$GURE, a bizarrely cheap Net Net stock.Last quarterly report puts NASDAQ:GURE well within Net Net stock territory.
Accordingly to the latest report, NASDAQ:GURE has $115.3M in cash and $18.1M in liabilities. Per share, intrinsic cash value is $9.34 per share vs today's price of $2.06.
Even before factoring in current assets this stock meets the criteria of Benjamin Graham's Net Net stock status.
Cash burn doesn't seem to be an issue neither does share dilution which surely makes NASDAQ:GURE a stock to watch...IF the numbers are to be believed?
Value
With the yield curve deeply inverted, what's the bull case?I recently published an idea where I laid out the bear case . But as I said in that post, although there are reasons for caution, I'm not really bearish on this market. In this post, I'll lay out why I do not believe now is the time to go full short.
The bear case in review
First, let's briefly review the bear case. First, the yield curve is deeply inverted. Historically, the time of greatest risk for stocks occurs as the curve uninverts. The market seems to expect the curve to uninvert over the next year. Second, energy prices and real weekly earnings have been climbing again, which suggests that inflation might not yet be dead. Third, there continue to be significant inflation risks connected to Russia, China, and the record temperatures and ice melt the world has seen this year. And fourth, global liquidity has been falling due to Central Bank balance sheet reduction and interest rate hikes.
And on top of all that, stock market valuations are really quite high. S&P 500 P/E is over 25. If I were blindly trading a macroeconomic model, I would probably be all cash or even short the market here.
So what could possibly be the bull case, then?
1. We may be on the cusp of the biggest productivity boom the world has ever seen
There are several reasons I'm not a bear right now, but the big one is automation and AI.
I know, I know; it feels like a bubble! It feels like hype! We get one of these every few years! We just went through one with crypto and NFTs!
But listen, I don't do hype. Except the occasional opportunistic scalp, I never bought into the crypto craze. I've never owned Nvidia or Tesla stock. So take me seriously when I say that when Dall-E 2 came out, I immediately recognized this was a different kind of thing. And when ChatGPT came out, I switched careers to work with these tools. I use them every single day, and they have already at least doubled my productivity. In my opinion, the AI field could stop making breakthroughs today, and we'd still see huge productivity gains for the next decade just from adoption of the tools we already have. And the breakthroughs haven't stopped. If anything, they've accelerated.
In my opinion, GPT-4 is already something very close to AGI. Its reasoning ability is astounding. Yes, you have to finesse the prompts a little to max out its reasoning ability. Yes, it hallucinates, and yes, OpenAI has nerfed it a little with all their context management and alignment work on the back end. Yes, it's hard to believe that reasoning ability emerges from next-word prediction. But the reasoning ability is undeniable when you see it solve novel problems before your eyes. As I've argued elsewhere, it appears that a "grammar of reasoning" is latent in the grammar of our language, and OpenAI has successfully created a statistical model of at least a portion of this grammar through matrix math.
The "BabyAGI" and "AutoGPT" efforts to bootstrap AGI with GPT-4 as an "LLM core" have so far been (mostly) unsuccessful. GPT-4 isn't good enough to get there with this paradigm. But a whole lot of programmers (including me) are working on AI agents that use an alternative "code core" paradigm. And in my opinion, GPT-4 is already powerful enough to get to AGI with this paradigm. It's just a matter of years. My prediction is that we will see AGI this decade. Maybe sooner rather than later.
Here's where I go out on a limb. I believe that we are on the cusp of the biggest productivity boom the world has ever seen. It's already started. In a quarter with very high interest rates, we just had a 3.7% productivity gain , smashing economists' expectations.
I don't think this will be the technological "singularity" that Kurzweil predicted, with exponential acceleration into an incomprehensible future. I don't think it will put all of humanity out of work overnight. But it's going to big. And it might very well put me out of work overnight, because I am a pure knowledge worker. Let's just say I'm not worried that productivity gains will fall short of my expectations. I'm way more afraid that they will exceed them, and that I'll be out of a job. And if that happens, then the only saving grace will be if I own a piece of the companies and technologies that put me out of work.
2. We've probably already beaten inflation
The rest of this post may be a bit of an anticlimax after that diatribe, but let's do it anyway. First of all, in my opinion, we've probably already beaten inflation. On an annualized basis, it's already back at the Fed's 2% target.
Yes, energy prices are rising again. That remains a pretty significant inflation risk. And we could also see food prices go up. But we may be on the verge of reversing some other key inflationary trends.
For one thing, the corollary of productivity gains is falling labor costs. With the higher-than-expected productivity gain last quarter, we had lower-than-expected unit labor costs (+1.6% vs. +2.5% forecast). This will be especially true for knowledge work. The cost of writing, marketing, and software services is going to plunge in the coming years. Service work and manual labor will become proportionally more valuable, so it's going to be a good decade to be a service worker. But with the labor force participation rate back to pre-pandemic levels, we're probably through the labor market crunch.
Next, let's look at shelter. We've had a decade of NIMBY derangement in US housing policy, with hardly any new multifamily housing being built. But the YIMBY movement is starting to change things. Housing supply reform bills have been passed in quite a few US states, including some of the worst offenders like Washington and Colorado.
