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If you understand this chart, you are not bullish for markets.If you understand this chart, you are not bullish for the U.S. / World Markets - (Opinion) So I watch a lot of indexes for research purposes and fun honestly. Seeing how different sectors of finance move when fundamental, sentiment and technical news influences them has always been interesting to me. Recently while researching I came across a chart that made my heart sink. I never really experienced this in my life, as I've been studying monetary policy and trading for years at this point. This is the Hang Sang Index put up in contrast with the DOW Jones Industrial Average. Before you read this article do you know why I'm mirroring these two indexes? What assumptions can you take from these charts? Can you predict any high probability assumptions from your conclusions? Let me break this down from a first principles perspective, which is the way I love teaching the most. When looking at markets, the price action is moved through supply and demand. Especially when looking at indexes of these sorts, as they are largely referenced from the GDP (Gross Domestic Product) of a country, along with many other factors, of course. When we look at these two indexes we notice that the HSI is slightly trailing the DOW over most of the time period. Why is this? It's because China is the worlds largest, supplier and conversely, the U.S. is the worlds largest demander. An assumption we can make here is that in more cases than not their markets move first due to this factor. This makes sense though, the west cannot generate a profit unless it has the materials for the goods and resources it wishes to produce and we need to pay before we receive those resources, in most cases. So what can we extrapolate from all of this information? Well, HSI could in some cases be a leading indicator for the DOW and how the American markets will move and this can be confirmed on a macro level in this chart. Most of the major market crashes over the last 2 years can be viewed on this chart and if I had more data (Trading View) only had D going back to 2019) I'm sure I could show you much more correlation to these charts. What's most concerning is where our markets and also geopolitical landscapes our markets are currently involved in. With supply chains breaking down around the world on continental size scales the availability and in some cases the sanctions being implemented around the world has thrown into effect one of the largest global financial crises I think we've seen in well over 250 years. Now this is why I wrote opinion on the top, because going back in the American Markets, the closest thing in the last 100 years I could put this into perspective to is of course, the Great Depression. Not to be confused with the Great Recession of 2008. I am saying I believe this is WORSE than what we've seen in over 100 years. The U.S., EU, China and Russia's economies are making it increasingly difficult for free and fair trade around the world and we can see this in the large economic collapse we've seen since the end of 2019. The World Reserve Currency is now being attacked by several continents and it is safe to say the currency wars how now started between nations. You can see this in what many world economies have done to destabilize the U.S. Dollar. Things like the first time Russia defaulted on their debt in over 100 years. Chinas entire financial system in one of the worst shapes it has been in, ever. They are also "not able" to pay back a large amount of their debt to us in a U.S. Dollar amount. Tables are turning and this is why in America, they are seeing supply chains of their own breaking down. Prices of all of their commodities, goods & services skyrocketing. Cost of living in general becoming so expensive that repo and default rates are at decades long highs. The decentralization of American goods & services was one of its best and worst ideas ever. It was amazing because it was able to outsource the materials and people it needed to create one of the largest market systems the world has ever known, but it's key to working is in the fair trade, positive affiliate and respect between the buyer & seller that makes that possible. When in a war-time economy as I believe we can safely say we are in, all chips are off the table. I hope you understand what I'm trying to say here. Just a thought that's been on my mind the last couple months. I wish everyone peace love and prosperity <3 - Watson
INDEX:HSI
by WatsonsView
VSBLTY Groupe VSBGF Continues Growing$VSBGF recently took a dip, not only because of the broader "risk-off" environment and economic headwinds... recently announcing 16.7 million shares at a $0.30 offering with a warrant for additional purchase of common stock at $0.50 as well as private sale of 10 mil units for $3 million USD. Market response was bearish, on the surface this is seemingly bad as shareholders are diluted... however, peeling back the layers reveals Jay (CEO) and team are continuing to land big partnerships and agreements in the retail space. DYOR and you'll find tremendous building tailwinds and a company delivering against a bullish impermanent plan and a very bright future. Their tech is innovative and a significant value add to the market. Don't lose sight of what they're doing and don't fall asleep as the delivery begins yielding more revenue and in short order, profits.
OTC:VSBGFLong
by R0MM3LL
QANplatform - QANXI believe this one may go big in the future. Quantum-computers are close and many people will seek for safety in this new environment. "QANplatform is the quantum-resistant Layer 1 hybrid blockchain platform that will allow developers and enterprises to build quantum-resistant: smart-contracts, DApps, DeFi solutions, NFTs, tokens, Metaverse on top of the QAN-blockchain platform in any programming language." "QANplatform is the only Layer-1 blockchain that has integrated CRYSTALS-Dilithium in its security layer." NIST - National Institute of Standards and Technology: Announcement of winners of 6 year competition in search of encryption tools that are designed to withstand the assault of a future quantum-computer attacks. Algorithms for general encryption: CRYSTALS-Kyber Algorithms For digital signatures: CRYSTALS-Dilithium, FALCON and SPHINCS+ The information is not intended to be and do not constitute financial advice, investment advice, trading advice or any other advice or recommendation of any sort.
by joze10000
1
EU - FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSISIn response to fears that the energy crisis will throw Europe into recession and restrict ECB's ability to tighten monetary policy, the Euro dropped as low as $1.01 for the first time in over 20 years. On July 11, Nord Stream 1, the key gas pipeline, began annual maintenance. Flows are expected to stop for 10 days, but concerns linger that supply might not recover fully. This month, the European Central Bank is expected to raise key rates by 25 basis points, the first increase in more than a decade, while the Federal Reserve is expected to raise rates by 75 basis points after a cumulative 150 basis point increase since March.
