EURO_DOLLAR TRADING PLAN|TECHNICAL ANALYSIS!
EUR_USD has respected the support confluence and is surging upwards.
The strong bullish movement in ongoing, that is most likely a reaction to the US presidential elections.
All the long opportunities are gone as far as I am concerned, so we will be looking at a short opportunities.
A good area for potential shorts is the confluence of the resistance lines ahead of the price.
Thus, we are waiting for the price to go higher, and then start looking for the reversal clues.
IF the current resistance is broken, next on in line would be the previous higher high of the "covid" bullish movement,
But I will be making a separate analysis if the price reaches this level.
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Videoanalysis
GOLD UPDATE| TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
The previously discussed short on GOLD played out nicely and now we are seeing Gold bouncing up from the support.
There are no long opportunities on gold now, but there might be two potential short spots.
One, at the confluence of the falling resistance levels. The other, at the confluence of the green horizontal key level and the rising resistance line.
In both cases, I'd be looking for a reversal pattern and a confirmation for me to enter a short.
In the Video, I forgot to mention, that this week is the US presidential election week and so many might seek to buy gold as a safe haven, so I would not keep large positions open!
It does not mean we should not trade, but I would enter the trades I discussed only if I see a SUPER solid entry point!
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EURO_DOLLAR TRADING PLAN EXPLAINED|4:1 RISK-REWARD
EUR_USD has found a support at the previous lower low level and has broken the falling channel resistance level.
The breakout is confirmed and so we are all aiming at a long trade.
For a long trade, we need a pullback from the current highs , and then we go long from the level that you can see on the chart.
A great trading opportunity with the first target offering 2.5/1 risk reward ratio.
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BITCOIN AT 14000|WHAT TO EXPECT?|FUNDAMENTALS AND TECHNICALS|
BITCOIN has hit 14.000 dollars! Congrats!
It is surging on the fundamentals including PayPal incorporating Bitcoin into its payment system,
The Turks and The Chinese using Bitcoin to escape the draconian capitals controls to get their money out of the country, the "halving" of the mining reward etc..
On the technical side, however, we can see a confluence of the resistance levels mounting.
Thus I'd be very careful entering any longs right now.
Rather, I'd wait for the pullback, and add BTC into my portfolio at the more comfortable levels.
More details in the Video!
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EUR_AUD ON KEY LEVEL|TRADING PLAN BREAKDOWN
EUR_AUD is trading above the broken key level, while also respecting a diagonal support.
So the target trade is a long.
For us to enter a long, we need the small downward channel resistance breakout confirmed, a pullback and then depending on your trading style a straight long or waiting for the pair to provide you with some additional local structure or the pair going lower to improve risk reward.
The objective target is the previous higher high, and the absolute max target is the presumed resistance line extension crossing.
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USD_CHF ON KEY LEVEL|TRADING PLAN
USD_CHF has reached the lower boundaries of the daily key resistance level.
Coupled with the double top with the second top being the lower high, I am bearish on the pair.
Now, depending on the style of trading you prefer, you might wanna enter a short now, If you are an aggressive trader,
Or, you need to wait till the conclusive breakout of the horizontal support line and short on pullback, if you utilize a more conservative strategy.
The diagonal support line will stand in the way of the downward movement so depending on style of trading, you might want to place your first target at support line.
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BITCOIN STRUCUTRE ANALYSIS| SCENARIOS UPDATE
BITCOIN has had a bullish rally following the news of PayPal incorporating Bitcoin into its payment systems.
Now, on a technical level, there is a buying opportunity from the support confluence of the channel and the horizontal key level.
I would not recommend any short, even though a movement downwards is likely too, as the upside is clearly more preferable for the market and your stop will be hit multiple times before the market makes a move in your direction so risk reward wise shorts aren't attractive.
Rather, If bitcoin falls to the identified levels, I would be looking at a buying opportunity there, both speculative and as a good level to add more BTC into your long term investment portfolio.
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OIL STRUCTURE ANALYSIS| SCENARIOS UPDATE
OIL has fallen following the strengthening of the dollar and rumors of the slower economic recovery due to the 2nd wave of Covid-19.
On the technical level, oil has reached a support confluence of the smaller and greater parallel channels as well as the major horizontal key level.
Therefore, I am bullish biased, based on the technical analysis.
The retest of the channels resistance is possible so for those who are bullish entering a long now provides the best risk reward.
For us to turn bearish, we need the support confluence to be conclusively broken downwards.
Then we can go short on pullback.
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COFFEE REVERSE H&S PATTERN| TRADING PLAN|
COFFEE has reached a confluence of strong support lines, so I am looking for a long opportunity.
Now, we can see that there has been a breakout of the downwards channel resistance upwards
This breakout was also a breakout of the neckline of the reverse head and shoulders pattern.
Now, we are waiting for the 4h candle to close ABOVE the neckline and we are going long from the pullback.
Sl below the right shoulder high. Two take level are the two resistance levels that you can see on the chart.
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AUD_CAD TRADING PLAN|DETAILED BREAKDOWN
AUD_CAD reached a confluence of resistance levels.
So we are bearish biased and we are looking to open a shot trade.
Wait for the flag resistance to be broken downwards, then go short on pullback!
IF there is no breakout, the setup is invalid!
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EUR_GBP TRADING PLAN| DETAILED BREAKDOWN
EUR_GBP broke out of the bullish wedge.
Now is trading above horizontal and diagonal support as well as above the wedge resistance turned support.
The target trade is a long, so we are waiting for the market to break upwards, retest, and then we are going long.
IF there is NO breakout, the setup is invalid!
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GOLD UPDATE| TRADING PLAN
GOLD hasn't moved at all during the last trading days, as I suspect the market is waiting for the election results, which will be held in just a week.
Now, I am bearish on gold as it is within the downward channel, and broke out of the smaller upward channel.
So for those of you who want to be in gold, you might go short now, with the target of the green support level.
Yet, remember about the purple support.
Maybe it is safer to wait till the daily support breaks too.
But then the question of the sufficient risk reward would arise again.
All in all, I choose to be on the safe side and stay away from gold till I know the results of the election.
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EUR_AUD LONG OPPORTUNITY| DETAILED SETUP BREAKDOWN|
EUR_AUD is retesting the broken key daily level.
The pair has been falling in a downward channel and has now formed a double bottom right on the key level.
Wait till the breakout upwards of diagonal and horizontal resistance happens.
Go long on pullback.
If there is no breakout, setup is invalid!
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GOLD ANALYSIS| WHAT TO EXPECT?
GOLD is moving in two parallel channel one within another.
For us to become bullish, we need to see green key level and the larger channel resistance to be broken to the upside.
Then, we can go long from pullback safely.
For us to become bearish, we need the small channel support to be broken downwards, and then we can go short on retest.
Even better if the retest also happens at the confluence of the two channel lines.
Before the breakout, however, I am neither bearish nor bullish.
Wait and let the market to give us a hint.
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CAD_JPY TRADING PLAN|
CAD_JPY reached a strong support level on daily.
The pair is trading in a wedge, and I would go long after pullback, IF a confirmed breakout upwards happens.
The long presents a great trading opportunity with a 3:1 to 4:1 risk reward ratio.
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EUR_USD STRUCTURE ANALYSIS!EUR_USD has bullish momentum but all the long opportunities are missed.
For the sellers, I would consider the diagonal resistance as the first short area, heavily dependent on the price action.
The safest short opening area would be the horizontal resistance ahead.
Wait for a nice reversal pattern and go short.
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