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Do you have Diamond Hands? Check out NXRP's Volatile Reversal...NRXP is in for a wild & volatile ride where it may reverse & double in value or even more. Technicals support a reversal over weeks with a current strong trend on the daily. Fundamentals are strong; F-Score is 9 & they just had some major news catalysts including a COVID-19 Treatment drug. High risk with potentially high reward: up to a 25% drawdown and a potential 100+% gain leading to a 4:1 risk to reward ratio. With a ~30% short interest this could be a wild ride like GME or AMC. Risk management by day trading may be possible.
NASDAQ:NRXPLong
by jsgiardino
Best Deep-Value Large-cap Growth play - Alibaba (BABA)Macro Reasons -China has a population of 1.3billion VS US's 0.33 Billion, about 4x more -Rising Chinese middle class with a growing disposable income -It is estimated that China's GDP is set to overtake the US in 5-8 years Fundamentals Reasons -With 56% of the e-commerce market share in China and a growing e-commerce pie, Alibaba is poised for greater growth in 5-10years -Supported by Cainiao logistics to enable efficient e-commerce delivery and Alipay to complete its transactions/funding for their merchants, it forms Alibaba's iron triangle to capture a large market share in the e-commerce related space. -Dominant Cloud player at 40% market share, this segment just turned profitable recently and will contribute to its growth strongly like Amazon's AWS (30% margins) Valuation FCF: 26Bil USD per year i.e 9.6 USD per share (2.711 Billion shares outstanding) 20X multiple(Bottom valuation) : 192 USD per share 25X multiple(Bottom valuation) : 240 USD per share Net Cash of 20 USD per share (462bil RMB Cash - 115bil RMB Debt = 347 RMB Net Cash = 54bil USD net Cash ) Fair Value at current conditions = 212 USD per share (20X FCF) - 260 USD per share (25X FCF) FCF 10 years later: 9.6 USD *4.04 (15% CAGR for 10 yrs) = 38.78 USD per share 20X multiple (10% discount rate - 5% perp growth): 775 USD per share +20USD net cash =795 USD per share 795/215 (Current share price 14th June 2021) = 3.70X in 10 years* i.e 14% CAGR *Very conservative estimate of 15% CAGR FCF & terminal multiple of 20X, also assuming all FCF are re-invested in other biz and not distributed via dividends/ buybacks Technicals Seems like it is at its bottom after a 30% slump in its share price, touching a very strong upward sloping support line indicating the bottom is near. Incidentally, it corresponds with the bottom valuation of 212 USD per share (20X FCF + net cash). Addressing Risks Risks of VIE structure & CCP risk are unfounded, one can easily exchange its ADR for the equivalent HK shares at the ratio of 1ADR:8 HK shares and Alibaba is too big to fail for the CCP. The recent USD2.8 Billion fine on BABA is only 4% of revenue and not as dramatic as the 30% slump in BABA's recent valuation (from $310 to $211 per share). Also, the CCP has recently approved Ant Group’s new license to operate Chongqing Ant Consumer Finance, in which it has a 50 per cent stake. This indicates that the CCP doesn't want to tear down Alibaba but rather work towards a more successful China together.
