wedge is a bearish setup. However, general rules don't work as much in trading as they do in other areas like biology. There's significant statistics for rising wedges to break in either direction. With gold's growing demand and valuation, I think the rising wedge could break upwards and trigger an elevated rally. Or if it breaks down, as this pattern usually does, the wedge allows a steep bounce to retest the wedge before any reversal to bearish. I can see a conflicting trend and chart pattern, but my two cents say a profitable long position more likely. - Essa
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Darthessa
2
DXY's Recent Shifts: Insights and ObservationsD ear Esteemed TradingView Community, I'm sharing my recent analytical insights into the movements of the Dollar Index (DXY). Please note that the following reflections are not financial advice but rather a comprehensive analysis based on my observations. This week, DXY experienced a notable descent, and my analysis, driven by AI natural language processing, suggests a correlation with global news developments. Strikingly, the influence of news events appears to have a more significant impact on price action than technical indicators. As DXY found its way down, it eventually landed in a support zone. While this decline signals a bearish sentiment, it's crucial to recognize that the current position also places DXY in a support zone. Historical data indicates that predictions originating from support zones tend to favor upward price trends. Although some indicators still hint at a potential bearish outcome, extending downwards to the underlying support zone around $101 (as indicated by the blue rectangle), this zone might also act as a reversal point. Notably, the current support level aligns with the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) of 200, adding a layer of significance to its potential impact. In this scenario, careful observation becomes paramount. One can monitor whether the price breaks below EMA 200, potentially signaling a short position with a target at the underlying support zone. Conversely, a long idea could play out if the observed support level, coinciding with EMA 200, acts as a shield, propelling DXY upward. It's essential to exercise caution when contemplating short positions from the current level, given its classification as a support zone. The risk-reward ratio may not favor such a strategy at this juncture. Adding a layer of complexity to the analysis is DXY's correlation with the stock market. The potential for DXY to follow a bearish trajectory could be heightened by a flourishing stock market. Conversely, a bounce in DXY might indicate a retracement in the context of a thriving stock market. In conclusion, the intricacies of DXY's current position warrant careful consideration. The interplay between support zones, technical indicators, and global events introduces a degree of uncertainty. As we navigate these waters, it's crucial to remain vigilant and adaptable in our approach to market analysis. With regard and an understanding heart, Ely
TVC:DXY
by Elysian_Mind
FL "Foot Locker" coming in HOT ahead of earningsFootlocker has been on a 36% run in the last 3 months following it's second miss on earnings for the year on August 23rd. During this time the stock as formed a rising wedge which could breakout to the downside on any negative news. They've been dealing with Macroeconomic headwinds, as well as a drastic decrease in sales due to customers spending less and less on discretionary items. Yesterday Citi Group downgraded them to $18, yet they pushed higher today. All in all I believe "FL" has exhausted any bullish momentum that they could have possibly gained heading into earnings. That being said I believe we could see a fall to around $17 give or take.
