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$INTC | Allocation | Market Exec |Technical Confluences: - Price action is close to the 78% Fibo Extension and is at a strong Demand Zone - Stochastics is in Oversold conditions from Daily, Weekly and Monthly Fundamental Confluences: - Currently, Intel is trading at tangible book value ( thevalue you will get if the company gets liquidated) - At such value, chances of a takeover might be there which means, potential premium to be paid on takeover news? - After weak Q2 earnings, does it mean anything if the CEO starts buying the stock himself? ________________________________ With deep discount in NASDAQ:INTC 's value, another no-brainer and minimal risk. Intel is not going to liquidate. Will be expecting a turnaround and definitely a Long-Term hold in my portfolio. Remember, DYOR. ________________________________ Boosts 🚀, Follows ✌️, Shares 🙌 & Comments ✍️ are much appreciated! If you have any ideas or charts, do share them in the 'Comments' section below and we can discuss our perspectives to improve or strengthen our strategies. If you want something analyzed, do drop me a DM. :D ________________________________ Disclaimer: The above suggestion is an personal opinion in general and does not constitute as investment advice. Any decisions taken based on the above suggestion is purely your own risks. DYOR.
NASDAQ:INTCLong
by weekendanalyst
FMC Corp | FMC | Long at $58.00NYSE:FMC Corp is currently trading at a P/E ratio 6x and has a 3.98% dividend. It had a very rough year in 2023, but the company estimates improved earnings and growth after 2024. From a technical analysis perspective, it appears to be in an accumulation phase after seeing a low around $50 and wavering between that value and $68 for 11 months. Unless fundamentals change post earnings, it is currently in a personal buy zone at $58.00. Target #1 - $81.00 Target #2 - $85.00 Target #3 - $90.00 Target #4 - $122.00 (very long-term...)
NYSE:FMCLong
by WorthlessViews
#SRM_Contractors All time high breakoutTechnical Analysis - Resistance of Rs.240 is broken with huge volumes, potential to very high return in 1-2 years. Fundamental Analysis - Company is an Infrastructure player majorly works in Jammu & Kashmir region. Main clientele of this company is mainly Govt. companies like Border Road Organization, Indian Railway, National Highways Authority of India, etc. Recently won 3 orders of new projects combined worth 568.25 Cr. Making their orderbook of 1248.25 Cr (guesstimate it can be more)
NSE:SRMLong
by TINTIN2718
Small Caps Dead?AVUV from Avantis has outperformed the S&P since its opening in 2020. It recently dipped below the S&P for a brief moment before skyrocketing back above it. AVUV is not strictly a small cap fund because screens for value, profitability and momentum exposure. The recent surge in small caps has shown that diversified exposure to equities factors not present in the S&P 500 can be beneficial for those investing with long time horizons. Choosing funds with higher expected returns like AVUV might be difficult when the Mag 7 is driving the market, but you'll be very happy with your portfolio at times like this.
AMEX:AVUVLong
by Mere_Cat
1
SGX: CY6U Capitaland India Trust AnalysisDisclosure: As of 07/12/2024 I have no open position in SGX: CY6U Capitaland India Trust is a REIT (Real Estate Investment Trust) that invests in commercial real estate across India. They invest in office, data center, and logistics properties. Their portfolio is diversified across 5 major cities in India. In order of exposure: Hyderabad, Bangalor, Chennai, Pune, and Mumbai. One risk to be aware of is the currency fluctuations of INR to SGD as well as the currency in you home country may affect returns. The company is highly profitable and looks to have manageable debt positions. Their debt is based in both SGD and INR. The largest tenant of CY6U is Tata Consultancy Services, making up a total of 12% of base rents. The next largest are Infosys and Amazon at 6% and 4% respectively. The company has a strong record of performance both in terms of profitability and return on investment. Debt levels appear to be manageable and management very competent. ***Please Note: Debt to equity shown in the chart is out of date. Check most recent reports on CY6U investor relations for current debt levels*** The company is currently trading below book value and has a P/E of less than 10. With a dividend yield of 6% you have an earnings and dividend return of 15%. This is not including any potential growth the company may experience in its earnings or asset value. Summary: Capitaland India Trust seems to be a quality company that is likely undervalued. Potentially due to the fact it is listed in Singapore as opposed to in India. Considering the growth in India buying this high quality assets below book value looks very appealing. I will update with further research and if I open a position.
