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CNN: "Does the Fed have the labor market all wrong?"The labor market just won't quit, but this could be another case of "good news is bad news" for the Federal Reserve. The US unemployment rate has been at or below 4% for the past year and a half, and the economy has gained an average of 314,000 jobs each month this year through May. People who need jobs are getting them, and those with jobs are getting paid more. Business and consumer sentiment remain resilient and spending and investment are also proving to be relatively robust. Gross domestic product, the broadest measure of economic output, grew by 2% in the first quarter. But while job growth is a sign of a healthy economy, Fed Chair Jerome Powell has said that he wants to see more slack in the labor market in order to bring inflation down. If there are too few people chasing too many jobs, he says, wages will rise and add to upward pressure on prices. What's happening: This week, a slew of new unemployment data is expected to show that US hiring finally slowed in June. Economists forecast that the US added 223,000 jobs last month, way down from the 339,000 added in May. But here's the thing: those forecasts have been way off. They projected sharp drops in hiring for April and May; instead there was increased employment. And so in order to get unemployment back to where it thinks it should be (5%), the Fed keeps pushing interest rates higher. But some economists are starting to wonder if it will ever get there. For decades, economists have said that the natural rate of unemployment — in a healthy, stable economy — was 5%. But in April, the unemployment rate reached 3.4%, with the 12-month average of unemployment reaching a record low of 3.6%. "Growth and unemployment rates at these levels are not only a sign of an extraordinary recovery from the previous recession, but also are a sign that this is not your parents' labor market," said RSM US chief economist Joe Brusuelas. "Today, we think the natural rate of unemployment is closer to 4%, which reflects a mixture of efficiency gains driven by technology and demographic factors that dampen overall unemployment." The efficiency of searching for jobs online and a newfound ability to work at home means that there's less friction in finding employment than ever before, he said. That may permanently lower unemployment rates. Plus, the mass retirement of baby boomers, slowing of immigration rates and long-term health impacts of Covid have also permanently altered the labor market. Why it matters: These changes have led many economists to say that the labor market doesn't matter anymore, said Kathryn Rooney Vera, chief market strategist at StoneX. The gig economy, generational differences, and baby boomer retirement make this " unlike anything we've seen," she said. "You have so much Fed tightening, and the most forecast recession in my lifetime, but consumers have not tightened their belts at all whatsoever." People clearly feel good right now, said Vera, and when people feel good their habits of consumption don't change. In an economy where consumer spending accounts for about 70% of America's gross domestic product, you would have to have big negative detractors from the rest of the economy to really cause a recession. "The economic expansion will just not die despite the twin inflation and interest rate shocks over the past two years," said Brusuelas. Perhaps it's time to accept that this is the new normal. Coming up: The May Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) and jobless claims are due out on Thursday and Government unemployment numbers for June come on Friday morning. Source: CNN Business
TVC:DXY
by aleksandr_shirin
Can FTT trash turn into phoenix and give 1500%? 🦄 In 2022, one of the most significant events that turn crypto markets is the collapse of FTX exchange. However, native token of this exchange is still traded on some other exchanges. It may seem funny, but probably this trash wrapper can be resurrected and give fantastic profit. Why? 🤨 In recent months, several news have come out that the company is returning part of assets to its investors. And this is really surprising, because according to bankruptcy article, under which this company went, they may not do this. The strange thing is that in 9 months native FTT token has not yet been delisted from many crypto exchanges. Why trade token of an exchange that has not existed for 9 months? 🤔 In a couple of minutes you will understand everything. The fact is that FTX owes more than $ 3 billion to its largest creditors. Of these, it owes almost $1.5 billion to the 10 largest funds. In total, FTX can have over 10,000 creditors! All of them are interested in returning this debt. Such large funds and exchanges once invested in FTX: Binance, Sequoia, Multicoin and Kraken Ventures, etc. And such big players dont like to lose money. And recently there was news that FTX may restart in soon future 🎪 Yes, I understand that all this sounds extremely unconvincing and I myself did not believe in it until I saw it ... 🤯 Look at this chart 👆 After exchange went bankrupt - trading volumes of the native BYBIT:FTTUSDT token increased significantly. There were no such volumes even during existence of exchange! Moreover, such volumes are not on one, but on all exchanges where this token is traded. Some big players is collect coins from market very cheap. Probably in future there will be news that the exchange is restarting and under this news people will massively run to buy coins, inflating the price, and those who bought them in advance (at current prices) will sell them to market, thereby having an incredible profit 💸 If you believe that such a scenario is possible, its logical to buy quite a few coins in order to increase capital. When buying from current prices ($ 1.6), the coin can give up to +1500% when the scenario is implemented. When buying a coin from the lower limit ($0.8) - the transaction can bring up to 3000%! 🪄 That is, $100 can turn into $1500 ✨ What about risk? The exchange has already gone bankrupt, what could be worse? 🤠 But remember that this is an extremely risky transaction and you can lose all invested funds, so no “meatballs”, only money that is not afraid to lose. If you are interested analysis of other assets - please write about it in comments. Also, don't forget to subscribe to my channels to stay up to date with profitable ideas 🦄
Long
by Dorado_Crypto
Should you buy Yes Bank?I recently overheard a couple of guys discussing investments and stocks at the gym, and one of them told the other to buy "Yes Bank" as it is apparently at a good valuation right now. My take on it? Maybe. Maybe it is available at a so called "discount". But it had also gone down from 400 to 5. Almost 98.5% down from all time highs. Which means it has a lot of investors who are trapped and are just waiting in a little bit of price appreciation and they WILL sell it away. Multiple resistance zones since it has fallen down SO MUCH. Don't we have better stocks out there in the market, with better probability setups? Don't we have better stocks out there, with stronger momentum potential and very less resistances? YES WE DO. Then why take a beaten down stock? Beats me.
