Vitalik
Zcash towards $1k by the end of this bull cycleSharing probably one of my worst trades during these past 2 years; trading a small portion of my ETH into ZEC. Still planning on holding my position regardless.
This should turn around sometime (or maybe it’s just hopium). Even if it does not, the risk/reward ratio is favorable for those willing to risk even more of an inflation effect to their ETH stack. I still think the upward movement will be explosive as soon as the market remembers or acknowledges the intrinsic value in ZEC. The technology is there. The team as well. It only needs a push.
Since the COVID March 2020 crash, the ZEC/USD pair has been consistently holding an ascending trend, establishing higher lows. I currently have a target of $1,100 for the end of this cycle at one of the local 3.618 extensions. If market proves to be overly bullish it can go all the way towards the longer macro 3.618 extension at the low $3,000s. A $1,100 target price would definitely rhyme with Bitcoin's rise during the 2013 cycle at which time it also had a similar circulation to what ZEC has today, around 11-13 million. It should be noted that Zcash's minting emission rate is exponentially higher than that of Bitcoin's. Zcash should see its last coin mined by the early 2040s.
I'm still betting on privacy being a crucial element in crypto. If its value is not meant to be realized now during this meme cramped cycle, the odds are ever more increasing for it to be reached in the next one.
What does Zcash has in favor then? 1) Both Ethereum and Filecoin developers have been working on integrating zk-SNARKS. 2) Vitalik has been a big proponent and admirer of Zcash since its inception. 3) Grayscale Investments has also a Zcash exclusive fund. 4) The utility of Zcash moves across multiple industries and goes beyond blockchain and tech; manufacturing, health, education, etc.
It seems like ZEC is in need of a champion. A company like Apple comes to mind. It's either t hat or it will probably keep fading away into a etherless void. While the market chooses memes, even with its share of controversies regarding its launch and founders reward, I choose Zcash long term. It's fundamentally smart and sound.
*Currently planning on holding a Zcash position at least until the end of November.
ETH/USDT Ethereum is ready for 5k. Breakout imminent- Ethereum still holds the biggest ecosystem and has running smart contracts for a long time.
This headstart led to a big market dominance compared to its competitors like Cardano , Solana, Cosmos, etc.
- The main issue is the scalability and therefore the transaction fees which are way to high at this stage.
- Ethereum still is the first choice after Bitcoin for big investors and remains attractive.
- SEC confirmed that crypto will not be banned and especially Bitcoin and Ethereum will not be banned.
- 2 billion worth of Ethereum burned since August.
Daily chart:
- Price currently breaks the last resistance before we find ourselves back in price discovery.
- Volume keeps decreasing and can be considered the calm before the storm when finally new ATH's are printed.
- RSI analysis shows that we are in an uptrend and consolidating. Nowhere near the 80 line yet and therefore still much room to grow.
- Support lines are at 3950$, 2850$, 1750$ and 1350$.
- Resistance is seen within the region 4100-4300$. Afterwards clear sky is ahead.
Expectation:
- We expect that Ethereum breaks free any moment and 5k$ is reached within the next 4 weeks without any problems.
- Once we print new ATH's and price starts moving FOMO begins and we can enjoy the ride.
- More and more people get heavily into Bitcoin and start pondering about their next investment. Taking Ethereum as next seems very likely.
- End of the year prediction: We will see a 10k$+ Ethereum before the end of 2021.
Basic rules:
- Never buy the top/ ATH
- Take profit as long as you can (also partial profit is profit)
- Use Stop/loss for leveraged positions
- If you are not experienced, don't leverage in the first place
Enjoy the ride and don't be too greedy.
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ps.
Chart explanation:
Main lines:
- Green lines are tested support lines.
- Orange lines are resistance lines or, if we are above, possible support lines which were not tested yet.
- Cyan line is for volume trendline.
- White lines are Fibonacci retracement levels
Helplines:
- Purple lines are trendlines we take a look at.
- Blue, green, white and pink lines are 200MA, 100MA, 50MA and 20MA.
