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VIX CBOE Volatility Index

The VIX: A Measure of Market FearThe VIX, or Volatility Index, is a measure of the expected volatility of the S&P 500 index over the next 30 days. It is calculated using the prices of options on the S&P 500 index. A higher VIX indicates that market participants are expecting more volatility in the future, while a lower VIX indicates that they are expecting less volatility. The VIX is an important tool for investors because it can help them understand how risky the stock market is. A high VIX indicates that the market is expected to be volatile, which means that there is a greater chance of large price swings. This can make investing more risky, but it can also create opportunities for profit. The VIX is also correlated with the S&P 500 index. This means that the VIX tends to move in the opposite direction of the S&P 500. When the S&P 500 falls, the VIX tends to rise, and when the S&P 500 rises, the VIX tends to fall. This correlation is not perfect, but it is strong enough to be useful for investors. The VIX can be used in a variety of ways by investors. Some investors use the VIX to assess the risk of their portfolios. Others use the VIX to trade volatility, either by buying or selling VIX futures contracts. Still others use the VIX to hedge against risk in other assets. The VIX is a complex and volatile asset, but it can be a valuable tool for investors who understand how to use it. Here are some additional things to keep in mind about the VIX: The VIX is not a direct measure of the volatility of the stock market. It is a measure of the expected volatility, which means that it is based on the opinions of market participants. The VIX can be affected by a variety of factors, including economic news, political events, and natural disasters. The VIX is not always accurate. It can sometimes overshoot or undershoot the actual volatility of the stock market. Despite its limitations, the VIX is a valuable tool for investors. It can help investors understand the risk of the stock market and make informed investment decisions. I hope this post is helpful. This analysis represents my thoughts at the date it is posted. This analysis does not represent professional and/or financial advice. You alone assume the sole responsibility of evaluating the merits and risks associated with the use of any information or other content found on this profile before making any decisions based on such information.
CAPITALCOM:VIXEducation
by YExplore
2
$TNX, 2Yr Yield, $DXY, $VIX analysisThe 10Yr - TVC:TNX and the 2Yr #yield have held pretty steady the last few days. Won't be shocked if it doesn't do much until the DJ:DJI & TVC:NDQ , "coincidentally", break out of the patterns we've spoken about. TVC:DXY losing a lil bit of steam. Is it topping again? The only odd man out is the $VIX. It's closer to the lower end of range. IMO this is just something to look at and not of much use until it is. September will go out with a BANG!!! One way or another!
TVC:TNX
by ROYAL_OAK_INC
Opening gap not retraced yetOne thing we would like to point out is yesterday's opening gap in the Volatility S&P 500 Index. A failure of the price to fill the gap risks rekindling the volatility in the short-term future. As such, it is something we are paying attention to. Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section. DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
TVC:VIXLong
by Tradersweekly
10
The Bear Steepener Analysis US10Y/US01YLooking ahead to the upcoming week and my market outlook: Let's begin by examining the yield curve spread, which consistently correlates with the bear steepener. This spread provides us with a valuable timetable or countdown, usually spanning 1-3 months before a breakout occurs. When this breakout happens, it typically signifies that the market has already shifted towards a risk-off sentiment. Similar pattern consolidations/breakouts occurred during most recent systemic risk offs, below is the one we've had during Covid: Dot Com s3.tradingview.com 2008 With the only exception, a major fakeout being the 1995-1998 period. Now, when we consider the VVIX/VIX ratio, it offers a noteworthy perspective on the potential alignment of this bear steepener breakout with the possibility of breaching the bottom support. Barring any unforeseen developments that could disrupt this pattern, it appears that we are receiving indications or early warnings of an impending risk-off event. Additionally, when we look at stocks above the 50-day moving average (MA), it confirms our decision to shift towards the long side just over a week ago. Moreover, there's a chance that this move could trigger a final squeeze. How long might this squeeze persist? My assessment suggests that it still has some room to run, and I would only recommend exercising caution once we start approaching the 60's in this particular indicator.
