Perfect Time to Long PYTH – Targeting $0.50-$0.55, Then $1-$1.15PYTH is showing a strong setup for a long position. A move to the $0.50-$0.55 range looks likely, with the next key resistance at $1-$1.15 if market momentum mirrors February-March 2024.
Fundamentally, Pyth Network has gained dominance due to Solana's high-speed, low-cost infrastructure, which aligns perfectly with Pyth's real-time, on-demand price feeds. With the meme coin frenzy and massive trading activity on Solana, Pyth has become the go-to oracle for fast and reliable data.
Unlike Chainlink, which relies on slower, aggregated updates, Pyth leverages direct data from multiple premium providers (like CBOE and Binance) and delivers ultra-low-latency price feeds, which makes it ideal for high-frequency trading and DeFi protocols.
Additionally, Pyth rapidly expanded its price feeds across multiple assets and chains, outpacing Chainlink in both speed and adoption, while maintaining gas efficiency and cross-chain compatibility.
PYTH:PYTHUSD
Value
FTI CONSULTING / FCN Long IdeaSeasonality gives us a very high propability that we see 10+ % gain in price the comping das until mid of April.
I am already invested but add to my trade as soon as we see some price action to the upside.
Trade at your own risk and trade only what you see and understand.
FCN is a quality stock in my list of shares I look at anyway, so it is good to find cheap price entries.
The stock is undervalued, too. Fair price can be considered 210.
Good Luck
Cheers!
Epic Cash = Satoshi's vision for Peer-to-Peer Digital CashEPIC CASH is what Satoshi Nakamoto would build today, using modern technology — and the valuable insights learned during Bitcoin’s (and other altcoins’) journey over the past 15 years.
EPIC offers a robust and decentralized financial system that will exist for future generations, immune from geopolitical turmoil and banking crises.
With a limit of just 21 million coins, EPIC follows 100% of Satoshi’s Bitcoin DNA scarcity formula. It has ALL the needed features of a decentralized, current, P2P, digital currency.
Below are just some of the unique feature that make EPIC CASH superior digital cash:
Scarcity
with a fixed supply of only 21 million coins: EPIC maintains Bitcoin’s identical hard cap of 21 million coins — With 84% of the supply already in circulation, its ownership trajectory aligns with BTC’s, to reach 20.3 million coins by 2028.
Mineable by Anyone
EPIC employs a multi-algorithm mining system that allows ordinary computers to mine it with their laptops or desktops using CPU and GPU, making it accessible to over 6.4 billion devices worldwide, allowing for broad usage and continued decentralization. In contrast, BTC can only be mined on ASICs, which are large cumbersome industrial computers that need frequent replacement and have obvious onerous environmental repercussions.
Privacy and Fungibility
EPIC leverages Mimblewimble blockchain compression to ensure that ALL transactions are commercially private, requiring no extra steps. This ensures that EPIC is fully fungible—and every coin is indistinguishable from another, so there are no "tainted coins,” which is an Achilles’ heel of BTC. Absolute privacy is achieved via Mimblewimble technology as no wallet addresses and no transaction amounts are ever stored on the blockchain.
LEARN MORE - epicash.com
FMC - A deep value play for the steel stomach investor The Foxx is back.
After the stellar returns of 2024, and by that I mean triple digits %, the Foxx is back to give out a charity to his followers.
FMC
A deep value agricultural stock with rising inventory and low market demand. But, like the market always does - what goes down - goes up ! the demand is expected to go up in 2026-27 and the invesntory goes down at the same time.
Book value per share is ridiculously close to the price.
The Foxx announces a 10,000 stock position on FMC at an average price of 38.10 as per 10th Feb 2025 830am ET
No lines, no colors, no ATH or no fibonnacci .. Just pure value investing.
Do i sound arrogant ? I do and I am. Because i only give out winners. see my previous ideas and like they say - the rest is history !!
Make money
Foxx
MicroStrategy’s Premium Is Fading – Time to Brace for a Drop?The strong optimism following Trump’s election in November fueled a Bitcoin rally, which in turn led to a massive surge in MicroStrategy’s ( NASDAQ:MSTR ) stock.
However, after reaching an all-time high near $550, MSTR experienced a sharp decline. Interestingly, despite Bitcoin hovering around $100K and even attempting a new ATH recently, this momentum hasn’t been reflected in MSTR’s stock price.
