Get started

Value

S&P 500 - Is there about to be a massive market correction?I have a problem with that question. Everyone is asking it. Everyone is expecting it. Everyone is selling because somehow they know it’s coming. Well maybe, who knows. The sentiment is extreme fear both in stock markets and crypto. There’s blood on the streets, so that must mean more blood is coming? How can this be wrong? With every good bearish outlook there needs to be a bullish view. Without that balance we’re not being true to ourselves. Have lost count the number of times I’ve heard or saw a video the stock market uptrend channel is now broken. Yet I’ve not read or seen a bullish case. In my opinion, the market absolutely remains in a very bullish environment. The S&P 500 could be on the verge of ripping higher, a lot higher. To the 6000 area. My reasons… On the above 3-week chart price action has been testing the upper channel resistance for almost 11 years until its breakout last March. In my opinion, what we’re now seeing is a heathy market correction to backtest past resistance as support. Unfortunately we will not know the outcome of this until around mid-February, so expect volatility to remain on the high side until then. That yellow line. It is the 21-week EMA. As support, it is intact. Look left, until it is broken price action is bullish. If you look closely you can see price action bounced strong from this EMA, exactly on past resistance. If this EMA is to continue as support then the worst of the correction is over with room only for another 2% at best. The 5-day chart below is the SP500 divided by Gold. Who does that? I do. It has been an excellent leading indicator for identifying where value is sought. Every time the index/gold RSI dips below 40 on this pair it has marked an excellent time to get long exposure to the stock market. It does not matter if you time the bottom, look left. If you measure the gains after returning above 40, the gains always exceed the dip. Good luck! WW
SP:SPX
by without_worries
25
USOIL (SHORT) 🔥🔥🔥USOIL ENTRY OPPORTUNITY Risk Disclaimer: Please be advised that I am not telling anyone how to spend or invest their money. Take all of my analysis as my own opinion, as entertainment, and at your own risk. I assume no responsibility or liability for any errors or omissions in the content of this page, and they are for educational purposes only. Any action you take on the information in this analysis is strictly at your own risk. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns. Good luck
TVC:USOILShort
by Thewest-sidetrader
Should you buy Futu Holdings Ltd stock? 💰💥We are not surprised by the recent downward movement, as the company reported a record net loss in the first quarter, and the U.S. is tightening regulations on Asian companies, which does not help matters.💥 The company has not performed well in the last three months, so the stock has lost more than 20% since the beginning of the quarter, and investors are concerned that this is the first time the company has made a mistake and is looking at an even bigger drop We disagree with investors, we think that despite the poor results and a rather bearish share price, Futu Holdings Limited will manage to recover faster than anyone thinks. Here's why we think so: ✅ FUTU has high-quality earnings. ✅ FUTU has become profitable over the past 5 years, with earnings growth of 76.2% per year. ✅ FUTU's earnings growth over the past year (112%) has outpaced the capital markets sector by 62.5%. ✅ FUTU has more cash than total debt. ✅ FUTU's debt to equity ratio has fallen from 139.5% to 51.6% over the past five years. ✅ FUTU's debt is well covered by cash flow from operations (55.5%). ✅ FUTU's management team is seasoned and experienced (average tenure of 5.2 years). ✅ Shareholders have not experienced significant dilution in the past year.