NYSE:BABALong
by FIRE_CAPITAL_SG
1
Oh RATS!! 🐀Well mice actually... 🐁 There is mouse plague going on in parts of Australia right now, and I suspect we may find the Australian Government turning to pest control companies to help get things under control. Fundamental news like this can drive prices abruptly on announcements of partnerships, larger orders, etc. I went long today on the company, SNES. I made my decision of the Weekly chart. What I'm seeing that I like. Location, it is at the very bottom of its range. There is evidence it has found a bottom by strong support over months, almost a year. Price just accepted back in to value in the VP, and I wouldn't be surprised if we see a return to $2.50 if not higher (contrarily, the bottom could fall out and it goes to 0). There are converging moving averages. OBV looks great! Huge spike of green buy volume within the last two months. MACD is positive, and there is a bullish divergence. It appears to be coming out of oversold. I entered at $1.68, and because it is just a nibble (pun intended), I'm risking my position to 0. I will self half my position if and when it doubles at $3.36, and let the rest run. Fundamentally: Low outstanding shares 12.16M No debt Some Insider Own 355.22% Institutional Trans finviz.com You can read more about the company on their home page here: senestech.com NASDAQ:SNES
NASDAQ:SNESLong
by Cryptough
1
IQ Apparently in Wycoffian Terminal Shake Out (compare Silver)Introduction Bitcoin's recent markdown has put Wycoff and Distribution on a lot of new traders radar as well as investors who have not had to deal with this kind of pattern recognition. There were a lot of people that thought that it looked too picture perfect so disregarded it, Guess what? They were taken the most by surprise and I know what it is like to be there because I was there 3-4 years ago when I had problems believing in TA because so much of it so so bad. That leads to good news on IQ as IQ appears to be in Terminal Shake out and it is looking picture perfect. I have marked out the lower end of the action and have left the top alone because I think the indicators have done a good job showing that resistance. The volume on the final stage of the shake out is lower than what took us edge to edge on the bollinger band and value VPVR value area and this low volume helps us see that sellers are approximately exhausted. Another way to confirm the fact that the selling was relatively low volume is the Value Area did not move down. Much like a slow but persistent sell off can slowly bend a bollinger band lower and lower it can also drag the value area down. I have been watching IQ for a couple of years now and have a couple of posts. My last post was bullish and I was going to update it when I bought some calls and I never pulled the trigger. This time is a bit difference. I have the stock and I have some OTM calls already on the books. It might go lower somehow but my entry this week is pretty solid for a long term hold and I hope to trade the options like a degenerate. Indicators I have put the monthly bollinger band on the weekly chart to show that price actin has gone below the monthly bollinger band. That is a very solid entry point if you generally have any faith in the long term outcome of an asset. Price has also gone below the Volume Profile Value area which contains +/-1 standard deviation of volume by price. When price goes out of the Value Area to the downside when it recovers you often see price actin go coast to coast and end up at the top of the value area. If price action is as bullish as I expect price can hop out of the limits of the BB and VPVR Value area as you can see in silver. From there price would enter into a multi-month re-accumulation. The On Balance Volume with EMAs also has a bollinger band that I often don't show in my posts because if it isn't needed it just adds visual distractions. But the circles have shown times were a green week after a massive sell off has kinked the OBV at the bollinger band and price action has recovered. If you look at the second blue circle you can see how above the Volume Profile Visible Range moved down. That means the sell off hit a tipping point and was significant to move the whole visible range down roughly $5. That VPVR has not moved down in such a serious way with this dump. Silver Below is silver with the bollinger band and VPVR during the "Covid crash" and we can clearly see that buying with price action below both was a fantastic entry for a trade or investment. You should have the tools from the main chart to see all the key points of Accumulation. And I roughly expect something similar to happen with IQ. A rather quick move to or above the Point of Control and then a massive spike in price. I have not used the On Balance Volume because silver futures are a different beast with a different history. Fundamentals and Conclusion I think IQ has a very strong chance of behaving like silver did after its dump, so I bought some. Silver sold off for no good reason, as it didn't lose its industrial or intrinsic value and it is not like you can spread a virus by contaminating a silver mine and IQ sold off because some over-leveraged hedge fund degenerate couldn't answer his margin call, his stuff got liquidated and the momentum traders took this way too low. There was earnings a couple of days ago and it seems that the company can turn a profit within like, 5 years. Look at Facebook and Netflix below and how long it took these companies to have their stock clear the high of their first month of public trading. There is going to be a shake out off the weak hands. My only concern is a rout in tech stocks could take this lower but so far it is doing well.