From a technical perspective, the price has broken below its ascending trendline and is now consolidating between $320 and $360.
Given the unjustified premium (at least in my opinion), I expect further downside for the stock.
Additionally, if Bitcoin fails to hold the key $90K confluence support, MSTR could see a sharp plunge below $200.
Analysis of #SUSDT – Watching for a Breakout📊 Analysis of BYBIT:SUSDT.P – Watching for a Breakout
15M TF
✅ Overview:
➡️ BYBIT:SUSDT.P is trading within a range, consolidating between $0.4025 (support) and $0.4181 (resistance).
➡️ POC (Point of Control) at $0.4087 represents the highest liquidity area, making it a key level where price could decide its next move.
➡️ A breakdown below $0.4025 could lead to further downside, as there is little strong support below this level.
➡️ If the price holds above $0.4181, we could see a push toward higher resistance levels.
⚡ Plan of Action:
📈 Bullish Scenario:
➡️ If price holds above $0.4087 (POC) and breaks $0.4181, an upward move is expected with increased momentum.
📉 Bearish Scenario:
➡️ If price drops below $0.4087 and breaks $0.4025, expect accelerated downside movement.
🚀 BYBIT:SUSDT.P is in a consolidation phase – preparing for a breakout!
📢 BYBIT:SUSDT.P is in an accumulation phase, and a breakout of key levels will determine the next trend.
📢 Watch volume closely – an increase on a breakout will confirm a stronger move.
Beyond BTC - Why Coinbase (COIN) is a Long-Term Buy?As a trader, I'm always watching the markets, but building long-term wealth is also key. That's why I'm digging into assets like Coinbase (COIN) . While my day job is trading, Coinbase has definitely caught my eye as something portfolio-worthy for the long haul. We might have missed the IPO buzz back in 2021, but looking at where Coinbase is headed, I think we're still early in a massive growth story.
Don't let short-term crypto ups and downs distract you. Coinbase is playing a long game, and here's why it's a smart long-term investment -
CEO Brian Armstrong's Big Vision (and Big Numbers):
Already a Financial Giant: Think of Coinbase as a bank or brokerage – it's already HUGE. It's as big as the 21st largest US bank by assets ($0.42 trillion!) or the 8th largest brokerage. This size matters.
Going Global: Coinbase isn't just focused on the US. They're expanding worldwide to grab new users and markets.
Becoming Your All-in-One Financial Hub: Forget old-school banks. Coinbase wants to be your single crypto-powered financial account for everything – payments, investing, and more. This is where finance is heading.
Token Powerhouse: Crypto is about more than just Bitcoin. Coinbase wants to list every token, becoming the go-to place for the entire crypto universe.
Blending Crypto Worlds: Coinbase is smart – they're linking up with new decentralized crypto systems (DeFi) to give you the best of both worlds, easy to use but with more options.
Working with Regulators: Coinbase is playing it smart, working with governments to make crypto safe and trusted for everyone long-term.
Massive Crypto Payments: People are using crypto to pay – big time. $30 TRILLION in stablecoin payments happened last year alone. Coinbase is ready to cash in on this payment revolution.
Why This Matters for Long-Term Investors:
Crypto is Exploding: Everyone knows crypto is going to get bigger. Coinbase is in the perfect spot to ride this massive wave.
Big Money is Coming: Big institutions like banks are starting to invest in crypto. Coinbase is built for them – safe, secure, and ready for big players.
Coinbase is the Brand You Trust: Coinbase is the big name in crypto. People know and trust them, which is gold in a new market.
Bottom Line: Coinbase isn't just a trend; it's building the future of finance. Yes, crypto is bumpy, but for the long haul, Coinbase is positioned to be a winner.
Now let's get technical and have a look at what the charts are saying -
Uptrend is Clear: Forget short-term noise – this chart shows Coinbase has been on a solid climb since late 2023. There's a strong bullish structural break which indicates the trend has shifted up after a short bearish run.
$350 is the Line in the Sand: Think of $350 as the ceiling right now. The price hit it, and we saw some selling. Gotta break above $350 to really see the bulls charging again.