NSE:YESBANK
by Amit_Thakkar_
2
APPLE ATH Fueled by Quintet PowerhousesHow did APPLE make a new ATH? In the fiscal year of 2022, Apple Inc. amassed a staggering revenue close to $400 billion. The tech behemoth’s financial forecast predicts an even more dazzling $450 billion by 2023. What’s at the nucleus of this financial prowess? Here’s a dissection of the five products and services that are the linchpins in Apple's revenue generation. 1. iPhone: The Standard-Bearer Since its inception in 2007, the iPhone has been the lodestar in Apple's stellar performance, consistently accounting for over half of the company’s revenue. There was a lull in the iPhone's sales during 2015-2020, but the fiscal years of 2021 and 2022 witnessed a robust resurgence. Could it be the worldwide lockdowns that reignited consumers' affinity for this beloved gadget? One wonders. Moreover, Apple's unceasing innovation has been a catalyst in this resurgence. The company has been adept at understanding and adapting to market trends, releasing newer models with advanced features such as enhanced camera capabilities, cutting-edge processors, and improved battery life. The introduction of 5G technology in the iPhone 12 and subsequent models further bolstered its appeal. With the ever-evolving landscape of consumer preferences, Apple's commitment to innovation ensures that the iPhone continues to hold its enviable position in the market. 2. Services: A Diverse Armamentarium Apple's services segment is a multi-pronged affair. The App Store and Apple Music are the twin pillars, but AppleCare, Apple Pay, Apple TV+, Apple Card, and iCloud storage are significant contributors as well. It's been an upward trajectory for this segment since 2013, with no signs of abating. Additionally, the expansion of Apple's services is emblematic of the company's strategic diversification. As the digital landscape evolves, Apple has astutely tapped into the growing demand for integrated services. Its focus on user privacy and seamless integration across devices has been a strong value proposition. For instance, Apple TV+ enters a competitive streaming market but with original content and collaborations with high-profile creators. Apple’s services segment not only supplements its revenue but also enhances customer retention and creates a more entrenched ecosystem, encouraging users to invest more within the Apple universe. 3. Mac: The Unwavering Pillar The allure of personal computers has attenuated globally, and Mac's revenue plateaued between 2011 and 2020. However, the Mac remains integral to Apple’s ecosystem, not least because of its role in keeping users within Apple's interconnected iOS operating system. In recent times, Apple has sought to reinvigorate the Mac lineup through innovation and integration. The introduction of Apple's own M1 chip, as opposed to relying on Intel's processors, marked a significant turning point. The M1 chip has been lauded for its performance and energy efficiency, giving the Mac a competitive edge. Furthermore, the seamless integration between the Mac and other Apple devices through features like Handoff, Universal Clipboard, and Sidecar has reinforced the appeal of owning a Mac as part of the larger Apple ecosystem. This ongoing revitalization suggests that Apple is far from considering the Mac as a legacy product, and is instead positioning it for a renewed period of relevance and growth. 4. iPad: Upon their debut, iPads were an instant sensation, raking in an impressive $19 billion in the first year. There was a zenith in 2014, after which sales experienced a decline. Currently, iPad sales hover in the range of $20-30 billion, cementing their place in Apple’s revenue mix. 5. Wearables & Accessories: The Rising Contenders Under this category, one finds an array of products including Beats headphones, AirPods, and the Apple Watch. This segment has been climbing the ladder of success since 2015. Notably, AirPods are estimated to constitute a quarter of the revenue in this category. Apple's foray into the wearables and accessories market is indicative of its visionary approach to emerging consumer trends. The health and fitness boom, for instance, has been adeptly capitalized on through the Apple Watch, which offers features like heart rate monitoring, exercise tracking, and ECG. AirPods, on the other hand, have become something of a cultural phenomenon, merging high-quality audio with sleek design. These products are not just revenue generators; they are an extension of Apple's ecosystem, promoting brand loyalty and customer engagement. By continuously innovating and expanding in this sector, Apple ensures it remains not just a heavyweight in consumer electronics but a trendsetter in lifestyle technologies. Conclusion: Apple's ascent to become the first company to reach $1 trillion and subsequently $2 trillion in market capitalization is hardly fortuitous. The aforementioned quintet of products and services is the bedrock of its supremacy. With consumers' unabated ardor for Apple’s innovations and the brand loyalty it commands, NASDAQ:AAPL remains a formidable player in the stock market. Is Apple part of your investment portfolio?
