NVAX rises impending an earnings report LONGToday NVAX is selling for a tiny fraction of its all-time high as shown in a previous idea. Earnings
is coming this upcoming week. This week NVAX news release showed it had settled a years long
litigation over a failed COVID. In the face of earnings around the corner, was this news release
a coincidence or instead a case of excellent executive and legal timing? I will skip the
conspiracy discussion.
On the chart, NVAX's bullish momentum is clear on its face. A price rise of 22% from a stock
that has been stuck in deeply undervalued territory for a significant time period is remarkable.
I have bought far out of the money call options into 2025 and 2026 some only this past month.
Those from this month are now up over 250% with 11 and 23 months to go to expiration.
I see NVAX as a risky penny medical stock with a high reward potential relative to the
risk. It is a potential buy-out candidate and bankruptcy is less likely. The rich uncle is
MRNA but the richer uncle in PFE might gain some interest. The wisest of capitalists buy out
the competition when there is an opportunity and do not worry about the government crying
monopoly when life-saving and life-extending medical products are involved. Time will tell.
I expect insane profits.
VIR
VIR - the fundamental playThere is something that market is wrong about. The VIR and its blockbuster drug. This drug earns $1-1.5B per Q.
+ they are clinical stage company with Huuge innovative pipeline in HBV and HIV - treatments and VACCINES!
And market prices them like @#$! while they will earn around their own 1x market cap in 2022 and will sit with so much cash, that the current market cap of a company is HUGE misspricing.
VIR Double Falling WedgeAnalysis for VIR
Two falling wedges can be seen to have formed in this current down move
As in the previous down move, price temporarily moves out of the channel before moving back up
This is what's occurring now with this second falling wedge
I do expect a big break out at this huge support area
VIR at a discountVIR has a couple of interesting products testing in the pipeline.
The one that caused the spike in Jan is for hepatitis B treatment.
And the selloff today is caused by the pause in the enrollment of late-stage trial testing of their Covid19 antibody.
So it seems it is safe to assume that it will return above previous resistance of 53. With 80's as a first target, and then, potentially, to ATH.