NYSE:FLShort
by Gutta_CEO_
Is the PayPal bottom finally in? My bet is yes.After an excruciating 82%+ drawdown from all-time highs made 2 years ago, PayPal is finally showing some signs of bottoming action following the company's recent earnings report. The new CEO Alex Chriss has got all of the right talking points and focused on the right areas of the business. The true growth areas of the company are still in question, but from a value stand-point the stock trades at some of the cheapest levels in the company's history. From a technical perspective, the stock is holding the recent earnings gap up and is starting to form higher highs and higher lows on the daily. A breakout up and over this $59 area should bring a fresh wave of momentum buyers as the stock attempts to reverse its longer-term downtrend. I recently acquired a long position for my longer-term investments portfolio and am looking for higher prices over the next several quarters and full year. (disclosure: long)
NASDAQ:PYPLLong
by EvanMedeiros
2
Trading Idea: Buy Deutsche Bank (DB) StockDeutsche Bank's stock price has experienced a decline over the past 5 days. This trading idea proposes buying Deutsche Bank (DB) stock. Core Logic The trading idea is based on identifying companies with strong short-term profitability. The strategy focuses on three key factors: Gross Profit Margin: A high gross profit margin indicates that the company is generating substantial profit from its core operations after deducting the cost of goods sold. This is a positive indicator of profitability. Revenue: High revenue suggests that the company is generating substantial income from its business activities. A strong revenue stream indicates a healthy and growing business. Cost of Revenue: A low cost of revenue indicates that the company is efficiently managing its expenses related to producing goods or services. Lower costs lead to higher profit margins and potentially higher profitability. By considering these factors, the trading idea aims to identify companies with strong short-term profitability potential. Based on these insights, the idea suggests buying Deutsche Bank (DB) stock. Please note that this trading idea is suitable for investors with an extremely short investment horizon and an exceptionally high risk tolerance. Technical Outlook Deutsche Bank Approaching Key Support Level Deutsche Bank (DB) is currently trading at 12.09. The stock is approaching a key support level, just 5 cents away from 11.86. Breaking below this level could indicate further losses are ahead. However, if the stock fails to break below this level, it could be viewed positively by bulls, with a retracement being likely. In spite of the current bearish market, market analysts expect Deutsche Bank's price action to test an important upper Bollinger Band® level at $12.47. This indicates that there is potential for a rebound in the stock's price. Deutsche Bank's stock has seen a 10.61% increase in the past month and has outperformed the Nasdaq by 36.18% so far this year. The stock currently has a market cap of $24.29 billion. Yesterday, a total of 1.48 million shares of Deutsche Bank were traded, which is below the multiday average of 2.39 million shares. Today, Deutsche Bank's stock declined by 0.49%, falling from 12.15 to 12.09. This further reinforces the ongoing downtrend of the stock. In summary, Deutsche Bank is approaching a critical support level and breaking below it could lead to further losses. However, failing to break below this level could signal a retracement. Market analysts expect the stock to test an upper Bollinger Band® level at $12.47.
NYSE:DBLong
by NomolosAI
Dollar/Euro, U.S Marco-events over the past two-weeks. Tue, Nov 14, 23. - CPI, Oct, Actual: 307.671 Previous: 307.789 Expectation: 307.8- 387.857 Wed, Nov 15, 23. - PPI MoM, Oct, Actual: -0.5% Previous: 0.4% Expectation: 0.1% Wed, Nov 15, 23. - Retail Sales MoM, Oct, Actual: -0.1% Previous: 0.9% Expectation: 0 to -0.3% Thu, Nov 16, 23. - Export Prices MoM, Oct, Actual: -1.1% Previous: 0.5% Expectation: -0.4% to -0.5% Thu, Nov 16, 23. - Jobless Claims 4-week Average, Nov/ 11, Actual: 220.25K Previous: 212.5K Expectation: 215.0K Wed, Nov 21, 23. - Durable Goods Orders MoM, Oct, Actual: -5.4% Previous: 4% Expectation: -2.8% to -3.1% Wed, Nov 21, 23. - Jobless Claims 4-week Average, Nov/ 18, Actual: 220K Previous: 220.75K Expectation: 223.75K Fri, Nov 24, 23. - S&P Global Composite PMI Flash, Nov, Actual: 50.7 Previous: 50.7 Expectation: 50.6 The U.S dollar has depreciated 2.3% in the past two weeks against the Euro. GDP figures on the docket for the week ahead. Personal Income MoM, ISM Manufacturing PMI upcoming on the docket as well.
