Anchored vWAPs to Define Value Channels of Reaction ZonesIn this video I share a simple TA method I use when I've identified two significant levels.
For this example we're using the anchored vwap from both the most recent significant high and significant low.
Once we have those defined and price begins to trade Within These two levels I like to draw what is called a value Channel.
A value channel provides me with areas on the chart that are high probable reaction areas. the trade system I trade I look for reaction areas and I trade around them.
we see in this example that the rejection happened at a significant area of this value channel and if price continues down I share where the next reaction area will be where we'll look for Price support.
I also add to the chart and indicator called RD Key Levels . these are key levels that the market uses for reaction areas in just about any day one Trader should know but it's great to have them on their chart.
I bring this up because it does appear that BTC is reaching for a weekly open test. that would be my target on this trade and would be the highest probable reaction area I'd be looking for.
If anything wasn't clear please ask questions and I will provide answers or a quick update.
Valuechannel
Bitcoin current channel analysisFew things to point out on current BTC value range.
So far BTC is in a 42 day 13-15% range with an upper excess of 5%.
This time in channel is above the typical 13-15% value range timeframe.
Generally when BTC enters a range from the low it has a higher probability of ending the range with a break to the high of the range.
If we measure the value range from the excess level we see that currently BTC is sitting at the 50% mark of the value range.
Things to watch:
Watch lower time frames around the 50% overall value range. That holds good chance there is an impulse up.
50% of the breakdown candle is another important level to watch.
Open of breakdown candle the final level.
Be prepared if price stalls short of either level there could be an impulse move either way. I'd watch for a upward move as more probable but look for signs around key market times (NY open, overnight, etc).
Finally, BTC generally fights tough upward challenge after a large red candle as we see here. Especially on the first push.
At this current point in the chart I find no edge either short or long. Either your in the trade now or you're waiting for more price data. Or well you're trading a lower timeframe which should be ripe for swing trades.