$225-$250 is the Safety Net: On the flip side, $225-$250 is like solid ground. As long as we stay above that, the bull run is still in play.
Just Taking a Breather: Right now, the chart says "consolidation." Think of it as Coinbase catching its breath after a big run. This pause can be a good thing – building up energy for the next push up.
RSI is Neutral for Now: The RSI thing is the 50% level. Not screaming "buy" or "sell," just saying "wait and see." After showing us bearish divergence we are likely to see oversold conditions within the current range - if that does happen it would be a good time to strike.
What to Watch For (Trader Style):
Breakout Above $350 = Green Light: If COIN blasts through $350 with some volume, that's the signal to jump in long. Think higher targets.
Stuck Between $250 and $350 = Range Trade Time: If it stays in this range, you can play the range – buy low, sell high within the range. But be ready for a break either way.
Drop Below $250 = Caution Flag: If we crack below $250, that's a warning sign. Might be time to get a bit more defensive.
Final Notes:
Coinbase looks good long-term, but we're in a "show me" moment right now. Watch those key levels – $350 and $250. Patience is key, but the chart is set up for a potential bullish move if we get the right trigger. If you're looking to invest for the long-haul, now would be a good time to add some shares to your portfolio.
Important Disclaimer:
Please remember, I am not a financial advisor. My analysis here is based on my personal research and is intended for informational and educational purposes only. Before making any investment decisions, it is essential to consult with a qualified financial professional who can provide advice tailored to your individual circumstances.
Investing in financial markets, especially in assets like cryptocurrencies and related stocks, carries significant risk. There are no guaranteed returns, and it's crucial to understand that investing is not gambling. Strategic investing involves thorough research, careful timing, and a clear understanding of your own risk tolerance and investment amounts. Always conduct your own independent research and due diligence before investing in any asset.
NASDAQ:COIN COINBASE:CBETHUSD COINBASE:CBETHETH COINBASE:CBETHUSDC OANDA:NAS100USD
Blacksky - Geospatial intelligence on steroidsTicker: BKSY
Exchange: NYSE
Market Cap: ~$360M
Sector: Aerospace & Defense | Satellite Data & Geospatial Intelligence
BlackSky Technology Inc. (BKSY) is an emerging leader in the real-time geospatial intelligence (GEOINT) sector, utilizing its next-generation satellite constellation and AI-powered analytics platform to provide high-frequency Earth observation services. The company has positioned itself as a key player in defense, national security, and commercial intelligence, winning multiple government contracts while rapidly scaling its operations.
With an undervalued market cap (~$360M), growing demand for satellite intelligence, and a low-float stock, BKSY presents a high-upside opportunity in the satellite imaging industry.
1. Competitive Edge: Superior Satellite Technology & AI Integration
Gen-3 Satellite Upgrades (2024) - Best-in-Class Capabilities
• 35cm resolution (among the highest for commercial satellites).
• 90-minute revisit rates (frequent monitoring of global hotspots).
• Laser communication technology (faster, more secure data transmission).
• AI-powered analytics (real-time image processing and automated alerts).
BKSY’s next-gen satellites outperform many competitors, including Planet Labs (PL), by offering higher resolution and real-time tasking, which is crucial for military and intelligence applications.
2. Major Government Contracts Secured in 2024-2025
Expanding Partnerships with the U.S. Government
• $200M Luno B IDIQ Contract (5-year base period, providing real-time GEOINT to NGA & military agencies).
• U.S. Space Force Contracts (Data analytics services for national security intelligence, awarded in Jan 2025).
• Navy Research Contract for Gen-3 Satellites (AI-driven satellite intelligence for military operations).
• National Reconnaissance Office (NRO) Contract Extension (BlackSky continues to deliver critical intelligence under a multi-year agreement).
Government reliance on real-time geospatial intelligence is growing rapidly, and BKSY is securing multi-year contracts to provide strategic intelligence services, ensuring long-term revenue stability.
3. Strategic Partnership with Palantir (PLTR)
• Integrated into Palantir’s AI-Powered Defense Tech Stack (since 2021).
• Automated real-time data delivery to Palantir customers (reducing manual processing time from hours to minutes).
• Synergy between AI-driven analytics (PLTR) & BlackSky’s satellite network creates a powerful data pipeline for national security clients.