Long
by MostlyFXcharts
Altman + Microsoft: Will AI Wizardry Catapult Stocks ?Microsoft's trajectory into the future takes a compelling turn with the addition of Sam Altman, an AI luminary, to its internal team. This analysis explores the fusion of technology and finance, specifically delving into Altman's impact on AI development within Microsoft. We examine the integration of advanced AI features into Microsoft 365 and assess Microsoft's competitive position in the dynamic AI market. On the financial front, Microsoft's robust fundamental rating sets the stage for closer scrutiny, emphasizing its stability and profitability. Altman's potential influence on Microsoft's stock value, given his renowned AI contributions, is a key focus, highlighting the pivotal role of innovation in sustaining and enhancing stock performance. This concise analysis aims to unravel the symbiotic relationship between technological prowess and financial resilience, providing insights into Microsoft's post-Altman journey. As we navigate challenges and opportunities, the conclusion offers a holistic perspective on Microsoft's potential to lead in AI technology and maintain a competitive edge globally. Technology Analysis: Impact of Sam Altman Joining the Microsoft AI Team: With Sam Altman's experience in AI development through OpenAI, his presence in Microsoft's internal team can positively influence the advancement of more sophisticated AI technology. The potential integration of Altman's ideas and strategies can strengthen innovation within Microsoft applications. AI Technology in Microsoft 365 Applications: Recent changes in Microsoft 365, such as the addition of Copilot features, demonstrate Microsoft's commitment to integrating artificial intelligence into its products. This can enhance user appeal and expand the user base of Microsoft applications. Competitors and Position in the AI Market: In the intense competition in the artificial intelligence sector with companies like Amazon, Google, and Facebook, Microsoft's strategic move with Sam Altman joining can help maintain and enhance its position in the AI market. Financial Analysis: Fundamental Rating of MSFT: With a fundamental rating of 7 out of 10, Microsoft is considered highly profitable with no liquidity or solvency issues. A good dividend rating and consistent profits over the last 5 years indicate financial stability. Impact of Sam Altman's Presence on MSFT Stock: In addition to his contributions to technology development, Sam Altman's presence can also act as a positive catalyst for Microsoft's stock. Altman's reputation in the AI field and his connection with Microsoft can build investor confidence. Innovation as the Key to Stock Value Increase: In the face of tough competition, continuous innovation in AI technology is crucial to maintaining and increasing stock value. Altman's joining provides an additional potential for innovation that can influence the performance of MSFT stock. Combined Analysis: Synergy of Technology and Finance: The combination of superior technology and stable financial conditions strengthens Microsoft's position in facing the future. Technological innovation is key to reinforcing the company's value, and, therefore, the potential for stock increase. Challenges and Opportunities: Despite Microsoft's solid fundamentals, challenges in AI competition persist. Hence, the company needs to stay focused on innovation and adapt to market developments. With Sam Altman's support, Microsoft has the opportunity to continue leading in AI technology development. This enhancement can play a crucial role in the growth of MSFT stock value; however, long-term success also depends on the company's ability to stay competitive in the dynamic and competitive market.
NASDAQ:MSFT
by fardycurry
Is Sanofi Undervalue by 22% ?I wanted to share an analysis I've conducted on Sanofi over the past five years using both comparable methods and a 2-Stage DCF approach. According to my findings, the market value appears to be at least 22% undervalued in comparison with its fair value. Moreover, considering the post-COVID effects on pharmaceutical companies, I believe Sanofi presents a compelling opportunity to purchase its stock with potentially lower risk. I would be glad to share my detailed analysis for any one interested in more in debt explorations Disclaimer: This information is based on my personal analysis and is not to be considered financial advice. I am expressing my own views and opinions on the current market conditions and Sanofi's stock. Always conduct your own research and consider seeking advice from a qualified financial professional before making any investment decisions.
