SUPER STOCKS 2023 notes & issues for POSiTiONiNG there are stocks driven by MARKET .. meaning float is out in the public
that normally has a DRUNK price action with gaps and erratic volume
there are issues with an assigned Specialist
that can TRADE or CROSS huge volume without moving the price or go beyond a range RANGE
highlighted ones have been decided by both the MARKET and the MARKET MAKER
best of both worlds where artificial price meets the wisdom of PUBLiC
Vanguard holds most or is the CUSTODY of most issues
Citadel & the gang of 3 manages the FLOAT
FUNDS are public
PUBLIC is barometer for entry or exit of Sovereign and Trust Fund babies on a 3 5 7 10 year cycle
determined by the FED's cost of printing borrowinng and lending
note:
Market Cap is dated June 22, 2022 ... Bottom are of MARKETS
Vanguard
Vanguard VWCE Funds Amidst Political Uncertainty in 2024Navigating through periods of political uncertainty requires a strategic approach. As the 2024 US presidential elections loom on the horizon and global geopolitical tensions simmer, investors are seeking avenues for potential growth while mitigating risks. Among these options stands the Vanguard VWCE Funds, offering a diversified portfolio that may weather the storm of uncertain times.
The Vanguard VWCE Funds, comprising a global mix of stocks and bonds, have garnered attention for their ability to provide investors with broad exposure to various markets worldwide. As the political landscape shifts with each passing election cycle and geopolitical tensions ebb and flow, understanding the potential impact on investment vehicles like the VWCE Funds becomes imperative.
In the context of the 2024 US presidential elections, investors may anticipate market fluctuations and volatility leading up to and following the outcome. Historically, elections have been associated with uncertainty, as markets react to the policies and agendas of newly elected leaders. However, amidst the uncertainty, the VWCE Funds offer a diversified approach, spreading risk across multiple markets and sectors, potentially mitigating the impact of any single event.
Moreover, geopolitical tensions and conflicts, unfortunately, remain a reality in today's world. From regional conflicts to trade disputes between global powers, such events can introduce volatility into financial markets. However, the VWCE Funds, with their global exposure, may provide investors with some level of insulation against the impact of geopolitical turmoil. By diversifying across regions and industries, the funds aim to capture opportunities for growth while managing risks associated with geopolitical events.
It's essential to acknowledge that past performance is not indicative of future results, and investing always carries inherent risks. However, by taking a long-term perspective and adopting a diversified investment approach, investors may position themselves to navigate through uncertain times more effectively.
Furthermore, the VWCE Funds' emphasis on low-cost indexing aligns with Vanguard's philosophy of putting investors first. With low expense ratios and a passive investment strategy, the funds aim to maximize returns over the long term while minimizing costs.
In conclusion, as investors brace for the potential impact of the 2024 US presidential elections and global geopolitical tensions, the Vanguard VWCE Funds offer a compelling option for those seeking growth amidst uncertainty. By providing broad exposure to global markets and adopting a diversified approach, these funds may serve as a resilient cornerstone in investors' portfolios, regardless of the political and geopolitical landscape.
5 Investors Betting Big on Pinduoduo (PDD) StockNASDAQ:PDD is soaring higher after a blowout third-quarter earnings report.
Let’s take a look at Pinduoduo’s largest shareholders:
1. Sequoia Capital: 48.23 million shares. Sequoia acquired 45.04 million shares during Q3.
2. Baillie Gifford: 35.66 million shares. Baillie acquired 4.5 million shares during Q3.
3. BlackRock: 27.87 million shares. BlackRock acquired 3.73 million shares during Q3.
4. Vanguard: 24.10 million shares. Vanguard acquired 6.63 million shares during Q3.
5. FMR: 17.63 million shares. FMR acquired 4.33 million shares during Q3.
Historical Comparison of Vanguard Sector ETFsQuick comparison chart to see which performed better (or worse) during bull and bear markets.
It's not always a straight-forward answer, and more variables involved.
But... should give you an idea all things else equal regarding ticker choices and weights.
VUAA to make a pullback and provide new BUY opportunity?Based on historic PA we can see the clear trend (UP).
However with the current economic situation, covid, war etc... stocks are making pullbacks.
Price is currently rejecting top of the bearish channel and could go lower to the trendline, however if Fibonacci is to be respected (Price already rejecting 0.786 level that aligns with the top of the channel) we could see deeper pullback and Fibonacci target for sell -0.27 aligns perfectly with HIGH from the past.
Targets upon pullback are of course each HIGH.
I would like to see price touch the trendline to execute some buys and if we dive lover and respect Fibonacci I will execute buys there as well.
Short term bearish, long term bullish.
Please have in mind that this is WEEKLY chart and analysis is for long term perspective.
This is not a financial advice.
Stock-bond correlation and 60/40 portfolio are at crossroadsIn 2022 the diversification between stocks and bonds within a "60/40" portfolio was an ineffective strategy that yielded negative returns and, as a result, did not safeguard the investment.
The reason was that both equities and bonds plummeted in lockstep as a result of the Federal Reserve's interest rate rises, with the correlation reaching its highest level in a decade. The blue area in chart above shows the 60-day rolling correlation coefficient between the S&P 500 index ( SPX ) and the Vanguard Total Bond Market ( BND ) ETF, which currently stands at 0.89.