With Palantir rapidly expanding its AI and defense intelligence business, BlackSky stands to benefit from deepening collaborations and contract expansions.
4. Growing Demand for Satellite Intelligence
• Russia-Ukraine War & Global Tensions → Increased government reliance on real-time battlefield intelligence.
• Maritime Security & Illegal Activity Monitoring → Demand for shipping lane surveillance & military monitoring.
• Climate Change & Disaster Response → Increased use of satellite data for natural disasters, deforestation, and infrastructure planning.
BlackSky’s services align perfectly with global security, climate monitoring, and defense needs, ensuring sustained long-term demand.
5. Strong Financial Momentum & Low Float Stock
• Q/Q revenue growth positive (outperforming competitors in contract wins).
• 8:1 Reverse Split (Oct 2024) → Reduced dilution, improving stock attractiveness.
• Low float → BKSY could see sharp price movements on contract news.
• 2026 Warrants (Sept 2026, $92 strike) trading at $0.16 → A speculative but high-upside leveraged play.
With increasing revenue, strong contract execution, and a lean cost structure, BKSY is heading toward potential profitability in the coming years.
6. Technical Analysis & Price Potential
• Breakout Potential: Currently trading at a low market cap ($360M) despite securing hundreds of millions in government contracts.
• Catalyst-Driven Growth: Major contract announcements could trigger a parabolic price move, as seen with similar low-float defense sector stocks.
• Key Resistance Levels: $20 (psychological level) → $32 (pre-reverse split equivalent).
• Long-Term Target: If execution continues, BKSY could see a SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:1B + market cap, aligning with competitors like Planet Labs (PL) and Maxar Technologies.
Conclusion: A High-Upside, Catalyst-Driven Growth Stock
With cutting-edge satellite tech, multi-year government contracts, deep integration into Palantir’s AI ecosystem, and strong industry tailwinds, BlackSky (BKSY) is primed for explosive growth in 2025-2026.
For investors seeking exposure to the booming geospatial intelligence and defense AI sector, BKSY offers a rare asymmetric opportunity with a high-risk, high-reward profile.
🚀 Price Target (2025-2026):
✅ Short-Term: $20-$25
✅ Mid-Term: $40+ (if contract momentum continues)
✅ Long-Term (2026+): SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:1B + market cap potential
📌 Watch for contract announcements & earnings reports as key catalysts!
TL;DR - Why BKSY is Bullish:
✔ Gen-3 satellite upgrades (superior imaging, AI, and laser communication).
✔ Winning government contracts (Space Force, NRO, Navy, NGA).
✔ Palantir partnership (integrated into AI-driven defense intelligence).
✔ Expanding demand for geospatial intelligence (global security & commercial use cases).
✔ Low-float stock with strong momentum (breakout potential in 2025).
🔥 One of the best small-cap defense/space plays right now!
Randstad: A Value Caution in a Shifting LandscapeRandstad NV (AEX: RAND) currently trades around €41.55 with a market cap of approximately €7.62 billion. While many investors may be drawn to its strong dividend history and solid reputation in staffing, a closer look at the fundamentals and macroeconomic outlook suggests that the market may be overestimating its near‐term growth prospects.
Declining Profitability
A review of Randstad’s recent financials is cause for caution. The company’s net income has shown a marked deterioration over recent years—from €929 million in 2022 to €624 million in 2023 and further down to €272 million on a nine‑month basis in 2024. This steep decline is partly due to mounting operating costs and weakening revenues. From a Buffett perspective, a business with persistent profitability erosion—even one with a storied track record—may have its intrinsic value overstated relative to its current market price.
Earnings Release Timing: Pre‐Market Clarity
Randstad’s Q4 2024 earnings are scheduled for release on February 12, 2025, at 01:00 AM CET—well before the regular trading hours (pre‑market) on the Amsterdam exchange. This timing can sometimes lead to volatility, as the market digests the numbers before the open. In a scenario where the figures further confirm the declining trends in net income and margins, the pre‑market reaction could set the tone for a downtrend next week.