SGX:CY6ULong
by sihen999
SIGA Technologies Analysis 6/24Disclosure: As of 6/24 I am long SIGA Technologies NASDAQ:SIGA SIGA Technologies is a bio pharmaceuticals company that is in the public health market. They develop and sell products to treat Smallpox, Ebola, and other public health threats. Management Effectiveness: The company has been consistently profitable since 2018, with margins averaging 30%-40% in recent years with only a few unprofitable quarters. Very quickly after the company became profitable they brought the debt to essentially nothing. In recent years the company's return on equity has been above 25%, indicating their research spending is used effectively. The company has a large cash position for potential investment in research. Valuation The company trade at a P/E of 6 and a p/cf of 8 they have paid special dividends for several years and could potentially implement a stock buyback program, at least that is something I would be considering if I were a board member (Disclosure: I am not a board member obviously). Summary NASDAQ:SIGA is a well run company, trading at an excellent valuation if you are willing to take the risk of a concentrated portfolio of products and volatile returns. They have several positive tailwinds including: International Expansion, Re-Valuation of the company due to implementation of a dividend or buyback policy, and increased public health awareness by international governments.
NASDAQ:SIGALong
by sihen999
4
Roche Analysis 6/26DISCLOSURE: as of 6/26 I have no open position in SIX:RO Roche is a Swiss based pharmaceutical conglomerate with a diverse range of operations and brands. The company has a long history of profitability and high returns on investment. Management Effectiveness: Roche has been around since 1896 and has had consistent growth over the economic cycles. Return on equity has been averaging 40% and although margins have compressed in recent years the company remains highly profitable and in a stable leverage position. Valuation: With a price to earnings of 20 and price to cash flow of 15 if looks potentially undervalued. I like companies that have a return on equity double that of the price to earnings, and that rule of thumb is met in this case. Summary: Roche looks like a quality company to potentially take some profits and diversify from my NASDAQ:SIGA position. However, for now it will stay on the watch list. I will be looking at OANDA:USDCHF as well as the valuation metrics I mentioned above. Here on my macroeconomic and current research shortlist watchlists: www.tradingview.com www.tradingview.com Thanks for reading, have a good one
SIX:RO
by sihen999
SINOSTAR PEC Analysis 6/25Disclosure: As of 6/24 I am long SINOSTAR PEC SGX:C9Q Sinostar PEC is a Chinese Petrochemical company listed on the Singapore Stock Exchange. They operate through central and northern China. Their main operation is to extract LPG (Liquefied Petroleum Gas) and process it to sell to manufacturers for fuel, scientific, and industrial purposes. ***Please Note: There are many aspects to their operations that any potential investor should know by reading the company's annual report, and of course none of this is to be taken as financial advice.*** - Management effectiveness: The company operates in a cyclical industry and has been consistently growing and profitable since 2014. The return on equity is consistently in above 10% and revenue growth looks stable. Margins have compressed in the last few years (Part of the whole cyclical thing), but that is exactly why I am looking now. Because the craziest thing about this company is the next section. - Valuation: The company is currently trading at 0.3x Book Value. Price/Earning Ratio of 1.7. Price/Cash Flow of 0.69. You may ask yourself why is the valuation so low? I asked the same thing and can think of risks, but they are all well compensated for in the valuation. The company has a healthy capital position and positive tailwinds. It is always important to consider the risks of currency fluctuations, inflation, increasing cost of goods. -Summary: Sinostar PEC seems to be a well run company with quality management, trading at very low prices. If you are looking for exposure to the Chinese economy and are comfortable with the risks (Currency fluctuation, Cyclicality, Liquidity, +more). This is one to research and consider.
SGX:C9QLong
by sihen999
3
PG - A stock to buy for the long termFor long-term investors, Procter & Gamble presents a compelling opportunity due to its strong fundamentals and growth prospects. PG’s consistent financial performance, characterized by steady revenue growth and robust profit margins, underscores its resilience and ability to generate shareholder value. The company’s strong brand portfolio and market leadership in key product categories provide a competitive moat, ensuring long-term revenue stability. The company’s strong balance sheet and cash flow generation capabilities provide a solid financial foundation for dividend growth and share buybacks while also investing in growth opportunities. For long-term investors, this translates to both income and potential capital appreciation.
NYSE:PGLong
by dividends4me
Stock Market Logic Series #9Two Daggers Buy Pattern EXPLAINED This is a super powerful pattern for a buy. Especially if you are a value investor. What do you want to look for? 1. You must see TWO daggers to the downside. A dagger is an extremely abnormal drop in price with a HUGE volume. You want to see the first dagger, and then pray for the price to continue falling at a normal rate. Normal rate = people are trying to pick the bottom (without success). Then you want to look for (wait = put alerts) for the SECOND DAGGER. Then after the second dagger arrives and you get a second sharp drop in price, then you want to expect a rejection up and a new strong trend up should emerge. 2. Exterme volume on the daggers! Ideally, you want the volume of the second dagger to be bigger than the first one. This means that someone is loading all he can get since he KNOWS KNOWS KNOWS that the price is going to get higher for sure. I bet you would have done the same... if you KNOW KNOW KNOW its going UP! This pattern does not happen all the time, and it is more likely to happen near the end of a bear market. But prices get so unreasonably cheap, that its obviously for fundamental reasons that they are wrong! so someone who KNOWS will take all the money he can get to load into this stock at this price.
