DERO is extremely undervalued.DERO a homomorphic encrypted blockchain with secure and private smart contracts is truly one of it's kind.
With a fast 18 second block time, being a layer 1 private decentralized application platform with instant syncing and fast transactions DERO is extremely undervalued.
The blockchain is relatively new and is in it's alpha stage which means there will be lots of future development coming.
Recently TELA is launched, TELA enables the secure and decentralized storage of application files on DERO's blockchain using smart contracts.
This makes the DERO protocol capable of hosting true WEB3.0 decentralized webApps.
Welcome to the future!
Value
How High/Low Could The US Election Day Send Us?CRYPTO:BTCUSD New visits to lower levels are highly expected, as that would constitute a continuation of the short-mid term downtrend we are in. Keep cash on the sidelines to progressively accumulate and give yourself some peace of mind. Finding liquidity at around 40k before a big run pushed by new debt is a real possibility, count on it and be prepared for that scenario. Remember DCA is king because Time on the market is. ♥
NAVA LTD - A Diversified Investment OpportunityCore Business:
- **Metals:** Nava Limited is involved in the production of ferro alloys, including Silico Manganese Alloys and Ferro Silicon. The company operates ferro alloy plants in Telangana and Odisha, India.
- **Energy:** The company has a significant presence in the energy sector, primarily through its subsidiaries such as Nava Bharat Energy India Limited (NBEIL) and Maamba Collieries Limited (MCL). These entities operate power plants, including a 150 MW plant in Telangana and a 300 MW plant in Zambia.
- **Mining:** Nava is engaged in coal mining, particularly through MCL in Zambia. The mining division also explores other minerals like magnetite ore.
- **Agribusiness:** The company has ventured into agribusiness, focusing on avocado plantations in Zambia. This project is managed by Nava Avocado Limited.
- **Emerging Businesses:** Nava is diversifying into healthcare services, especially in Singapore and Malaysia, and other innovative business initiatives.
Global Hue:
- **Geographical Presence:** Nava has a global footprint with operations in India, Zambia, Singapore, Malaysia, and Côte d'Ivoire. This global presence is a key aspect of its business strategy, enabling the company to leverage diverse markets and resources.
- **International Subsidiaries:** The company has several international subsidiaries, including Nava Bharat (Singapore) Pte. Limited, Maamba Collieries Limited, and Nava Resources CI, which facilitate its global operations.
Investment Perspective
Qualitative Analysis:
1. **Diversification:** Nava's diversified business portfolio across metals, energy, mining, agribusiness, and emerging sectors reduces dependence on any single market, making it a more stable investment.
2. **Financial Performance:** The company has achieved significant financial milestones, including becoming long-term debt-free and reporting record revenues and profits. This indicates strong financial management and resilience.
3. **Operational Efficiency:** Nava has demonstrated operational efficiency improvements, such as cost optimization in its metals and energy segments, which contribute to its profitability.
4. **Sustainability and CSR:** The company's commitment to sustainability and corporate social responsibility (CSR) aligns with global ESG standards, which can attract socially responsible investors.
5. **Innovation and Adaptability:** Nava's ability to adapt to market challenges and innovate across its business segments is a positive indicator for long-term growth.
Quantitative Information:
1. **Revenue and Profit:**
- **Consolidated Revenue:** `3,818 crores for FY 2023-24, a YoY growth of 8.2%.
- **Consolidated Profit:** `1,256 crores, the highest in the company's history.
2. **Financial Metrics:**
- **EBITDA Margin:** 46.9% for FY 2024, indicating resilience in consolidated operations.
- **Debt Repayment:** MCL repaid long-term debt of US$ 314.4 million, making it debt-free.
3. **Segment Performance:**
- **Metals:** Despite challenges, the segment demonstrated resilience with strategic shifts to Ferro Silicon production.
- **Energy:** NBEIL's 150 MW plant operated throughout the year, supported by bilateral contracts and remunerative tariffs.
- **Mining:** MCL's coal sales increased by 35.3% YoY, contributing to free cash flows.
4. **Dividend Payout:**
- **Dividend:** Recommended dividend of 200% (`4.00 per share of `2/- each) for FY 2023-24.
Risk Analysis
1. **Market Risks:**
- **Export Market Fluctuations:** The metals segment faced reduced demand in the export market, affecting realizations.
