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DXY $USD Rip USDOLLERThere are several events that are challenging the dominance of the US dollar in the global economy. These events include: Saudi Arabia and China agreed to build a refinery using the Chinese Yuan instead of the US dollar, which could reduce demand for the US dollar in the global market. China and France completed the first LNG trade using the Chinese Yuan, suggesting a shift towards using the Yuan for international trade. Russia considering using the Chinese Yuan as a reserve currency, while China and Brazil agree to use it for trade settlements instead of the US dollar. Saudi Arabia considering accepting the Chinese Yuan for oil sales. BRICS countries announcing the development of a new currency. The President of Kenya encouraged citizens to get rid of US dollars. India settled trade in Indian rupees with certain countries rather than the US dollar. The Chinese Yuan surpasses the Euro to become Brazil's second-largest currency in foreign reserves. Russia holds 33% of all reserves in the Chinese Yuan according to IMF data. China and Russia agreed to use the Chinese Yuan as a settlement currency. Russian companies issued bonds in Yuan worth over $7 billion last year. Meanwhile, the regional banking crisis has led to billions of US dollars being invested in crypto and gold. Since March 10th, Bitcoin is up 45% and gold is set to break $2000/oz. Over $225 billion has been withdrawn from US banks in just 2 weeks.
TVC:DXY
by jiaLissax
After the shock structure is over, where will the gold price go?In recent trading days, the volatility of gold has been relatively small, and there have been no major ups and downs. At present, it can be treated as range fluctuations. The rebound is limited and basically the rebound has stopped until a certain point. The same is true yesterday. The rebound to the vicinity of 1975 is still falling downwards, while the short-term support is near the 1950 position.Judging from the recent market trend, a large wave of trend processes must be confirmed twice before a large upward or downward trend can be achieved, so the short-term structure is still to build a shock range. The current volatility range of gold has gradually narrowed to within the range of 1950-1975!Without the stimulus of news events, the probability of gold breaking the level is very small, and it will continue to go back and forth within the range.At present, the previous low level of the price of gold has become an effective support. It is not certain whether it can support the rise again, but it is certain that there is no room for the price of gold to fall again, and the potential energy is even more weak. The downward extension of strong support is located in the 1935-1933 area.At present, the 4-hour chart has entered the contraction and shock of the triangular range, and it has been maintained in the range for a short period of time. It has broken through and stood firm at 1975, so the bulls can continue to see the high of 1980-1986.For the time being, the top pays attention to the pressure of 1970-1975, and the bottom pays attention to the support of 1952-1955. Short-term trading reference: 1.Sell gold near the 1974 position, stop loss level 1979, take profit level 1960-1955 2.Buy gold near the 1954 position, the stop loss level is 1949, and the take profit level is near 1968 In order to facilitate everyone to continue to follow up on my analysis and sharing, you can like and follow me; in addition, I will share the daily real-time strategy in the channel. If you can't follow up in real time, you may make operational errors.You can use the following methods to enter my channel for free to follow the latest news and follow up on market trends in real time.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Short-term-king
Is there room for gold to continue to fall?Although the weakening of the U.S. dollar has provided support for gold prices to a certain extent, because the dust has settled on the acquisition of Silicon Valley Bank assets by First Citizen Bank, European and American bank stocks have risen sharply, suppressing the market's risk-averse demand for gold. Investors have scaled back safe-haven trading and turned to riskier assets. U.S. bond yields and U.S. stocks have risen, and gold is under further selling pressure.Judging from the recent trading days, the gold price has repeatedly surged above the 2000 mark and then fell back. The morale of the bulls has been obviously frustrated. Investors need to beware of the possibility of gold price shocks reaching the top. Judging from the recent trend of gold, the high point began to show signs of M-head regression, and the short-term pressure fell back, and the continuous touch of the high point failed to continue, becoming a short-term high pressure zone.Although the upper side is under pressure, it is difficult to reverse the trend and become a unilateral downward market in a short period of time. Here, a range-oscillating market may be constructed.For the intraday market, pay attention to the suppression of the upward rebound in the short term. If the yellow metal is under pressure and stagnates, you can go short at a high level and continue to look down. In the short-term operation, the rebound can pay attention to the pressure on the first line of 1973-1974, and the support can first look at the recent low of 1935. Short-term trading reference: sell gold at the 1969-1970 position, stop loss level 1974, take profit level 1960-1955 In order to facilitate everyone to continue to follow up on my analysis and sharing, you can like and follow me; in addition, I will share the daily real-time strategy in the channel. If you can't follow up in real time, you may make operational errors.You can use the following methods to enter my channel for free to follow the latest news and follow up on market trends in real time.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Short-term-king