These reforms are already paying dividends for US housing supply. There are almost a million new units of multifamily housing soon to come on the market, and over 500,000 new starts—the highest number since the 1980s. And with US population growth under 1%, there's not going to be a ton of new demand unless we loosen up immigration limits. (Admittedly, the declining marriage rate means you could see growth in the number of households even if there's no population growth, because you have to house more singles.) The payoff is that we should see real slowing or even reversal in inflation of shelter costs.
And finally, let's also consider supply chains.
3. We're about to have a US manufacturing boom
Another side-effect of AI (combined with dollar weakness and reshoring from China) is that the US is about to experience a manufacturing boom. The charts are genuinely incredible.
Highest factory spending since 1981! How often do you see this kind of capital goods investment after huge interest rate hikes? Mind you, most of this is electronics manufacturing, with US companies betting big on chip and GPU demand from crypto and AI.
4. Leading economic indicators look good
You probably don't want to bet against the US economy when the GDPNow forecast is at 4.1% and the ECRI Weekly Leading Index looks like this:
5. The credit and labor markets still look okay
One reason we've so far avoided a recession despite rising interest rates is that both consumers and S&P 500 firms are in pretty good shape credit-wise. Consumers have relatively little credit card debt relative to their income:
Plus, a whole lot of S&P 500 firms took advantage of low interest rates during the pandemic era to lock in a lot of debt at very low interest, so they're in no great immediate danger of having debt roll over at higher interest rates. Having said all that, my analysis of the credit situation could be wrong. Breakages in the financial system often come on unexpectedly. (I suspect, for instance, that consumer credit would look worse if you used the medians rather the means. I haven't done that analysis yet.)
It's also significant that, for the moment, continuing jobless claims are trending down, so the labor market looks okay. More than any other indicator, this is the one I'm watching as a recession signal. In particular, if Chris Moody's Ultimate Moving Average-Multi-TimeFrame indicator goes green on the monthly chart, I will consider that a strong signal of recession risk. This has correctly flagged the onset of recession for all recessions since the 1960s, with only one false positive. For the moment, though, we're still okay.
How to play it
So, there are a number of good reasons to be bullish! But how do we play it? Chase the Nasdaq and buy a lot of megacap tech, right? Right?
In my opinion, wrong. At 45 price-to-sales ratio for Nvidia, I'd say AI is already priced in for big tech. With all that semiconductor supply being built in the US, there's about to be a lot of competition in the sector anyway, so Nvidia might actually be a short. Besides, with AI, every company can afford to build proprietary software, so it erodes moats for all the big SaaS companies. Falling R&D costs will allow smaller firms to compete more effectively and build propreitary software. Every sector is the tech sector now. Wouldn't it be something if the biggest gains from AI came in sectors like utilities or food and beverages? I think that's the world we're headed towards. I think you buy the whole US market, and maybe the whole global market, and not just tech.
For me, the most difficult thing is to know how much to include fixed income in the mix. Over 4% yield on a 30-year Treasury at a time when I suspect inflation's been beat? That's hard to resist.
There may be a case for some kind of return stacking (i.e., leveraged Treasuries) ETF like NTSX. However, note that the Fed won't have a ton of reason to cut rates if growth is as strong as I think, so rates could very easily stay high. And with the yield curve inverted, leveraged strategies are expensive. Leverage costs are set by the short end of the yield curve, so if you leverage long-end Treasuries during a yield curve inversion then you're paying more for leverage than you're getting in yield. So I'm not sure what the right balance or the right use of leverage is, but I do think the traditional 60/40 allocation makes more sense now than it has in many years. This can help smooth out the volatility if we do see some of the recession warning signs play out.
Aptos Possible Playout ChartMicrosoft and Aptos Labs recently announced a promising partnership in the fields of blockchain and artificial intelligence, making significant strides in advancing technology for beginners to understand. The collaboration aims to support web 3.0 technology, revolutionizing internet usage, and contributes to the development of "Aptos Assistant," an artificial intelligence-powered tool to aid users in various tasks. This partnership holds the potential to reshape our technological interactions by enhancing internet security and efficiency through web 3.0, while also integrating artificial intelligence assistance into our daily lives, exemplifying how large companies are uniting to bring novel technology to our world.
The forecast for Aptos' price movement suggests a potential increase due to this sentiment. The target price movement for Aptos could reach $7.72, with a potential profit opportunity of about 6.62%. However, before reaching that level, Aptos needs to consider its resistance level at $7.43. If it successfully breaks through the $7.43 resistance, a movement towards the next resistance level may occur. Currently, Aptos is also positioned above its 100-day moving average, which could be interpreted as a sign of strengthening Aptos' price.
My BTC DCA planI use this chart to map out when I increase my daily purchase amounts for a Dollar Cost Averaging (DCA) strategy for accumulating BTC when in a bear market. As the price crosses each threshold, I increase the amount in of BTC that I purchase by around 10%. Feel free to copy or improve, Enjoy!
Top Watch Alts💎 FLUX , HOP , SNX & WLDHi Traders, Investors and Speculators of Charts📈📉
I'm constantly on the lookout for projects with great potential. Microcaps often x10, x100 or even x1000 if you're lucky enough to catch them early AND take profits.
Today I'll share some projects I'm watching. You'll notice they all currently have great entry points, and are ideal for accumulating.