Macroeconomic Headwinds
Beyond company-specific issues, broader economic signals weigh on Randstad’s prospects. Staffing firms are inherently tied to the health of the labor market. Recent reports indicate that while headline figures such as a 143,000-job gain in January might appear robust, underlying trends—including uncertainty over labor market stability and rising concerns over long‑term employment—suggest caution. An environment of higher unemployment (or the fear thereof) can dampen demand for staffing and recruitment services as companies curtail expansion plans. In other words, if fewer people are employed, fewer job openings and less turnover can translate into lower revenues for Randstad over time.

The Technology Disruption Factor
Adding another layer of risk, the accelerating pace of technological advancement—particularly in artificial intelligence—could further disrupt traditional staffing. As AI and automation drive efficiencies, many roles traditionally filled through temporary or permanent placement may become obsolete. This transformation not only dampens the immediate demand for recruitment services but also challenges long‑term earnings growth forecasts. When future cash flows are discounted in a model, even a modest shock to growth expectations can result in a present value that is lower than the current market price.
Index Inclusion and Credit Concerns
Another point to consider is Randstad’s position as the smallest company in the AEX index. Index inclusion is not merely a matter of prestige; it also affects liquidity and investor perception. Losing its spot in the index would heighten uncertainty and could trigger a reassessment of its creditworthiness. A downgraded credit score would raise borrowing costs—further squeezing margins in an already challenging operating environment.
A Cautionary DCF Under a Short‑Term Shock
A refined look at Randstad’s valuation—one that factors in its debt—offers additional perspective on the risks ahead. In our pessimistic scenario—where net income falls to around €300 million, the perpetual growth rate declines to 2.5%, and the discount rate rises to 7% (reflecting increased credit risk)—the resulting firm value (or enterprise value) comes out to approximately €6.67 billion. However, since this figure represents the value of both debt and equity, we must subtract the net debt to determine the value attributable solely to shareholders. Assuming net debt is roughly €1.38 billion, the estimated equity value would be about €5.29 billion. Dividing that by the 175.14 million shares outstanding gives an estimated share price of around €30. This refined approach, which includes the effect of debt, reinforces the view that a short‑term earnings shock combined with a less favorable long‑term outlook could significantly compress Randstad’s share price.
Conclusion
In the spirit of Warren Buffett’s careful, long‑term analysis, the case for Randstad appears to be one of caution rather than opportunity. Persistent declines in profitability, headwinds from both macroeconomic signals and technological disruption, and risks associated with its index position all point toward a stock that may be overpriced relative to its intrinsic value. With the pre‑market earnings release scheduled for February 12 (01:00 AM CET), investors should be prepared for potential downside pressure in the coming week if the results confirm these concerns.
In summary, while Randstad remains a well‑managed company with a solid track record, its recent decline in profitability, exposure to macroeconomic headwinds, and risks from technological disruption suggest that its current price may be overoptimistic. A simple DCF analysis—even one that factors in debt—underscores this caution: under a short‑term earnings shock scenario, the estimated share price could drop to around €30. For value investors who prize long‑term clarity and rational assessment, these multiple signals warrant a careful reassessment of Randstad’s outlook.
Copper, we had a great move up, time to reach higher highsHi guys we would be looking into copper today , again focusing on the fundamentals which give us the remark that President Donald Trump will impose international tarriffss on the imports of precious metals!
President Donald Trump's threat to impose tariffs on U.S. copper and aluminium imports will result in higher costs for local consumers because of a shortfall in domestic production, analysts and industry participants said on Tuesday.
In a speech on Monday, Trump said he would impose tariffs on aluminium and copper - metals needed to produce U.S. military hardware - as well as steel, to entice producers to make them in the United States.
Trump made fresh remarks about imposing tariffs on Monday
Said he would impose import tariffs on aluminium and copper
Also plans tariffs on computer chips, pharmaceuticals, steel
US copper futures widen premium over London prices
US aluminium buyers face higher costs due to import dependence
The rising copper price reflects strong global demand, driven by economic growth, infrastructure development, and the increasing shift toward renewable energy and electric vehicles. Supply constraints and growing industrial use further support this upward trend. This is a positive sign for mining companies, investors, and economies reliant on copper production, as it boosts revenues and encourages further investment in the sector. Additionally, higher copper prices indicate a healthy industrial landscape, reinforcing its vital role in modern technology and sustainability efforts.
Entry: 4.28
Target: 4.57
SL area based on your risk management,it can be on the strong support area at 4.08
As always my friends happy trading!