- **Competition:** The mining division faced competition from newly opened coal mines nearby.
2. **Operational Risks:**
- **Raw Material Handling System Breakdown:** The Odisha operations experienced a breakdown in the raw material handling system, affecting production.
- **High Coal Costs:** The 114 MW power plant in Telangana faced high coal costs from Singareni Collieries, impacting generation and sales.
3. **Regulatory Risks:**
- **Compliance:** The company must comply with various regulations, including those related to environmental and social governance.
4. **Financial Risks:**
- **Loan Repayments:** Delays in loan repayments from subsidiaries, such as NBEIL, though managed within the group, could impact credit profiles if not managed carefully.
Value and Growth Investment
**Value Investment:**
- **Debt-Free Status:** Achieving long-term debt-free status at both standalone and group levels enhances the company's financial stability and reduces risk.
- **Consistent Dividend Payout:** The company's policy of consistent dividend payout provides a stable return for investors.
- **Operational Efficiency:** Cost optimization and efficiency improvements across segments contribute to sustained profitability.
**Growth Investment:**
- **Diversification and Expansion:** Nava's expansion into new sectors like agribusiness and healthcare, along with its global footprint, offers potential for future growth.
- **Innovation and Adaptability:** The company's ability to innovate and adapt to market challenges positions it for long-term growth.
- **Strategic Initiatives:** Initiatives such as backward integration in mining and the development of new products in the metals segment are expected to drive future growth.
Overall, Nava Limited presents a balanced profile for both value and growth investors, with its strong financial performance, diversified business portfolio, and commitment to sustainability and innovation. However, investors should be aware of the operational and market risks associated with the company's diverse business segments.
WARNING: LAST WAVE BULL RALLYThis is part of my algorithm, I consider many more factors when studying SMART MONEY MOVEMENTS, view my arrows for guidance. We're in an uptrend based on volume. My MA will start moving downwards based on uptrend volume.
TA reads BEARISH but that's not what I read.
Where will the uptrend end? That's up to the whales. There are plenty of BAITs for retail traders. Many will know when to get out. Do you?
As the MA downtrends for an uptrend, the MA move-up means there will be a CRASH FALL.
Value Investing at its FinestThanks to trading view, we do not have the capability to create groups specially for value investing. In the Indices group, I mentioned ALTM and lithium prices and its analysis of global demand and geo political factors.
People laughed at my idea and the bears came hunting on the group.
China has shut down a lithium plant leading to 8% decline in lithium production in the country which led to US lithium stocks soaring.
Value investing at its finest - only at Foxx Invest.
Feel free to DM me for value investing discussions. No charity. Trade an idea and analysis for an analysis and idea.
Feel free to see my previous ideas and check out their performances. No 15000 lines on a chart trying to outguess the other guy in a crowd of millions.
Simple, easy, detailed analysis leading to returns which you can see for yourself in all my ideas.
Never doubt the Foxx
MGNI following value channel 2021 trendline
Establishing it's rising trajectory prior to 2021, MGNI has established a value channel trend from 4 near today's price of 13. With the current pullback into the fib pocket I can see a possibility of the price being supported and continuing through the trend channel paired with positive developments at the company level and possible Google suite in ad tech upside tailwinds are present.
Investment in DOMS Industries Limited with Technical AnalysisIntroduction
DOMS Industries Limited, a leading player in the branded stationery and art material products market in India, has been making significant strides in its industry. With over five decades of experience, the company has established itself as a trusted brand, known for its excellence and innovation. This blog post will delve into the company's background, industry growth, financial performance, and what drives investor interest in DOMS, along with a technical analysis of the historical price data.
Company Overview
**History and Milestones:**
- **Inception:** DOMS was originally incorporated as Writefine Products Private Limited in 2005. Over the years, it has undergone strategic partnerships, acquisitions, and expansions to become the entity it is today .
- **Key Milestones:** The company has marked significant milestones, including the acquisition of R.R. Industries and S. Tech Industries, entry into the back-to-school segment with Skido Industries, and backward integration through Micro Wood Private Limited .