NASDAQ:IQLong
by This_Guhy
3
Cloud-computing vs crude oil: Lessons in a Dramatic ChartOne of the biggest events in the history of the Dow Jones Industrial Average happened last August when Salesforce.com replaced Exxon Mobil as an index member. A 21-year software company elbowed out a transnational giant tracing its origins to John D. Rockefeller and the dawn of modern capitalism. Despite the stunning endorsement, things haven’t worked out so well for CRM since then. Its shares peaked above $280 one week later and then turned lower. (That was a giddy moment for growth stocks because Apple and Tesla had just split their shares.) Additionally, TradeStation analytics show that CRM has gone 172 sessions without a new 52-week high. That’s the longest for any member of the Dow Jones Industrial Average. XOM, in contrast, hit a new high yesterday. It’s a good lesson in froth and exuberance: Just when it seems things can never go wrong, it’s often a sign of the top. Other adages that could apply are "buy the rumor, sell the news," or "be fearful when others are greedy." The chart above compares CRM to XOM since they traded places in the Dow. Notice how XOM lagged for a couple more months but then ripped higher after November 9’s vaccine news ignited the reopening trade. Switching to CRM's candlestick chart below, some challenging patterns may have emerged. The 50-day simple moving average (SMA) slid beneath the 200-day SMA on March 22, resulting in a “death cross.” Next is the descending channel in place since the peak in early September. If that trend continues, it could imply move toward $180. TradeStation is a pioneer in the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options, futures and cryptocurrencies. See our Overview for more.
NYSE:CRM
by TradeStation
15
Halliburton Squeezes Toward a Breakout as Oil RalliesEnergy is coming to life again as the economy reopens. Let’s take a look at oil-field service provider Halliburton, which has a few interesting chart patterns. First is the downward-sloping trendline running along the highs of March and April. HAL closed above that resistance yesterday for the first time. Second notice the tight range on the weekly chart, with a bullish inside candle last week, which it’s now escaping. Next, HAL’s MACD crossed to positive yesterday. Finally, consider how the stock has completed an ABC correction since March. TradeStation is a pioneer in the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options, futures and cryptocurrencies. See our Overview for more.
NYSE:HALLong
by TradeStation
Potential for over +700% return ?! $GNW (Genworth Financial) is a stock that I purchased recently at $3.51 per share Company has formed a flat base in the stock price in recent years but i feel its massively undervalued The book value per share is up at $30 and we have the following data: Free cash flow = 1.96 billion Total cash = 3.31 billion Total debt = 3.64 billion So debts are perfectly manageable with the cash they have and the nice positive cash flow coming in on top of that. the net asset value of the business is nearly 10x higher so this company looks massively undervalued to me. If we are able to reach the $30 per share target that would be a return of over 700%
NYSE:GNWLong
by BenSparham
1
Bank of America BAC Bearish CrabBank of America (BAC)... this company is found in Warren Buffet's Portfolio and once it becomes a bargin price it will be found in mine too. I follow the advice layed out by The Oracle of Omaha. The company financials are very weak from a value investors point of view. The total revenue has been flat line at best for the past decade and when your operating income eats up 74% of your total revenue thats a problem. I always try to remember the law of depreciating return which is "you get back less than you put in." Warren Buffet always says "its easier to take 100,000 to a million than to take a billion to 100 billion. I mean the company is absoultly massive with 2 Trillion dollars in assets?!?! So, I guess the Value invstor needs to look at other things when considering Bank of America. I dont forget that major banks created these mortgage bonds back in 2008 that imploded when the real estate market crashed, so i have to dig deeper into where the assets are coming from. However their EPS has been growing at a decent rate over the past decade so thats also a plus. Their total ratio (becasue they do not report current assets and curret liabilities) is a 1.14 which if using a a current ratio thats real good (not exceptional but better than just plain "good") They are currently undervalued by the Ben Graham Formula (revised) by 61%. Which is a real good thing as well. They pay an annual dividend of 1.75%, but i am not sure if theyre an S&P aristocrat or not. Overall, based on what i have read based on Marry Buffets books and listening to videos of Warren Buffet himself i would grade BAC ( Bank of America Corp.) a C+ company which I would hold only for a few years up to 5 years max. Dont get me wrong the company is NOT going anywhere, so if youre looking to hold just to hold to sound trendy and chic amongst your friends then sure, but it is not going to be your star player, but more like your practice squad ...just a great supplemental. the technical side is the Bearish Crab. the grey box is the PRZ with a 3.618 projection of the BC leg, a 1.618 of the XA leg and 2.0 fibo extension of the ABC legs. if youre looking for a decent bargain then wait for Price to reach the pink line which is .382 of the whole pattern and if youre looking for a great bragain then wait for the .618 of the entire pattern. Seeing how the market is flowing at the moment i would probably buy at the .382 of the retrace anything lower than that there might be mass hysteria of a market "crash" which is honestly a very much needed correction for the stock market. But a good deal is better than no deal. I dont publish often my investing ideas as my investing is vastly different than my speculation ideas. If you guys want to know more about my investing ideas please let me know in the comments. I know value investing is not as flashy as speculating, but the longevity of investors is far greater than that of any speculator; moreover, it is of dire importance to know the difference of speculation and investing.