Gold bulls are brewing the next round of outbreak?Although the gold price yesterday did not reach the first line of 2010 that I expected, it reached the highest line of 2003, and it was only 7 US dollars away from the expected position of the first line of 2010.After gold surged to the 2003 line yesterday, it fell back in shock, and the market was gradually digesting the Fed's previous hints that it might suspend interest rate increases.But the market will continue to pay attention to whether the banking crisis spreads further.In addition, the increasingly tense geographical relations will also provide strong support for gold prices. Judging from the current trend of gold, the gold price has fluctuated and fallen. It can be seen that there are a lot of selling at the 2000 position, which also shows that there will still be repeated market washing near the 2000 position.From the technical structure point of view, the current short-term gold price is too fast, so there is still a need for correction in the short-term, so the technical structure supports the repeated washing of gold prices.But on the whole, the upward trend has not changed, so until the trend has not changed, we can continue to maintain a bullish thinking. In the short-term treatment, the top focuses on the pressure of the recent high of 2010, and the bottom focuses on the support near 1980. In order to facilitate everyone to continue to follow up on my analysis and sharing, you can like and follow me; in addition, I will share the daily real-time strategy in the channel. If you can't follow up in real time, you may make operational errors.You can use the following methods to enter my channel for free to follow the latest news and follow up on market trends in real time.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Short-term-king
Why to follow 🌉Arbitrum🌉 (ARB)❗️❓As I have said before, I evaluate crypto projects based on various factors.👇 I have already introduced each of these factors with a brief explanation, so today, I will be looking at Arbitrum (ARB) , which will launch on Binance exchange on March 23rd. That is tomorrow. 🔥Let’s get into it: 🔰🔰🔰🔰🔰🔰 ✅ Projects Goals : Technically, Arbitrum is an optimistic roll-up on Ethereum. To put it more simply, it is a suite of scaling solutions that provides faster speeds at a significantly lower cost, with the same level of security as Ethereum. Since Ethereum users were very inconvenient during the last bull run due to the ridiculously high gas fees they had to pay, Arbitrum and other Layer2️⃣ scaling solutions became extremely necessary for the growth of user adoption in DeFi. That is why I have scored Arbitrum’s goals 10/10. ✅ Founders : Arbitrum is built by a company called Offchain Labs. Ed Felten, Steven Goldfeder, and Harry Kalodner are the co-founders of OffChain Labs🔬 and hence Arbitrum. Ed Felten is a computer science and public affairs professor at Princeton University. Steven Goldfeder has received a Ph.D. in philosophy from Princeton University, where he also worked at the intersection of cryptography and cryptocurrencies. Harry Kalodner also holds a Ph.D. in Computer Science from Princeton University. The co-founders' academic level and work experience made me score a 10/10 for the Arbitrum founders. ✅ Github : Since the founders are experienced computer scientists, users who are not tech-savvy don’t have to worry about Arbitrum’s code. The team is constantly working on updates to improve the Arbitrum networks🌐 making them easier to use with faster and cheaper transactions. But since there is still much more room to grow, the experts at I have scored Arbitrum’s Github 9/10. ✅ Inflation Rate : Arbitrum's $ARB token has a total supply of 10 billion and a maximum annual inflation rate of 2%. This is a decent inflation rate, so I have scored $ARB’s inflation rate 8/10. ✅ Community : Arbitrum’s user base mainly consists of OG Ethereum users who often transacted on Ethereum and started using Arbitrum due to the high gas fees. The Twitter account of Arbitrum has more than 610K followers👨‍🦰, and their Discord channel has more than 320K members. Also, with the launch of $ARB on March 23, the governance of Arbitrum starts, which enables the community to make decisions by themselves to grow the community further. This is why I have scored Arbitrum’s community 9/10. ✅ Whitepaper : Arbitrum’s whitepaper clearly states the project’s vision to the readers: providing scaling solutions to increase transaction speed and lower costs while staying as secure as Ethereum. The Arbitrum team has achieved many milestones till now and continues to do so, like the upcoming governance launch. This is why I have scored Arbitrum’s whitepaper 10/10. ✅ Developers : Since Arbitrum was