**Product Portfolio:**
- **Diverse Offerings:** DOMS boasts a wide range of products, including scholastic stationery, art materials, paper stationery, kits and combos, office supplies, hobby and craft items, and fine art products. The company has over 4,000 SKUs and a strong presence in 28 states and 8 union territories in India, as well as in more than 50 countries worldwide .
Industry Growth Across the Globe
**Stationery and Art Materials Market:**
- **Global Demand:** The global stationery and art materials market is driven by increasing demand from educational institutions, offices, and hobby enthusiasts. India, with its young population and emphasis on education, presents a particularly attractive market .
- **Market Share:** DOMS has a significant market share in India, with approximately 12% market share overall and dominant positions in specific categories such as pencils (~29%) and mathematical instrument boxes (~30%) .
Feature Growth
**Research and Development:**
- **Innovation:** DOMS places a strong emphasis on research and development, with a state-of-the-art R&D facility equipped with modern equipment. This focus on innovation has enabled the company to introduce high-quality, concept-driven products that meet evolving consumer preferences .
**Manufacturing Excellence:**
- **Backward Integration:** The company has backward-integrated manufacturing facilities, producing essential components in-house to enhance efficiency, quality control, and profitability. This approach minimizes dependence on third parties and ensures superior product quality .
**Distribution Network:**
- **Multi-Channel Distribution:** DOMS has a robust distribution network that includes general trade, modern trade, and e-commerce channels. This network, supported by advanced inventory and sales management systems, ensures effective market penetration and growth .
Financial Performance
**Revenue and Profitability:**
- **Revenue Growth:** During the financial year 2023-24, DOMS achieved an operational revenue of ₹153,714 lakhs, representing a substantial growth of 26.8% compared to the previous year. The company's EBITDA margin increased to 17.7%, with EBITDA of ₹27,273 lakhs. Net profit after tax stood at ₹15,966 lakhs, with a healthy margin of 10.4% .
- **Consolidated Financials:** Consolidated revenue from operations increased by 26.84% to ₹153,714.18 lakhs, with domestic sales increasing by 33.32% and export sales by 3.93% .
**Financial Ratios:**
- **EBITDA Margin:** The EBITDA margin for the financial year 2023-24 was 17.7%, indicating strong operational efficiency .
- **PAT Margin:** The profit after tax margin was 10.4%, reflecting healthy profitability .
- **Return on Equity (ROE):** The ROE for the financial year 2023-24 was 27.75%, indicating strong returns for shareholders .
Technical Analysis of Historical Price Data
**Trend Analysis:**
1. **Overall Trend:**
- The historical price data from January 2024 to September 2024 shows a general upward trend with some volatility. The stock price has moved from around ₹1,277 in January 2024 to approximately ₹2,732 in September 2024, indicating a significant increase over the period .
2. **Support and Resistance Levels:**
- **Support Levels:** Key support levels can be identified at around ₹1,800 (seen in April and May 2024) and ₹2,200 (seen in June and July 2024). These levels have acted as strong support during the price movements.
- **Resistance Levels:** Resistance levels are observed at around ₹2,600 (seen in August and September 2024). This level has been tested multiple times and has shown some resistance to further price increases.
3. **Price Action Movement:**
- **Bullish Movements:** There have been several bullish movements, notably from ₹1,500 in March 2024 to ₹1,800 in April 2024, and from ₹2,200 in July 2024 to ₹2,600 in August 2024. These movements indicate strong buying interest and positive sentiment towards the stock.
- **Volatility:** The stock has experienced volatility, especially during periods of economic uncertainty or significant market events. For example, the price dropped from ₹2,300 in June 2024 to ₹1,900 in July 2024, only to recover and reach new highs.
4. **Important Indicators:**
- **Moving Averages:** The 50-day and 200-day moving averages can be used to gauge the trend. As of the latest data, the stock price is above both the 50-day and 200-day moving averages, indicating a strong uptrend.
- **Relative Strength Index (RSI):** The RSI has fluctuated between 30 and 70, indicating periods of overbuying and overselling. Currently, the RSI is around 60, suggesting that the stock is not overbought and has room for further upside.
5. **Volume Analysis:**
- **Trading Volume:** The trading volume has been significant during key price movements, indicating strong participation from investors. For instance, the volume was high during the price increase from ₹1,500 to ₹1,800 in April 2024 and during the recent rally to ₹2,700 in September 2024.