P.S. If you have questions or inquiries about one of my existing set-ups or personal questions / 1 on 1 sessions consider joining my community so you can follow up with me in private!
Is #nvidia coming back on trackeOffcourse the deepseek news are not enough to floor #nvidia.
We all knew it has to go up finally.
Technically, It has to break the suppoer around 128-130 area and then we will have a clear bullish sentiment.
Still having bearish sentiment as long as it trades below this level.
NFLX - Fundamentals and simply a great company to invest in!Hi guys, next we would be looking into NFLX , which has had a tremendeous year already! It is up 480.28$ YTD as of today 26th December , which accumulates to 103.99% upside of their stock value. Currently they have shown fantastic financial data throughought Q1,Q2,Q3 not only that they showed a good growth towards their subscribers, and last but not least they just started their NFL Program which launched recently which definitely would boost their revenue.
Additionally they signed a very important contract that goes as follows :
Contract:
Deal with Fifa, soccer’s global governing body, covers the 2027 and 2031 editions of the Women’s World Cup
Agreement covers Puerto Rico and includes both English and Spanish-language broadcasts
Netflix will produce an exclusive documentary series in the lead-up to both tournaments
Streaming platform’s coverage will also feature studio shows
So the stars are alligning for this company and I am deffinetely looking for the break through to the levels above 1,000$ per share.
Entry: on market open - 935$
Target: 1,150$
As always my friends happy trading!
P.S. If you have questions or inquiries about one of my existing set-ups or personal questions / 1 on 1 sessions consider joining my channel so you can follow up with me in private!
Carvana - continuation of a strong sell off?Hi guys , we would be taking a look into CARVANA Short position.
Fundamentals :
1. High Debt Levels
Carvana's capital-intensive business model, combined with aggressive expansion, has led to a substantial accumulation of debt. The company has issued high-interest debt to finance operations, acquisitions, and inventory growth. This debt burden poses a risk, especially in a rising interest rate environment, as refinancing could become more expensive or unattainable.
2. Profitability Concerns
Despite significant revenue growth over the years, Carvana has consistently struggled to achieve profitability. Operating losses remain high, and the company’s path to sustainable positive earnings remains uncertain. Elevated operating costs, including vehicle reconditioning, marketing, and logistics, have weighed heavily on margins.
3. Cash Flow Problems
Carvana has a history of negative free cash flow, reflecting its inability to generate sufficient cash from operations to fund its business activities. This reliance on external financing is unsustainable in the long term and could lead to liquidity issues if the company fails to improve its cash flow position.
4. Declining Market Sentiment
Carvana’s stock has been highly volatile, experiencing dramatic price swings due to market concerns over its financial stability and business model. Analysts and investors have expressed skepticism about the company's ability to weather economic downturns, especially as demand for used vehicles normalizes post-pandemic.
5. Macroeconomic Challenges
The broader macroeconomic environment has added pressure to Carvana’s business. Rising interest rates have made vehicle financing more expensive for consumers, potentially dampening demand for used cars. Additionally, inflationary pressures on operational costs and declining vehicle prices further strain Carvana’s already thin margins.
6. Competitive Pressure
Carvana operates in a highly competitive market, facing established players like CarMax and emerging online-only platforms. The intense competition has limited its pricing power, forcing the company to invest heavily in customer acquisition and retention, further straining profitability.
7. Regulatory and Legal Risks
The company has faced legal challenges, including consumer complaints and regulatory scrutiny over its vehicle titling and registration practices. Such issues could lead to reputational damage, fines, or increased compliance costs.
Technical Spectrum:
They reached a good strong upper level, and then failed to deliver and sustain around that area.
Entry: 176$
Target: 130$
As always my friends happy trading!
P.S. If you have questions or inquiries about one of my existing set-ups or personal questions / 1 on 1 sessions consider joining my community so you can follow up with me in private!
FMC Corp | FMC | Long at $58.00NYSE:FMC Corp is currently trading at a P/E ratio 6x and has a 3.98% dividend. It had a very rough year in 2023, but the company estimates improved earnings and growth after 2024. From a technical analysis perspective, it appears to be in an accumulation phase after seeing a low around $50 and wavering between that value and $68 for 11 months. Unless fundamentals change post earnings, it is currently in a personal buy zone at $58.00.
