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VIX CBOE Volatility Index

VIX move on Friday while SPY continued higherThis could be a very telling sign for what to expect on Monday. While the SPY (and generally the market) continued to trade higher on Friday (1/20), the VIX hit a low early mid-day and then moved higher into afternoon trading. Another thing to remember is that Friday was the LEAPs options expiration that started over 2 years ago for that expiration. It is typical for markets to be a little volatile during that week of a major expiration, but doesn't really go anywhere; kinda like we saw this past week where we we made another weekly high on Tuesday then sold down pretty good Wednesday/Thursday and then on Friday ended the week with a bull retracement. Now that a major options expiration is done, wouldn't be surprised if we started to see a more directional move on the market and if the VIX action on the second half of the day on Friday is any tell, bearish could be the direction. Bar chart: SPY Orange line: VIX
AMEX:SPYShort
by Options_Trading
2
Missed It By That Much! 20th January 2023🖼 Daily Technical Picture 📈 ➤ Yes, that's exactly what happened with my long position. A large move higher in equities the day after I got out (for a loss). That basically sums up why Trading can sometimes be so frustrating. These days I just take a deep breath and move on. My younger-self would have tore my hair out! ➤ So what does this bullish move mean? Very little in my opinion. It's just another choppy day. We need to see if the S&P500 can break above 4000 or it goes back below 3900. A move in either direction should determine the primary trend for the next week(s). ➤ I currently hold no position. ➤ Conclusion: Standing by to see which direction the market favours.
AMEX:SPY
by mrstockyetoro
What me worry?Buy high, sell never, stonks always go up. right? Either everyone has sold and no one needs put options, or could there be a crowded bus is short puts and covered calls as an asset class? Did so many years of low rates push everyone into becoming put sellers and covered call players? lots of options chains are showing very little put skew, as in very little respect to downside potential. And skew risk is to the upside in many names. Are we that bullish? SPY SPX SPX/GOLD VIX
SP:SPX
by optionfarmers
2
Back to Normal, 20th January 2023🖼 Daily Technical Picture 📈 ➤ Equities prices continued to fall. Two price gaps were closed. A lower gap that formed on the 10th Jan and the opening gap from Thursday trade. S&P500 has fallen below the support level at 390. ➤ I think it is clear that price has just formed a lower high. I could argue the short-term downtrend from the Dec 2022 high has been established. This counters the uptrend from the Oct 2022 low but re-aligns with the long-term downtrend since Jan 2022. Did you get that? ➤ Another thing that has re-aligned is that the Tech/Growth/Small cap stocks finally underperformed the DJIA and broader S&P500. This is "normal" behaviour under a risk-off period. Does that mean we are back to 2022 mode? ➤ I closed my long position with a loss as price didn't respond like I wanted. What I want and what the market gives are two separate things. Price may still bounce but I'm not going to risk it at this stage. ➤ Conclusion: Next trade is most likely an opportunity to go short. Standing by.
AMEX:SPY
by mrstockyetoro
Bang! 19th January 2023🖼 Daily Technical Picture 📈 ➤ Equities fell sharpely on Wednesday trade. It was the largest down move of the new year. The market is reminding us that it's not a one way ticket to the moon. VIX is back above 20. I think we can forgive it for having a peek below the pink zone although I did think it would go lower prior to any rebound. ➤ S&P500 was battling the 200-day moving average. Price movement today rejected that level. It's not a conclusive failure as prices tend to whipsaw around such keenly watched technical levels. ➤ Still of interest is that the NASDAQ/TECH is still outperforming the DJIA BLUE CHIPS even on a large down day like today. Normally you would expect "riskier" assets to sell-off more during a risk-off phase. ➤ I opened a moderate long position looking for a quick trade. ➤ Conclusion: Dull one moment, intense the next.
AMEX:SPYLong
by mrstockyetoro
Beginning of the End, 18th January 2023🖼 Daily Technical Picture 📈 ➤ OK, I'm being over-dramatic with the title of today's note. It actually was a pretty dull day of trading. NASDAQ continues to outperform the Blue Chip indices showing that overall risk-on behaviour is still prevalent. ➤ VIX did bounce higher back into the pink zone. Is this the start of something bearish? It's ambigious. The price action in the S&P500 was not meaningful other than to say there was some profit-taking. With earnings season starting, prices may be jumpy too. ➤ I have closed my long positions and now hold no positions. ➤ Conclusion: Dull action leads to more intense action. Looking forward to it.
AMEX:SPY
by mrstockyetoro
Will history repeat again?Look at the VIX chart here; we are again in the VIX 18th zone. In 2022 it was an excellent indicator to spot the bottom; it works during the bear markets only! So if we are still in a bear market, it should bounce from the 18 level hard and Indexes to fall. If we are entering a bull market, this setup can fail right here. I doubt it will fail until we see Q1 lows in markets. I might be wrong, and this setup can fail in a grand style. The VIX bottoms have an excellent correlation with SPX highs (at the bottom orange colour); look for the yellow marked pointers for the 2022 patterns from VIX 18 level. I think we will repeat the same pattern again.
CBOE:VIX
by RealTima
10
VIX: VOLATILITY INCOMING??? / CHART UPDATE / SUPPLY & DEMANDDESCRIPTION: In the chart above I have provided an UPDATED MACRO chart for the VIX with more reliable SUPPLY & DEMAND POCKET PLACEMENT & UPDATED TRAJECTORY. POINTS: 1. DEVIATION of 7 POINTS in PRICE ACTION places SUPPLY & DEMAND POCKETS where most STABLE CONSOLIDATION OCCURS. 2. Current trend shows a DESCENDING CHANNEL with VIX NEARLY DOWN 50% 3. MACD'S LOWEST POINTS decides PERIODS where VOLATILITY comes to an END. 4. UPCOMING PREDICTION OF POSSIBLE NEW LOW IS FORMULATED FROM AN AVERAGE OF PERIODS MARKED BETWEEN LOWEST POINTS OF MACD THEREFORE: 91 Days + 135 Days + 109 Days = ROUGHLY 112 Days. 5. RSI signals increased VOLATILITY AFTER BREAK of 40 on RSI. *IMPORTANT: SUPPORT at 19 has OFFICIALLY BEEN BROKEN. LOSS of 19 CAN BE A STRONG INDICATOR FOR OVERALL MARKET RALLY IN THE POSITIVE. SCENARIO ONLY ONE: IF YOU ARE A BEAR YOU WANT TO SEE A REGAIN OF 19 SUPPORT AND FURTHER PUSH DOWNWARD FOR BULLS. TVC:VIX
TVC:VIX
by DGSTBROKERACC
Market Update 1/15/2023More or less things are still in limbo. There is a possibility that there would be a huge upswing if the vix can start this week under 17.83. We will see if that happens. At the end of the day the rise from Jan 1st was pretty easy to see and we are in the "take profit" zone. This never inherently means done be in or sell everything, but is better thought of (from a bullish possibility) as a wave 2 or wave 4 in Elliot wave terms. I go over more specifics in the video. I am too lazy to put timestamps for this one, but I think its worth the watch or listening to at least. Not too much new if you have been watching the previous updates.
BITFINEX:BTCUSD
by TrendLINEBoys