⭐ FLUX :
Flux is a blockchain-based platform that aims to provide decentralized computing services and blockchain-as-a-service solutions. It has its own operating system (FluxOS), wallet (Zelcore), and development program (FluxLabs).
FluxOS is a custom-built Linux operating system that is designed to be specifically optimized for running Flux nodes. It is lightweight and efficient, making it ideal for running on a variety of hardware platforms
Flux uses a native POW (proof-of-work) coin called FLUX to power its ecosystem. FLUX coin is mined via a proof-of-work (PoW) consensus mechanism and can be staked, bought, sold, and traded. Holding FLUX also enables you to run your own Flux Node on the network, meaning you can earn even more of the coin.
Flux is a very promising platform with a lot of potential. It is still under development, but it has already made significant progress. I believe that Flux has the potential to become a major player in the decentralized computing space.
⭐ HOP :
Hop is a multi-chain bridge that allows users to transfer assets between different Ethereum Layer 2 (L2) networks and Ethereum mainnet. It is a trustless bridge, which means that users do not need to trust any third party to keep their funds safe. Hop uses a novel approach to bridge liquidity between different networks, which allows for fast and cheap transfers.
Hop works by issuing a cross-chain Hop token that can be quickly and economically moved between L2s or claimed on layer-1 for its underlying asset. Automated Market Makers (AMMs) swap between each Hop bridge token and its corresponding Canonical Token on each rollup in order to dynamically price liquidity and incentivize the rebalancing of liquidity across the network.
Hop is a valuable tool for users who want to move their assets between different L2 networks or Ethereum mainnet. It is fast, cheap, and trustless, making it a great option for users who want to avoid the high fees and centralized nature of other bridges.
⭐ SNX :
Synthetix is a decentralized finance (DeFi) protocol that allows users to mint synthetic assets, which are tokens that track the price of an underlying asset. The underlying assets can be anything from fiat currencies to cryptocurrencies to commodities. Synthetix is built on the Ethereum blockchain and uses the Synthetix Network Token (SNX) as its native token.
To mint a synthetic asset, users must deposit SNX into a Synthetix smart contract. The amount of SNX deposited must be at least 750% of the value of the synthetic asset that is being minted. This is to ensure that there is always enough collateral to back the synthetic assets that are in circulation.
Once a synthetic asset is minted, it can be traded on the Synthetix decentralized exchange (DEX). The DEX is a permissionless exchange, which means that anyone can trade synthetic assets without having to go through a centralized exchange.
Synthetix is a powerful tool for traders who want to gain exposure to a wide variety of assets without having to actually own those assets. It is also a valuable tool for hedging against volatility in the cryptocurrency market.
⭐ WLD :
Worldcoin is a cryptocurrency project that aims to distribute free tokens to everyone in the world. The project is led by a team of scientists and engineers who believe that Worldcoin can help to create a more equitable and inclusive financial system. Worldcoin uses a novel approach to distributing tokens called the Orb. The Orb is a handheld device that uses eye scans to verify that users are real people. Once a user's identity has been verified, they are airdropped a small amount of Worldcoin tokens.
Worldcoin is a proof-of-stake cryptocurrency, which means that it is more energy-efficient than proof-of-work cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin. It has a total supply of 100 billion tokens and is currently in the process of conducting a pilot program in Kenya.
Worldcoin is still in its early stages of development, but it has the potential to be a major player in the cryptocurrency space. The project has a strong team with a proven track record, and it has the backing of a number of high-profile investors.
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Innovation boosts P/E ratios - P/E ration evolvesTechnological Innovation is Compounding
Technological progress has huge impact on the P/E ratios of companies and the S&P 500. Technologically advanced companies naturally have a higher P/E as it's expected from them to have better future earnings. One of the ways better future earnings happen is through efficiency leaps. These efficiency leaps are important to businesses' margins but it all comes down to:
better tech = more efficiency = lower costs = higher earnings = higher P/E
These innovation cycles bring efficiency leaps that are linked to P/E ratio waves.
We can observe in this chart that the P/E ratio has cycles that coincide with innovation cycles. There were, of course, macroeconomic factors and wars that impacted the P/E, but high P/E can be explained by innovation cycles.
We can also see that each innovation cycle will have higher P/E ratios than the previous. By looking at this chart, it feels that the P/E ratios still have room to grow.
CRV : Time to LET GO of a Sinking DEX?Hi Traders, Investors and Speculators of Charts📈📉
One of the most important lessons you can learn in life is when it's time to let go. This holds true, even for crypto.
A recent hack caused a significant amount of damage to Curve Finance. As we thought the price of CRVUSDT couldn't possibly go any lower... CRV, Curve's native token, plummeted and is now nearly falling off my screen.
On July 30, Curve Finance was hacked for over $73 million worth of crypto. The hacker exploited a reentrancy vulnerability in Curve's code to drain liquidity from multiple pools.
(For Nerds): A reentrancy vulnerability is a type of exploit that occurs when a function calls another function, and the second function calls back to the first function. This can create a situation where the first function can call itself infinitely, which can lead to a denial-of-service attack or a financial exploit.
In the case of the Curve Finance hack, the hacker exploited a reentrancy vulnerability in the code for Curve's stablecoin swap function. The swap function allows users to swap one stablecoin for another. The hacker exploited the vulnerability by calling the swap function multiple times, each time withdrawing more liquidity from the pool. This caused the pool to become depleted, and the hacker was able to steal the remaining funds.