Target #1 - $81.00
Target #2 - $85.00
Target #3 - $90.00
Target #4 - $122.00 (very long-term...)
GBP/JPY - Long Position Trade SetupHi all, once again thank you all very much for the recent support. Been loving sharing my trade ideas and so far this week I haven't got anything wrong so its been very rewarding.
Lets break down this pair..
4H View - First thing to notice is the expanding wedge pattern I'm noticing which is corresponding with Elliot's Wave suggesting we are on the last leg, this "should" mean we are going to be bearish for the smaller TF.
1H View - Currently price is still Bullish, saying that we are in a swing range and I do believe price will actually break out of this level to fill Sell Side Liquidity and lower Imbalance. We have a 50% level marked out which hasn't been mitigated from any recent price moves which also suggests Bearish movements.
Current View - So far I see a very strong level my eyes are set on which is "191.000". This level is a strong whole Phycological number, its filling Imbalance, this level is at out OTE zone, this level also contains a strong 30M Mitigation Block and is our extreme Demand zone giving me all the right confluences to look for a Bullish MSS when price reaches this level.
Feel free to DM me for any further questions, good luck to all the traders that decide to follow.
Thanks again for the support
EUR/JPY - Preparation for the Interest Rate Hike on Friday - BOJHi guys , we would be looking in a shorter term trade on the GBP/JPY looking to chase at least 100 pips in a down turn , we have a positive expectation that the Bank of Japan would hike the interest rate on Friday from 0.25 to 0.50. I do agree that 25 basis points isnt a lot , but in a status that it took BOJ two years of sitting on negative interest rate to finally start balancing their sheets and looking to increase it, would give a positive approach into a better stability for the Japanese economy and more specifically the Japanese Yen!
Entry: 161.300
Target: 160.300
As always my friends happy trading!
P.S. If you have questions or inquiries about one of my existing set-ups or personal questions / 1 on 1 sessions consider joining my community so you can follow up with me in private!
Eternal PainWill Virgin Galactic ever provide share holders with anything but pain?
The board is no help as they continue to issue more shares. However; there is a potential bright future.
Currently the equity value of the company is lower than the liquidation value of the firm. The enormous cash burn is slowing as most of the capex necessary for flights is ready to go. Given their booking backlog, once they start a solid rhythm a lot of cash is going to be generated.
Look at their most recent investor presentation. With conservative estimates when (if) regular flights begin one spaceport will generate $500m per annum in EBIT [ ] With profits and any sort of multiple on earnings the future could be galactic.
My hopium induced reason for owning this since $5.90 is one day in the next 3-5 years this could be a legitimate 100+ bagger. Space is the ultimate growth arena and with SpaceX focused on mars and industrial matters, Blue Origin no where to be found, the moat is large and the industry is wide open.
META - Now this is just strangeThis is just my opinion here, but I think META will soon reverse course. Notwithstanding the analyst upgrades, right now to an average of 757.98, the way it accelerated on the upwards trend (~20%) over the past ~5 weeks just seems suspicious. Scratching the surface to see what the company is up to, there seem to be quite interesting developments. For example:
At Facebook they briefly tried to use AI generated fake accounts. Strange why would anyone think that would be good idea, considering the already many fake/bot profiles. I believe this was a move to combat the fact that the market share reached saturation, there aren't that many *real* people creating new accounts.
Even though Zuckerberg "bent the knee" at the US president's inauguration and settled the lawsuit for unfairly banning Trump back in 2021 for $22 M, I still think what Meta did is going to have repercussions. Even though the first amendment right of free speech "does not apply to private companies", it is still discrimination, and I bet some people will take advantage of Trump's win. As the precedent has been set, they could now be hit by other similar lawsuits from other people being banned quite subjectively, suppressing their right to free speech.
Thirdly, checking the uninformative insider transactions, the sell volumes are hard to believe. If price is expected to indeed reach $750, why would Zuckerberg sell, only in January 2025, $366 million worth of shares? (probably peanut money for Zuck, but still, more than a quarter billion is not really "money that jingles"). There were no insider buying since the 19th of November 2024, when the price was 550 per share.