NASDAQ:METAEducation
by ZoharCho
HOW-TO apply an indicator that is only available upon request?Recently, I've realized that my typical day involves constant encounters with indicators. For example, when the alarm clock rings, it's an indicator that it's morning and time to get up. I am checking the phone and once again paying attention to the indicators: battery charge and network signal level. I figure out in just one second that such a complex element of the phone as the battery is 100% charged and the signal from the cell towers is good enough. Then I’m going out on a busy street, and it's only because of the traffic light indicator that I can safely cross the road to reach the parking lot. Looking at the on-board computer of my car, with its many indicators, I know that all the components of this complicated mechanism are working properly, and I can start driving. Now, imagine what would happen if none of this existed. I would have to act blindly, relying on luck: hoping that I would wake up on time, that the phone would work today, that car drivers would let me cross the road, and that my own car would not suddenly stop because it ran out of gas. We can say that indicators help to explain complex processes or phenomena in simple and understandable language. I think they will always be in demand in today's complex world, where we deal with a huge flow of information that cannot be perceived without simplifications. If we talk about the financial market, it's all about constant data, data, data. Add in the element of randomness and everything becomes totally messed up. To create indicators that simplify the analysis of financial information, the TradingView platform uses its own programming language — Pine Script . With this language, you can describe not only unique indicators, but also strategies — meaning algorithms for opening and closing positions. All these tools are grouped together under the term "script" . Just like a trade or educational idea, a script can also be published. After this, it will be available to other users. The published script can be: 1. Visible in the list of community scripts with unrestricted access. Simply find the script by its name and add it to the chart. 2. Visible in the list of community scripts, but access is by invitation only. You'll need to find the script by its name and request access from its author. 3. Not visible in the list of community scripts, but accessible via a link. To add such a script to a chart, you need to have the link. 4. Not visible in the list of community scripts; access is by invitation only. You'll need both a link to the script and permission for access obtained from its author. If you have added to your favorites a script that requires permission from the author, you'll only be able to start using the indicators after the author includes you in the script's user list. Without this, you will get an error message every time you add an indicator to the chart. In this case, contact the author to learn how to gain access. Instructions on how to contact the author are located after the script's description and highlighted within a frame. There you will also find the 'Add to favorite indicators' button. The access can be valid until a certain date or indefinitely. If the author has granted access, you will be able to add the script to the chart.
NASDAQ:TSLAEducation
by Be_Capy
Make Exxon Great Again. As Here's A Hundred Fold OpportunityElectric vehicles are growing so fast that Exxon Mobil is preparing for a future when "customers don’t need that gasoline". Exxon Mobil Corp., which operates one of the world’s biggest oil-refining networks, is trying to be more responsive to changing consumer demands as the energy transition gathers pace. The changes it’s considering include potentially replacing some gasoline production with chemicals. The oil giant has long pursued a strategy of upgrading refineries to expand production and make higher-value products from crude oil such as lubricants and plastic feedstock. But it now sees those projects potentially helping the company to move away from traditional fuels, demand for which is likely to wane in coming decades. The strategy, discussed in August 2023 by executives at a presentation to investors and media, shows how even Exxon, one of the leading proponents of fossil fuels, is being forced to reckon with a future in which electric vehicles significantly eat into gasoline consumption. Exxon has already reduced production of fuel oil and high-sulfur petroleum at refineries in Singapore and the UK. Over time, it’s open to cutting output of gasoline, the focus of the company’s refining business since Henry Ford introduced the Model T nearly 100 years ago. The goal is to produce more chemicals, found in everything from paint to plastic, for which there are few low-carbon alternatives. "We’re planning on modifying some of that yield from gasoline to distillate and chemicals feed," Jack Williams, Exxon senior vice president, said earlier this year at the company’s office in Spring, Texas. "We’ve got projects that we know we would do to take those steps." Exxon gets most of its earnings from oil and natural gas production but refining has always been in its corporate DNA, right back to its original incarnation as part of John D. Rockefeller’s Standard Oil, which was established in the 19th century. Refining allows Exxon to earn money right along the fossil fuel supply chain, from the wellhead to the gas tank. But with traditional fuels such as gasoline under threat from EVs, refineries worldwide are being forced to adapt quickly. Some European plants shut down during the pandemic, while others in the US switched to biodiesel. Exxon wants to take a more nuanced approach by upgrading facilities to switch in and out of products depending on demand. To give an example, an Exxon refinery in Singapore used to produce fuel oil that sold for $10 per barrel below the price of Brent crude, but after a recent upgrade, the facility produces lubricant base stocks that sell for $50 above Brent. Exxon has upgraded and added to its refineries at Fawley in the UK and Beaumont in Texas to produce more diesel, which is used for heavy-duty transportation and is less vulnerable to competition from electric vehicles. "You just have more variables now due to the energy transition," said Jay Saunders, a natural resources fund managers at Jennison Associates, which has $186 billion under