NYSE:BACShort
by ARegularGuy
JPMorgan Chase Could Be Coming to LifeJPMorgan Chase has snoozed since its big November-February rally. But now it may be getting ready to move again. The first pattern on the chart is the downward trendline running along the highs of March 18 and April 12. It’s breaking that resistance today. Next are the series of candlesticks last week. Notice how prices tried to close at the low but each day snapped back to close at the high. This suggests buyers outnumber sellers. The fact it happened at the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) is potentially bullish. Third, price action has been very dull for the last month. Just look at how Bollinger Band Width is holding the bottom of its longer-term range around 5 percent. That kind of consolidation above the December 2019 peaks could be turning into a high basing pattern with price acceptance in new record territory. Finally, intermarket trends may favor JPM. Bond yields have consolidated as the economy recovers. Both situations favor banks and financials. Key ETFs tracking the sector like KBE and XLF are also trending higher. Once we get past Big Tech earnings, focus could return to value stocks like the banks. TradeStation is a pioneer in the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options, futures and cryptocurrencies. See our Overview for more.
NYSE:JPMLong
by TradeStation
ET, Energy Transfer, Tickets PleaseET, monthly, energy value play: The current monthly bullish engulfing candle patter within the right ellipses appears to repeat an identical, bottom reversal candlestick pattern from 2009 (yellow+orange). Strengthened by the local Adam Eve double bottom , bullish divergence makes case for Fibs targets & the measured move validates 1.272 overhead extension. Get paid along the way. Remember this is the monthly, so the idea here is a slow and low setup with easy risk management and excellent profit exposure.
NYSE:ETLong
by WhoLetTheBullsOut-
NLG/USD Awakens from Bearish Hibernation; Last stop: ValhallaThis project is one of the best kept secrets in the entire crypto space. While people chase after DOGE which has over 120B coins and very little development and only rises because of the Musk Effect, Gulden's current supply is ~0.475% of DOGE's...which makes the NLG supply *closer to BTC's supply than DOGE's supply is to Gulden's* ...yet DOGE is 4x the price of Gulden?! Think about that for a while. In terms of "Value Investing", one might say that NLG's eventual and much-deserved appreciation will make DOGE's rise look modest by comparison, especially when you take into account NLG vs. DOGE current price per exchange volume in relation to aggregated available supply. There are folks selling dozens of millions of DOGE at 5 cent, meanwhile there are less than 5 Million NLG *that are even available to be bought from the order books*--That's how scarce NLG is since a significant percentage of the supply is locked into the Witnessing protocol that rewards holders which makes NLG objectively one of the safest, longest standing and efficient blockchains available. It just needs more promotional traction from popular influencers and a handful of fat cats to start entering the fray... and the price discovery that could occur for Gulden would (once again) bring the spotlight onto the vibrant fintech environment in which it can begin to flourish as a store of value and resume its status as one of the top merchant-centric and user-friendly cryptos available. Green lines signify structural avenues within the incoming bull market. Short term: look for consolidation in the 0.012-0.015 range to solidify and a break toward the recent local high of just over 2 cents. Medium term: If it violates the 0.0225-0.025 zone and breaks noticeably back above this nearly 3 year price resistance at this level, look for another doubling effect up to 4-5ish cent range and around here another raucous consolidation hangout between the former resistance of 0.025 and 5 cent is likely. If we start flooding past 5 cents, then another doubling effect will likely occur. Long term: 10-15 cents then becomes the next logical trading range for NLG to re-establish (since it traded in this zone for over a year between late 2016-early 2018 in the prior bull market in its early development phases, now it's way more seasoned). Longer term: NLG Will eventually challenge prior ATH again (30x from here) and could even breeze past it the more capital inflows amplify and stay within the crypto sector, which appears likelier by the week at this point.