Their metaverse was a costly bet which, at least for the next year or two, seems that will not pay off. I'm saying this solely on the fact the more than 83% of users are below 18 years old, therefore have very little buying power (also 51% of users are below 13 years of age). On the VR space they focused too much on the software, and their hardware is now clearly behind Sony/HTC Vive (and truth be told, the software is really not that impressive either).
Lastly, based on what has happened over the past few years, and how Meta quickly changes their tune, most likely they will receive increased scrutiny both in the US and abroad for their monopolistic behavior and content moderation policies.
All in all, Meta is currently still a tech giant, but I believe right now it's a risky investment. At the time of writing 700 was shortly surpassed again, nevertheless, I think a 600 is a more realistic bet for the next 4 months (end of april 2025). If it were to reach a more realistic valuation of around 420, that would be a buy price for me.
I'm not saying short it, I guess I *am* saying that it's probably not a good idea to buy more... I'm also saying to me it's a bit strange (and maybe I don't have all the pieces of the puzzle, so any comments/feedback would be appreciated). Either way, this is just my opinion on the stock, don't take this as financial advice, but more as entertainment.
All the best and Good Luck!
Alex
BTC - Just Thinking about Volume and Price relation As my other active posts recently have been about the downward trend and BTC finding liquidity before a trend reversal and the second strong upward momentum of this market cycle.
I surmised that the smart money wanted to test the bull market support moving average, 200ema on daily. ~84,500 - 82,500 .
A large Fair Value Gap (FVG) on the Weekly Chart was created from the rapid price increase due to speculators and other investors FOMO'ing in on the rising assset.
Large orders were left unfilled due to areas of support and resistance, trend and moving averages which are usually oscillated through during price movement while market trend leads the direction, speculators drive price increases and smart money attempts to drive price down to areas where they can profit, selling into the momentum during speculator price drives.
I'm just thinking out loud here and really I only post these little updates while im interested in something and like to document it. I could be all wrong with how I am seeing this and perhaps if anyone ever does read this and can share some insight into price/volume relationships with the smart money institutional investors and whales I would be interested to heart their thoughts.
However to continue , I see a discrepancy , Large Selling Volume, Negative Delta and it appears that there are some blocks where Sell volume cuts upward momentum abruptly and consistently
The Chart should Show the areas that I am referring , I would be interested to hear what others think
Dogecoin: Trading What You See, Not What You Hope ForThe crypto world is buzzing about the acronym D.O.G.E., with many hoping this hype will ignite a massive price explosion for Dogecoin.
However, the market has repeatedly failed to deliver. In fact, every rally this year has been met with heavy selling.
As I often say, " trade what you see, not what you dream of ." And from a purely technical perspective, what I see for Dogecoin right now doesn’t look promising.
A Look Back: The Trump Pump and the Aftermath
Dogecoin experienced a massive pump last year, fueled by Trump’s presidential election win. But after the initial euphoria, the market cooled down, and Dogecoin entered a correction phase.
Leading up to Christmas, the price even temporarily dipped below the horizontal support level at $0.35. While the start of 2025 brought a recovery above this support, bulls have struggled to maintain their gains.
The Current State of Dogecoin
Even the brief spike two days ago, which initially looked promising, was quickly reversed. As of now, Dogecoin has returned to this critical $0.35 support line, showing continued weakness.
What’s Next?
Given the current price action, my expectation is that this support will eventually give way. If that happens, we could see Dogecoin drop to around $0.26, a level that might offer stronger support.
The Bottom Line
Dogecoin’s technicals suggest caution, not optimism. While the D.O.G.E. hype might tempt some into dreaming of another rally, the charts tell a different story. If you’re trading Dogecoin, stay focused on the reality of the price action and be prepared for potential downside.
As always, trade wisely and stick to the facts, not the fantasies.
AAPL 1.22.2025 IdeaMy assessment is a fair price on the stock of $230 per share. AAPL now sitting at $222.5, I believe there is a high probability for a 5% up move within a few months.
Entry would be favorable if AAPL =< $220. I would enter direct shares here.
AAPL is of those companies that will be affected by tariffs. However, AAPL has benefitted from expanding its services economy. In other words, AAPL is not reliant on iPhone sales to drive their FCF. This opportunity is one for those looking for a discount on a MAG 7. Just be patient! But be flexible and anticipate further disruptions.