EURONEXT:SANLong
by arya1992
and How to Fix ThemTechnical analysis (TA) stands out as one of the most widely utilized methods for scrutinizing financial markets, finding applications across diverse sectors like stocks, forex, gold, and cryptocurrencies. While the fundamental tenets of technical analysis may seem straightforward, mastering this craft poses its own set of challenges. Navigating through a plethora of errors is a natural part of the learning curve, much like acquiring any skill. This becomes particularly crucial in the realm of trading and investing, where the absence of vigilance and failure to glean insights from mistakes can potentially result in substantial capital losses. While acknowledging the value of learning from errors, it is imperative to prioritize the avoidance of these pitfalls wherever possible. So, what missteps tend to be common among beginners when delving into technical analysis and trading? Neglecting Risk Management: ‣Failing to establish appropriate risk-reward ratios and neglecting risk management strategies can lead to significant losses. ‣Traders must define their risk tolerance , set stop-loss orders, and diversify their portfolios to protect against adverse market movements. ‣Understanding position sizing and employing risk management tools, such as trailing stops, is crucial for preserving capital. Chasing the Trend: ‣While trend-following is a popular strategy, blindly chasing trends without thorough analysis can result in poorly timed entries. ‣Traders should wait for confirmations, utilize technical indicators to identify trend strength, and avoid entering trades impulsively. ‣Recognizing trend reversals and adjusting strategies accordingly is essential for sustainable trading success. Lack of Continual Learning: ‣The dynamic nature of financial markets requires traders to stay informed about market trends, economic developments, and emerging trading strategies. ‣Continuous learning through reading market analyses, attending webinars, and participating in trading communities enhances traders' decision-making capabilities. ‣Stagnation in learning may lead to outdated strategies and missed opportunities for profitable trades. Impatience with Strategies: ‣Successful trading strategies require time to prove their effectiveness, and impatience can lead to premature abandonment. ‣Traders should maintain discipline, rigorously follow their strategies, and resist the urge to switch strategies too quickly. ‣Consistency and a long-term perspective are critical for evaluating the true efficacy of a trading strategy. Focusing Solely on Technicals: ‣While technical analysis is valuable, ignoring fundamental factors can result in a narrow perspective. ‣Traders benefit from integrating both technical and fundamental analyses for a comprehensive understanding of market conditions. ‣Economic indicators, news events, and geopolitical factors can significantly impact asset prices, complementing technical analysis. Emotional Trading: ‣Emotional decision-making, driven by FOMO , greed, or excitement, can lead to irrational actions and losses. ‣Traders must cultivate emotional discipline, adhere to their trading plans, and avoid making impulsive decisions based on transient emotions. ‣Utilizing mindfulness techniques and taking breaks during periods of high stress can help manage emotional responses. Lack of Record-Keeping: ‣Maintaining a detailed trading journal is essential for tracking trades, analyzing strategies, and identifying areas for improvement. ‣Traders often overlook the importance of record-keeping, missing valuable insights that could enhance their trading performance. ‣Regularly reviewing past trades enables traders to learn from both successes and mistakes, refining their approach over time. Ignoring Market Sentiment: ‣Market sentiment influences price movements, and overlooking it can lead to missed opportunities or unexpected losses. ‣Traders should pay attention to sentiment indicators, news sentiment analysis, and social media trends to gauge market sentiment. ‣Understanding how sentiment aligns with technical analysis provides a more holistic view of market conditions. Overconfidence: ‣Overestimating one's abilities and becoming excessively confident can lead to risky decisions and substantial losses. ‣Traders should remain humble, acknowledge market uncertainties, and avoid overconfidence biases. ‣Regular self-assessment and seeking constructive feedback from peers can help prevent overconfidence. Neglecting Diversification: ‣Concentrating all investments in a single asset class or market exposes traders to higher risks during market downturns. ‣Diversification involves spreading investments across different assets to mitigate risk and enhance portfolio stability. ‣Neglecting diversification may result in significant losses if a specific market experiences adverse movements. Failure to Adapt to Market Conditions: ‣Unwillingness to adapt strategies to changing market conditions can lead to ineffective approaches. ‣Traders must stay flexible, recognize shifts in market dynamics, and adjust their strategies accordingly. ‣Failure to adapt may result in missed opportunities or losses during evolving market landscapes. We've covered several fundamental mistakes that you'd do well to steer clear of when employing technical analysis. Keep in mind that trading is a challenging endeavor, and adopting a longer-term perspective often proves more practical. Remember, achieving consistent proficiency in trading is a gradual journey that demands time and effort. It involves extensive practice to fine-tune your trading strategies and acquire the skills to craft your unique trade concepts. This approach enables you to pinpoint your strengths, recognize your weaknesses, and maintain command over your investment and trading choices.