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by financialflagship
21
Continue to short gold and expand profitsThe trading signal for shorting gold announced today has successfully reached our take-profit position of 1924 and achieved good returns. The trading signal is as follows: Xauusd:@1930-1932Sell, TP:1924 On Monday today, gold went up from 1920 to rectify, the highest reached around 1933, and then fell back sharply again, so far it has continued to maintain at 1933-1920 to rectify. Therefore, the gold empty order plan we implemented is also perfectly profitable. Gold has rebounded to around 1928 from 1921-22, and the current trend of gold is a bit like a head and shoulders pattern. The vicinity of 1928-1930 happens to be the shoulder position of this 15-minute trend. Next, if it stabilizes at 1928-1930, it is very likely that it will come down again and touch the bottom at 1922-1920. Therefore, my suggestion for the next operation is to focus on around 1928. If you can't continue to go up, you can enter the market and short. The lower target first looks at 1922-1920, followed by the 1910 low. For more trading signals and trading plans, you can follow the bottom of the article to view the details!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Trader_Christofer
Will the backtest hold?Cameco broke out from large triangle pattern in June. This breakout followed a large consolidation for over a year, after the first major leg up from 2020 lows. If the backtest of triangle holds, CCJ and Uranium sector could be setting up for next major leg of new bull market in Uranium. The technical uptrend is backed by strong sector fundamentals given supply/demand imbalances (exacerbated by geopolitical tensions), financial players (e.g. Sprott) supporting Uranium sport price and overall change in public sentiment towards Nuclear. A weakening US dollar would also help the commodity trade more broadly, including Uranium as well as the Metals. URNJ (junior miners) could be a great way to play the sector if next leg up materializes.
NYSE:CCJLong
by pdiddy7
Can we snap $16 in coming weeks?NYSE:SNAP was forming an ascending triangle from Oct'22 and we broke the pattern in April upon earnings. But the market seems to be rushing back in the triangle again. With that, the fair value estimated by analysts is $16 as well. It'll be interesting to see if we can close above $10.8x and start moving upwards. The stock currently seems to be following an upward channel (marked in blue) and we're at a crossroad today. Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Please make your own decisions while making an investment.
NYSE:SNAPLong
by mustafa_bey
1
Creating NFT's on XRP Ledger with SOLO 🎨Hi Traders, Investors and Speculators of Charts 📈📉 In the simplest terms, Non-Fungible Tokens (NFTs) are digital assets stored on a blockchain. Unlike traditional cryptocurrencies, which are often traded on decentralized exchanges, NFTs represent ownership of specific items such as digital art, in-game items, music, and even real-world assets like land or property. NFTs provide a new way to store value and participate in the digital economy. While still in the early stages of adoption, some NFTs have sold for millions of dollars. How NFTs work: NFTs are digital assets that allow for true ownership of digital items. They are created using blockchain technology, which provides a unique record of ownership and prevents counterfeiting. NFTs can represent various digital assets like digital art (JPG, GIFs, PNG), sound recordings, and collectibles. While the blockchain attached to an NFT is unique, the asset itself can be copied. This brings into question the value of NFTs, and creators should understand the market and their audience. Benefits of NFTs: 👍NFTs offer unique and collectible digital assets with inherent rarity and value. 👍NFTs are resellable and tradable, allowing owners to sell or trade them with others. 👍NFTs can be easily authenticated and verified through blockchain technology, providing a transparent record of ownership. 👍NFTs can include smart contracts, which allow creators to receive royalties from every subsequent sale of the NFT. Drawbacks and risks of NFTs: 😒The NFT market is volatile, and the value of NFTs can fluctuate quickly. 😒There's no guarantee that NFT art will sell right away, and it may take time to build interest and find buyers. 😒NFTs can be a confusing concept for many people, limiting their adoption and investment potential. 😒The environmental impact of minting and trading NFTs, resulting in large carbon footprints, is a concern for some. 😒The images of NFTs can still be copied, even though the blockchain technology attached to them is unique. Steps to create and sell NFT art: 😎Decide on a concept for your art and research trending NFT art styles. 😎Choose a blockchain technology for creating and developing your NFT. 