What Drives Investor Interest
**Growth Prospects:**
- **Capacity Expansion:** DOMS is expanding its manufacturing capacity, including the construction of a new facility on a 44+ acre land parcel in Umbergaon, Gujarat. This expansion is expected to significantly increase production capacity and drive future growth .
- **Strategic Acquisitions:** The company has made strategic acquisitions, such as the acquisition of Micro Wood Private Limited and a stake in ClapJoy Innovations Private Limited, to enhance its product portfolio and manufacturing prowess .
**Strong Brand Positioning:**
- **Brand Recognition:** DOMS has been recognized for its achievements, including being honored as ‘India’s Most Trusted Brand’ and ‘Asia’s Most Trusted Brand’ .
- **Market Penetration:** The company's strong brand positioning and extensive distribution network enable it to influence consumer decisions and improve pricing strategies .
**Corporate Governance and Sustainability:**
- **Robust Governance:** DOMS has a strong corporate governance structure, with a board comprising experienced directors and a robust committee system. The company has also implemented various policies, including a dividend distribution policy and a nomination and remuneration policy .
- **Sustainability Initiatives:** The company is committed to sustainability, with initiatives focused on reducing emissions, managing waste, and utilizing eco-friendly materials. DOMS also engages in social responsibility activities, such as contributing to the construction of a hospital and providing educational scholarships .
Conclusion
DOMS Industries Limited presents a compelling investment opportunity due to its strong brand presence, diversified product portfolio, robust manufacturing and distribution capabilities, and commitment to innovation and sustainability. The company's impressive financial performance, coupled with its growth prospects and strategic initiatives, make it an attractive choice for investors looking to capitalize on the growing stationery and art materials market. The technical analysis of the historical price data indicates a strong uptrend with significant support levels and potential for further growth, making DOMS a promising investment for those looking to benefit from its upward trajectory.
The 13 EMA System Explained...We are trying to create a video but
my internet is too slow to upload
so instead, for now, I will try to teach you
using text.
Sadly because of my slow internet
we can only upload 3-minute videos.
That is why it's very difficult for me to
explain the trading strategies to the full
But either way, we will try to let you know
how to trade forex.
In this article, we are looking at the
power of the 13 EMA system
Because it helps you determine
if a stock price is under valued or not.
In This forex pair using the CCI indicator
changed into the 13 EMA
You can see that the price of this
forex pair is overvalued
which means its too expensive.
Hence why its a good short position.
This is why this forex pair
is going to crash!!
You should short this pair and
take profits.
Rocket boost this content to learn more.
Disclaimer: Trading is risky please learn
risk management and profit-taking strategies.
How To Use "The 13 EMA" System The day is quietly passing by,
As am about to write down this idea on this stock to trade..
The problem with trading is that
It's very hard especially if you
Don't have a system to use
The system am using is called
"The 13 EMA."
It shows you the perfect time of entry
In this case we are looking at CWBC
👉Because it's a good buy
👉Because it gapped up a week ago
👉Because support is in an uptrend according to "The 13 EMA" system
Before you trade you need to have a trading system,after you master a trading system.
Then you can place "Good" trade.
If you want to learn more Rocket 🚀 Boost This Content.
⚠️Disclaimer: Trading is risky please learn risk management and profit taking strategies because you will lose money wether you like it or not.
going long Brady corporation
1 day till earnings and looking amazing expected massive earnings along with this a acquisition of gravoteach the UK's leading printing and manufacturing company this will obviously boost earnings and will increase investor confidence along with this last earnings massively affected the price of the company boosting its stock price 14.89% which is massive if we have another surprise earnings again we could see another massive spike in price however I don’t know what to along with this matches all my undervalued criteria with this I'm going long
not financial advice
Nifty IT Complex Cup with HandleNifty IT had broken above the neckline of Complex Cup with Handle Pattern as can be seen in the chart.
It is down with some bad news in the Global Markets and currently, offers a sure shot returns of 21% as per the technical target.
This is the easiest money available in the Indian market right now as the companies included in the index are some of the largest and most trusted with excellent track record.
As they say, investors must 'Feel Greedy when others are Fearful.'
The worst is over for IT and this SAFE CONTRARIAN bet will surely make you feel proud of yourself when it achieves target.
You can trade this index with ITBEES ETF available on NSE.