NLong
by doxoliday
Another Healthy Pullback in Energy ETF?Energy is the strongest sector this year, but is down in the last month. Is it time to buy the pullback? This chart of the SPDR Energy ETF has some interesting patterns. First are the candlesticks from March 23 and 25: an inverted hammer and then a normal hammer. Both of these are bottoming patterns, which were confirmed when prices bounced in following sessions. Next, notice XLE’s tight range as it holds $49. That level is also interesting because it was the weekly low immediately after another bounce in early March. Third, consider the peak around $54 last month. That matched the close on February 21, 2020, immediately before the coronavirus crash. It’s not a surprise that level would offer resistance after XLE doubled from the lows. But now the sector could make another stab at a breakout – especially as travel resumes in coming months. Cruise and airline restrictions have already been eased. Memorial Day’s on May 31. Just two weeks after that, California reopens fully. TradeStation is a pioneer in the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options, futures and cryptocurrencies. See our Overview for more.
AMEX:XLELong
by TradeStation
2
Is Brunswick Ready to Speed Higher?Speedboat maker Brunswick may not get a ton of attention. But it’s exactly the kind of leisure stock that’s zipped higher lately. First, notice how the stock fought to get above the $90-93 area earlier this year. It broke that zone in early March, briefly probed above $100 and then pulled back. Buyers defended the old resistance and turned it into new support in the last two weeks. The 50-day simple moving average (SMA) has also risen from below to provide support. Third, notice now prices have more recently hugged the 8-day and 21-day exponential moving averages (EMAs) – only to close above both yesterday. BC is also interesting fundamentally. Not only did earnings and revenue beat estimates last quarter. Demand was so strong that management announced factory expansions at three of its facilities in late January. Given the strong backdrop, this may be the kind of smaller company that can appeal on many fronts. It has the cyclical and consumer angles. It has strong market share. It may even have takeover potential. Earnings are due in late April. Is this BC's last pullback below triple digits? TradeStation is a pioneer in the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options, futures and cryptocurrencies. See our Overview for more.
NYSE:BCLong
by TradeStation
1
Morgan Stanley Holds Key LevelFinancials are the second-best performing sector in 2021. Now one of the biggest names has pulled back to hold some key levels: Morgan Stanley. MS dipped on the Archegos implosion last week, but reportedly faces no significant losses. That brought MS down to its 50-day simple moving average (SMA). It tested below that line on March 29 but has managed to close above it each day. Second, the current level around $77 is important because it was not only a high in mid-January. It was also the investment bank’s former peak from June 2007 -- before the subprime meltdown. Third, stochastics are oversold. The last time this happened in late January was followed by a breakout to new highs. It also anticipated the move in late October. Finally, MS is the type of cyclical value stock that investors have recently favored as the economy recovers. Given last week’s strong non-farm payrolls and ISM manufacturing reports, there’s no reason to think that trend is finished yet. TradeStation is a pioneer in the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options, futures and cryptocurrencies. See our Overview for more.