management. "Having a high-quality refining asset with flexibility will be very important." Exxon’s refining and chemicals footprint is at least double that of its Big Oil competitors, potentially making it more vulnerable to a speedy energy transition, and especially the growth of electric vehicles. But executives believe the potential for reconfigurations is far greater than that of its peers, providing an opportunity to profit in a low-carbon future. "This really allows us to pivot as demand evolves," said Karen McKee, President of Exxon’s Product Solutions division. Biodiesel is particularly attractive to Exxon because reconfiguring its existing refineries costs about half as much as building a new plant, said Neil Hansen, senior vice president of product solutions. Demand for biodiesel, which is manufactured from vegetable oil or recycled restaurant grease, is expected to quadruple to 9 million barrels a day by 2050, he said. Exxon is halfway through an eight-year plan to overhaul its fuels and chemicals division, which also involves cutting costs, improving operational performance and selling assets that don’t make the grade. Exxon will operate just 13 refineries worldwide by the end of 2023 after selling five in the past four years to focus on the biggest and lowest-cost operations. Chemicals will be key to the strategy’s success. Exxon sees demand growth for its high-performance chemicals at about 7% a year, contrasting sharply with gasoline, which is expected to peak globally by the end of the decade. To keep up with this demand, Exxon plans to build a new dedicated chemical plant every four to seven years, Williams said. The company’s refineries provide an additional means to make chemicals, but they will focus on responding to consumer preference rather than making a big bet on any particular product, Williams said. "We’re not going to do it while the demand is still there," he said. "We’re going to it at a time when the demand trends are clear and customers don’t need that gasoline." At the same time technical picture in Exxon stocks (dividends adjusted) illustrates Exxon got a huge support of 30-years SMA, and right here is a key Multiyear breakout. Further a hundred fold growth is right there to come. Make Exxon Great Again. #MEGA
NYSE:XOMLong
by Pandorra
$GURE, a bizarrely cheap Net Net stock.Last quarterly report puts NASDAQ:GURE well within Net Net stock territory. Accordingly to the latest report, NASDAQ:GURE has $115.3M in cash and $18.1M in liabilities. Per share, intrinsic cash value is $9.34 per share vs today's price of $2.06. Even before factoring in current assets this stock meets the criteria of Benjamin Graham's Net Net stock status. Cash burn doesn't seem to be an issue neither does share dilution which surely makes NASDAQ:GURE a stock to watch...IF the numbers are to be believed?
NASDAQ:GURELong
by Bullish_On_Value
Value InvestingValue Investing - Unearthing Hidden Gems in the Market Introduction In the world of investing, where trends and market sentiments often drive decision-making, value investing stands out as a timeless strategy embraced by legendary investors. Value investing involves searching for undervalued assets that have the potential to deliver substantial returns in the long run. In this blog post, we will delve into the art of value investing and how it allows investors to uncover hidden gems in the market. Understanding Value Investing Value investing is a strategy that seeks to identify assets trading at prices below their intrinsic value. These assets may be temporarily undervalued due to market fluctuations, unfavorable sentiment, or lack of attention from investors. Value investors believe that the market will eventually recognize the true worth of these assets, leading to price appreciation and potential capital gains. The Principles of Value Investing Intrinsic Value Assessment: Value investors analyze the fundamental strengths and weaknesses of a company or asset to estimate its intrinsic value. Fundamental analysis involves evaluating financial statements, earnings, cash flows, and competitive advantages. Margin of Safety: A key principle of value investing is the concept of a margin of safety. Investors aim to buy assets at prices significantly below their calculated intrinsic value to provide a cushion against potential errors in estimation. Patience and Long-Term Perspective: Value investing requires patience and a long-term perspective. It may take time for the market to recognize the undervalued asset's true potential and drive its price higher. Benefits of Value Investing Potential for High Returns: If the market eventually recognizes the true value of an undervalued asset, value investors can reap substantial returns on their investments. Less Susceptible to Market Fluctuations: Value investing tends to be less affected by short-term market trends and sentiments. Investors focus on the underlying fundamentals, which remain relatively stable over time. Contrarian Approach: Value investors often take a contrarian approach, going against prevailing market sentiments. This allows them to find opportunities that others might overlook. Key Strategies for Value Investing Stock Screening: Use stock screening tools to identify companies with low price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios, low price-to-book (P/B) ratios, and strong financials that indicate potential undervaluation. Focus on Dividends: Seek out companies with a history of paying dividends, as this may be a sign of financial stability and value. Avoiding "Value Traps": Be cautious of companies facing structural challenges that may not recover their intrinsic value over time. Conclusion Value investing is a time-tested strategy that has proven successful for legendary investors like Warren Buffett and Benjamin Graham. By focusing on the underlying fundamentals of undervalued assets and exercising patience, value investors can unearth hidden gems in the market and build a portfolio with the potential for significant long-term returns. Embrace the principles of value investing, conduct thorough research, and let your discerning eye lead you to those overlooked opportunities. As you refine your value investing skills, remember that great investment opportunities may sometimes be hidden in plain sight. Happy hunting for hidden gems in the market, and may the strategy of value investing guide you to prosperous investment decisions!