by una_exp
BTCUSD (07/07/2022) "review and improve of the last (1h btcusd)"(Lets Recover And Improve) The last analysis with a short in bitcoin published yesterday 06/07 was not of sufficient quality, luckily I was able to cut the short before executing it in negative with the stoploss, Since this afternoon, knowing that I wasn't going to get home soon and that I don't like to leave operations open when I can't have even the slightest control over them, I've decided to close it. As I have said, I do not like to leave operations open at night and I think that any short-term trader has this very clear, I have decided not to be able to sleep to correct the analysis previously done, realizing the number of errors and presuppositions that I had given after the fatigue of having done a lot of behavior analysis this morning. Right now I have not executed any Short, I have left, as if they were open trades with the TradingView tool, two short simulations with a behavior that seems much more rational to me, even so the real entry if I wanted to trade from REAL would not be given until the second short with confirmation of fall. I may not be a great analyst yet and spend too much time and frustration most of the time before a true objective study, but as long as I continue to keep these journals as a reminder of my improvement and advancement in knowledge I am satisfied. Good evening and I hope that if someone takes too long to read this, they have the luck and the desire to want and be able to continue operating or learning from it. A strong greeting! ---------------------------------------------------------------ç El último análisis con un short en bitcoin publicado ayer dia 06/07 carecía de calidad suficiente, por suerte fui capaz de cortar el short antes de ejecutarlo en negativo con el stoploss, desde esta tarde sabiendo que no iba a llegar pronto a casa y que no me gusta dejar operaciones abiertas cuando no puedo llevar un mínimamente leve control sobre ellas he decidido cerrarla. Como bien he dicho no me gusta dejar operaciones abiertas de noche y creo que cualquier trader cortoplazista tiene esto muy claro, he decdido al no poder dormir corregir el análisis previamente hecho, dandome cuenta de la cantidad de errores y presuposiciones que había dado tras el cansancio de haber hecho mucho mucho análisis de comportamientos esta mañana. Ahora mismo no he ejecutado ningun Short, he dejado como si fueran operaciones abiertas con la herramienta de TradingView dos simulaciones de short con un comportamiento que me parece mucho mas racional, aun así la verdadera entrada si quisese operar de froma REAL no la daría hasta el segundo short con confirmación de caída. Quizás no se aún un gran analista y dedique demasiado tiempo y frustración la mayoría de las veces antes que un verdadero estudio objetivo, pero mientras siga manteniendo estas publicaciones de diario como recordatorio de mi mejora y avance en conocimientos estoy satisfecho. Buenas noches y espero que si alguien se demora a leer esto tenga la suerte y las ganas de querer y poder seguir operando o aprendiendo de ello. Un fuerte saludo!
BYBIT:BTCUSD.PShort
by AVNGL01
4
ADA Cardano VASIL Hardfork DetailsHI Friends. Today i decide to explain more about coming upgrade in cardano blockchain. without wasting time lets go friends. Vasil Hardfork: Another Network Upgrade On The Cardano Blockchain A hardfork is a software upgrade to a blockchain’s network, making previously invalid transactions and blocks valid. While many blockchains rarely do the hardfork, Cardano (ADA) is a sort of blockchain that experiences periodic improvements every year. After their first hardfork, Alonzo, now Cardano is on track to implement another fork called the ‘Vasil hardfork’. Vasil hardfork is the second massive upgrade to the Cardano network that focuses on overall network stability and connectivity. With Vasil, pipelining testing, new CIP mechanisms (CIP-31, CIP-32, CIP-33, CIP-40), UTXO on-disk storage integration, and Hydra will be introduced as added functions. once Vasil hardfork is completed, Cardano will receive a higher throughput and an enhanced range of decentralized finance (DeFi), decentralized exchange (DEX), and smart contracts. These enhancements are derived from the scaling improvements of the network as stated earlier, including pipelining tests, improved logging, the release of four CIPs: CIP-31 (Reference Input), CIP-32 (Inline Datum), CIP-33 (Reference Script), and CIP-40 (Collateral Output), UTXO HD and Hydra integration. CIP’s Explanation: CIP-33 is expected to significantly reduce transaction costs, by making transactions small and “lightweight” CIP-31 will facilitate Decentralized Apps (DApps) to access transactional output without having to recreate it as before. CIP-32 introduces an on-chain data storage for the community and developers, thereby making Cardano a “truly decentralized architecture”. CIP-40 executing a Plutus Smart contract requires a collateral amount, which means users must include a fee to cover the cost of executing the script.When a transaction fails validation, said collateral is completely lost. CIP-40 changes this by including just enough collateral in a transaction for it to go through and setting a limit to failed transactions, so it can only lose a minimum amount of collateral. Despite several crashes and bearish market cycles at the moment, ADA still performs well and ranks in the top 10th percentile on the crypto market, based on its market capitalization this upgrade scheduled to happen in 29 june 2022 but its delayed for next month july. thank you for your reading and your support. hope to like this post.please share me your opinion in comments.
by TraderAmin-KZ
2
LONG Citigroup, most undervalued US bankReasons to buy: -one of warren buffet's recent buys -Trading below 5 year avg p/b valuations (0.80) at 0.51 -Book value of 94USD per share, fair value = 75USD per share VS current price of 46USD (63% upside) -4% dividend yield -Cheapest out of all US banks -Rising interest rates pushes up Net interest margins While slowing economic growth will curtail near-term loan growth, expect that rising interest rates, robust economic growth, and moderating inflation will provide a good tailwind for banks. These factors will lead to rising interest income, maintaining low default rates, and lowering charge offs.
NYSE:CLong
by FIRE_CAPITAL_SG
2