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VIX CBOE Volatility Index

USDJPN correction expected?I don’t really trade Forex, unless something catches my attention. USDJPN has been climbing for a while now. On weekly chart it is overbought and even the strongest move need to take a brake once in a while, Either if you look on EMAs or Fibonacci levels, correction can reach area 139-141.2. It doesn’t mean it will but according to my analisys, most of the indices look like they they’re going for an upside move. With VIX being overbought as well. The markets might get a bit more positive until November US rates decision. Personally I think we might not get lower than 140. Im not a professional trader and this is not a trading advice. Trading is risky. Always do your own analisys.
Short
by Trinnisia_Trades
4
Long Volatility into AugustBy now you all know the drill. Let's start with an initial framework, assess the current environment, and evaluate all below questions. are we trending or ranging? - a series of higher highs, higher lows - sellers structure is broken, we are tracking whether buyers will protect or find it difficult to hold discount? - we are tracking the lows for the previous wave block - Support 20, Pivot 25, Resistance 38 managing trade? - Trading and assess based on quarters, 00, 25, 50, 75 - Market participation in form of current strength/weakness, when market is weak we are sellers and when strong we are buyers This position, technically speaking, is very similar to the swing we traded in 2020. Buyers have developed a structure of higher highs, and higher lows, and desire their chance to go over to a direct attack on the highs. In this case the result is not certain; but since attacking in this fashion is characteristic of a volatility event. There are two lines, assuming the 20 support holds. In the first case, as well we need to track 25, the combinatory breakout of 25 will allow buyers to continue their summer dance with a romantic hue, unlocking 38 for August.
TVC:VIXLong
by ridethepig
5
Roller-Coaster, 14th October 2022🖼 Daily Technical Picture 📈 ➤ That was some ride. Pre-CPI markets pumped higher by 1.5% before plummeting post data to -4% for the Nasdaq. Only then to climb back up and finish strongly by over 2%. Similar price action happened on 24th Feb 2022 as the war started in Ukraine. TBH, I expected this movement but certainly not the extent of the volatility. ➤ I initially took off my long DAX position pre-CPI during the pump. DAX was significantly outperforming other indices on the day so I took some profits. That meant I had minimal exposure to the CPI data as I was only net long with 10% exposure. As prices plummeted, there was very minor movement in my portfolio as my long STOXX50 position held up better than my NASDAQ shorts. ➤ By the end of the European trading day, I bought back the DAX position and cut the NASDAQ shorts. Leaving me with +40% long exposure. After US market close, I decided against adding US long positions at this stage given the size of the upward move. The maximum portfolio exposure is +/- 200% on capital, the level of highest conviction. ➤ Conclusion: We may get some continuation of the rally but there should be an attempt of the re-test of the low at some stage.
AMEX:SPYLong
by mrstockyetoro
QQQ WHY THE 258/259 AREA IS SO IMPORTATNT .382 AND 50 % So what is next and why the support at 258/259 is why it is the point of focus in this CRASH . it is a pullback of 50 % from 2020 low to the peak . but more important it is a .382 within the super blowoff that ENDED AT 408.71 RIGHT IN THE MIDDLE OF THE LONG TERM TARGET 406 TO 410 SEE DEC 2021 .So so many what to jump to the long side as we hit the target in time and targets in price the low was 254.9 just taking out the support but not in the sp almost to the tick it help 3490/3511 . I am and have been counting this as a super cycle top and will maintain that we had wave A from the peak at 408.71 down to the june low .And that we rallied in a perfect abc back up into the major spiral turn aug 16 to the 25 th for super cycle wave B we now have five waves down in wave 1 . I stated in in 8/16 this is the time we will see the market up here before we Crash in super cycle wave C low . wave 2 up has begun but if you think wave 2 up is going to be for a few weeks Think again . in every crash since 1902 the wave 2 of c is so quick you got TRAPPED with the rest the next decline is the CRASH and it will not bottom till 196 to 164 once it starts . So do you feel luck or Smart most of you I know will be feeling Lucky that why I make money and you seem to always which you did not make the mistake that you seem to not be able to stop . That is because I was a New york fireman before starting wavetimer . why does this matter it is the way my brain works I learned from two traders who were one a marine and one an ex navy seal . what do we all three have in common it is the being able to control our fear to stay alive and over come the natural fear of flight .I am no smarter than the next I just process it in a different way . best of trades Wavetimer !