NASDAQ:TSLAEducation
by MindOverMarket
2
Indications that there may be some potential additional valueNYSE:BHG BHG's current price level of $13.45 Entry. Indications that there may be some potential for additional value creation if the stock continues to perform well over time. Bullish on BHG as long as its current price remains above its 52-week low and it has not recently fallen below its 200-day moving average price level or below its 50-day moving average price level. Additionally I'm considering holding shares of BHG for the long term, I believe they will continue to perform well over time based on their current performance and prospects for future growth potential. Price target $51.5
BLong
by zingraphics
1
Bull Market Booming: Top Tips to Maximize Your Investment Gains!It appears that a bull market has taken hold in the US market, as evidenced by the remarkable rise of the S&P 500 index, surging over 20% from its October lows. Adding to this favorable outlook, the Federal Reserve has finally implemented a much-anticipated pause in the cycle of interest rate hikes. With the shift in market sentiment from bearish to bullish, investors are eagerly looking for avenues to leverage this upward trend and make the most of the prevailing conditions. Today, we will delve into the various factors that indicate the arrival of a bull market, along with strategies and invaluable tips to help you seize the opportunities presented by this favorable market scenario. What Lies Behind All This Optimism? The current wave of optimism in the market and the emergence of a new bull market can be attributed to several significant factors that are often overlooked or avoided in discussions. One key reason behind this optimism is the remarkable earnings results reported by companies. Investors are celebrating the fact that companies are no longer delivering mediocre performance. Instead, they are exceeding expectations and showcasing strong growth. This shift in mindset from accepting average results to embracing a "glass-half-full" outlook is driven by the realization that companies are meeting and even surpassing the high growth expectations set for them. This surge in optimism is fueled by the confidence that companies have proven their ability to generate substantial earnings and capitalize on market opportunities. Investors are therefore responding by driving up the market and contributing to the overall bullish sentiment. It is important to acknowledge and consider this fundamental aspect when discussing the reasons behind the current optimism and the substantial year-to-date increases observed in the market. The impressive performance of companies and their ability to meet or exceed growth expectations have played a vital role in shaping the current bullish market sentiment. S&P 500 daily chart The positive forward guidance provided by CEOs further reinforces the current optimism in the market, as it signals their increased confidence in navigating challenges, particularly those posed by inflation. A notable example of this trend can be seen in Nvidia's Q1 earnings report, which highlighted the company's upwardly revised guidance. This adjustment reflects the strong demand for AI technologies that power applications at major industry players such as Google, Microsoft, and OpenAI, the creator of ChatGPT. Nvidia's projected revenue of $11 billion for Q2 significantly surpassed the estimates put forth by Wall Street analysts. This impressive figure serves as tangible evidence that the AI craze is more than just hype. The surge in demand for graphics processing units (GPUs) from both established tech giants and startups as they develop their AI platforms has been a key driver behind Nvidia's remarkable performance. As a result, the company's shares experienced a staggering 26% surge, propelling Nvidia's market value to an extraordinary $1 trillion. This achievement places Nvidia among the elite group of publicly traded US companies that have reached this milestone, joining the ranks of industry giants such as Apple, Microsoft, Google parent Alphabet, and Amazon. The significance of Nvidia's market value milestone further solidifies the notion that the demand for AI technologies is substantial and here to stay, providing a strong foundation for the ongoing bull market in the US market. Tesla stock daily chart Tesla has also emerged as a significant player worth noting in the current market landscape. The company has experienced a remarkable turnaround, with its stock value surging by an impressive 70% over a six-month period, including a notable 53% increase in the past month alone. This is a noteworthy development, considering that Tesla had suffered a substantial loss of around two-thirds of its value in 2022. The strategic and timely price cuts implemented by Tesla, although initially perplexing to some, are now proving to provide the company with a potential market share advantage. These price adjustments have contributed to the renewed interest and confidence in Tesla, ultimately fueling its recent resurgence. As the Q1 reporting cycle has concluded, the results reveal a strong performance for tech stocks in the latter half of the year. This surge can be attributed to the prevailing optimism surrounding the Federal Reserve's approach to nearing the end of its rate hike cycle. The anticipation of higher interest rates, coupled with concerns of slower economic growth and softer labor market conditions, has contributed to a decline in inflation. Surprisingly, the adverse effects that were initially expected to impact households and businesses have been less severe than initially predicted. Furthermore, with the concerns surrounding the US debt ceiling alleviated and the mitigation of inflation risks, the overall market sentiment has undergone a transformation from bearish to bullish. This shift in sentiment is likely to continue, with stocks, particularly mega-cap tech companies like Tesla, expected to maintain strong returns throughout the remainder of the year. Overall, Tesla's impressive turnaround and the positive performance of tech stocks exemplify the overall market's optimistic outlook, driven by a combination of factors such as Federal Reserve actions, inflation dynamics, and improved market conditions. Top Bull Market Stocks to Consider Buying Now: Tesla (TSLA) This is not financial advice. Indeed, Tesla's influence extends beyond its position as a dominant player in the electric vehicle (EV) market. The company's offerings go beyond vehicles and encompass solar and energy storage solutions. Tesla's plans to establish a factory