Value
LULU, a stock to watch!Lululemon stock (LULU) has traded down into the $230's for the first time since the COVID-19 Crash of 2020. I believe that LULU is a stock to keep your eye on, for a few reasons.
- The stock is trading at a 20x p/e whereas its historical p/e is in the mid 40's.
- Margins for the company have all been steady, and remain an industry leader.
- Lululemon is still set to see 10% CAGR for EPS in the next 5 years. (consensus)
- The stock is seeing a severe correction, on par with its past decade corrections.
Above is bullish sentiment on LULU, and can be considered the "bull/base case"
Personally, I have not turned bullish on LULU yet, but with the levels it is reaching it has most certainly caught my eye and has been added to my watch list. While the stock is seeing oversold levels, I think the midterm outlook can still remain bearish for Lululemon. Below are reasons why the short/midterm outlook for LULU may not be optimal.
- Weaker forward projections compared to last 5 years.
Though LULU is expecting 10% CAGR EPS for the next 5 years, that is just a fraction of its last 5 year CAGR of 38.55%. While projections are still positive, they have certainly dampened compared to recent years' growth.
- Macroeconomic environment.
Though the economy remains hot/fine for now, there have been warning signs flashing of a rising unemployment figure across the country. With suboptimal economic conditions, the average consumer may cut down on expensive Lululemon clothing.
These Macro conditions may also continue to dampen the economy, which can cause an overall market correction, where LULU would likely follow the sentiment.
Overall, I believe that LULU offers significant reward, but the shorter term horizon is still worrisome for Lululemon and the global economy. Lululemon is a leader in the Retail Trade sector and dominates when it comes to profitability. The stock is definitely one to keep an eye on if it continues to get crushed.
Regarding technicals, I am watching this demand zone around the 200 level. The stock could trend down to this area, and reach close to COVID-19 lows if sentiment does not change. This area could also offer significant R/R for an entry point.
Disclosure: I currently hold no position in LULU stock, and have never been a shareholder.
Oh shoot !Our moon mission candidate of the day guys has to go to Suilama.
If you don’t know, the dev of solama (Sol) took his talents to the Sui blockchain and is attempting to replicate that success on the Sui blockchain.
It just got verified and audited by Cyberscope, a partner of Coinmarketcap and Coingecko. This is bullish, considering it’s relatively new meme.
This is not financial advice, do your due diligence when investing and have a blessed day!
Mexican carry tradeWe would like to buy the Mexican peso selling the euro at the same time so the idea to sell the euro against the M3xican peso.
There is a positive Jerry trade from borrowing the euro and buying the Mexican peso so because they have a higher interest rate than both the euro and the American dollar there is a positive carry to buying the MXN.
There should be greater strength as well as we seen that strong holders of the queso of $50. What essentially would’ve been the holders and there is reason to believe that positive care is worth it where you have an economics of supplied showing that we’re only trading the house’s money.
UEMS (5148) - PropertyUEMS - Current price : RM1.08
Fundamentally broker house RHB Investment BHD give a target price of RM1.60 (19 OCT 2024 reports). The research house expect demand for property will continue to be driven by :
i) Better economic growth outlook,
ii) Influx of foreign and domestic direct investments
iii) Return of tourist arrivals
iv) Easing of the Malaysia Second Home programme
v) Major instructure developments
Technically there is a Falling Window (Gap Down) on 01 Aug 2024. As such, it may acts as a strong resistance. A breakout above that Falling Window resistance level RM1.10, may propel the share price towards RM1.20 and RM1.28 (52 Weeks High).
Based on ICHIMOKU, price manage to trend higher above CLOUD and CHIKOU LINE crosses up the cloud. This two scenario added more the BULLISHNESS outlook for the stock.
Lets monitor closely !
A breakout above RM1.10 , will trigger a buy signal.
Entry price at RM1.11 and our support will be EMA 50.
Has Block Bottomed?Block ran dramatically during the pandemic. Now, following a long rest, some traders may see upside potential.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the series of lower highs between March and August. SQ has pushed above this resistance in the last month, which could suggest its downtrend is broken.
Second you have the low in June, a lower low in August and a higher low in September. That kind of basing pattern may also be consistent with bottoming.
Third, Jack Dorsey’s fintech is pushing above its 200-day simple moving average. However, it remains well below its 52-week low. Is there space to the upside?
Finally, we turn to a longer-term chart with two-week candles. Earnings in the trailing four quarters (TTM) are plotted in the lower study. Notice how the most recent numbers exceed the previous high in June 2021. Also consider that SQ is down about two-thirds from its price at the time. That could make some investors make a potential value argument.