😎Set up a digital wallet, which is like a bank account for cryptocurrency and stores your public and private keys. 😎Select an NFT marketplace that supports your chosen blockchain. 😎Promote your NFT through various channels such as a website, social media, blogs, online communities, and collaborations. 😎Upload and mint your art token on the chosen marketplace, paying a gas fee for transaction processing. 😎Price your token based on research and associated costs, and list it for sale on the marketplace. Note that this is not a paid shill or endorsement, relating to the topic above of minting NFT's on XRP, Sologenic is a great option. Sologenic disrupts the asset trading industry by offering a decentralized ecosystem for Tokenized Securities, Crypto Assets, and NFTs. The Sologenic Development Foundation consists of independent developers dedicated to maintaining, expanding, and building the Sologenic ecosystem. Sologenic.com serves as the primary use-case for the Sologenic Ecosystem, providing on-demand tokenization of various assets, including Stocks and ETFs. There's also the mobile app for convenience and wallet creation. Sologenic, the pioneering NFT marketplace built on the XRP Ledger, has received a grant from XRPL Grants. This grant program selects open-source projects that contribute to the growth of the XRP Ledger community. The approval came shortly after the successful launch of the Sologenic NFT Marketplace in January 2022. Sologenic's vision aligns with XRP's goal of revolutionizing decentralized finance (DeFi) by offering decentralized and borderless access to financial products and services while prioritizing security and performance. By leveraging the XRP Ledger's fast and efficient consensus algorithm, Sologenic aims to provide an intuitive and cost-effective platform for NFT trading. The recent introduction of the NFT-Devnet unveiled the capabilities of the new XLS-20d technology, which enables native support for NFTs. Sologenic announced that once the technology becomes available on the Mainnet, a seamless migration of NFTs minted under the current XLS-14/SOLO methodology to the new format will be supported, preserving the history of each NFT. Operating within the same ecosystem as the Sologenic DEX, a decentralized exchange for cryptocurrencies such as XRP, SOLO, and upcoming Tokenized Assets, the NFT Marketplace offers a user-friendly interface for both newcomers and experienced traders. Sologenic aims to bridge the gap between traditional trading and NFTs, empowering users to have full control over their digital assets through their preferred private wallets. Within its first week of operation, the Sologenic NFT Marketplace witnessed the sale of 4,300 NFTs, prompting the introduction of new features. The team has implemented profile and collection verification protocols to enhance user security within the decentralized ecosystem. Noting that this is BULLISH for the price of XRPUSDT, as it increases adoption and market cap. SOLOUSDT has recently released and the price is dirt cheap. It looks like most of the hype and airdrop sales are over, I'd be looking to start accumulation from now onwards (even though I expect the price to drop more, so it will be spot definitely not leverage). I am EXTREMELY bullish on SOLO due to the revolutionary nature of their products including minting on XRP and stock market trading options. _______________________ 📢Follow us here on TradingView for daily updates and trade ideas on crypto , stocks and commodities 💎Hit like & Follow 👍 We appreciate your support ! CryptoCheck
Long
by CryptoCheck-
24
Peeking into Super SevensIn our previous paper , we outlined how investors can use CME's Micro S&P 500 Futures to hedge beta exposure and extract pure alpha. The paper referenced that the Super Sevens stocks (Amazon, Apple, Google, Meta, Microsoft, Nvidia, and Tesla) will continue to outperform the broader S&P 500 index. Not only do these stocks benefit from passive investing and ESG investing, these firms also have solid fundamentals to back up their gargantuan valuations. Each of the firms in the Super Sevens offer unique value drivers. Each firm is a market leader in its space and has demonstrated resilient earnings capacity and solid growth potential. Still, each also has its own set of risks. Notably, with the Super Sevens the value drivers outweigh the potential risks. AMAZON VALUE DRIVERS • Blistering profits from AWS offering with dominant market share of 33%. • Market dominance in e-commerce and solid supply chain network. • Successful new categories: Kindle (publishing), Alexa (voice assistant), and Prime (video streaming). POTENTIAL RISKS • Heavy reliance on AWS for profits. Slowing growth in AWS due to slowdown in corporate IT spending. • Low profit margins in e-commerce business. Slowing growth due to lower consumer spending. • Rising competition in cloud services and e-commerce. ANALYST PRICE TARGETS • Across 54 analysts providing a 12-month price target, 