founded by experienced computer scientists, the devs building Arbitrum are top quality which can also be realized by the number of projects building their DeFi protocols on Arbitrum. This is why I have scored Arbitrum’s developers 9/10. ✅ Tokenomics : The $ARB token distribution is as follows: 11.62% is airdropped to individual wallets, 1.13% is allocated to DAOs in the Arbitrum ecosystem, 17.53% goes to investors, 26.94% is allocated to the team, and future team, advisors, and the remaining 42.78% stays in the DAO treasury which can be governed by $ARB holders. This is an extremely fair token distribution, with the founding team receiving less than 30% of the total supply, so I have scored Arbitrum’s tokenomics 10/10. ✅ Venture Capital Investors : Arbitrum has a long list of VC investors, including Pantera Capital, Coinbase Ventures, Alchemy Ventures, and many more, which shows the credibility and the great vision of Arbitrum. This is why I have scored Arbitrum’s VC investors 10/10. ✅ Competitors Comparison : Arbitrum is one of the largest roll-ups providing scaling solutions for Ethereum, with over 3.5 million unique addresses on Arbitrum. But as an optimistic roll-up, Arbitrum faces heavy competition from other optimistic roll-ups like Optimisim and even ZK (Zero Knowledge) roll-ups. Each roll-up has its pros and cons, but without getting into the technical details, I have scored Arbitrum 8/10 in terms of competitor comparison. ⚠️ The overall score for Arbitrum is 9.3/10, which is an excellent score when evaluating a crypto project. But always remember that crypto tokens are generally risky assets that often face major volatility. So you must do your research and even consider talking to an advisor before investing🤑 in any crypto project.
by pejman_zwin
13
Gold prices are higher and are expected to hit 2010 points againDue to the Federal Reserve's hint that it is about to suspend interest rate increases, and Yellen's speech created a warming of bank risks, gold today continued yesterday's rally and edged higher again.The overall trend showed an incremental increase, reaching the highest level of 1983.7. Judging from the trend of gold prices, yesterday's daily gold line closed as the mid-yang line, recovering all the mid-yin K-lines of the previous day. After the daily double-yin adjustment, the positive K-line recovered, and there were slight signs of a stop in the short-term, and the local area will temporarily enter a high level of volatility.It may remain in the high range and pull the saw back and forth, entering a daily-level shock correction. Judging from the 4-hour level chart, the current short-term support is relatively firm, and the upper side is initially facing the first-line pressure of 1985, and the lower short-term support is on the first-line of 1965.Judging from the fragile sentiment of the market, gold still tends to rise. If it effectively stands above 1985 in the process of rising, the gold price is expected to hit the recent new high near the 2010 position again. In the short-term treatment, the lower support is near 1965, and the initial pressure above is near 1985. In order to facilitate everyone to continue to follow up on my analysis and sharing, you can like and follow me; in addition, I will share the daily real-time strategy in the channel. If you can't follow up in real time, you may make operational errors.You can use the following methods to enter my channel for free to follow the latest news and follow up on market trends in real time.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Short-term-king
3
Take advantage of Bitcoin's current transactional opportunitiesBecause it was too late to write a specific analysis just now, I reminded everyone in my channel to short the current price of Bitcoin. Then friends who keep up with the pace of trading, Bitcoin is basically shorting at the position above 28600. Let me give you a detailed analysis of why Bitcoin is shorted in the short term at this position.Judging from the recent trend, the daily line has had an upper shadow line on the closing line for 6 consecutive trading days, proving that the upper pressure is strong enough.It is difficult to make an effective breakthrough upward in a short period of time, and yesterday's negative K-line proved that even if the currency price wants to continue to break upward, it will take a certain amount of time to make a pullback correction so that the currency price can accumulate upward momentum. On the other hand, the price is overbought, which may also lead to short selling in the short term, thereby suppressing the price of Bitcoin.But there is strong buying support below. So here I think that Bitcoin will have a certain pullback and correction trend at least in the short term.In this regard, we can fully seize short-term trading opportunities to obtain benefits. In the short-term processing, the pressure of 28700-28900 is concerned above, and the support of 27800-27300 is concerned below. In order to facilitate everyone to continue to follow up on my analysis and sharing, you can like and follow me; in addition, I will share the daily real-time strategy in the channel. If you can't follow up in real time, you may make operational errors.You can use the following methods to enter my channel for free to follow the latest news and follow up on market trends in real time.
