Reverse Head & Shoulders on Industrials ETF, Target at 208Chart Pattern/Trend Analysis
The main view of this trade idea is on the Daily Chart.
The Vanguard Industrials ETF appears to be in a Reverse or Inverted Head & Shoulders chart pattern setup which began developing over the last couple of months. The Left Shoulder is observed around the 182.30 lows in 28th January 2022. The Head of the chart pattern setup is seen at the 176.31 low on 24th February. The Right Shoulder is spotted at the 183 support zone for the ETF. The Neckline for the chart pattern can be constructed from the lower highs of 194.82 and 191.89 respectively. The completion of the Reverse or Inverted Head & Shoulders chart pattern setup is seen around the 208 price level. A negation of this setup will be known if the ETF falls below the Neckline.
Technical Indicators
The technical indicators support the bullish view of this note. The ETF VIS is above its 145-SMA on the Daily Chart. Also, in mid March VIS closed above the sell zone of resistance at the 192 price level to enter a new buy zone. The ETF is still in this buy mode. The Awesome Oscillator (AO) is above 0 and green, while the RSI is over the 50 level. There was some bullish divergence for the RSI, when VIS was making lower lows at the Left Shoulder and Head of the chart pattern setup, the RSI was making higher lows.
The intra-day trend following indicators of VIS also display uptrends in the 15-Min, 2-Hour and 4-Hour time frames. The near-term support zone for the ETF is observed around the 191.75 to 195.75 price range.
Recommendation
The recommendation will be to go long at market, with a stop loss at 192 and a target of 208. This produces a risk/reward ratio of 1.53.
Disclaimer
The views expressed are mine and do not represent the views of my employers and business partners. Persons acting on these recommendations are doing so at their own risk. These recommendations are not a solicitation to buy or to sell but are for purely discussion purposes.