NYSE:MSLong
by TradeStation
5
Kroger - W's Are a Happy Place I've been looking more at value stocks (high cash flow & strong dividends)... and Kroger caught my eye. LOOK AT THAT W!! Granted we are looking at 1 week candles over YEARS... but... I'd look at this as a buying into a long term play at the right time. August 2012 started a massive 3.5 year bull run Start of 2016 we see the beginning of a major retracement down to the Fib .5 line and a long term W begins to form. August 2020 price hits and breaks the neck line but is rejected at newly established resistance line NOW - price broke the neckline again and is on it's way to testing the other resistance line If that second resistance line is broken, we could see the start of another strong multi year run from Kroger. If we're rejected again we could fall into a bullish pennant, which is still a strong buy, but a much longer play. If the price fell back into the pennant, you could expect price to fall back to the lower resistance line established by the bottom of the W... a strong buy opportunity if you see this as a bullish long term play.
NYSE:KRLong
by worldlyTacos81375
4
Bullish Triangles Across Reopening StocksFrom Las Vegas Sands to Live Nation Entertainment and many other stocks, bullish triangles keep popping up in "reopening" plays. Notice how LVS clawed to a new 52-week high above $66 in early March, stalled and then pulled back to previous highs around $60. Also notice how it briefly tested under that level, along with its 50-day simple moving average (SMA), before quickly rebounding. That price action now resembles an ascending triangle, with a series of higher lows and resistance around $61.25. This has the potential for upside continuation. Similar activity appears LYV. The concert operator has also formed a set of higher lows while holding its 50-day SMA: Hoteliers Hilton Worldwide and Marriott International have danced the same jig without even touching their 50-day SMAs: Ditto for Norwegian Cruise Line , Royal Caribbean , MGM Resorts and Caesars Entertainment : An ascending triangle also appeared in auto-parts supplier BorgWarner . It’s not exactly a reopening stock but it is the kind of cyclical value name that investors seem to like these days. Overall these aren’t very glamorous stocks, but they are all showing similarly bullish patterns one quarter into the new year. Will they be the leaders in Q2? TradeStation is a pioneer in the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options, futures and cryptocurrencies. See our Overview for more.
NYSE:LVSLong
by TradeStation
Another Healthy Pullback in General MotorsGeneral Motors continues to push higher as investors embrace value stocks and the cyclical recovery. Once again the chart is giving some potential signals. First, the auto maker pulled back to hold the trendline in place since the start of the year. It’s also bouncing near its 50-day simple moving average (SMA). Second, notice the large bullish candle on Thursday, March 25. Price came within $0.12 of the 50-day SMA but couldn’t reach that level. GM has remained above that candle since – a potential sign of buyers lurking not far below the surface. Next, GM’s 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) has remained above the 21-day EMA. That’s a sign short-term trend is still bullish. Finally, notice that the current bounce is occurring near the $57 area where GM topped in January and February. Is old resistance becoming new support? TradeStation is a pioneer in the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options, futures and cryptocurrencies. See our Overview for more.
NYSE:GMLong
by TradeStation
1
Is Travelers Going Places?Travelers doesn’t get much attention, but maybe it should. The insurance stock trended steadily upward since October. It made a new all-time high above $160 last week when Chubb bid for Hartford. TRV quickly pulled back, creating a potential opportunity for buyers. Notice the trend line running along the lows of late October and early February. Price held that support yesterday. The 50-day simple moving average (SMA) is almost in exactly the same place. Next, consider the recent relative strength in the Dow Jones Industrial Average. It’s up nearly 4 percent in the last month, quadruple the gain of the S&P 500. TRV is the smallest member of the Dow, weighing in a just $37 billion. (That’s less than two-thirds of the Nasdaq-100.) Its parent bucket, financials, is also the second-best performing sector this year. (Energy is No. 1.) Finally, TRV falls under the “value” umbrella thanks to its trailing P/E ratio of just 14x. TradeStation is a pioneer in the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options, futures and cryptocurrencies. See our Overview for more.
NYSE:TRVLong
by TradeStation
3