TBT is a buy rate cuts likely are stalled LONGTBT is an inverse 20 year Treasury Bill ETF. At present, the Iran Israeli conflict threatens a
regional conflict to include the Red Sea and the Easter Mediterranean where oil tankers must
navigate to move oil from producer to consumer. Oil price escalation could go hand and hand
with geopolitical escalations. Oil and its derivatives are a primary driver of inflation in the
US. Inflation has been sticky and forcing the fed's ambitions to cut rate to be paused. The
Middle East escalation may make matters worse overall. Federal spending ( aid to Israel for
instance) is also a driver of inflation. The budget fight in DC is front and center. I see this
as good cause, to continue to take adds to my TBT position whenever I can find a dip worth
the discount as a further hedge against a correction in the equities markets which could come
on the horizon. Granted a dip of 2-3% from the ATHs is not much but when it hits 10% or more
and the VIX/UXXY continue to rise, there will be impetus in a hurry to hedge positions or close
them with more urgency. For for TBT, I believe that more is better.
BASF India - Diversified Investment**Overview and Key Highlights**
1. **Revenue and Profitability**:
- **Revenue**: BASF India Limited reported a revenue of Rs. 137,674.8 million for the financial year 2023-2024, showing a slight increase from Rs. 136,447.7 million in the previous year.
- **Profit Before Tax**: The company recorded a profit before tax (before exceptional items) of Rs. 7,589.5 million, up from Rs. 5,280.9 million in the previous year.
2. **Dividend**:
- The Board of Directors has recommended a dividend of 150% (Rs. 15 per equity share), an increase from 80% (Rs. 8 per equity share) in the previous year.
3. **Segment Performance**:
- **Agricultural Solutions**: Registered good growth driven by products like Exponus® in insecticides, Priaxor® in fungicides, and Tynzer® in herbicides.
- **Industrial Solutions**: The Dispersions business saw higher volumes despite lower price realizations, while the Performance Chemicals business faced challenging market conditions but improved margins due to lower input costs.
- **Materials Segment**: Performance Materials and Monomers businesses showed significant growth, driven by high demand and new product sales.
- **Surface Technologies**: Coatings business improved marginally, while Catalysts business saw strong volume growth but faced higher input costs.
4. **Sustainability and Environmental Initiatives**:
- BASF India Limited has been focusing on environmental stewardship, achieving REDcert2 Certification for its Dispersion plants and reducing dependence on fossil fuels by procuring renewable energy.
- The company has also launched initiatives like BASF Kids’ Lab and We-Chemie to promote chemistry education and inclusion of women in the chemical industry.
5. **Corporate Governance and Compliance**:
- The company has maintained high standards of corporate governance, complying with all relevant regulations and standards.
- There were no significant qualifications or reservations in the auditors’ reports.
**Financial Ratios and Performance Metrics**
1. **Revenue Growth**:
- The revenue growth rate is approximately 1.1% year-over-year, indicating stable performance despite global economic uncertainties.
2. **Profit Margin**:
- The profit before tax margin has improved from about 3.9% in the previous year to around 5.5% in the current year, reflecting better cost management and product mix.
3. **Debt and Liquidity**:
- The company had no borrowings as of the end of the financial year 2023-2024, indicating strong liquidity and financial health.
- The debt-to-equity ratio was nil, further highlighting the company’s robust financial position.
4. **Return on Equity (ROE)**:
- Although not explicitly stated, the ROE can be calculated using the profit after tax and shareholders' equity. Given the profit after tax of Rs. 5,633.5 million and shareholders' equity of approximately Rs. 32,235.8 million, the ROE would be around 17.5%, indicating a healthy return on equity.
5. **Cash Flow**:
- The company generated cash from operations of Rs. 8,072.4 million during the year, demonstrating efficient working capital management.
**Core Business and Strategic Initiatives**
1. **Product Diversification**:
- BASF India Limited operates across various segments including Agricultural Solutions, Industrial Solutions, Materials, Surface Technologies, and Nutrition & Care. This diversification helps in mitigating risks and capitalizing on growth opportunities across different markets.
2. **Innovation and R&D**:
- The company has been investing in research and development, evident from the launch of new products like Efficon® Insecticide and the expansion of its Polyurethane Technical Development Center in Mumbai.