Reentrancy vulnerabilities are often found in smart contracts. Smart contracts are often used to automate financial transactions, and they are therefore often targets for hackers.
The anon hacker has since returned over $61 million worth of the stolen funds, but the remaining $12 million worth of funds is still missing.
AS YOU GUYS ALL KNOW, If you've been following me for a while , as soon as I see a > -95% drop in a coin's value WITHOUT a quick recovery... I can't help but lose faith. It's an obvious sign that the demand is lacking, the project has no real interest from the market. I feel sorry for the team; they've been around for a while and it's a well-know project. This hack was really the last thing that they needed. BUT, it happened and unless they can come up with great new way to add value to CRV, I won't be holding any more CRV.
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CRYPTOCAP:CRV BINANCE:CRVUSDT BINANCE:CRVUSDT.P BINANCE:CRVUSDT.P
DIS forming wedge before uptick(1D candles)
Disney has been forming a wedge as their nightmare year continues. Besides all news going against them (writer strike, poor film performance), it has been consolidating nicely and it appears there is now light at the end of the tunnel.
I expect a large spike in price by the end of this year so keep an eye out for a cheap discount on DIS stock before a rally. Keep in mind the timeframe, I don't expect the stock to breakout until late October-November.
❗ WATCH OUT 👎 SCAMS & WORST Crypto's for 2023Hi Traders, Investors and Speculators of Charts📈📉
Many of these projects might come as a shock and be disappointing.
As the markets evolved and crypto regulation has taken a more prominent stance; scammers have had to become smarter. The latest trend seems to be a rug pull and then just let the rest of the project's liquidity bleed out. In other words, remain borderline active as they drain more and more funds over a longer time.
Hundreds if not thousands of new cryptocurrencies launch monthly. All with big promises of use case, flashing tech and a stock-standard wide mouthed YouTube guy telling you how high it will moon. With these new tokens and coins also comes many initial coin offerings (ICOs) that are often scams. The demand for these have grown, even despite the fact that many people get rugpulled. This mostly unregulated market makes for a perfect place to scam innocent people out of their money, with little consequences to the thieves. When it comes to cryptocurrencies, one of the biggest challenges for investors is not getting caught up in the hype. Digital currencies have quickly risen to prominence in the portfolios of many retail and institutional investors. At the same time, people are still shocked when something like LUNAUSDT / TERRA happens.
📛 C+CHARGE / CCHG USDT 📛
Initially, the fundamentals sounded noble. But after some research, most members of the team are unverified and there has been no real project activity since late 2022. Apart from this, a coin that loses near 100% is ALWAYS a bad sign and indicates a rugpull, more than anything else.
📛 LUNC As seen on the chart / Terra Classic 📛
A noble rescue at first... TerraClassic community continues to create social media buzz based on the idea that brokerages listing LUNC will implement a burn tax that'll reduce the max supply of close to 6.9 trillion tokens. But even burning billions of coins won't have an impact with a max token supply this large.
The bigger problem is that TerraClassicUSD has de-pegged and its native coin Terra Classic no longer serves any purpose. With all blockchain work now revolving around the new Terra, Terra Classic and TerraClassicUSD are shell investments, with nothing to back their value.
📛 FTT / FTX Token📛
Why Kukcoin hasn't delisted this is beyond me... Te infamous token of the Sam Bankman Fried saga, more on it here:
📛BURGER / BURGER COIN 📛
. .. REALLY ?
📛 PIZZA 📛
AGAIN, really...
📛 Bitcoin Gold / BTGUSDT 📛
Bitcoin blockchain underwent a fork in 2017 called BTG. Although the fork was meant to produce a more decentralized form of Bitcoin, it has not been successful. BTG was created to address the issue of mining centralization in Bitcoin, but it has not been able to achieve its goal due to the emergence of specialized mining hardware.
Just DON'T. DON'T DO IT. Buy the real thing instead.
📛 PITBULL / PIT 📛
I'm letting the dogs out on this one.. That decimal is basically falling off my screen.
📛 BLUR / BLURUSDT 📛
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💭 All the above said. Let's discuss a few ways to navigate this wild west market:
- Research the team . Perhaps the single most important success factor for any ICO or cryptocurrency is the developers and administrative team behind the project. Check out their Twitter and Reddit. The cryptocurrency space is dominated by major names, with superstar developers like Ethereum ETHUSDT founder Vitalik Buterin capable of making or breaking new projects simply by having their names listed on a development team. For that reason, it's increasingly common for scammers to invent fake founders and biographies for their projects.
- Check the whitepaper. The whitepaper should lay out the background, goals, strategy, concerns, and timeline for implementation for any blockchain-related project. Whitepapers can be incredibly revealing: companies that have a flashy website may reveal they lack a fundamentally sound concept. On the other hand, a company with a website containing spelling errors may have a whitepaper that indicates a rock-solid concept and a carefully conceived implementation plan.
- It it sounds too good to be true, it probably is. The idea of getting rich quick on an investment in a hot new project sure is tempting. Keep an eye out as you look for new investment opportunities in the ICO and cryptocurrency spaces. Spend time scrutinizing every detail, and assume that the absence of a piece of crucial information may be an attempt to hide an unsound model or concept. Look for outside sources to verify the legitimacy of any project before making an investment.