NASDAQ:FUTULong
by Absconse
BTC Meta-Cycle Completion in SightIt's been a rocky (and likely stressful for those who are not properly hedged against negative BTC price movement) few months for crypto, but here's my take on the situation for BTC/USD So there's some good news and bad news, and neutral news. Bad news first : There's definitely more to go, we haven't completed the cycle just yet and smart money knows a better entry point is incoming. Now the good news! The end of the cycle is in sight. In neutral news: We can predict this cycle because we're almost completely done with it, but we have no indication of what the next cycle will bring. My belief is that it will be a generally bullish but highly volatile period as smart & big money enters near the bottom, shakes out retail, forms new local tops/bottoms, shakes out retail again, rinse, repeat, until we see a bullish confirmation (listed in point 3.) Why do I think the bottom is not in? 1. Oscillators indicate a very strong continuing bear trend on 1D, 12H, 6H. It does appear to be slowing in momentum, but not price direction. 2. Money Flow Double Top: This indicates that traders were as interested in BTC @ $40k as they were at $35k. Although a drop in capital inflow (MFI) indicates retail traders are at the whim of market conditions (aka. continuation of trend to cycle completion) it also means there is a lack of capital to reverse the current trend. New capital at a bottom is a prerequisite for a reversal. Cycle Completion: Cycle completion for any "mature" (blue-chip) asset generally occurs at the average closing price upon which the current meta-trend was realized (confirmation in Jan 2021 that close above 2017 ATH was "real", allowing capital to safely enter the market. 3. A trend reversal that continues to close up through $31k past $34k without closing below $31k during the time of that trend . Would a) invalidate the current projection, and b) provide confirmation that capital can safely enter the market for positive gains.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by HeyJonBray
Luna | UST potentially this cycles Bitconnect (Ponzi Scheme)Lets start 2014 we had the famous OneCoin Scam 2018 we had the famous Bitconnect Scam. 2022 we have the new Luna algorithmic stable coin in this case its Luna/UST (Very similar to the Bitconnect price movement/chart) Before I get into why I'm suspicious of Luna lets talk about what these all have in common that makes it so dangerous. 1. They all have some type of yield return you're unable to get anywhere legitimately. 2. These scams always have initial investors that have gotten in very early probably before they knew what they was even purchasing, this causes a massive MLM ladder that the "wealthy" owners of these scams start to promote and completely believe its not at all possible its a scam like some sort of trance because the money and returns are just that good. 3. Come the final stage now the MLM has spread to enough smaller investors that has spiked the price continuously to the point where the some initial investors might want to take profit, this is where they always collapse in the end. Red flags with Luna The founder has no experience in money markets and seems to be a gamer without any high degree of financial education that people are blindly following. The supposedly decentralization of the UST is connected and functioning based on what the (Luna foundation guard) and (Terra form labs) are doing it sounds very much like a reserve banking setup claiming to be decentralized. The main driving force behind UST's growth is synthetic not organic, once again a platform called Anchor Protocol is offering a yield return that nobody else can provide currently requiring the centralized Terra form labs to top up capital to its reserves in order to payout people earning. How does this capital get topped up?, the Luna owned by Terra form labs since conception gets sold to be sent to Luna Foundation Guard that then gets added to the reserves of Anchor Protocol, increasing UST demand. What happens if Anchor reserves empty and Anchor's yield return has to drop back down to reality? stop you're not allowed to ask this. What happens if UST's marketcap passes Luna's marketcap during a bear market? stop you're not allowed to ask this. What happens when the initial rich investors cash out of Luna or staked UST back into a stablecoin like USDT or USDC? stop you're not allowed to ask this. What happens when the SEC finally orders Terra form labs to provide a balance of real cash reserves or eq? stop you're not allowed to ask this. Final thoughts for the future, I believe CBDC's will work along side stable coins such as USDT, USDC as they will be regulated UST will not be regulated and the SEC/ US government is not going anywhere. Below I have provided a chart of Bitconnect that directly shows the same behavior and movement up till the collapse. www.financialsamurai.com
Short
by UnknownUnicorn7947829
2
KAVA at this price, super cheap!I am invested in a few liquidity pools on the app at kava.io. The APYs are unreal, at around +150%! I believe the future is extremely bright for KAVA. Brian Kerr seems like a really smart guy and the kava.io app is very easy to use. It has a great community also. Definitely my favorite DeFi project! At this price, KAVA is super cheap. As long as BTC recovers, I see KAVA rising back to around $5.25 (short term). And as long as the crypto market (in general) does well, $6.00 before end of year seems possible. Also KAVA 10 is about to be released (May 10th 2022), and usually new versions trigger price bumps up. Back up the truck now before it's too late!