42 (77%) having a strong buy rating, 7 (13%) of them have a buy rating, 4 (7%) suggest a hold, while just 1 (2%) has a strong sell rating. • Average 12-month price target stands at 137, with a maximum of 220 and a minimum of 85. TECHNICAL SIGNALS • Technical signals point to momentum deeply in favour of Amazon shares. Oscillators point to buy and Moving averages point to a strong buy. • In aggregate, technical signals point to a buy. APPLE VALUE DRIVERS • Product category definers. Dominant and still growing iPhone demand. • Solid eco-system which is extremely hard to displace. • Control over both software and hardware enables specialized tailored improvements. • Sticky services such as App store, Apple Pay, and potentially Apple BNPL. POTENTIAL RISKS • Apple is heavily reliant on external fabricators exposing it to supply-chain bottlenecks. • Heavily dependent on iPhone sales. • Rising dependence on future growth in unexplored new categories. ANALYST PRICE TARGETS • Across 42 analysts providing a 12-month price target, 22 (52%) having a strong buy rating, 6 (14%) of them have a buy rating, 13 (31%) suggest a hold, while just 1 (2%) has a strong sell rating. • Average 12-month price target stands at 187, with a maximum of 220 and a minimum of 140. TECHNICAL SIGNALS • Technical signals point to solid momentum favouring long position in Apple shares. Oscillators point to buy and Moving averages point to a strong buy. • In aggregate, technical signals point to a strong buy despite Apple trading at near its all-time-high. GOOGLE VALUE DRIVERS • Google is the dominant search engine (86% market share). • Phenomenally successful and effective ad-targeting capabilities. • Heavy investments in future innovation enabling leapfrog into new verticals such as Android, Waymo (FSD & Maps). • Successful early acquisitions such as YouTube, Android, Applied Semantics & DoubleClick (AdSense), Nest (Home Automation). POTENTIAL RISKS • Massive reliance on ad revenues via search for profits. Slowing ad spend as firms cut back on spending. • Non-trivial dependence on cloud revenue for growth exposes them. Slowing cloud revenue growth due to lower corporate IT spending. • Failure to expand into new domains such as social media, wearable tech, and gaming. ANALYST PRICE TARGETS • Across 52 analysts providing a 12-month price target, 40 (77%) having a strong buy rating, 7 (13%) of them have a buy rating, while 5 (10%) suggest a hold. None of the analysts have a sell rating. • Average 12-month price target stands at 131, with a maximum of 190 and a minimum of 100. TECHNICAL SIGNALS • Technical signals point to decent momentum favouring Google shares but prices are at tiny risk of oscillating downwards. Oscillators point to neutral while Moving averages point to a strong buy. • In aggregate, technical signals point to a buy. META VALUE DRIVERS • Market monopoly on social media with high penetration across global markets on multiple platforms. • Flagship Facebook platform continues to see growth with 2.9 billion monthly active users (MAU). • Successful acquisitions have provided them with a wide suite of social media platforms – WhatsApp (2 billion MAU) and Instagram (2 billion MAU). • Successful developer tools (Graph, Hydra, React) have allowed them to build useful SDK (Software Development Kit). Potential sources of enterprise revenue from these. POTENTIAL RISKS • Increasing competition from TikTok. • Privacy concerns have a direct revenue impact e.g., Apple’s new privacy policies. • Falling market share for flagship Facebook in advanced economies. • High reliance on ad-sales. Slowing ad sales as firms cut back on spending. • Shaky bet on the Metaverse which is starting to fade. ANALYST PRICE TARGETS • Across 60 analysts providing a 12-month price target, 39 (65%) having a strong buy rating, 7 (12%) of them have a buy rating, 10 (17%) suggest a hold, 1 (2%) sell rating, and 3 (5%) has a strong sell rating. • Average 12-month price target stands at 281, with a maximum of 350 and a minimum of 100. TECHNICAL SIGNALS • Technical signals point to decent momentum favouring Meta shares. Oscillators signal neutral indicating a tiny risk of shares shedding gains while Moving averages point to a strong buy. • In aggregate, technical signals point to a buy. MICROSOFT VALUE DRIVERS • Sheer dominance of Windows (74% market share) & MS Office. • Deep roots in MS Office enables the firm to straddle across consumers & enterprise. • Diversified software offerings - cloud (Azure), gaming (Xbox), enterprise (Windows Server and SQL), search (Bing), productivity (Office), collaboration (Teams), and AI (through Open AI's ChatGPT). • Active M&A activity to acquire assets - LinkedIn, OpenAI, GitHub, Skype, Mojang, Nokia, Activision-Blizzard (Pending). • Besides Windows, Microsoft controls dev frameworks such as .Net further strengthening their grasp on SW dev. POTENTIAL RISKS • Limited success in hardware offerings