- Yellow lines are for visual help only.
Specials:
- Boxes represent either entry zone or support zone . Check the description.
- Cameras represent MA crossings. Yellow camera stands for a golden cross while the cyan camera stands for a death cross.
HTF LONG - 0.6969 ETHBTC coming at yaCombination of fractal behavior and 3 years of consolidation is about to send Russia to the moon. Let's aim for that top trend line resistance. I know what the drawing says, but 0.6969 or 0.69420 ETHBTC is about where we should end the run.
Next major correction... late July after a DeFi summer. Perhaps a sell the news event when EIP1559 comes out? Maybe the market sells on Ethlon Musk buying into $ETH after PoS, expecting him to talk shit about it a week later on Twitter. Can we rule anything out at this point?
Following this as my guide until there's a major deviation.
Eth - look for higher lowEth - look for higher low on the daily timeframe. It broke above 2277 resistance and now look for entry on a higher low, maybe around 2241. Its a long weekend, so very little volume. PT - .618 Fib level $2400, PT2 2800. Future catalysts - Elon musk and Jack dorsey will talk at a Bitcoin conference July 21, hosted by ARK investments. Hope you are having a great July 4th long weekend!!!!
ETHUSDT Higher again or SHS towards 3000?Hello,
the overall market situation certainly does not help, although the bulls are trying to defend 4,000.
Intraday (4h) possible RGR
2 possible approaches:
1st sale the rallies towards the area 4120/4200
2. wait for a test of 3700 (neckline?) And only selling rallies back towards 4100/4200
In both cases, the stop is above the highs
Target around 3000, but watch out for another possible neckline defense
Good luck
DOGELONDOGELON is one of the 'dog coins' that has seen a big selloff recently. Do you think it will be able to bounce back?
ETHUSDT: Are bears ready to counter the move? Looking for 1750?Hello,
both the weekly and daily charts (only by candlesticks) suggest a possible ETHUSDT pullback even towards 1750 region.
Approach short positions:
1. selling here 2550
2. scaling at 2750 (if we seen)
Stop above 2790
Objective:
1. 1950
2. 1750
Good luck
ETH: Huge Downside Potential!Should we break the $1700 support, we're currently looking at huge downside potential towards the previous lows of $1,400-50, which should give around 20% unleveraged. The reason is: We have been testing the bottom support for quite some while now, which you can see perfectly on the 12H chart:
This will obv. depend on the correlation to Bitcoin: For that scenario to play out, Bitcoin has to be at least neutral, up to bearish.
In the ETH/BTC chart we can see that after some bounce, even here we're grinding at the bottom support and could see huge downside potential, which would propel ETH/USD faster in case of a bear break.
Therefore, the candidate to play this bear break is clearly ETH, *IF* it breaks bearish. This has not happened yet.
Breakout trading depends on the break actually occurring, otherwise it's invalidated.
Check also the last Polkadot analysis: We have been tightening further since the last analysis, and also here a huge break is coming:
About Vitalik, NFTs and the future of finance Sketch of Vitalik using Tradingview's pen tool.
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I may not provide a meaningful and detailed description of my analysis and prediction. I will try to walk you through my shoes and will put myself in your thought process and see if you would understand the context based on what I wrote. Clearly stated profits targets and stop loss areas are not my style.
w h i p l a s hpotential breakout
right hand side:
12d timeframe(inverted), see channels marked by pink lines. 12d has closed steadily and nearly perfectly within these channels.
see yellow line following initial low wick trend, and the low wick for the current candle which has failed to meet said line with 3 days left in window.
should momentum follow, this mother is going to P O P.
2k may be imminent
ETH Retest of Daily Open @ 1161Confluence between the 1H 100/200 EMAs and the daily open (JAN 14). Would get somewhat of a better retest of that trend line, but I'm mainly looking at a retest of today's open and a bounce off of the EMAs.
We rejected the weekly open at 1270, which makes sense as we tend to not break significant resistance on the first try. Thinking we reclaim the daily open at 1130 as support before trying to break to the upside one more.