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PANCAKESWAP:CCHGUSDT_A8BAB1 BINANCE:LUNCUSDT BINANCE:LUNCBUSD KUCOIN:FTTUSDT BINANCE:BURGERUSDT MEXC:PPIZZAUSDT OKX:BLURUSDT OKX:PITUSDT BYBIT:BTGUSDT
AUDUSD,Bearish trend,Head and ShoulderGood afternoon,
I hope everyone had a succesful trading week and week in their daily lives. Here is a pre market forecast for AUDUSD this upcoming trading week. Last week, AUDUSD was bearish for the most of last week. Toward the end of the week it began a retracement process. Price broke the daily supply/demand area @0.65944.
Price is projected to continue bearish momentum to the next 4hr supply/demand area @0.65464. If price rejects this area, look for the head and shoulder formation to form to confirm this projection.
If there are any questions, comments, concerns, or you may have a similar analysis to mine please do not hesitate to share, comment, and boost this post.
PayPal 79% down from ATH!! Under massive discount??I do not do manual analysis on anything. Instead, I develop methods to do the analysis. This way, we can be free from bias, and we measure things objectively.
Having said that, purely statistics based analysis does not take into consideration recent news events and other economical or political impacts on the company.
I developed this method to measure the discounted price probability of stocks based on its historical values of fundamentals and prices. Here is a summary of what is happening with PayPal!!
Price down 79% from peak. This is also 98% discount if you consider drawdown of prices from ATH
Most of the fundamentals are almost at all-time high. Exception is cashflow - that is in the negative territory
Profit and operating margins are down slightly compared to its ATH
Returns in comparison to capital, earning and assets are near ATH
Debts have significantly increased
Though the algorithm says probability of being discounted is pretty high, it takes all aspects into consideration and gives equal weightage. Will the significant increase in debt play a major role in the reduction of value, considering the increasing interest rates?
Navigating Volatile Markets Navigating Volatile Markets: Strategies for Turbulent Times
Introduction
Financial markets are no stranger to volatility, with unpredictable twists and turns that can test even the most seasoned investors. However, turbulent times need not be daunting. In this blog post, we will explore strategies to help you navigate volatile markets with confidence, turn uncertainty into opportunity, and make informed investment decisions during challenging times.
1. Stay Informed, Not Overwhelmed
During periods of market volatility, it's essential to stay informed about market developments and economic indicators. However, avoid becoming overwhelmed by constant news updates and opinions. Focus on reliable sources and maintain a balanced perspective.
2. Diversify Your Portfolio
Diversification is a time-tested risk management technique. Spread your investments across different asset classes, industries, and geographic regions. A well-diversified portfolio can cushion the impact of volatility on your overall holdings.
3. Set Clear Goals and Stick to Your Plan
Define clear financial goals and create an investment plan tailored to your objectives and risk tolerance. During turbulent times, emotions may tempt you to deviate from your plan. Stay disciplined and trust in the strategy you have set forth.
4. Consider Defensive Investments
Explore defensive investments, such as bonds, dividend-paying stocks, and precious metals. These assets may provide stability during market downturns and act as a hedge against heightened volatility.
5. Focus on Quality
In uncertain times, prioritize quality over speculative bets. Look for companies with solid fundamentals, stable cash flows, and strong balance sheets. Quality assets are better equipped to weather economic storms.
6. Assess Long-Term Value
Volatility can create buying opportunities. Look for high-quality assets that have been oversold due to market sentiment rather than inherent flaws. Assess their long-term value and potential for recovery.
7. Implement Stop-Loss Orders
Use stop-loss orders to protect your capital from significant losses. Set stop-loss levels that align with your risk tolerance and allow you to exit positions if the market moves against you.
8. Avoid Panic Selling
Resist the urge to panic sell during market downturns. Selling low locks in losses and may hinder your ability to benefit from potential market rebounds.
9. Focus on Risk Management
Adopt prudent risk management practices. Only allocate a portion of your portfolio to higher-risk assets and avoid overexposing yourself to individual positions.
10. Seek Professional Advice
If navigating volatile markets feels overwhelming, consider seeking advice from a financial advisor. A professional can help you assess your financial goals, devise a tailored strategy, and stay on track during turbulent times.
Conclusion
Volatility is an inherent part of financial markets, but with the right strategies and a disciplined approach, you can navigate turbulent times with confidence. Stay informed, diversify your portfolio, and focus on long-term value rather than short-term fluctuations.
Remember, every market cycle presents opportunities. Embrace volatility as a chance to refine your investment approach, grow your wealth, and turn uncertain times into prosperous outcomes.
Happy investing, and may your journey through volatile markets lead you to a more secure financial future!
The ABCs of Risk Management in Stock TradingThe ABCs of Risk Management in Stock Trading
Introduction
In the exhilarating world of stock trading, mastering the art of risk management is a crucial skill that separates successful traders from the rest. Effective risk management is all about safeguarding your capital and minimizing potential losses while maximizing opportunities for profit. In this blog post, we will explore the ABCs of risk management in stock trading and how it can lead to more sustainable and rewarding trading experiences.
A - Assessing Risk Tolerance
Before delving into the markets, it's essential to evaluate your risk tolerance. Be honest with yourself about how much capital you can afford to put at risk without causing emotional distress. Your risk tolerance will determine your position sizing and the percentage of your portfolio allocated to each trade.