KRAKEN:KAVAUSDLong
by TheAnsible
What would be the best case scenario in the worst case? 💥It is important to remain realistic and avoid any scenario that will surely not come true in the current times. With the different events that the financial world is currently undergoing, it is better to remain very cautious about the Apple share price, even if Apple's financial results are better than those of other companies in the market, analytically we can see a slowdown in the rise of the latter. Everything will be decided in the coming week, if we break the bullish channel , we could reach lower and lower points and maybe enter a bearish trend , but let's be optimistic, we think that Apple's share price, will now consolidate between 179 and 154, to take off again once the events calm down....
NASDAQ:AAPL
by Absconse
1
The Market Will Never Be Easy. And Especially Now.I had some fun with the chart above. It shows the Nasdaq-100 over the last 24 hours. Yesterday it was spiking, today it was dumping. The amount of money that has exchanged hands in this short trading period is probably hard to comprehend. Hundreds of millions of shares have traded in this short timeframe and even more in total dollar volume. Billions of dollars have traded hands. And that's the point of this post: there is no making sense of a market that is acting the way it currently is. Well to be fair, there is NEVER a moment where anyone can make sense of the market. There are just times when it's pretty much impossible compared to times when you can actually try to discern even the slightest trend or understanding. I don't want to sound too pessimistic, because there is some good news in moments like this: there will be opportunity. All around the market, even crypto included, there are symbols down 50% and more over the last 12 months. Some are down 50% or more in just the last 6 months. When I look at this, I see a lot of potential for a dip that I previously thought I would never get in certain symbols. Before I get to the 5 things I am thinking about, let me first say, there is no rush. Seriously, take your time. Don't just buy to buy or sell to sell. Now more than ever, time is on your side to plan out the perfect trade. Let the billions of dollars exchange hands, let them pay millions in transaction fees, let them wash trade the day away. So here are 5 things that I am thinking about in this market: 1. There is no rush. No rush whatsover to do anything. Just look at the chart above. Do you want to rush into that? Take your time, set an alert, and wait for that perfect price point. 2. The amount of research that has to go into finding the perfect symbol in this environment is far and above the bull market times. This is where the experts come out to play. When everyone is panicking, worrying, day trading by the minute in the volatility, the pros come of out. 3. Double and triple check everything. Dive deep into earnings reports and company filings. Pay really close attention to the trading volume - how much liquidity is there, how much is noise, how wide is the range of trading prices. All of these things need to be used to step back, and really see environment that you may be trading into. 4. Look at what the founder, managers, and largest holders are doing. Are they themselves buying more? If it's a crypto project, what are the project leaders doing? In times like this you can learn a lot about how well positioned a symbol is based on what the most important people are thinking or doing. Often times, especially in this social media age, they are tweeting or publishing right there! Go check out their thoughts and make sure you are aligned with them. 5. Think about the ultra long-term. Is the symbol you're looking at actually positioned to succeed for 5 or 10 years? Even if you're swing trading, this should be on your mind. This is your margin of safety. If you don't think it can be here in 5 or 10 years, why even risk money on it for 30 minutes? Even 5 minutes? My takeaway here is that when scanning or creating a list of symbols, be sure to do a quality check. Remove the ones you are uncertain of. Anyways, those are my thoughts and hopefully you enjoyed them. Good luck out there!