unlike Apple. • Multiple major acquisitions have fizzled – Skype and Nokia. • Limited adoption in enterprise software. ANALYST PRICE TARGETS • Across 51 analysts providing a 12-month price target, 37 (73%) having a strong buy rating, 6 (12%) of them have a buy rating, 7 (14%) suggest a hold, while just 1 (2%) has a strong sell rating. • Average 12-month price target stands at 345, with a maximum of 450 and a minimum of 232. TECHNICAL SIGNALS • Technical signals point to decent momentum favouring Microsoft shares. Oscillators are at neutral while Moving averages signal a strong buy. • In aggregate, technical signals point to a strong buy. NVIDIA VALUE DRIVERS • Market dominance in discrete GPU’s (80%). • Early mover in AI hardware which gives them a lead over the competition. • Raytracing, DLSS, Neural Network cores. • Nvidia’s CUDA is the primary choice for training ML models. • Market dominance in high-growth data centre graphics hardware (95%) and super-computing hardware. • Successful enterprise partnerships – car manufacturers using Nvidia software. • Emerging tech such as AI and VR require more graphics intensive processing driving demand for Nvidia’s products. POTENTIAL RISKS • Hardware-focused business model exposes it to supply-chain risks and bottlenecks. • Extremely high P/E of 225 dependent upon expectations of future growth in AI. • Losing market share in discrete GPUs and enterprise GPUs to AMD and Intel. ANALYST PRICE TARGETS • Across 50 analysts providing a 12-month price target, 36 (72%) having a strong buy rating, 6 (12%) of them have a buy rating, 7 (14%) suggest a hold, while just 1 (2%) has a sell rating. • Average 12-month price target stands at 444, with a maximum of 600 and a minimum of 175. TECHNICAL SIGNALS • Technical signals point to solid momentum favouring long position Nvidia shares. Oscillators point to buy and Moving averages point to a strong buy. • In aggregate, technical signals point to a strong buy despite Nvidia relentless and unrivalled price ascent. TESLA VALUE DRIVERS • Early mover in EV’s with dominant market share in US (62%). • Dedicated and loyal customer base. • Vertical integration of EV value chain allows it to reduce reliance on external suppliers. • Early investment in large factories that will allow them to scale output more efficiently. • Huge and monetizable supercharger network by opening it up to other EV makers. • Subscription model for software enables revenue generation after product sale. • Long term vision has allowed Tesla to create entirely new products such as supercharger network, battery banks, home power backup and solar roofs. • Tesla’s planned Robotaxi and entry into car insurance can be hugely disruptive. POTENTIAL RISKS • Increasing competition from automobile majors as well as Chinese EV firms. • Tesla’s brand is deeply entangled with Musk’s reputation. • Dependence on government incentives to make Tesla affordable. • Continued access to battery metal minerals. • Ongoing and unresolved production scaling challenges. ANALYST PRICE TARGETS • Across 46 analysts providing a 12-month price target, 18 (39%) having a strong buy rating, 5 (11%) of them have a buy rating, 17 (37%) suggest a hold, 1 (2%) has a sell rating, and a 5 (11%) hold a strong sell rating. • Average 12-month price target stands at 201, with a maximum of 335 and a minimum of 71. TECHNICAL SIGNALS • Technical signals point to solid momentum favouring Tesla. Oscillators point to buy and Moving averages point to a strong buy. • In aggregate, technical signals point to a strong buy. SUMMARY The Super Sevens are well positioned to continue outperforming the wider market. As mentioned in our previous paper , investors can use a beta hedge to nullify the effects of the broader market (S&P 500) and extract pure alpha from the growth of the Super Sevens. MARKET DATA CME Real-time Market Data helps identify trading set-ups and express market views better. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com DISCLAIMER This case study is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services. Trading or investment ideas cited here are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management or trading under the market scenarios being discussed. Please read the FULL DISCLAIMER the link to which is provided in our profile description.
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by mintdotfinance
35
19/06/2023 Weekly Idea SOXL/WOODWeekly idea of this week is to long SOXL, short WOOD. With Apple's announcement of vision pro in early June, I expect a rise in demand of semiconductors in the supply chain (and also in upstream industries such as metal mining/battery making). WOOD is least correlated to the upstream industries while also reported being shrinking in the latest ISM report. Price spread is currently 0.34. We would stop loss at 10% (ie 0.31) and looking for soft 30% profit target at 0.447 (which was in Mar 2022).