TVC:US10Y
by EdwinPus
VIX Will Move Higher! Long! Please, check our technical outlook for VIX. Time Frame: 9h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is approaching a significant support area 13.09. The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 15.72 level. P.S Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
TVC:VIXLong
by SignalProvider
4
CRASH SIGNAL the ABC rally has ended or 1 lastThe chart posted is the qqq but sp 500 the same I had the alt target to peak at 381.6 so far 381.1 we could pop but for trading puts not an issue I have move to 85 % net long PUTS a CRASH is about to start min downside is 345/336 sp should see min 4310 /4230 on this drop the vix will see a move well above the last high even the min alt is 19.88 and TNX hit the target of 40.66 rates to soar the DXY is on its way to 105.1 to 106.3 Best of trades WAVETIMER
NASDAQ:QQQ
by wavetimer
Using $VIX to measure Volatility in $SPY I'm sure many of you already know TVC:VIX (Volatility Index of the S&P 500) correlates to AMEX:SPY (the S&P 500 micro index). For those who don't and those who do, this is my up to date VIX chart. Please comment what you think! But the general idea is that... When TVC:VIX goes up, AMEX:SPY goes down When TVC:VIX goes down, AMEX:SPY goes up This is just one of the many comparisons I take into account when trying to gain a sense of market structure. Never use just one indication or signal to determine a trade. I also like to look at AMEX:SPY vs TVC:DXY (US Dollar). The general idea is that... When TVC:DXY goes up, AMEX:SPY / stocks go down When TVC:DXY goes down, AMEX:SPY / stocks go up Again, its important to have multiple things indicating the SAME signal offering high conviction trade ideas. And these "ideas" should be thought of in a way of PROBABILITIES not PREDICTIONS with a predetermined set stop-loss and profit target. Pay attention to market events and released data, especially the TIME those data reports come out. I honestly look at AMEX:SPY and TVC:VIX multiple times throughout the week, I do not have them side-by-side during my active trading as they don't perfectly mirror each other on any time frame. It's meant more for a larger timeframe (1H or higher) outlook and trying to gain a broader sense of sentiment in the market. On that note.. Happy Trading !! - E TVC:VIX AMEX:SPY TVC:DXY
TVC:VIXEducation
by EBMVI610
Volatility heads up given - watch this one!This is the VXX (VIX ETN) and can be used as an indicative heads up to the equity market volatility. We are now at a rather unique point where the rubber band has been stretched so far, and at a point where you can just feel the tremor of it about to snap… The daily chart of the VXX has been falling over the months, and in recent weeks, there is a long term MACD divergence that has not been sorted. This happened as the equity markets pushed much further up. This week saw a quick retracement and the VXX acted accordingly. The thing here is that this time, the VolDiv indicator got aligned. With these two aligned and about to break up into bullish territory (above zero), it give good heads up that a volatility spike is about to happen. Concomitant to the equity indexes falling off the cliff. It does not look like it will happen in the immediate term, but within weeks to come IMHO.
CBOE:VXXLong
by Auguraltrader
U.S Dollar Fundamental Analysis for Fri Aug 18th, 2023The dollar index eased to around 103.2 on Friday but was still on track to advance for the fifth straight week, as minutes of the Federal Reserve’s July meeting showed that policymakers stressed that upside risks to inflation remain, leaving the door open to further policy tightening. However, some participants flagged the economic risks of pushing rates too far, emphasizing that future rate decisions would depend on incoming data. The latest data also showed that the number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits fell last week, pointing to continued tightness in the labor market. The dollar is set to gain against most major currencies this week but remains down against sterling as key measures of price growth monitored by the Bank of England failed to ease in July. The yield on the 10-year Treasury slid to 4.22% on Friday after rising to as high as 4.328% in the previous session, the highest since October 2022 and just a tad below its highest level since 2007. The fluctuation is due to investor concerns about the economic impact of high interest rates. The Federal Reserve's meeting minutes from July highlighted that there are still risks of higher inflation, suggesting the possibility of more tightening of monetary policy. Despite recent data indicating a decrease in inflationary pressures, a strong US economy and a robust job market are reasons supporting the continuation of high interest rates. The average rate on a 30-year fixed mortgage jumped by 13 basis points from the previous week to 7.09%, the highest since 2002, as the hawkish outlook for the Federal Reserve underpinned expensive mortgage rates for American consumers. A year ago, the 30-year fixed mortgage rate was 5.13%. "The economy continues to do better than expected, and the 10-year Treasury yield has moved up, causing mortgage rates to climb," said Sam Khater, Freddie Mac’s Chief Economist. "The last time the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage exceeded seven percent was last November. Demand has been impacted by affordability headwinds, but low inventory remains the root cause of stalling home sales." Source: Freddie Mac
TVC:DXYLong
by TayFx
Yield on puts options doesnt compensate riskVix is price of call and put 'at the money" annualized. the current vix yield cut in have gives us an estimate of downside premium put sellers collect and buyers are paying. its near 8%. its probably less because there is a slight upward skew. In the last 20 years, there have been times when vix has spiked very high and this "put yield" has been roughly 40% for the downside premium yield. High vix premium is correlated more often with fear to the downside than fear to the upside. Some of you may remember what happened in 2018 when too many put sellers got caught short puts and volatility repriced. they called that one "Volmageddon". volmageddon article here regarding xiv etn blow up: www.ft.com Just be aware that puts selling isnt free money, and sometimes the juice isnt worth the squeeze. Know what you own and be willing to own or get paid to own it at your strikes.
SP:SPX
by ValuePig
1