3. **Sustainability and ESG**:
- BASF India Limited has been proactive in sustainability initiatives, aiming to reduce its carbon footprint and promote environmental stewardship. The company has set targets to reduce its absolute CO2 emissions and achieve net zero greenhouse gas emissions by 2050.
4. **Corporate Social Responsibility (CSR)**:
- The company has a robust CSR policy focusing on areas such as Water, Sanitation, and Hygiene (WASH), Education, and Skill Development. It has spent Rs. 119 million on CSR activities during the financial year 2023-2024.
**Risk Management and Compliance**
1. **Risk Assessment**:
- The company has a mechanism for risk assessment and minimization, with regular reviews to ensure that risks are identified and controlled effectively.
2. **Compliance**:
- BASF India Limited has been compliant with all statutory requirements and has not faced any significant material orders from regulators or courts that could impact its operations.
3. **Internal Financial Controls**:
- The company has robust internal financial control systems in place, ensuring the orderly conduct of its business and safeguarding its assets.
Price Trends and Patterns
Key Support and Resistance Levels:
Support Levels: The chart shows several horizontal lines indicating key support levels. These levels acted as a floor, preventing the stock from falling further during pullbacks. Notable support levels were observed around 6,000 and 5,500.
Resistance Levels: Similarly, resistance levels acted as a ceiling, capping the stock’s upward movement. Key resistance levels were identified around 7,000 and 8,000.
Green Lines as Support:
The green lines drawn in the middle of long candlesticks have played a crucial role as support levels. These lines have consistently acted as a strong foundation, allowing the price to bounce back whenever it approached these levels.
Candlestick Patterns:
Bullish Patterns: Throughout the uptrend phases, we observed bullish candlestick patterns such as the hammer and bullish engulfing, signaling potential buying opportunities.
Bearish Patterns: During the correction phases, bearish patterns like the shooting star and bearish engulfing indicated potential selling pressure.
Volume Analysis
Trading volume is a critical component of price action analysis. The volume bars at the bottom of the chart provide insights into the strength of price movements:
High Volume on Uptrends: During the uptrend phases, we noticed increased trading volume, confirming the strength of the bullish moves. High volume on up days suggests strong investor interest and confidence.
Volume Spikes on Breakouts: Significant volume spikes were observed during breakout attempts above resistance levels. These spikes indicate strong buying interest, often leading to sustained upward movements.
**Conclusion**
BASF India Limited has demonstrated strong financial performance and operational resilience in the face of global economic uncertainties. The company's focus on sustainability, innovation, and corporate governance positions it well for long-term growth and profitability. Investors looking for a stable and socially responsible investment opportunity may find BASF India Limited an attractive option.
**Investment Considerations**
1. **Stable Financial Performance**: The company's consistent revenue growth and improved profitability make it a stable investment option.
2. **Sustainability Initiatives**: BASF India Limited's commitment to environmental stewardship and social responsibility aligns with the growing trend of ESG investing.
3. **Innovation and R&D**: The company's investment in research and development ensures a pipeline of new products and technologies, driving future growth.
4. **Robust Corporate Governance**: The company's adherence to high standards of corporate governance provides assurance of ethical and transparent business practices.
However, investors should also consider the following:
1. **Market Risks**: The company's performance can be affected by global economic conditions, geopolitical tensions, and market volatility.
2. **Regulatory Risks**: Changes in regulations, particularly those related to environmental and safety standards, could impact the company's operations and costs.
3. **Competition**: The chemical industry is highly competitive, and the company must continually innovate and improve its products to maintain market share.
Overall, BASF India Limited presents a compelling investment case for those seeking a stable, innovative, and socially responsible company with strong financial fundamentals.
Bearish EURCHF Trade Idea: 58.96% Probability of Hitting TP1!The Euro is facing headwinds due to ongoing economic challenges in the Eurozone. Persistent inflation concerns, coupled with the European Central Bank's cautious monetary policy stance, are weighing on the currency. Meanwhile, the Swiss Franc continues to benefit from its safe-haven status amidst global economic uncertainties.
Geopolitical tensions in Eastern Europe and economic slowdown fears in major Eurozone economies like Germany are further contributing to the Euro's weakness relative to the Swiss Franc. The Swiss National Bank's commitment to maintaining price stability also supports the Franc's strength.