NASDAQ:QQQ
by scheplick
12
IBM: Another Value Turnaround?International Business Machines has been in a downtrend for almost a decade, but now it could be showing signs of a turn. The main pattern on today’s chart is the bullish gap following the last quarterly report on April 19. IBM has retraced almost all the jump but remains higher despite a big drop in the broader market at the same time. The rally established prices above the 50-day simple moving average (SMA). That’s something of a feat that only nine members of the Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF managed to achieve yesterday, according to TradeStation data. (XLK’s portfolio includes 70+ companies.) Speaking of the 50-day SMA, it’s rising toward the 200-day SMA. Is a “golden cross” coming soon? Third, the stock’s long decline has produced a falling trendline that IBM has battled since June. Will the current strength result in a breakout through the downtrend? Finally, consider that IBM jumped last month because management is finally shifting more of its revenue to cloud services. In that way, it may have potential as a “value turnaround,” similar to Oracle a year ago. TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options, futures and cryptocurrencies. See our Overview for more. Important Information TradeStation Securities, Inc., TradeStation Crypto, Inc., and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., all operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. You Can Trade, Inc. is also a wholly owned subsidiary of TradeStation Group, Inc., operating under its own brand and trademarks. TradeStation Crypto, Inc. offers to self-directed investors and traders cryptocurrency brokerage services. It is neither licensed with the SEC or the CFTC nor is it a Member of NFA. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products, and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Please click here for further important information explaining what this means. This content is for informational and educational purposes only. This is not a recommendation regarding any investment or investment strategy. Any opinions expressed herein are those of the author and do not represent the views or opinions of TradeStation or any of its affiliates. Investing involves risks. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options, futures, or digital assets); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Before trading any asset class, first read the relevant risk disclosure statements on the Important Documents page, found here: www.tradestation.com .
NYSE:IBM
by TradeStation
1
CORN FUTURES SELL CALL OUT BY JOHN THE FOREX GUY!Hi guys this is john the forex guy. After a few months of refining and twerking my plan approach I'm back guys. I believe corn futures will soon sell this is based on the the fact that we are at a psychological supply area but what come to light through my team member is that corn is really over supplied in the world looking deeper these following few months will be crucial at determining how this unfolds. Take note guys I am a long term trader bare in mind these trade will run on average for weeks to months so always be mentally ready to hold a trade for 3 months or even more. These are the the type of trade I call home-runs, why? (A) Reduce your exposure to the markets by trading fewer trades a year, a person who opens a trade every day is highly likely to crash and burn compared to those who trade less, let's say 1 to 30 trades a year are more likey to keep their winnings in the long run. (B) Low risk on each trade usually between 1% and 5% of your account (excluding commission just trade value) (C) High reward on each trade a minimum of 10% profit and uncapped potential reward could be 20% or 113% profit of your account it is unlimited! (excluding commission) (D) All these factors from A to C add up to this; In order to lose all your capital you need to lose 15 to 20 trades in a raw but looking at the way we approach the markets and take our trades it is highly unlikely to lose all your capital because it is almost impossible to take 15 trades a year if you're holding 1 trade for almost 2-3 months. I will give you an IDEA/EXAMPLE how I am taking this trade lets base this on a $100 account: (A) Open 1x position SELL (B) Stop loss -$5.50 (5.5% loss of $100) (C) Take profit +$25.00(25% profit of $100) Disclaimer I not a financial advisor I am simply a retail trader sharing my trade where I entered, plan to exit loss and profit so always do your own research before committing/investing your money.
FX:CORNFShort
by b522c56f985c4db38e69230ce2cc1a
Aterian Golden Cross Squeeze EventThere are more shares circulating currently of ATER stock than exist and no matter what the price shows, this will be revealed at some point. ATER = Reg SHO and Brokers/MM don't have shares!! Is ATER on the Reg SHO Threshold list? - ✅ Are ATER FTD's stacking up? - ✅ Are your own brokers having issues locating shares - ✅ Is ATER 's Utilization 100% (Yes, since March 8th which was 50 Days ago)- ✅ Is ATER 's Short Interest over 15% (Yes, its over 40 .61%) - ✅ **Is ATER 's Cost to Borrow high? (Yes, its 230.97% CTB Average or 124% on Fintel) -**✅ Is ATER #1 on Fintels Short Squeeze Score? Yes - ✅ Is ATER #1 on Gamma Short Squeeze Score? Yes - ✅ Does it have massive and growing support? Yes - ✅ This is an asymmetrical bet. At $4 to $5, ATER is closer to the floor than the ceiling. ATER is not at risk of going out of business, and shorts messed up getting greedy. ATER is a real company and your downside risk is $2.1 the recent 52 low but your upside is the Moon.