AMEX:SOXL
by BigTimmy3000
1
SEC Lawsuits Against Binance and Coinbase: Unraveling Conflicts Hi Traders, Investors and Speculators of Charts📈📉 In recent developments that have rocked the cryptocurrency industry, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has filed lawsuits against major cryptocurrency exchanges Binance and Coinbase. These legal actions stem from alleged violations related to registration requirements and investor protection. Additionally, a potential conflict of interest has emerged, as former Binance job applicant Garry Gensler now serves as the head of the SEC. This write-up aims to shed light on the sequence of events, the accusations faced by both exchanges, and the implications for the crypto market. A - Binance Faces SEC Charges The SEC filed a lawsuit against Binance, one of the world's largest cryptocurrency exchanges, and its CEO Changpeng Zhao (CZ), accusing them of violating U.S. securities laws. The charges revolve around Binance offering and selling cryptocurrency derivatives to U.S. investors without being registered as a securities exchange. B - Coinbase Sued by the SEC The SEC also sued Coinbase, a prominent U.S.-based cryptocurrency exchange, alleging that it failed to properly register its planned lending product, Coinbase Lend. The SEC argues that the lending product qualifies as a security, and Coinbase should have registered it accordingly. However, Coinbase has filed a counter lawsuit aiming to prove how many times they have tried to reach out to the SEC for clarity. C - Conflict of Interest: Gensler's Connection to Binance Prior to joining the SEC, Garry Gensler reportedly applied for a job at Binance but was rejected. Soon after, he assumed his role as the chairman of the SEC. This situation has raised concerns about potential conflicts of interest, as Gensler now oversees the regulatory actions against Binance. The SEC are basing their entire case of a few key factos: ❗ Securities laws mandate that companies offering securities or related products to the public must register with relevant regulatory authorities. Failure to do so can result in legal action. ❗ Investor Protection: Regulatory bodies aim to safeguard investors' interests by ensuring transparency, disclosure of information, and adherence to applicable regulations. ❗Cryptocurrency Derivatives are still derivatives: Financial contracts whose value is derived from an underlying cryptocurrency, such as futures contracts or options. ❗Cryptos are Securities: Financial instruments, including stocks, bonds, or investment contracts, that represent ownership or participation in a company or enterprise. Implications for the Crypto Market The SEC's actions against Binance, Coinbase and Ripple signal increased regulatory scrutiny in the cryptocurrency space, highlighting the need for compliance with existing securities laws. However, it also points out how flawed the current system is as Garry Gensler basically has autonomy over decisions that may be conflict of interest. His actions are affecting the entire crypto space as well as stifling innovation since the SEC has been so negligent to work with the blockchain community for solutions. Not even to mention the shorts that were opened on both Binance and Coinbase just before the lawsuit news dropped, picked up by on-chain analysis as seen all over Twitter. This confirms and reiterates that politicians and other people in power have insider information on stocks, as was last seen with the Nancy Pelosi case. 💭Although this seems like an attack on blockchain, all of the above proves how desperately the world needs a new system that is unbiased, transparent and fair. With regulators desperately grabbing for strands of power in any way possible, it actually just strengthens the argument for blockchain and a cryptocurrency-based future. And finally, from a trading perspective, these are some decent discounts, hence I'm labeling this post as long. I'll be bagging up because this is a steal for both Coinbase stock and BNBUSDT. _______________________ 📢Follow us here on TradingView for daily updates and trade ideas on crypto , stocks and commodities 💎Hit like & Follow 👍 We appreciate your support ! CryptoCheck ________________________________ Sauces: Reuters: "SEC sues Coinbase over failure to register" The New York Times: "SEC sues Binance over securities violations" CNBC: "SEC sues Binance and CEO Changpeng Zhao" Coin Telegraph: "SEC Gensler parallels Binance, FTX sued" BBC: "US regulator sues Coinbase over interest-earning product" CryptoSlate: "Coinbase seeks to withdraw staked ETH amid SEC lawsuit" YouTube: "SEC sues Binance and Coinbase" The Wall Street Journal: "SEC sues Binance and Coinbase: What the charges mean for crypto" NASDAQ:COIN BINANCE:BNBUSDT BINANCE:XRPUSDT PANCAKESWAP:NUTUSDT_9D4097 CRYPTOCAP:BNB
NASDAQ:COINLong
by CryptoCheck-
39
OIL dropped 1% as Fed call this draws uncertaintityI wanted to bring to your attention some recent developments in the oil and financial markets. Specifically, there are concerns about the impact of upcoming signals on the U.S. economy and monetary policy. This week, we expect U.S. consumer inflation data to be released on Tuesday, which will likely factor into the Federal Reserve's decision on interest rates on Wednesday. While the Fed is expected to keep rates steady, there is still some uncertainty because U.S. inflation is trending above the central bank's target range. As a result, markets are remaining cautious about any potential hawkish moves. Additionally, the dollar has firmed in Asian trade, putting pressure on oil markets by making crude more expensive for international buyers. I thought bringing these developments to your attention was essential, as they could impact this week's oil price. Please let me know if you have any questions or concerns via the comments.