Regarding the trading strategy, I'll be employing a probability-based approach to enter short positions on EURCHF.
I use an indicator that does all the probability calculations based on historical data.
Here's the comprehensive top-down analysis:
12M:
1D:
6H:
Dollar General | DG | Long at $90.00Dollar General NYSE:DG took a massive hit this morning after revising their future earnings guidance. The economy is showing many signs of a recession, and this is a clear warning. From a technical analysis perspective, it has retouched my "crash" simple moving average and may dip further into the $80's in the near-term. But, like many overall strong companies that suddenly plummet, I view this as a future opportunity given the strength of NYSE:DG as a business (holistically). Dollar General is the only grocery and home goods store around in many rural locations. So, while there is doom and gloom in the near-term, Dollar General is in a personal buy zone at $90.00. I view this as a starter position, though, with the potential for future declines/opportunities for additional share accumulation in the near-term.
Target #1 = $100.00
Target #2 = $122.00
Target #3 = $200.00+ (very-long term outlook...)
GBPUSD TUESDAY 26thBuy side liquidity has been taken out (Friday high) after tapping on the 4hr fvg. Price left a daily bisi yesterday with sell side liquidity sitting above it so expecting a draw on ssl today then watch if price will respect the daily fvg.
NB: News coming later at 5pm 👀 waiting for the new York session.
The TradingView Show: Volatility Spikes with TradeStationWelcome to our latest live TradingView show with TradeStation! Kick back and watch this show to learn about the key things that are moving markets and shaping the conversation as the summer trading season comes to an end. What will you learn in this show?
Recent Price Action: We’ll analyze the market movements since the "carry trade crash" and see how this has affected various asset classes.
Interest Rates: We'll explore the latest developments in interest rates and their implications for trading strategies.
Dollar Index: Understand the current trends in the Dollar Index and how it influences currency movements.
Currencies: We’ll break down recent changes in currency pairs and what they mean for traders.
Then, we dive into a masterclass about Catalysts for Stock Movements, in which you'll learn about the key factors driving stock price changes. We’ll discuss 7 important catalysts to watch for, including:
1. Growth: Look at NVIDIA’s recent performance in AI chip sales.
2. Profit Margins: Examine how companies like META are improving their profitability.
3. Strategic Actions: Consider new leadership and strategic moves, such as Starbucks' new CEO.
4. Business Transformation: Explore how companies like Netflix and Microsoft are evolving their business models.
5-7. Other Key Factors: See how Apple's shift to services fits into the broader market picture.
Here are some examples of these catalysts:
Growth - Monitor trends like NVIDIA's AI chip sales.
Profit Margins - Track profitability improvements, such as with META.
Strategic Actions - Look out for major corporate strategies, like Starbucks' new CEO.
Business Transformation - Note significant shifts, such as Netflix’s new ad feature or Microsoft’s cloud computing focus.
Additional Catalysts - Keep an eye on other important factors like Apple’s expansion into services.
Don’t forget to jot down this checklist and join us each month for the TradingView Show, where we spotlight community members and cover educational content across equities, AI, crypto, gold, forex, and more.
Compliance and disclaimers:
Important information: tradestation.com/important-information/
Disclosure options: theocc.com/Company-Information/Documents-and-Archives/Options-Disclosure-Document
ETF prospectus page: tradestation.com/insights/etf-disclosures/
GBPUSD WEEKLY ANALYSIS The weakening dollar with the Jackson Hole anticipated affirmation of expectations for an interest rate cut on September and an arguably stronger pound has seen price move to yearly highs tapping into the monthly sibi.
Looking for the price to react from the imbalance and trade a little bit lower so coming week would love to see a sweep on last week's high in the early sessions on Monday ,turtle soup on the 4hr post Asia/London and go short and target past 1.31760 and 1.31110 and probably lower on the nfp.
NB: Will be keeping an eye on the consumer confidence and unemployment claims later during the week.
TILRAY RETRACEMENT A retracement does not imply a change in the trend, but rather a temporary pause or pullback. A retracement does not invalidate the previous trend. It confirms the trend, as the price resumes its original direction after the retracement.
Lower prices are an estimate but do not mean there has to be a retracement. They do reject many times depending on volume.