NASDAQ:ATER
by RchGrav
4
The Musk ShuffleMuskman has been using NYSE:TWTR to promote his interests for a while now. It is safe to say, that no other form of advertisement comes close to Twitter, for powerful people like Musk. He among others, has been using this invaluable tool to subtly steer shareholders into the 'right' path. We all remember the famous dog that got a coin, or the other dog, or any other stock/coin Musk has taken an interest in and how each instance affected NASDAQ:TSLA stock-price. Even before the SEC started to boast about its authority to subpoena CEOs, in the days of the Trump ban, Musk surely started to realise how bad it would be if he lost his voice on the platform for whatever reason. In March he really started expressing his interest in the company and pointed out how important it is for the algorithm, among other things, to be transparent. I think that the price drop in Tesla on the day Muskman disclosed his position, is the shareholders dipping some into Twitter. Of course the ultimate goal of the 'Musk Shuffle' is to bring Tesla stock-price to its 'true' worth. So I expect a large amount of gains from the Twitter trade, to be funnelled back into Tesla. If people got in after Musk disclosed his position, the best deal people could get was ~45$. If 54.20$ is the buyout price, the bag is going to be nice and heavy. Just what the electric giant needs right now.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by kurukukurin
Unilever (ULVR) Intrinsic Value - DCF ModelUnilever DCF Assumptions: Tax Rate = 23.5% Discount Rate = 4.9% Perpetual Growth Rate = 1.5% EV/EBITDA Multiple = 12.5x Transaction Date = 01/04/2022 Fiscal Year-End = 31/12/2022 Current Price = 41.92 Shares Outstanding = 2,610 Debt = 29,672 Cash = 4,495 Capex = 1,340 Base Case Scenario In addition to the above assumptions, the below DCF model is based on our base case scenario, which assumes a revenue growth over the next five years of 5%, 3%, 3%, 3%, 3%. These assumptions are lower than analysts’ forecasts. DCF (5Y) EBITDA EXIT MODEL: Terminal Value Final Forecast EBITDA (m) = €12,873 EV/EBITDA Multiple = 12.5x TERMINAL VALUE (m) = €160,909 Intrinsic Value Enterprise Value = €162,651 Plus: Cash = €4,495 Less: Debt = €29,672 Equity Value = €137,474 EQUITY VALUE / SHARE = €52.68 / £44.25 DCF (5Y) PERPETUAL GROWTH RATE MODEL Terminal Value Final Forecast FCFf (m) = €8,742 Perpetual Growth Rate = 0.5% TERMINAL VALUE (m) = €201,447 Intrinsic Value Enterprise Value = €195,001 Plus: Cash = €4,495 Less: Debt = €29,672 Equity Value = €169,824 EQUITY VALUE / SHARE = $65.08 / £54.66 DISCLAIMER: All information is the author’s views, opinions, and assumptions at the time of writing, and Bull Headed Bear makes no guarantees of the information’s reliability and accuracy. The information is to be used for entertainment and informative purposes only. Bull Headed Bear and its authors reserve the right to change their views, opinions and assumptions due to many influencing factors. Any actions taken based on the information on the website are strictly at your own risk. All investments carry a risk of loss, and you could lose all your money. Consider seeking professional advice from a financial advisor. Bull Headed Bear and its authors will not be liable for any losses or damages from the information on this site. DISCLOSURE: I/we have open long positions in Unilever. We have no immediate intentions of altering this position in the short term but have the right to change this if more information becomes available.
LSE:ULVR
by BULL_HEADED_BEAR