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VIX CBOE Volatility Index

VIX is getting for its own prime timeWatching 20-21 zone for a support. Historically VIX 20 zone is the bear/bull line. I expect that to me either tested or even broken for a fake move down and then start to explode. When VIX is at 45+ watch for the market capitulation. Ideal target for the VIX is 65+ early next year. When its moving above 35 and especially 45, no no longs for me period, only sell the rips (if there will be any) Im in with Apr VIX 35 calls, will add tomorrow and on the 28th
CBOE:VIX
by RealTima
6
S&P Trend VIXS&P chart against VIX on the monthly time frame. Comparing the longer term trends, when the VIX cycles up and down we get rally's and corrections, but if theres a sustained VIX trend change, it could indicate overall market direction change. IMPORTANT -Normally indicated by higher highs/lows and lower highs/lows on VIX channel. None of this should be interpreted as financial advice, I am not a professional or certified financial adviser! all charts, and or analysis' are my personal opinions and observations only!
SP:SPX
by Turtlecoins
nasdaq to 20k?!good evening, --- consider this post somewhat fictional for now, created more for entertainment purposes, but i want you to know that there are some serious data points which i'm going to bring up to build the case that the stock market has found a long term bottom. --- ~our monthly indicator is finally oversold for the first time since 2009 market low and is on the verge of crossing bullish. ~nasdaq is backtesting the monthly ichimoku cloud. ~0.382 cycle wave 4 target hit through a very complex correction . ~the monthly rsi has confirmed a hidden bear. ~the us dollar found a top and is headed down to about 80 bucks over this next year. ~us10y, topped out. ~fed might run out of money if they continue to press the markets. ~fear is at all time high. ~retail short positions are at all time high. ~and i'm buying everything. --- the cycle w5 target on nasdaq sits at $20,000 and we could be in the early stages of beginning that ascension. --- ps. take my words with a total grain of salt, as i could be very much dreaming here. ps2. in my last big nasdaq post, i called the top, but was early by a few months. it also went a bit higher, so if i adjust the target with the current data, we have reached the 4th wave target successfully. ✌
TVC:NDQLong
by Eloquent
2
🔪 Chop Chop... 22nd November 2022🖼 Daily Technical Picture 📈 ➤ The sideways movement continues in equities. A Bullish bias still applies although my signals have weakened in its conviction. ➤ Choppy conditions are not ideal for my Strategy. Especially the kind where there is a tight range with high volatility (large up and down swings). This is because a large reversal against my entry will usually force me to exit, resulting in a bigger than average loss. If repeated multiple times, it can cause a pro-longed drawdown in returns. ➤ So far the choppy conditions experienced has been on relatively low volatility. It's not ideal but also not the worst. The good news is that these conditions tend to not last long. Markets will "snap" out of it soon to trend in one direction. ➤ I have reduced my long exposure to +42%. The maximum portfolio exposure is +/- 200% on capital, the level of highest conviction. ➤ Conclusion: I have a feeling markets are more interested in watching the Football World Cup right now. 🏆
AMEX:SPYLong
by mrstockyetoro
2
nasdaq 11-21 ~ good afternoon, here's what the nasdaq looks like from a bullish perspective. --- local dip to backtest local downtrend, in confluence with the local 50~88% retrace of the big pop from the other day. i'm labeling this dip as the second 1-2 within what looks to me like a bullish nest . --- if i'm right about the nest, we will see tech take off big time over the next few weeks, bigger than any of us are currently expecting. --- not financial advice, take my art with a grain of salt.