The positive stock-bond correlation had typically worked when the two assets climbed upward together in the post-GFC decade, but in this new environment, it did the opposite and for a longer time than in 2008 and 2020.
Similar to 2008-2009, a 60/40 portfolio of global equities and bonds saw a maximum drawdown of 25% this year, but lasted more.
The fall from peak to trough of the 60/40 portfolio lasted 252 days between June 2008 and March 2009, just 35 days between February and March 2020, and 336 days in 2022, making it the longest 60/40 bear market in the past two decades.
60/40 portfolio and its drawdowns – 60% Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF ( VTI ) & 40% Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF ( BND )
As we approach the final FOMC meeting of 2022, the future of bonds and stocks is at a crossroads, and a decoupling between the two assets may occur, making the 60/40 portfolio diversification plan more effective moving into 2023.
If the Fed signals that the end of the hike cycle is nearing and adopts a more dovish stance on inflation, both stocks and bonds will benefit from here.
If the Fed indicates that interest rates will continue to increase and that the window for a soft landing is narrowing, bonds will outperform stocks. However, equities will receive a boost when the recession comes and the Fed is pressured to cut interest rates.
The downside risk of this approach is an excessive tightening of interest rates by the Fed, which might increase bond yields even more (and cause prices to drop) and further devalue equity markets, extending the bear market for the 60/40 portfolio.
SP500 Weekly Volatility Forecast 26-30 September SP500 Weekly Volatility Forecast 26-30 September
Currently our volatility coming from volatility token for SPX is at 4.15%, increasing from 3.41% last week, located on 80th percentile, placing us in a high volatility environment
Based on the previous calculations, there is currently a 10% chance that the asset is going to break the channel(the weekly candle it will close above/below)
TOP 3831
BOT 3578
At the same time, based on the previous calculations:
- There is a 35% chance that the previous high from last week of 3933is going to be touched
- There is a 65%chance that the previous low from last week of 3660 is going to be touched
We can deduct that we have a much higher probability to have a continuation of bearish candle than bullish.
On average the weekly candle when the asset was located around this percentile are 2.51% for bull candles and 2.76% for the bear candles from the opening price.
From the fundamental point of view, news that can affect this asset price this week:
- Core Durable release, CB Consumer confidence and Powell Speech for Tuesday 27 Sep
- Powell Speech for Wednesday 28 Sep
- US GDP and Jobless Claims coming on Thursday 29 Sep
- Core PCE on Friday 29 Sep
Overall I believe for this week there is higher chance due to the overall global activity to have another bearish weekly candle.
Vanguard Real Estate ETFPeople say how do you short the Housing Market Bubble?
I say look at this VG Real Estate ETF.
Head and Shoulders Target hit on the DTF.
I can see a pattern on the WTF and MTF that could play out and cause a massive market crash.
History repeats itself and we have a system that is built on debt and getting worse.
Can you see the patterns on the HTF?
Safe Trading.
Vanguard Russell 2000 | Huge ABC correction inbound | $VTWOA five wave primary Elliot wave cycle has ended. A primary ABC correction will now take place before another primary downtrend begins. After two bear cycles there will be consolidation and reversal. Bull trend will follow consolidation.
1.) We have a right angled broadening bottom in progress
2.) We have an Adam and Eve double bottom on 1 hour and 5 minute charts
3.) The market is at exhaustion as the price cannot go lower than the mornings dump
4.) The daily chart show that the 5 elliot wave has stopped exactly at Fibonacci extension 1.236 of the 4th wave
Pullback ApproachingI'm playing around with a basket of #anguard funds on Betterment. I used to let the system do its thing, but I'm getting a bit more proactive based on the large-cap movement.
Following methods of the previous cycles, I Bought in around 142, and just sold at 147.10. Eying the 141 range in the coming days to reinvest.Time for lunch! #VTV
VDJP Daily - Good RR to accumulate I've been liking this ETF for a while - weekly set up very bullish with inverse h&s and bull flag. The move higher was initially very aggressive and I used it as an opportunity to take some profits. This pull back to the trend line is exactly what I have been waiting (&hoping for). Will use as an opportunity to keep averaging in
VAPX Weekly - Building up for larger move?It was disappointing that the 21.90 lateral support didnt hold, but I held onto my positions as the significant weekly 20.80 support was still in tact. As long as we remain above 20.80 the set-up remains bullish and could potentially be building up to form an inverse head and shoulder which will be confirmed with a break above 23.50. I continue to hold
VDJP Weekly - Starting to accumulate againFollowing the successful break of the bull flag and the quick follow through, there is no surprise that we are seeing a pullback on this ETF. I am starting to average back in after slowly taking profits from 27.50 (prior high) and above. There is no sign of a bottom here, but I am happy with the current price and will buy more if we move lower. The long term weekly picture is still positive as long as we stay above 24.50. I would still like to see 31/32 as a full target here.
VUKE Daily - Tomorrow LDT for juicy 46p diviTomorrow is the LDT for a 46p divi = 1.46% simple divi yield off current price. Also appears as though the ETF has formed a triple top - but as the saying goes "no such thing as a triple top". I am hoping we power through to resistance around 33. I had been averaging into my ISAs and SIPPs the for past few days in anticipation of the dividend and next leg higher.