B - Balancing Diversification
Diversification is a key risk management strategy. Avoid putting all your funds into a single stock or sector. By diversifying your portfolio across different assets, industries, and geographic regions, you reduce the impact of any individual investment's adverse performance on your overall portfolio.
C - Cutting Losses with Stop-Loss Orders
Stop-loss orders are a trader's best friend. Implementing stop-loss levels before entering a trade ensures that you automatically exit a position if it goes against you beyond a predetermined point. This helps protect your capital and prevent significant losses.
D - Doing Your Due Diligence
Knowledge is power in the stock market. Thoroughly research and analyze potential trades before executing them. Understand the company's fundamentals, technical indicators, and market trends to make informed decisions and reduce the element of surprise.
E - Emotion Management
Emotions can cloud judgment and lead to impulsive decisions. Successful traders maintain emotional discipline and stick to their trading plans, regardless of market fluctuations. Embrace a rational approach to trading and avoid letting emotions dictate your actions.
F - Focusing on Risk-Reward Ratio
A positive risk-reward ratio is a fundamental aspect of risk management. Aim to take trades with higher potential rewards than the associated risks. This means that even if some trades result in losses, profitable trades should outweigh them over time.
G - Gradual Position Sizing
Avoid going all-in on a single trade. Gradually scale into positions, especially in volatile markets. This way, you can manage risk and adjust your exposure as market conditions change.
Conclusion
As you venture into the exciting world of stock trading, remember that managing risk is paramount to long-term success. By following the ABCs of risk management - assessing risk tolerance, balancing diversification, cutting losses with stop-loss orders, doing due diligence, managing emotions, focusing on risk-reward ratio, and employing gradual position sizing - you can navigate the markets with confidence and achieve your trading goals.
Stay disciplined, stay informed, and let effective risk management be the cornerstone of your stock trading journey. Happy trading and may your endeavors be both rewarding and fulfilling!
Discover the Hottest USA Stock Market Sectors - Get Ready for anI couldn't wait to share the hottest USA stock market sectors set to sizzle this August. Brace yourself for an action-packed month with potential profits and exciting investment opportunities!
1. Technology Titans: The tech sector continues to dominate the market, with innovative companies leading the charge. From cutting-edge software solutions to breakthrough hardware advancements, this sector promises immense growth potential. Stay ahead by closely monitoring tech giants like Apple, Amazon, and Google.
2. Renewable Energy Revolution: The renewable energy sector is rising as the world shifts towards sustainable practices. Solar, wind, and hydroelectric power companies are experiencing a surge in demand, presenting a remarkable chance to invest in a greener future. Keep an eye on industry leaders such as Tesla, First Solar, and NextEra Energy.
3. Biotech Breakthroughs: The biotech sector is witnessing a wave of groundbreaking advancements in healthcare and pharmaceuticals. Companies focused on developing innovative treatments, vaccines, and therapies are gaining substantial attention. Keep a close watch on biotech giants like Moderna, Pfizer, and Johnson & Johnson.
4. E-commerce Explosion: The pandemic has accelerated the growth of the e-commerce sector, and it shows no signs of slowing down. Online retail giants are experiencing exponential growth as consumers embrace the convenience of digital shopping. Keep an eye on industry heavyweights like Amazon, Shopify, and eBay.
Now, here comes the exciting part! To ensure you don't miss any action this August, I encourage you to subscribe to our exclusive newsletter or follow our social media channels. By doing so, you'll receive regular updates, expert insights, timely tips on these hot sectors, and more.
Don't let this opportunity pass you by! Stay ahead of the curve and make informed investment decisions by subscribing or following.
Remember, August is shaping up to be a thrilling month in the stock market, and you don't want to miss out on the potential gains these sectors offer. Subscribe/follow now and get ready for an exhilarating ride!
Value InvestingValue Investing - Unearthing Hidden Gems in the Market
Introduction
In the world of investing, where trends and market sentiments often drive decision-making, value investing stands out as a timeless strategy embraced by legendary investors. Value investing involves searching for undervalued assets that have the potential to deliver substantial returns in the long run. In this blog post, we will delve into the art of value investing and how it allows investors to uncover hidden gems in the market.
Understanding Value Investing
Value investing is a strategy that seeks to identify assets trading at prices below their intrinsic value. These assets may be temporarily undervalued due to market fluctuations, unfavorable sentiment, or lack of attention from investors. Value investors believe that the market will eventually recognize the true worth of these assets, leading to price appreciation and potential capital gains.
The Principles of Value Investing
Intrinsic Value Assessment: Value investors analyze the fundamental strengths and weaknesses of a company or asset to estimate its intrinsic value. Fundamental analysis involves evaluating financial statements, earnings, cash flows, and competitive advantages.
Margin of Safety: A key principle of value investing is the concept of a margin of safety. Investors aim to buy assets at prices significantly below their calculated intrinsic value to provide a cushion against potential errors in estimation.
Patience and Long-Term Perspective: Value investing requires patience and a long-term perspective. It may take time for the market to recognize the undervalued asset's true potential and drive its price higher.
Benefits of Value Investing
Potential for High Returns: If the market eventually recognizes the true value of an undervalued asset, value investors can reap substantial returns on their investments.