CME_MINI:NQ1!Long
by Eloquent
NIFTY Volatility Analysis 21-25 Nov 2022 NIFTY Volatility Analysis 21-25 Nov 2022 We can see that currently the implied volatility for this week is around 2%, according to INDIA VIX data (INDIA Volatility Index ) With this in mind, currently from ATR point of view we are located in the 11th percentile, while according to INDIA VIX, we are on 2th percentile. Based on this, we can expect that the current weekly candles ( from open to close ) are going to between: Bullish: 1.89% movement Bearish: 1.5% movement At the same time, with this data, we can make a top/bot channel which is going to contain inside the movement of this asset, meaning that there is a 21.1% that our close of the weekly candle of this asset is going to be either above/below the next channel: TOP: 18610 BOT: 17882 Taking into consideration the previous weekly high/low, currently for this candle there is : 66% probability we are going to touch previous low of 18220(already hit) 31% probability we are going to touch previous high of 18460 Lastly, from the technical analysis point of view, currently 80% of the weekly moving averages are in a bullish trend, and a combination of moving averages and oscillators are in 31% bullish stance
NSE:NIFTY
by exlux
📈 Higher Please... 21st November 2022🖼 Daily Technical Picture 📈 ➤ Equity prices moved side-ways last week. This is good news for the Bulls. As prices have held within a tight range, there is so far no sign of a "Change of Character" or CHoCH. ➤ The CHoCH concept comes from Wyckoff analysis. It describes an abnormal price bar or set of price bars that moves against the recent price trend. A major pause or a change in trend often results from a CHoCH. I do not see this with the current price action. This would infer Buyers are accumulating equities for a push higher. My trading signals agree as I added long positions across the board in all indices that I trade. ➤ Of course, nothing is set in stone, I'll have my fingers close to the exit button in case price action shows a change in the Bullish narrative. ➤ I currently have +102% long exposure in the market. The maximum portfolio exposure is +/- 200% on capital, the level of highest conviction. ➤ Conclusion: All eyes will be on the Football World Cup but mine are firmly fixed on the Charts. 👀
AMEX:SPYLong
by mrstockyetoro
🤨 When in Doubt...Find Support, 18th November 2022🖼 Daily Technical Picture 📈 ➤ I'm sounding like a Psychologist today. Professional Traders do make use of Psychologists or Coaches to analyse and evaluate their performance as well as for counselling and self-reflection. We amateurs often just mumble to ourselves. ➤ S&P500 gapped lower at open before rebounding to finish near the daily highs. The strong support level at 390 held well. It was a mixed bag for other indices. NASDAQ and Russell 2000 were particularly weak. Although it is a mixed picture, there is less doubt in my mind. I would like to get Bullish here. ➤ I currently have +34% long exposure in the market. Additional exposure is possible if prices move as I expect.The maximum portfolio exposure is +/- 200% on capital, the level of highest conviction. ➤ Conclusion: More action please!
AMEX:SPYLong
by mrstockyetoro
S&P500 / VIX - Black Swan Incoming? 🔮Taking a look at the SP500 Daily with our US Equity Gaps indicator, next to the VIX Weekly. Looking back to the start of 2022, we can see a series of "controlled" selling, on our grind from the 4700s, down to 3500-3600.📉 Compare that to the VIX, we can see the stock market has yet to experience a true black swan. See the 2020 mega spike in the VIX. Whether it's due to geopolitical tensions, financial data, etc., we'll see. But you can almost feel that the market is teetering on a knife's edge. Or at least that's how we feel! 😬 Throw these against the Equity Gaps indicator, and it shows we have plenty to fill to the downside.🤯 Who knows. Maybe we're just being cynical. However, we feel there's a 10-30% downside vs a smaller 1-5% upside. If that's the case, we're happy to be sitting on our hands for the time being. -TucciNomics Chief Overlord, AlgoBuddy
TVC:VIXShort
by QuantVue
🤨 When in Doubt...17th November 2022🖼 Daily Technical Picture 📈 ➤ ...sit out. In my humble opinion, the current short-term price action in equities are highly ambiguous. This often happens at key inflexion points when prices temporarily move sideways. Sometimes this is the market digesting recent moves e.g. the upward surge or the market is in search of direction awaiting some news or catalyst. ➤ With ambiguity comes the danger of forcing a trade or reading too much into a particular price action. For example, the Russell 2000 small cap stocks performed terribly today, breaking below support. Technically, I could make a case for shorting the Russell yet if I look at other equity indices, they ended above or very near support levels on this bearish day. The VIX (fear index) actually contracted showing lack of bearishness. Based on my experience, it is much better to wait another day for things to develop than eagerly risk capital in search of gains. ➤ I currently have zero exposure in the market. The maximum portfolio exposure is +/- 200% on capital, the level of highest conviction. ➤ Conclusion: Thursday is Action Day?
AMEX:SPY
by mrstockyetoro