Long
by Short-term-king
1
Gold price bears regain control of the market?Philip Fisher once said that investment inevitably depends on luck in some places, but in the long run, good luck and bad luck will balance out, and continuous success must rely on skills and the application of good principles. At present, the main rhythm of gold is still heavily affected by fundamental emotions, and the short-term technical trend is not expected to prevail, but technically it is still necessary to pay attention to and predict the position. For the current market, gold has fallen into a consolidation stage after falling from its high, and the intraday upward movement has stagnated, so the current market may be further repaired and adjusted at a small level, and seek stronger support downwards.The current neckline resistance is in the 1960-1965 area. Judging from the current strength of the rebound, the current risk aversion has cooled down, and short-term pressure measurement from 1950 to 1953 may be relatively difficult. It is very likely that it will be adjusted again after a short rebound, and the current short-term support is near the 1930 line. In order to facilitate everyone to continue to follow up on my analysis and sharing, you can like and follow me; in addition, I will share the daily real-time strategy in the channel. If you can't follow up in real time, you may make operational errors.You can use the following methods to enter my channel for free to follow the latest news and follow up on market trends in real time.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Short-term-king
2
Dovish interest rate hike, good harvest in gold trading!The Federal Reserve is dovish and raised interest rates by 25 basis points as scheduled, and gold's short-term increase has expanded to more than US220, reaching as high as 1966.55.In just a few minutes, have you grasped this wave of huge profits? Before the interest rate decision, I have reminded that the limit price is set around 1945 in advance to order a buy, the take profit is set to 1960, and the stop loss is set to 1942. Only use the loss space of 3 US dollars to gain a profit space of 15 US dollars.Obviously, we got a profit of 15 US dollars. Why is it necessary to set a limit price in advance to order to buy instead of choosing to sell?I give the following reasons: 1.Due to the spread of the banking crisis and the credit crisis, it is impossible for the Fed to choose to raise interest rates by 50 basis points, otherwise it will cause concerns about the global economy and exacerbate panic; therefore, the Fed will choose to raise interest rates modestly or not, and dovish interest rate increases will support the rise in gold prices. 2.Even if the Fed chooses to raise interest rates by 50 basis points, it will cause concerns about the global economy and the spread of panic will promote the inflow of funds into safe-haven asset gold, so gold will continue to rise after a short-term decline. 3.In addition, multiple supports below the technical side are strong, and there is limited room for gold to fall. After the recent decline, gold has a need to repair and rebound.I don't know how to analyze the technical aspects in detail. You can choose to take a look at the analysis of the previous article. Based on the above, that's why I chose to set a limit price near 1945 in advance to order a buy, and of course I also achieved good results.Have you kept up with the pace of trading? In order to facilitate everyone to continue to follow up on my analysis and sharing, you can like and follow me; in addition, I will share the daily real-time strategy in the channel. If you can't follow up in real time, you may make operational errors.You can use the following methods to enter my channel for free to follow the latest news and follow up on market trends in real time.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Short-term-king
The price of Bitcoin is brewing the next upward trendJudging from the recent trend of Bitcoin, it has been dealing with narrow fluctuations. It seems that the pressure on the top is relatively strong, making it difficult for Bitcoin to break through effectively in the short term, and the long-term ability seems to have been consumed. In fact, from a cyclical point of view, since Bitcoin rose from the 19550 position, many times on the way up, it will make certain retracements or pauses to consolidate the bottom foundation to support Bitcoin to continue to maintain its upward trend.Although Bitcoin has paused recently, the short-term low is constantly rising, and in the process of testing the low, it has not destroyed the upward trend, so the current trend of Bitcoin is still healthy. So overall, for Bitcoin's recent narrow volatility treatment, it is very likely that the next upward trend is brewing, and it is expected to hit the 30,000 position.In the short-term treatment, the lower support is near 27900-28000, and the initial pressure above is at the 29000 integer mark. In order to facilitate everyone to continue to follow up on my analysis and sharing, you can like and follow me; in addition, I will share the daily real-time strategy in the channel. If you can't follow up in real time, you may make operational errors.You can use the following methods to enter my channel for free to follow the latest news and follow up on market trends in real time.