Less Susceptible to Market Fluctuations: Value investing tends to be less affected by short-term market trends and sentiments. Investors focus on the underlying fundamentals, which remain relatively stable over time.
Contrarian Approach: Value investors often take a contrarian approach, going against prevailing market sentiments. This allows them to find opportunities that others might overlook.
Key Strategies for Value Investing
Stock Screening: Use stock screening tools to identify companies with low price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios, low price-to-book (P/B) ratios, and strong financials that indicate potential undervaluation.
Focus on Dividends: Seek out companies with a history of paying dividends, as this may be a sign of financial stability and value.
Avoiding "Value Traps": Be cautious of companies facing structural challenges that may not recover their intrinsic value over time.
Conclusion
Value investing is a time-tested strategy that has proven successful for legendary investors like Warren Buffett and Benjamin Graham. By focusing on the underlying fundamentals of undervalued assets and exercising patience, value investors can unearth hidden gems in the market and build a portfolio with the potential for significant long-term returns.
Embrace the principles of value investing, conduct thorough research, and let your discerning eye lead you to those overlooked opportunities. As you refine your value investing skills, remember that great investment opportunities may sometimes be hidden in plain sight.
Happy hunting for hidden gems in the market, and may the strategy of value investing guide you to prosperous investment decisions!
MicroCap Spotlight: Fightout - Coin for FITNESS RewardsHi Traders, Investors and Speculators of Charts📈📉
Here's a microcap that I'm extremely bullish on; Fightout Coin. Although not listed widely on exchanges yet, you can get this coin by swapping it for ETH on Uniswap and Coinbase.
Fight Out is developing an ecosystem that will reward people for keeping fit. Each and every fitness regime will be tracked in real-time via the Fight Out app. Users will earn rewards for completing tasks and playing games in the Fight Out metaverse.
For example, let's suppose that the user is interested in cardio exercises. The Fight Out app might set a series of treadmill challenges, where the user needs to complete a 1km sprint in a certain timeframe. As the user completes each challenge, they will receive tokenized rewards. In addition to personal challenges, users can also compete against other Fight Out players.
This will be conducted in the Fight Out metaverse and will include one-vs-one competitions as well as larger tournaments. For example, 100 users could enter a 20km bike race, but in their own physical location. The race would be viewed in the metaverse, providing a truly immersive experience. We also like that users will have their own avatar in the Fight Out metaverse.
The avatar will mirror the progress made by the user, in terms of their fitness achievements. When it comes to rewards, Fight Out makes distributions in REPS. The tokens can be used to purchase in-game items within the Fight Out metaverse. This includes boosters that enable users to amplify the number of REPS tokens earned. REPS can also be used to buy merchandise or swap for FGHT, the main utility token of the project. FGHT is also the micro-cap token that enables users to invest in Fight Out
FGHT it is also gaining popularity on different social media platforms. As an example, Fight Out has already gained over 60K followers on Twitter, which is great for a microcap. An active social media team provides a great way for interested parties to learn more about the Fight Out project; stay updated for any platform updates and be a part of the larger community.
The presale turned out to be very successful for Fight Out, although since the presale closed the coin has lost 85% of its price. This however, is a great opportunity to accumulate at a really low price. Due to the nature of the product, I don't expect this coin to surpass $1, at least not anytime soon. For now, more realistic targets would be the opening price
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Mastering Emotional DisciplineMastering Emotional Discipline: The Key to Successful Investment Decision-Making
Introduction
Investing in financial markets can be an emotional rollercoaster. Fear, greed, and euphoria often cloud judgment, leading to impulsive and irrational decisions. One crucial lesson for successful investors is the significance of emotional discipline in investment decision-making. In this blog post, we will delve into the importance of keeping emotions in check and how it can lead to more informed and prudent investment choices.
The Impact of Emotions on Investment Decisions
Emotions can significantly influence how we perceive and react to market movements and financial news. Some common emotional biases include:
Fear of Missing Out (FOMO): Feeling the urge to invest in a rapidly rising asset, driven by the fear of missing out on potential gains.
Loss Aversion: Placing more emphasis on avoiding losses than achieving gains, often leading to holding onto losing positions for too long.
Overconfidence: Being overly confident in one's investment abilities, leading to excessive risk-taking and overconcentration in high-risk assets.
Herding Behavior: Following the crowd and making investment decisions based on the actions of others rather than on individual analysis.
The Importance of Emotional Discipline
Rational Decision-Making: Emotional discipline allows investors to make rational, well-thought-out decisions based on fundamental analysis and research rather than impulsive reactions.
Long-Term Perspective: Emotional discipline helps investors maintain a long-term perspective, enabling them to ride out short-term market volatility and focus on their investment goals.
Avoiding Herding Behavior: By staying emotionally disciplined, investors can avoid the pitfalls of herd mentality and make independent decisions based on their own convictions.
Risk Management: Emotional discipline is essential for effective risk management. It helps investors set and stick to stop-loss levels and position sizes that align with their risk tolerance.
Strategies for Maintaining Emotional Discipline
Investment Plan: Develop a well-defined investment plan based on your financial goals, risk tolerance, and time horizon. Stick to the plan, even during turbulent market conditions.
Avoid Impulsive Actions: Before making any investment decisions, take a step back, and assess the situation objectively. Avoid impulsive actions driven by emotions.