TVC:USOILLong
by bryandowningqln
Alibaba ($NYSE:BABA) Price Action: Breakout Coming?TL;DR: Alibaba's stock price is approaching a crucial juncture as it encounters resistance at the weekly trendline and finds support near $80. With major indices possibly facing a correction, monitoring Alibaba's price movements is crucial for identifying a potential bullish trade opportunity. In this trading idea, we analyze Alibaba's ( NYSE:BABA ) price action and its breakout potential. The stock's undervalued fundamentals, coupled with resistance at the weekly trendline and historical support near $80, indicate a possible bullish move. Given the likelihood of a broader market correction, monitoring both market conditions and Alibaba's price movements is key. Alibaba's undervalued fundamentals, including strong growth projections and solid financials, enhance the attractiveness of a bullish trade. The stock's price action encounters resistance at the weekly trendline, while historical support near $80 acts as a reliable floor. A breakout above the trendline could signal a potential bullish trend. Considering the possibility of a correction phase for major indices, vigilance in monitoring both the broader market and Alibaba's price movements is crucial. Traders should assess sustained price movements above the resistance level for potential bullish entry signals. Implementing proper risk management, such as setting a stop-loss order below the historical support level, is essential. Staying informed about market conditions, news events, and company-specific developments is necessary to evaluate the ongoing viability of the trade. Disclaimer: This trading idea is for informational purposes only and not financial advice. Conduct independent analysis and exercise due diligence before making trading decisions. Trading involves risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results.
NYSE:BABALong
by arielfuggini
$PINC Punished for Lack of Working Capital?Premier health seems to be flashing some hands off signals at the moment.Based on an analysis of earnings against potential growth, fair value for NASDAQ:PINC would be around $40.38, but the stock is trading 54% below that target. They are even trading below the average analyst target of $33.40. These are signs that something is weighing on the market value of the firm. Potential Issues for Investors Include: 1. Cash to Equity at 4%: This suggests that the company has an insufficient amount of cash to fuel growth and handle liabilities. I would direct investor attention to the company's negative working capital and 20% drop in operating cash flows. 2. Shareholder Dilution: Premier seems to be constantly issuing new shares, which negates any market value that could be had from an increase in earnings. 3. Net Cash Negative: Total debt held by the company is down trailing 12 months, but still leaves the company with -$3.31 net cash per share over that same time period. Key Point: The company is over leveraged amidst tight financial conditions and margins in the healthcare space are dropping like a hot rock. This draws concern as the company has been working with negative working capital for 5 straight years. To mention a few bright spots, the company generating $84 in free cash flow for every $100 in earnings and seems to at least over the past 12 months be looking to reduce their debt. The company is projected to see earnings growth of 5.6% over the next 5 years, but is priced for no growth. Investors who look at this as a mispricing and buy today could see a push toward our forward looking valuations. This could yield as much as a 55% increase in the stock price. On the other hand the key question would be; can the company survive long enough to fix the problems? Investors who believe they will survive can look at this as a reasonable opportunity to buy ahead of any capital appreciation. Earnings are steady over the long term with over 4,400 member hospitals in their circle which should keep the money coming in. Worst case scenario, they become an acquisition target down the line, but in the mean time, I the market is sending signals that hands off is the policy. No growth value is definitely an enticing price point, but maybe a look at next quarter's earnings could provide more insight on the company's direction. PINC faces increased competition from other healthcare improvement companies, such as Optum and UnitedHealth Group. These companies are investing heavily in new technologies and solutions, which could put pressure on PINC's margins. PINC also faces a number of regulatory challenges, such as the implementation of the Affordable Care Act and the rising cost of healthcare. These challenges could make it difficult for PINC to grow its business and maintain its profitability. Income and cash flows have taken a step down in 2023. Cash flows are projected to continue to decline in 2024 and return to growth in 2025.
NASDAQ:PINC
by D1Finance