Long
by Short-term-king
USD/JPY market forecast and trend analysisDue to the significant decline in US bond yields, investors have been prompted to bet that it will be difficult for the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates further. The peak of US dollar interest rates is expected to come. It seems that the pressure on the yen in terms of interest spreads is being lifted, and the yen has once again returned to a clear strong return posture. Judging from the trend, USD/JPY is currently under pressure in the trend channel, and has recently fallen under pressure here many times, supporting USD/JPY to continue to fluctuate in the downward channel, thereby increasing the possibility of the pair approaching the next bearish target near 130. In addition, USD/JPY has fallen under pressure many times near 132.65, which has consumed the upward momentum to a certain extent. When market psychological pressure is formed, some subsequent selling orders may trigger short-selling to make up for it, and push USD/JPY to open a market to make up for the decline. In terms of trading ideas, USD/JPY: You can enter the market with short orders near 132.65 in small batches, and the short-term target is near 131. In order to facilitate everyone to continue to follow up on my analysis and sharing, you can like and follow me; in addition, I will share the daily real-time strategy in the channel. If you can't follow up in real time, you may make operational errors.You can use the following methods to enter my channel for free to follow the latest news and follow up on market trends in real time.
Short
by Short-term-king
Bitcoin: Can the bulls hold on?Judging from the current trend of Bitcoin and the overall market sentiment, the pressure level of 28,500 above is too strong to break through in the short term. There is a need for Bitcoin to withdraw, but the 27,000 below is still the key support for Bitcoin.Yesterday, Bitcoin broke through the recent high and stood near 28472, and then retreated to near 27300. It seems that Bitcoin will be trading sideways at least in the short term. At present, the Bitcoin price is oscillating back and forth at a high level, and the pressure above is strong, making it difficult to break through in a short period of time. Even if the Bitcoin price can continue to rise, it will at least need to be confirmed by stepping back to accumulate upward momentum during the rise, so there is a demand for retracement in the short term. On the other hand, the supply of Bitcoin on exchanges has increased significantly in the past week or so, which may also mean that BTC may face selling pressure. In the short-term treatment, the lower support is near 27500, and the initial pressure above is near 28500. In order to facilitate everyone to continue to follow up on my analysis and sharing, you can like and follow me; in addition, I will share the daily real-time strategy in the channel. If you can't follow up in real time, you may make operational errors.You can use the following methods to enter my channel for free to follow the latest news and follow up on market trends in real time.
Short
by Short-term-king
Valuing a stock - ROIC/PE - an interesting ratio As I am both a longer term and shorter term investor and trader the notion of the best way to estimate if a stock is undervalued or over valued interests me. There seem to me a number of ways to go about doing this but I was interested to see if I could combine two traditional metrics that people look at into one measure and see if that told me anything interesting. The two measures I am interested in are P/E ratio - typically used as an indicator of whether a stock is under or overvalued in terms of its price to earnings and of course sometimes reflecting also the expectancy of future earnings growth or reduction. The second measure I was interested in is ROIC - Return on Invested Capital - a fairly good measure of how well a company martials the capital it has invested into producing returns. So I decided to start checking a ratio of these two measures for a series of companies. The ratio I am using is ROIC /PE. When price goes up if EPS and ROIC are same then this ratio goes lower - and vice versa. When ROIC goes up if PE and EPS are the same then this ratio goes higher - and vice versa. When EPS goes up if ROIC and Price are unchanged then this ratio goes higher - and vice versa. When PE ratio goes up then this ratio goes lower - and vice versa. I found an interesting interplay of these factors across a range of stocks and ratios varying from below 1 up to in the twenties. I'm still thinking about what this ratio is really telling me. Here are two current examples which were correct for prices I think it was early last week. NVDA ROIC 12.3 PE 137 ROIC/PE RATIO - 0.09 ON SEMICONDUCTOR ROIC 22 PE 18.23 ROIC/PE RATIO - 1.22 Based only on this ratio and looking at the ratio for various other stocks then NVDA looks very overvalued compared to say ON Semiconductor. Some stocks cam out with really high ROIC/PE ratios and its left me wondering if these are stocks that are really undervalued. Of course the confounding factor in this that a high PE may be there because of expectations for strong future growth. But you'd have to have really strong growth in either ROIC or EPS - or a drop in stock price - for NVDA to come into ratios more like other stocks. Im interested in any thoughts people have on this ratio as a pointer to overvaluation or undervaluation of a stock. Thanks. ( Its my first public post - be gentle lol.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by wjduncan
5