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TSUNAMI EARTHQUAKE is at 2.0 EARTHQUAKE near the BEACH SHORE is at 2.0. They are rated up to 8.0.
2.0 is a WARNING, not enough to cause a TSUNAMI TIDAL WAVE. ROCKET-SHIP is prepped.
Please pay close attention to this warning signals.
1. PULL-BACKS are genuine. Some of you know about this and some do not. The ones that don’t, obviously can’t see the algorithm signal and has declared BITCOIN as failure and destined to CRASH. Ive mentioned days ago smart money made an entry yet still dipped. So it’s easy to say this PULL-BACK is bogus yet isn’t.
2. whale signals are called BULL signals. It’s in display in my chart. This was obviously whale movements because it is they who control the market.
3. High Wave signals both meet the same pattern. Does this mean the most recent HIGH WAVE is hinting to our next WAVE?
4. STAR of the SHOW is no longer stochastic RSI but l introduce my ForexX VI Candles. It’s important to NITPICK.
It’s important to see both green circles, they represent something and the M red arrow is pointing to manipulation which will soon turn green.
Why manipulation? Because it’s easy to see BITCOIN has been at PIVOT LOW on a 1MO and 2WK timeframes, WHALE entry, PULL-BACK, and high wave.
Despite all this, I’ve confirmed with my smart money movements confirming our next moves. BITCOIN has been predestined to BULL RUN from centuries ago and smart money has also shown in my data in advance we’re having a TSUNAMI soon.
One more thing; no need to be discouraged on minor dips. When there’s a minor dip, don’t turn to other ideas that point to a crash otherwise that would be more devastating to your mindset.
Markowitz Risk/Reward outlook diverse portfolioHere's a allocated set of decimals based on 20,000 prandom portfolio constructs based on 14 years of data (since recovery after 2008-09 GFC)
This timeline gives us less noise and focuses on the momentum of the current trend.
The final ticker decimals represent % allocation based on optimal reward with minimal risk.
The TRUTH is Pending through BULLISH CYCLESThe truth is pending but my REVERSAL STRADEGY unveils secret truths. Smart Money is playing it out into a rising wedge behind the background. Will it play out this way? maybe it is. They know how we think, if this happens to change then I will update later.
Meanwhile, when it is time for the crash fall, TA data will be accumulating on my end. This data will start printing out in tiny portions the CRASH IS NEAR.
We must understand, that when the crash is near, BITCOIN reads to be in its most bullish conditions which we've never seen before. The world will not stop talking about how bullish Indices, Stocks, and Crypto has been and will be.
I have no doubt many of any sort will be providing feedback to those who listen. These information providers will be on the WHALE's PAYROLL to deceive many to say more than what they shouldn't say and many will follow their advice and just then, the BULLISH FULL MOON will turn into darkness and those who provided feedback, displaying themselves as professional analyst traders, many will not to be found.
Pivot high and pivot low is my strategy, I've retraced. The Ma's work with my pivots. The yellow trend that's dotted is a possible scenario of price movement.
This bullish dragonfly doji has not closed but it's reading out BULLISH MOMENTUM for our coming months.
Beware; after 5 pm Pacific time, a minor downtrend then will reverse, and this may last for some time.
The #1 "PriceAction" Power Strategy I am from watering the garden.Now the time frame for most vegetables to grow is about 31 days.
So in the beginning when you start to water your garden it doesn't look like it will grow.
But the key is to know the Germination time frame.
It's the same with trading.Each position has a germinate time frame and then a harvest period on this chart.
Look at the bull power it's showing you that the bulls are in control of this price action, because it's green and above
The zero line.
For this stock price a buy position is the best analysis according to the" price action power strategy "
This is a new trading system am developing and testing.
Come back within a week to check to see if it went up.
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⚠️Discliamer: Trading is risky please learn risk management and profit taking strategies.
What Happened to Walgreens?Walgreens Boots Alliance (WBA) has essentially crashed. I think many of us know this story, seeing it across cities and towns across the country.
However, based on the recent price action, who knows how much longer this will last. It currently trades at 25+ year lows.
Here are a few key reasons why Walgreens stock is in a free fall:
1. E-Commerce Growth: Walgreens has lagged behind competitors like CVS and Amazon in capturing the digital health and e-commerce market. It may be too late.
2. Weak Earnings: Its latest earnings report showed lower-than-expected revenues, and the outlook for 2024 hasn’t provided much optimism.