Education
by Vestinda
FTM Speculative Asset Play - DeadCOIN?FTM is one of those coins that is in a pretty uncomfortable place for me, Not much going on in the Fantom Ecosystem and a ton of new competition has sprung up over the past three years, However from a technical standpoint FTM looks incredible right now, Id recommend accumulating at least a small bag in case these targets do come to fruition. Support Zone : $.2570 - $2670 Major Resistance Zone: $.2960-$.3210 Target 1: $.3863 +31% Target 2: $.4880 +64% Target 3: $.6101 +105% Fantom is a directed acyclic graph (DAG) smart contract platform providing decentralized finance (DeFi) services to developers using its own bespoke consensus algorithm. Together with its in-house token FTM, Fantom aims to solve problems associated with smart-contract platforms, specifically transaction speed, which developers say they have reduced to under two seconds. The Fantom Foundation, which oversees the Fantom product offering, was originally created in 2018, with the launch of OPERA, Fantom’s mainnet, coming in December 2019. Fantom is an open-source decentralized smart contract platform for DApps and digital assets that was created as an alternative to Ethereum. Fantom has the goal of overcoming the limitations of previous generation blockchains and balancing three components: scalability, security and decentralization. The project offers a set of tools to simplify the process of integrating existing DApps, as well as a detailed staking reward system and built-in DeFi instruments.
Long
by Helios_Capital_Investment
The last Bull runCrypto: The Last Bull Run Introduction With the recent surge in cryptocurrencies and the ongoing bull run, many investors and enthusiasts are wondering if this is the last opportunity for massive gains. In this article, we will discuss the current state of the market, the implications of the dot-com bubble, and the potential future of cryptocurrencies. The Current Bull Run: Déjà Vu or Something Different? As we witness the monumental growth in the value of cryptocurrencies, it's hard to ignore the similarities to the dot-com bubble of the early 2000s. Just like then, we are witnessing an influx of coins with no real-world use or purpose. The market is flooded with meme coins and other seemingly meaningless assets. The question is, how long can this trend continue? The Impending Market Crash: Flushing Out the Useless Coins While the current bull run may seem exciting, experts believe that it is the prelude to a market crash that will ultimately flush out the useless coins and tokens. Just like the dot-com bubble, the market is yet to mature fully. As regulations tighten and investors become more discerning, many of these coins will fade away. The Last Great Money Movement This bull run could very well go down in history as the last great money movement for cryptocurrencies. The gains we are witnessing now may not be sustainable in the long term. As the market matures, we can expect a significant shift in investment strategies and a more cautious approach from investors. The Market Differentiation: Separating the Winners from the Losers In the post-bull run era, the market will undoubtedly be different. We will witness a clear differentiation between coins with real-world use and those without. Coins that can showcase genuine utility and solve real problems will stand the test of time. The Big Flush: Saying Goodbye to Meme Coins and Others One of the key consequences of the market crash will be the disappearance of meme coins and other assets that lack substance. These coins rely on hype and speculation rather than offering any tangible value. As the market matures, investors will begin to prioritize authenticity and innovation, leaving behind the less meaningful tokens. Looking Beyond the Bull Run: So, what does the future hold for cryptocurrencies beyond this bull run? While the gains we are currently experiencing may not be sustainable, it doesn't mean that cryptocurrencies are going away. In fact, the market is simply evolving, and we can expect to see more stable and reliable cryptocurrencies emerge. Conclusion In conclusion, the current bull run in the crypto market is indeed a last great money movement for many coins. However, it also signifies an upcoming market crash that will separate the winners from the losers. The market is maturing, and with the introduction of regulations, we can expect meaningful changes. It's crucial for investors to stay informed, differentiate between valuable projects and meme coins, and adapt their investment strategies accordingly. Is this the last big bull run? Yes, this bull run may be one of the last opportunities for massive gains in the crypto market. What will happen after this bull run? We can expect a market crash that will flush out useless coins and lead to a shift in investment strategies. Will meme coins and others disappear? Yes, meme coins and other assets without real-world use are likely to disappear as the market matures. What does the future hold for cryptocurrencies? While the gains may not be as significant, cryptocurrencies are here to stay, and we can expect the emergence of more stable and valuable coins.
by TulipMania-Pluisje