in Shanghai for manufacturing Megapack batteries further solidify its position as a leader in the renewable energy sector. These batteries play a crucial role in storing renewable energy, alleviating strain on the grid during peak hours, and promoting a more sustainable energy ecosystem. While Tesla's growth will be primarily driven by its vehicle production, the company's positive outlook is reinforced by upcoming price cuts and the launch of new products such as the highly anticipated Cybertruck and Semi. These product expansions contribute to the company's overall growth potential and indicate its commitment to innovation and diversification within the EV market. Despite some mixed recent financial results, investing in Tesla during the current bullish market phase is seen by many as a reasonable bet on the company's potential to become the world's largest automaker. Tesla's strong market presence, technological advancements, and commitment to sustainability have garnered significant investor confidence and positioned the company for continued success in the evolving automotive and renewable energy sectors. Alphabet (GOOGL) Alphabet stock daily chart Google, with a staggering market capitalization of $1.6 trillion, stands as one of the most prominent names in the business world. It secures its place among the top five most valuable companies globally and boasts a widely recognized and esteemed brand. Google remains at the forefront of groundbreaking advancements in various technological spheres, including mobile technology, cloud services, data analytics, artificial intelligence (AI), and virtual reality. These innovative developments continue to drive the company's success and shape its competitive edge. Notably, a significant portion of Google's revenue stems from its dominance in internet advertising, a lucrative sector that contributes substantially to its financial performance. The active integration of AI within Google's operations serves as a strong catalyst for the growth of its shares. As AI technology becomes increasingly prevalent, it expands the addressable market for Google, creating new avenues for growth and revenue generation. The global corporate AI market, in which Google actively participates, is projected to experience a remarkable annual growth rate of 34.1% until 2030. This highlights the immense potential and opportunities that lie ahead for Google as it leverages AI capabilities to propel its business forward. With its continuous pursuit of technological innovation and a diversified revenue stream, Google remains a formidable force in the industry, poised for sustained growth and influence in the years to come. Intel (INTC) Intel stock Monthly chart The increasing adoption of artificial intelligence (AI) technology has created a surge in demand for chips, leading to notable market movements for prominent AI chip manufacturers. Both Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) and NVIDIA have experienced significant share price increases since the start of 2023, capitalizing on the growing enthusiasm surrounding AI advancements. In light of this trend, chipmaker Intel is also seeking to position itself as a key player in the AI chip market. Intel has been engaged in negotiations for a strategic initial public offering (IPO) investment with Arm, a renowned British chipmaker. This move follows NVIDIA's previous unsuccessful attempt to acquire Arm. By exploring this potential partnership, Intel aims to solidify its position in the AI chip sector and leverage Arm's expertise and technology to enhance its own capabilities. The negotiations highlight the fierce competition among chipmakers to secure a prominent position in the rapidly expanding AI market. As the race for AI chip dominance intensifies, these developments demonstrate the strategic moves undertaken by major players in the industry to stay ahead in the evolving landscape of AI technology. The outcome of these negotiations will undoubtedly have implications for the future trajectory of the AI chip market and the competitive dynamics among key players such as AMD, NVIDIA, and Intel. Strategies For Investing In A Bull Market If we are indeed in the early stages of a new bull market, it's crucial to have strategies in place to make the most of rising stock prices. Here are four strategies to consider: 1 ) Diversification and Asset Allocation: Review your asset allocation to ensure you have sufficient exposure to stocks to benefit from the bull market. Consider rebalancing your portfolio by reducing your allocation to bonds and cash while increasing your allocation to equities. However, exercise caution and remain aware that market conditions can change rapidly. Don't assume that stocks will only go up from here. Maintain a well-balanced portfolio that includes a mix of stocks, bonds, and cash. If you're uncertain about the ideal mix, the Rule of 110 suggests subtracting your age from 110 to determine the percentage of your portfolio to allocate to stocks. 2 ) Focus on Growth Stocks and Sectors: In a bull market, growth stocks and sectors tend to perform well. Look for innovative companies that leverage technology to create efficiencies or address global challenges. Industries experiencing rapid growth in 2023 include CBD product manufacturing, 3D printing, solar power, and artificial intelligence. Remember that growth stocks offer higher return potential but also come with increased risk compared to more established companies. 3 ) Consider Value Investing: Value stocks are equities that appear undervalued relative to their intrinsic value. They may be trading at lower prices due to investor overreactions or a market environment that favors faster-growing assets. In a strong bull market, value stocks may lag as investors favor growth assets. However, for patient, long-term investors, this presents a buying opportunity. Value stocks often shine during bear markets and may offer dividend payments. Utilize the bull market to increase your holdings of value stocks, which can act as a buffer during the next bear market while providing dividend income. 