Diversification: A diversified portfolio can reduce the impact of individual asset volatility, reducing emotional stress during market fluctuations.
Focus on Fundamentals: Rely on fundamental analysis and research rather than short-term market movements. Solid research provides a more objective basis for investment decisions.
Conclusion
Emotional discipline is a critical aspect of successful investment decision-making. By recognizing and managing emotional biases, investors can make rational choices aligned with their long-term financial goals. Embrace emotional discipline as your guiding light in the tumultuous world of investing, and let it pave the way to a more confident and rewarding investment journey.
Remember, investing is a journey, not a race. Stay patient, stay disciplined, and stay on track to achieve your financial aspirations.
The Power of PatienceThe Power of Patience: Long-Term Investing
Introduction
In the fast-paced world of investing, where market volatility and hype can easily sway decisions, there's one timeless lesson that stands the test of time: the power of patience in long-term investing. In this blog post, we will explore the significance of adopting a long-term investment approach and the benefits it offers to investors who embrace patience as their ally in wealth-building.
Understanding Long-Term Investing
Long-term investing is an investment strategy focused on holding assets for an extended period, typically years or even decades, to capitalize on the power of compounding and ride the wave of the market's long-term growth. Unlike short-term trading, which aims for quick gains, long-term investing takes a patient and steady approach, emphasizing fundamental analysis and faith in the underlying value of assets.
The Benefits of Patience in Long-Term Investing
Harnessing the Power of Compounding: Patience allows investors to benefit from the magic of compounding, where investment returns generate additional returns over time. Compounding can significantly amplify wealth accumulation, especially when reinvesting dividends and capital gains.
Weathering Market Volatility: Financial markets are inherently volatile, with short-term fluctuations driven by various factors, including economic news and geopolitical events. By staying patient and maintaining a long-term perspective, investors can ride out market fluctuations without being swayed by short-term noise.
Reducing Transaction Costs: Frequent trading incurs transaction costs, such as brokerage fees and taxes, which can eat into returns. Long-term investors minimize these costs by holding assets for more extended periods, leading to better overall returns.
Opportunity to Invest in Growth: Long-term investors have the luxury of being less concerned about short-term market movements. This freedom allows them to invest in growth-oriented assets and industries with the potential for substantial long-term gains.
Benefiting from Dividends: Patience pays off when it comes to dividend investing. Many established companies offer regular dividends to shareholders. By holding on to these stocks for the long term, investors can enjoy a consistent income stream.
Keys to Successful Long-Term Investing
Invest in Strong Fundamentals: Focus on companies with solid financials, strong management teams, and a competitive advantage in their industries. Fundamental analysis provides insights into the long-term viability of potential investments.
Diversify Your Portfolio: Diversification is a critical risk management tool. Spread your investments across different asset classes, sectors, and geographies to reduce the impact of individual asset volatility on your portfolio.
Avoid Emotional Decision-Making: Emotions can lead to impulsive decisions in the face of market fluctuations. Stay committed to your long-term investment plan and avoid making knee-jerk reactions to short-term market movements.
Regular Portfolio Review: While long-term investing involves holding assets for years, it's essential to periodically review your portfolio's performance and reassess your investment thesis.
Conclusion
Long-term investing with patience as its cornerstone is a time-tested strategy that has proven successful for countless investors over the years. By embracing the power of compounding, weathering market volatility, and staying committed to sound investment principles, patient investors have the potential to build substantial wealth and achieve their financial goals.
So, take a deep breath, adopt a long-term perspective, and let the power of patience work its magic on your investment journey. Happy investing!
DXY | JPY | CREDIT EVENT | DECRYPTERS Hi People Welcome to Team " DECRYPTERS"
SO we Have 3 Main events this Week Lets Get A DEEP DIVE IN TO THEM
1- FED :- FED RATE HIKES ( PRICED IN ) + PRESS CONFERENCE ( HAWKISH )
AS we predicted Last time what Ever Happen Rate hikes will be increased we still stand by our words . Lets go further Either we are Getting 50 BPS This time or We are Getting 25 BPS next time
WHY Is That So ... ??
The Attached Charts shows the overall level of financial conditions in an economy The conditions are on Same levels When FED was ABOUT to hike Rates Meaning .
Further more —Dot plots , Fed curves ,GSUSCFI Index and Bloom Berg Index & Fall in Credit spread "ALL" Indicating ease in financial system Meaning this Data provide Evidence that FED Can increase More Interest Rates As Credit spread also falling to positive signal for economy
— Rise In commodity Prices Like (RBAB Gasoline) Indicates more higher Prices in Energy sectors.
— Lastly Good inflation trading above 20 years average & CPI Also printing higher on Y/Y Basis.
2- EURO RATE HIKES :-
THIS comes With same Expectations Rate hikes + Hawkish Stance with & Lagarde speech.
Lets Discuss JPY NEWS ON FRIDAY
3- BOJ REPORT :-
A surprise can be Expected From Other Side Like
They can Increase the range of "10 -years JGB" 50 BPS TO 75 /100 BPS
( BOND BUYING BACK PROGRAM) This will Cause bonds Prices to Rise / Yields to Fall &
"JPY TO GET WEAKEN"
—Other yield can React Negatively To IT ( LIKE US -10 YEAR)