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VIRTUALUSD

BUY - take off after consolidation? Virtual protocol completed a strong correction from $5.1 to $2.2.  The price fell to the key Fib zone (Blue Fib line in the chart) bounced up with a strong bullish candle formation in the 4H chart.   The price broke and closed above the descending parallel channel as well as Fib 0.236 (orange Fib line in the chart).   As I mentioned in my last article, when the price breaks above Fib 0.236, there is a good probability it continues to move to Fib 0.5-0.618 area.   If it only reaches 0.382 and retraced back down, it usually means that it is a continuation of the bear trend (at least in my past observation.) In this case, the price shot up to Fib 0.618 but now it is pulling back.  Given that there are two layers of sell blocks sitting above the Fib 0.618 area,  there is no surprise the price is coming now.   All momentum indicators in the 4H chart have reached the overbought territory and are moving downwards.  However,  both Daily and 4H MACD are way above 0, so I interpret it as the dominant trend is bullish but it is a correction phase.   If the price is going to move in the classic style, I anticipate it is likely to oscillate between $3-$4 range.  And once the 4H momentum indicators reset and start to move upwards, it is going to start another leg up to and beyond the previous ATH.    There are many "IF". It all depends on when Bitcoin decides its decisive move.   But my overall bias for Virtual and crypto market in general is very bullish.  I have been holding Virtual last year (purchase price is about  $0.50) and I haven't sold any.    I might start taking profit in stages when the daily MACD or RSI starts to form a clear negative divergence.  
CRYPTO:VIRTUALUSDLong
by EbonyFalcon
BUYWell, I was hoping the price would consolidate for a while when it broke above the trendline and Fib 0.236, but it blasted off to Fib 0.618, instead.   Last nights CPI data must have been a major catalyst for this move.   I have bought Virtual at around $0.50 Nov last year and I haven't sold any yet.  I am bullish on Virtual and I intend to invest and hold for a while, instead of trading. I am looking for an entry to buy more.  I personally don't think it matters too much  to buy it for $4 , $3.80. or $3.50 IF you are to hold it for several months.   However, currently the price is hovering around Fib 0.618 which is the area the price often corrects temporarily.  Also, two sets of sell orders sitting right above it.   The 4H Stochastics has already reached the overbought territory (although it doesn't mean much when the momentum is very strong.  It can stay in the overbought territory for a long long time and the price keeps going up.)  What I am going to do is to wait and see how the price will settle during Asian and European a.m. sessions.  If the price comes down to Fib 0.382-0.5 level, I will buy more. 
CRYPTO:VIRTUALUSDLong
by EbonyFalcon
Almost time to buy, not yet! ! Yesterday, I published my analysis on Virtual protocol and wrote that I would buy when a certain conditions are met.  These conditions are: 1) Daily stochastics (9,3,3) reset and start to move upwards 2) Daily MACD remains above 0 level (bull zone)  3) 4H MACD lines cross and enter the bull zone.  4) 4H stochastics are not overbought territory (it is okay if the conditions above are met but it might experience a few more pull backs if stochastics are overbought) 5) 4H candle breaks and closes above the top descending parallel channel and stays and also it is above Fib 0.236. In the last few days, the bull is starting to show some signs of strength.  Daily stochastic has reset and now is moving back up.  Daily MACD remains in the bull territory.  Therefore, the environment to open a long position is now present.  The price has moved and closed above the descending parallel channel as well as Fib 0.236 in the 4H chart.     HOWEVER, the 4H stochastics has already reached the overbought territory and rolling down before 4H MACD made it to the bull territory.  That means, the first attempt for the bull run has failed.  The price might move sideways between key fib levels for a while until the stochastic is reset.  
Long
by EbonyFalcon
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LLong
by BallaJi