4 ) Dollar-Cost Averaging: Implement a strategy known as dollar-cost averaging (DCA), where you invest a fixed amount on a regular schedule, regardless of market fluctuations. For example, invest $400 on the same day each month instead of trying to strategically time the market. DCA helps manage the volatility often seen in the early stages of a bull market. By investing consistently, you buy more shares when prices are low and fewer shares when prices are high. This approach lowers your average cost basis over time and minimizes the impact of short-term market fluctuations. Remember that these strategies should be tailored to your individual financial goals, risk tolerance, and time horizon. It's advisable to consult with a financial advisor who can provide personalized guidance before making any significant investment decisions. Risks To Be Aware Of In A Bull Market While bull markets can present favorable opportunities, it's crucial to be aware of potential risks and pitfalls. Here are three significant risks to consider: 1 ) Overconfidence and Speculation: During a bull market, there is a tendency for investors to become overconfident and take on higher levels of risk. This can lead to speculative investing, where investors chase after high-risk, high-reward opportunities. However, when the bull market eventually ends, these speculative investments may experience substantial losses. It's important to maintain a balanced approach to investing and avoid excessive risk-taking, as downturns can permanently impact the outlook for smaller, less established companies. 2 ) Market Bubble: Bull markets can sometimes give rise to market bubbles, where stock prices become significantly detached from their underlying value. This occurs when investors, driven by excessive optimism, push prices to unsustainable levels. While market bubbles can provide opportunities for gains in the short term, they also carry the risk of a sudden correction or crash. Once the bubble bursts, panic can set in, causing a rapid decline in stock prices and the onset of a new bear market. It's essential to remain cautious and be aware of signs of excessive market exuberance. 3 ) Impact of Interest Rates and Inflation: The interplay between interest rates, inflation, and economic conditions can influence the trajectory of a bull market. Changes in interest rates by central banks, such as the Federal Reserve, can impact borrowing costs and corporate profitability. Additionally, shifts in inflation levels can affect consumer spending power and overall economic growth. Uncertainties regarding future interest rate hikes or spikes in inflation can introduce volatility and potentially dampen or reverse a bull market. It's important to monitor economic indicators and the actions of central banks to gauge their potential impact on market conditions. It's worth noting that predicting the specific outcomes of these factors in the coming months or years is challenging. The key is to remain vigilant, maintain a diversified portfolio, and consider the long-term perspective when making investment decisions. Consulting with a financial advisor can provide valuable guidance in navigating the risks associated with a bull market. Tips For Benefitiing From A Bull Market To successfully navigate a bull market and maximize your investment potential, it's important to consider the following strategies: 1 ) Stay Disciplined: Maintaining discipline is crucial in avoiding excessive risk-taking and speculative behavior. Define your investing parameters and process, and stick to them. Establish clear criteria for the types of investments you're willing to make and the level of risk you're comfortable with. Evaluate any exceptions carefully and have a clear exit plan for more speculative assets. By staying disciplined, you can mitigate the risks associated with overaggressive investing and ensure a more measured approach to capitalizing on the bull market. 2 ) Think Long-Term: Adopting a long-term perspective is key to protecting your investments from short-term market fluctuations and potential downturns. While it can be tempting to make impulsive decisions based on short-term market movements, it's important to focus on your long-term financial goals. Allocate a portion of your portfolio to cash reserves to cover emergencies or major purchases, so you don't need to tap into your investment accounts during market volatility. This long-term outlook allows you to weather market cycles and take advantage of opportunities that may arise, while also providing stability and peace of mind. 3 ) Rebalance Regularly: Bull markets can lead to overexposure to stocks as their value appreciates. Regularly rebalancing your portfolio helps maintain your desired asset allocation. For example, if your target allocation is 70% equities and 30% bonds and cash, and stocks have outperformed, your allocation may shift to 75% stocks and 25% bonds and cash. By periodically selling stocks and purchasing bonds, you can restore your desired asset allocation and lock in some profits from the bull market. Rebalancing also helps manage risk by ensuring that your portfolio remains aligned with your risk tolerance and investment objectives. 4 ) Seek Professional Advice: Each individual's financial situation is unique, and it's important to consider your circumstances when implementing investment strategies. Regularly review your investment plan and consult with a financial professional to ensure it remains aligned with your goals and risk tolerance. A financial advisor can provide personalized guidance based on your specific situation, help you navigate market trends, and offer insights on potential investment opportunities. They can also assist in assessing the performance of your portfolio and making adjustments as needed. By following these strategies, you can position yourself to make informed investment decisions, manage risk, and capitalize on the opportunities presented by a bull market. However, it's important to remember that investing involves inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Stay informed, monitor market conditions, and be prepared to adjust your strategies as needed. Conclusion: As the bull market gains momentum, it is essential for investors to be well-prepared and make informed decisions. Employing various strategies such as diversification and asset allocation, emphasizing growth stocks and sectors, considering value investing, and implementing dollar-cost averaging can significantly enhance one's ability to navigate the market effectively. Nevertheless, it is crucial to remain cautious of potential risks, including overconfidence, market bubbles, and the influence of interest rates and inflation. To maximize gains during the bull market while minimizing potential risks, it is vital to maintain discipline, adopt a long-term perspective, regularly rebalance portfolios, and seek professional advice. It is important to note that individual circumstances vary, thus investment strategies should be tailored to align with personal financial goals and risk tolerance.