NASDAQ:QQQ
by wavetimer
Pop or Drop? Only 5x in History has BTC done this!Traders, Bitcoin has recently become less volatile than the markets. The chart here represents Bitcoin's volatility over the Dow's. In the bottom pane you will see that as the red line rises, it indicates BTC is becoming more volatile than the Dow. As it falls? Less. Rarely, has it touched the zero point (horizontal red line in bottom pane). As you can see from my chart, we have only touched the zero point area only 4x in previous history. We are now on the 5th. After each touch (represented by the vertical line), huge moves have followed. The first was a 50% drop. Everything else thereafter was fairly significant pops. So far, the data shows a 75% probability of a pop. Will we make it 80% with this touch or is another big drop in store? Either way, a big move is incoming? What's your call? Post in the comments below. Stew
BITMEX:BVOLLong
by stewdamus
Wave 1 of C is ending 3511/3490 CRASH We have now entered the time frame for the panic low 10/4 to 20th focus on the 10 Th . We have also reached the target 3511/3490 It is my view that being short is not worth the trade . I can tell you I feel rather strong about the 3511/3490 area TO HOLD and lead to what will be the last rally within 2022 time frame . as I posted major turn 8/16/25 in spirals . I am doing the math tonight . I can also tell you my own p/c models on an rsi bases R looking for a rally to relief the model . MY VVIX is still not hit any PANIC levels I stand my we will see 47 in the reg VIX
SP:SPX
by wavetimer
2
Risk-Off, 13th October 2022🖼 Daily Technical Picture 📈 ➤ Minor down day in US indices. Pre-market was firmly positive until the PPI (Producer Price Index) numbers were released. It showed persistent inflation in the costs of production. These costs can be passed on to consumers and therefore feeds into CPI/Consumer inflation numbers. ➤ With CPI numbers coming out Thursday/today, we should expect a jump in volatility. I have no idea what the inflation number will be but there are bullish signs that I am willing to take some risk for a potential upside move. ➤ I further reduced my remaining short NASDAQ position to -10% and added long exposure of +40% with STOXX50 and German DAX. An overall small +30% long exposure. I think this is a sensible level of risk use given market conditions. The maximum portfolio exposure is +/- 200% on capital, the level of highest conviction. ➤ Conclusion: I'm risk-on for a move higher but also risk-off by taking a lower exposure than previous days. Manage your risks.
AMEX:SPYLong
by mrstockyetoro
Gamble at your own risk - Global Financial Crisis of 2022/2023Do not pray to the false gods of guaranteed bailouts. "The problem with all this is that it's their own policies that created the fragility, their own policies that created the dislocations and now we're relying on their policies to address the dislocations," Peter Boockvar of Bleakley Financial Group said. "It's all quite a messed-up world." -CNBC Not everyone survives. 10 Year Treasury real yields showing a clear sign that liquidity is collapsing, the fastest rise since 2008.
SP:SPXShort
by shri30389
UK Warning Sirens to Global Financial MarketsUK is a warning signal for everyone. This is what happens when central banks attempt to pivot in the current inflationary environment. The Global Lehman event accelerated after the September U.S. CPI, but was paused by BOE temporary intervention. Next U.S. CPI follows the end of BOE intervention. A Lehman crash now equals approx -60% in GDOW/SPX. The softer each step is down, and no sign of capitulation, the worst final low will be. Will the US be a safe-haven from a global financial crisis? If you believe central bankers can unring the bells, now is the time to go ALL-IN.
TVC:GB10YShort
by shri30389
Bounce Time? 12th October 2022🖼 Daily Technical Picture 📈 ➤ US indices returns were wide spread. With DJIA finishing flat and Nasdaq continuing to fall. Large intra-day gains were unable to hold up. S&P500 hit a new low but the daily close held above the previous yearly low set on 30th Sept that can be considered as temporary support. VIX may also be peaking. There is a potential for a good sized bounce. CPI/Inflation data out Thursday should define where markets are headed in the very short-term. ➤ I locked in some profits by cutting positions in SPX500 and DJ30. My short exposure is -40%, composed of NASDAX and STOXX50. The maximum portfolio exposure is +/- 200% on capital, the level of highest conviction. ➤ Conclusion: Price action Wednesday/today prior to CPI data release is crucial for my next move. I'm leaning towards a bounce and may turn bullish.
AMEX:SPYShort
by mrstockyetoro