3. Debt Load: Walgreens' acquisition of Boots and other ventures has left it with a significant debt burden, making it harder to navigate in this high-interest-rate environment.
Is it a dip buy? I think the debt is too much. There don't seem to be any catalysts.
A story I'll watch a little more closely...
INTEL Outlook after the Dip. What to expect NOW ?According to the Financial Times, Intel and the United States will finalize $8.5 billion in chip funding by the end of the year.
-(Reuters) - The Financial Times reported on Friday, citing people familiar with the discussions, that Intel and the U.S. government are likely to finalize $8.5 billion in direct funding for the chipmaker before the end of the year.
- The report stated that the negotiations were at an advanced stage, but there was no guarantee that it would be finalized before the end of 2024. It added that any acquisition of all or part of Intel’s (NASDAQ: INTC) business could risk disrupting the negotiations.
Intel and the U.S. Department of Commerce did not immediately respond to Reuters’ requests for comment.
- U.S. President Joe Biden awarded Intel nearly $20 billion in grants and loans in March to boost the company’s domestic semiconductor chip output.
- The preliminary agreement was for $8.5 billion in grants and up to $11 billion in loans for Intel in Arizona, where some of the funding will be used to build two new factories and modernize an existing one.
Qualcomm (NASDAQ: QCOM) has approached Intel to explore a potential acquisition of the troubled chipmaker.
- Once a dominant force in chipmaking, Intel ceded its manufacturing edge to rival Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co (TSMC) and failed to produce a widely desired chip for the generative AI boom capitalized on by Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA) and AMD (NASDAQ: AMD).
I expect that the price will grow very quickly...
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The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Gold Has Never Been More ValuableYou often hear about equity markets at all-time highs, and some of the excitement in crypto, but today I just have to showcase the recent move in gold.
Gold is at an all-time high today and remains the most valuable asset in the world by market cap. Here are some stats and facts:
Gold's Market Cap: Valued at over $12 trillion, gold is the most valuable asset in the world by market cap.
Central Bank Holdings: Central banks worldwide hold nearly 35,000 metric tons of gold in their reserves, including the U.S., China, and Russia.
Gold as a Safe Haven: During the 2008 financial crisis, gold outperformed most major asset classes, reaffirming its role as a safe haven.
I have more stats and facts to share, but just wanted to share this one to showcase the recent move higher.
Telegram Games==>Share your experiencesToday, I want to talk about Telegram programs or games that are added to their number daily, and share my experiences from these programs or games with you.
I would be happy if you share your opinion or experience with me.
First, the purpose of these programs/games is to introduce the project and their tokens to the users, and for this purpose, they give their own tokens to the users in the form of Airdrop.
Now, let's see what Airdrop means.
What is the Airdrop!?
An airdrop in crypto is when a project distributes free tokens or coins to users' wallets, often as a marketing strategy to promote the project or reward existing holders. Users may receive these tokens by holding a specific cryptocurrency or completing simple tasks.
First, I must say that what has been proven to me in the cryptocurrency market is that the crypto market has had seasons over the years, such as NFT, Metaverse, Memes, Defi, etc. This means that in these seasons, the tokens of each season have increased and received a good reception, and always the first ones in each season gave a good reception and profit to the users, and with the passage of time, their reception decreased, and then it was the turn of scam projects in It has been every season.
I gave these explanations to say that I think we are in the middle or end of Telegram's program/games season. The season began with the BINANCE:NOTUSDT was obtained by tapping to earn and introducing friends. In the Notcoin project, users received good profits.
After the BINANCE:NOTUSDT project, the Hamster game , which is supposed to be listed on September 26 in various exchanges (perhaps the price of each $HMSTR token is equal to $0.01 ), was well received by Telegram users. If the Hamster game is listed at a price of $0.01 in various exchanges, it will disappoint many users because there are few users who have more than 10,000 $HMSTR tokens, and it could be a sign of the end of the season of Telegram programs/games.
How many $HMSTR tokens did you get in Hamster!?
In the coming days, tokens of other games are going to be listed in different exchanges, for example, today the game Rocky Rabbit with GATEIO:RBTCUSDT token was listed in different exchanges, which disappointed all its users.
Now I decided to share my personal experiences with you from some of the trending Telegram games.
Catizen :
Catizen game with BINANCE:CATIUSDT token was listed on 2024 September 20 in various exchanges. Catizen game was the most famous game that was listed in different exchanges after Notcoin, although those who spent money in the game were awarded a good number of tokens, but those who played the game for more than 5 months were awarded a small number of OTC:CATI tokens. which brought the dissatisfaction of the users of this game.