Education
by FOREXN1
14
The Art of Seeking Beta: Where Average Investors Beat the ProfsNasdaq 100 Index ( NASDAQ:NDX ), S&P Midcap ( SP:MID ) Since Jack Bogle created the first stock index fund in 1974, he has shown that passive investing in low-cost index mutual funds could beat active fund managers after cost. These days, there are countless of stock indexes and thousands of index funds to choose from. Picking the right market index, which I term “Seeking Beta”, is quite challenging. An average investor without stock-picking skill could still achieve impressive results. Which index he chooses would reflect his belief system and his overall assessment of the stock market. Investment returns could be vastly different. I put together three hypothetical examples to illustrate the Art of Seeking Beta. US investor Adam • Had $10,000 in cash one year ago, and invested in a Nasdaq 100 index fund; • Today his portfolio would have a market value of $11,574; • One-year return is +15.74%, excluding transaction fees. Chinese investor Bill • Had 67,000 yuan in cash one year ago, and invested in a China SSE index fund; • Today his portfolio would have a market value of 66,919 yuan; • One-year return is -0.12%, excluding transaction fees. Chinese investor Catherine • Had 67,000 yuan in cash one year ago; • She converted the fund into USD at an exchange rate of 6.70; • She immediately invested the $10,000 proceed in a Nasdaq 100 index fund; • Her portfolio would have a market value of $11,574 now; • Today, she converts the USD back to yuan at an exchange rate of 7.10; • Catherine now has 82,175 yuan; • One-year return in yuan is +22.65%, excluding transaction fees. For comparison, US hedge funds generated an average weighted return of 4.1% in the fourth quarter of 2022, up from -0.6% in the third quarter and -6.8% in the quarter before, according to Citco's data. Adam could easily beat an average hedge fund. Catherine could rank among the Top-20 US hedge funds and the Top-5 Chinese hedge funds. This case illustrates how non-professional investors could achieve impressive results with common sense decision making: • One year ago, China’s economy was halted to a standstill amid strict Zero-Covid policy. It was not unreasonable for an investor to pick US over Chinese stock markets. • The Fed started raising rates in March while China central bank cut rates; Interest rate parity dictates that Chinese Yuan would depreciate against the Dollar; • For a retail investor, you only need to know that converting yuan deposit into dollar deposit would generate more interest income; • Each Chinese citizen is allowed to exchange for $50,000 a year; A couple with $100,000 could do some serious investing in the US market. • US stock market indexes seldom go down two years in a row; thus, after the Nasdaq experienced a 30% drawdown, investors could expect a rebound. Implications in Today’s Market You may say that looking back is 20/20 vision. But we can’t time travel back to repeat Catherine’s investing. What about looking ahead? Luckily, we are not blind-folded. Here is my observation: The S&P 500 has risen 12.2% year-to-date. However, this growth is primarily due to the AI-fueled bubble by five mega-stocks: NASDAQ:NVDA (+174%), NASDAQ:AAPL (+47%), NASDAQ:AMZN (+46%), NASDAQ:GOOG (+42%), NASDAQ:MSFT (+39%). After taking out these top-5 trillion-dollar companies, the remaining “S&P 495” has a meager return of under 3% YTD. The S&P Mid-Cap Index, which is the S&P 500 minus the top-100 stocks, has a year-to-date return of 2.74%. If a fund manager comes up with a new S&P 495 ETF, I would seriously look into it. Meanwhile, for the art of seeking beta, S&P Midcap is not a bad choice. Happy Trading. Disclaimers *The opinion above is my own. This is not a trading advice.
NASDAQ:NDXLong
by JimHuangChicago