Vedanta
VEDANTA Trend AnalysisWill VEDANTA be the next ADANI Enterprises?
Broader outlook says it broke out of the decade long sideways trend and is heading for a retest before a massive upside.
A clear Head & Shoulder pattern is visible in daily timeframe , as per the pattern the technical target is around 190 level which also lies in confluence with trendline support.
Volume shows the participation of strong hands.
Last time strong accumulation happened during Apr 2003-Dec 2005 as highlighted, after that the stock gave a 12X multibagger returns in about 4 years.
Currently we are in a strong accumulation phase when company is diversifying its sector by adding semiconductor and display manufacturing to the commodities only segment.
After this accumulation phase we can expect similar returns in 4-5 years.
As the price is heading towards decade old price territory, here are the key fundamental aspects worth considering:
Sales has increased 13 times,
Operating profit has increased by about 9 times,
Assets have increased by about 27 times,
Cash flow has increased 10 times.
Huge capital is allocated for CAPEX.
For exact figures, kindly refer www.screener.in
Vedanta will finalize a location for its $20 billion semiconductor and display plants in India by this month end and expects to roll out the first chip product in two years, its chairman Anil Agarwal said.
He also said they were manufacturing glass and optical fiber. So, it was natural for them to move into semiconductors.
Taiwan based Foxconn is their technical partner for plant setup and operation.
India's government will extend fiscal support of up to 50% of a project's cost to eligible display and semiconductor fabricators. This will give tailwind to semiconductor sector.
Good time to accumulate is at the retest of trendline support around 190 level.
Long term positional target should be a minimum 10X in 4-5 Years.
Will update the exact targets for short, medium and long term as chart unfolds in future.
Do your own due diligence before taking any action.
Peace!!
VEDANTA LTD 1:4 PRICE ACTION SETUPNSE:VEDL broke out from a symmetrical triangle pattern after consolidating in it for 4 months.
Bullish signs:
Good breakout volume.
Very few wide range red candles inside the pattern.
Recent support from 30 week EMA.
Strong demand at the trendline indicates the possibility of price going higher.
Scrip has already given a 140% returns in the last year.
Wick on the breakout candle suggest there can be some consolidation before the momentum is released.
One can take a swing trade with a tight stoploss and aim for a 1:4 risk reward setup.
BEWARE, THE PROBABILITY OF THIS TRADE BEING SUCCESFULL IS ENITRELY DEPENDANT ON THE TREND OF NIFTY. IF NIFTY CONTINUES TO BE BEARISH, THE STOP LOSS WILL BE HIT WHETHER IT BE A TIGHT ONE OR A DEEP ONE.
One can just keep this stock on their watchlist instead of entering on the close.
Targets: 400/430/470+
Place tight sl below 330
Position size accordingly if an entry is taken. HAPPY TRADING!
VEDANTA - upside breakoutVedanta forms a Bullish triangle kind off pattern and if the pattern completes in the next few days we could probably see the levels of 400 in this counter, however 385.90 remains a previous demand zone.
So I have paced a buy call above 373.20 for a Target of 421 with a stop of 334.10.
Look out for good volume size of more than 16.00M
As per NSE we had volumes of 18,39,66,001 today.
Vedanta ltdThis stock is in wave 3rd of higher degree wave 5th, given breakout with good intensity of volume along with the upper bbc, macd and other indicators are also suggesting up move ahead towards north, one can go long at these levels or in dips with key levels mentioned on chart.
Wave Structure could be like this
Key Levels are mentioned on chart
macd in Weekly Uptick
macd in daily
Rsi in daily above 60 uptick
Breakout with good intensity of volume along with bbc
Dmi adx also positive Ungali setup
Disclaimer
I am not sebi registered analyst
My studies are Educational purpose only
Please consult with your Financial advisor before trading or investing