In terms of entertainment, the Catizen game seemed to be boring and time-consuming.
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Rocky Rabbit :
Rocky Rabbit game with OTC:RBTC token is listed in different exchanges today and according to the number of tokens given to users according to the time they spent in the game, it really disappointed its users.
In terms of the game space, the game is very time-consuming, the interesting point of this game was that you had to give 0.5 TON to the game to withdraw your tokens, otherwise 45% of your RBTC tokens would be burned and according to the number of tokens that Users are credited and the price of RBTC token, Rocky Rabbit game is like a scam project in my opinion.
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MemeFi Coin :
Memefi Coin game, which is going to be listed in various exchanges on October 9, 2024.
The gameplay of Memefi Coin is so boring that you have to go through 15 levels. This game has also recently activated in-game payment and you can spend the work of someone who spent several months to go through different levels by paying 23 dollars in one day. I think this game is only looking for income in the last few days.
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There are many games, and if I try to analyze them all for you, you might get tired; let's go to the conclusion.
My analysis of Telegram games is that with the listing of the Hamster game token, we are approaching the end of the season of Telegram games and these games are very weak in terms of entertainment and only take the time of the users and the main winners are the game creators because according to When you play, you will definitely have a low reception, so I advise you to only look at these games as entertainment, although in terms of entertainment, I think these games are of low quality.
And if the Telegram game token is listed, it is better to sell it immediately, because with the passage of time, the price of these tokens will decrease at least for a short period of time, because the users received free tokens and were waiting for the sale of these tokens for several months, and for sure, the selling pressure will be high.
Also, be careful of SCAM programs/games because surely SCAM games will increase as these games become a trend.
In my opinion, the best game that didn't take much time was BINANCE:DOGSUSDT , do you agree with me?
I would be happy to share your opinion and experiences about Telegram programs and games with me in the comments!?
Is there a Telegram game or program that you think has a good future!?
If you can analyze every game below this post like me, this post can be a source for these games.
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FBU Monthly Fletcher Building On trading halt while they do a $700mil capital raise
Hoping it drops to ~$1.80 ish for a long term buy due to technicals but fundamentally needs a restructure of debt or more equity...
Carrying too much debt from memory due to their residential developments with long cash cycle payments which is problematic when the market stalls and buyers dry up
Basically too much inventory...
Hopefully they can convert some of these back into liquid cash.... and move on and perhaps focus a little more on the commercial projects and building materials that have better cash cycles
Fedex Taking Flight?Fedex took a 10% dip today based on their earnings report on Sept. 19th, 2024. Their profit showed a decline of profit near $382 million year over year. However reading into it, they invested heavily in cost reductions and optimization that should start being evident in the next year or so. Fedex right now seems like an undervalued stock pick. We could possibly see a correction to the Gap Fill Target of 300$ in the next two or three weeks.
Palantir Technologies and a strong look into its FundamentalsNYSE:PLTR is one of the most popular stocks of the last 2 years , and not for no reason being a high revenue growth stock "16.8% Growth Rate" , My personal problem with the stock lays with the valuation holding a PE Ratio of 201x, and a forward PE Ratio of 172.5x, a 20.1x Price to Books Ratio, and a 32.8x Price to Sales (Revenue) Ratio. an interesting Return on Equity of 10% , A Return on Assets of 4.6% , And an Return on Capital Employed of 6.7% , with Net margins of 16.3%. Being Completely "Debt" free according to there Balance Sheet
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Valuation:
PE Ratio: 201x
Forward PE Ratio: 172.5x
Price to Sales: 32.8x
Price to Books Ratio: 20.1x
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Balance Sheet:
Cash: US$4.00b
Debt: US$0
Equity: US$4.14b
Total Liabilities: US$1.05b
Total Assets: US$5.19b
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Strengths and Weaknesses:
The Valuation to me personally is a weakness, however the Balance sheet is a Strength in my view. I think based on the price I currently would wait to add this one to my own portfolio however all investors and traders are different.
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Disclaimer: I am not a financial advisor and in no way am I signaling a sell, buy, or hold opinion on this stock (Palantir Technologies) I am just giving my personal opinion as a hobby trader, I have no certifications and I am not a financial analyst, I also may be wrong about how I feel about the stock. I want you to do plenty more research on this and the stocks you are interested in because the stock market always holds a lot of risk that may pose different risks and overall be different for each investor and trader. Please do not make opinions based on this idea or any idea. Please be careful! this post is only for conversation.
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Idea: