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VIX CBOE Volatility Index

VIX near signaling a correctionLow volatility is good for the market, but extreme low volatility is not As you can see, a lot of times where the TVC:VIX crossed 12 from below it signaled a correction within a bull market And is not just the VIX, there are other breath indicators that are converging at levels that usually signal correction I normally track the % of SPX stocks above their 50-day and 200-day MAs, NYSE New Highs/Lows and NYSE New 52-week Highs/Lows My target would be 4.300 in the SP:SPX
TVC:VIXShort
by dpuleo19
SVXY short VIX model green arrow Sell red arrow BuyThe chart posted is that of SVXY the SHORT VIX as you can see we have been a rather clear channel at each of the red arrows we had high VIX and they also match up with high put buying each was a LOW .The Green arrows we had Low Vix at each we had high call buying each was TOP or high . But you see the double arrows both green and red they were at every high extremes were we saw move of over 400 to 700 sp 500 moves . . best of trades WAVETIMER
CBOE:SVXY
by wavetimer
2
VIX Index at Lowest Levels Since 2017OVERVIEW As of 12/12/2023, CBOE:VIX is at 11.82. There have only been a handful of periods over the last 30 years where stock market volatility is at a similar level, including 2007 and 1994. Some would argue it implies an increasing level of volatility will be due in 2024. What is the VIX? The CBOE Volatility Index, is a real-time market index representing the market's expectations for volatility over the coming 30 days. Investors often refer to the VIX as the "fear index" or "fear gauge" because it is one of the most recognized measures of market volatility. Here's a breakdown of what the VIX represents: Volatility Measurement: The VIX measures the stock market's expectation of volatility based on S&P 500 index options. It is calculated using the bid and ask prices of S&P 500 index options. Forward-Looking: Unlike many market metrics that look at past performance, the VIX is forward-looking. It provides a 30-day forward projection of volatility. Market Sentiment Indicator: A high VIX value indicates that traders expect significant changes (volatility) in stock prices, which is often associated with market uncertainty or fear. Conversely, a low VIX suggests low expected volatility and is often associated with market stability. Not a Direct Stock Market Indicator : It's important to note that the VIX does not measure the direction of stock market movements. Instead, it measures how much the market is expected to fluctuate, regardless of the direction. Use in Investment Strategies: Some investors use the VIX to help in making decisions about market timing. For example, a high VIX might suggest a market turning point, leading some to consider it a good time to buy, while others might see it as a signal to sell. VIX Derivatives: There are various financial products, such as VIX futures and options, that allow investors to trade based on their views of future market volatility. Risk Management Tool: For portfolio managers and sophisticated investors, the VIX can be a tool to hedge against market volatility or to take a position on future volatility. In summary, the VIX is a key measure of market expectations of near-term volatility conveyed by S&P 500 stock index option prices. It has become a crucial tool in financial markets for hedging, trading, and investment strategy formulation
CBOE:VIX
by kingthies
7
The VIX will be up 8% soon. 1. Higher Than Expected NFP Report: If the Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report is higher than expected, indicating strong job growth, it could lead to increased market optimism. Paradoxically, this positive news might also cause concern among investors. They might worry that a robust job market could prompt the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates to prevent the economy from overheating. Higher interest rates can make borrowing more expensive for companies, potentially affecting corporate profits and slowing down economic growth. This uncertainty can lead to higher market volatility, causing the VIX to increase. 2. Apple's Declining Sales: If Apple reports a 3% drop in sales after close, it could negatively impact investor confidence in the technology sector and the overall market. Apple is a significant component of major stock indices like the S&P 500 and NASDAQ. A decline in Apple's sales could lead investors to reevaluate their portfolios and adopt a more cautious approach, contributing to market uncertainty and potentially increasing the VIX. 3. Current Daily Support Level and Fibonacci Retracement: Technical analysis suggests that the market is currently at a daily support level and below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level in the weekly price range. Traders often pay attention to these levels as potential turning points in the market. If the market breaches these support levels, it could trigger selling pressure and increase market volatility, reflected in a higher VIX. In summary, a combination of a strong NFP report, Apple's declining sales, and technical factors indicating a potential market reversal could lead to increased uncertainty and higher market volatility, causing the VIX to rise. Investors tend to react to unexpected news and technical levels, which can influence market sentiment and impact the VIX accordingly.
TVC:VIXLong
by ttfx098_
VIX Will Move Higher! Long! Here is our detailed technical review for VIX. Time Frame: 1D Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is on a crucial zone of demand 12.66. The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 16.01 level. P.S Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
TVC:VIXLong
by SignalProvider
1
The odds of another spike in the VIX are growingOn Friday, the Volatility S&P 500 Index reached new lows unseen since January 2020. What is intriguing about this situation is that new lows in the value of the VIX tended to be followed by a subsequent spike in the index and weakness in the U.S. stock market (over the past year or so). Considering that the recovery of the Chinese stock market is starting to show signs of stagnation, with the Shanghai Composite Index and Hang Seng Index moving increasingly sideways, we are again on high alert. The odds of stock market reversal and spike in the VIX are growing. Illustration 1.01 Illustration 1.01 displays the daily chart of the Shanghai Composite Index, Hang Seng Index, and S&P 500 Index. Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section. DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for an individual investor to take any trade action. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
TVC:VIXLong
by Tradersweekly
2
#VIXI was writing once about #VIX: As history shows, the VIX can move around these values for a longer time too. This means that even if we come to 15, 11, 8-9, it is not necessary to wait for an instant market crash. We can get a not bad rally. In front of you Monthly chart of #VIX There is still space to go down. Be careful when #VIX touches levels below ***11.14 - 8.77*** Ince the price comes there - it is when you should look for shorts. Also RSI on M TF shows me that there is still a place where to go. I highlighted levels at ***40.67$*** and ***38.91%*** on RSI for you, when its time to pay extra attention and look for shorts. You can see that whenever RSI was coming there, the market was doing a pullback.
TVC:VIX
by vazitrades
"It's the holidays, I guess" -Del Griffith 9-day $VIX In FocusIt’s that time of year. Equity markets are often quiet while bond traders are sometimes caught napping on the trading floor. Thanksgiving is historically quite bullish – Stephen Suttmeier at BofA points out that in all years going back to 1928, the S&P 500 has outperformed over this period (markets are closed Thursday, and Friday is an NYSE half day). The average return during Turkey Day week is 27 basis points with the median gain being 0.36%. Returns for the balance of the year are usually strong, too – up 1.4% on average with a 70.5% positive rate. It’s indeed a sanguine stretch, and I refer investors to the 9-day VIX. This short-term volatility index is the lesser-known version of the 30-day VIX. Making my Monday morning chart rounds, I noticed that the 9-day VIX is just a smidgen from fresh 52-week lows. Zoom out the chart further back, and you’ll see that this volatility gauge doesn’t get a whole lot lower from here. The point? Don’t expect much action on Wall Street this week. I encourage traders to turn their collective attention to the end of next week and the first trading day of December. That is when we get the first major economic data point for November – the ISM Manufacturing survey. Given a weaker turn in the labor market and last week’s Retail Sales report for October that showed a softening consumer picture, I expect more signs of macro weakness to reveal themselves. Be advised that the November Nonfarm Payrolls report does not come until Friday, December 8.
CBOE:VIX9D
by mikezaccardi
VIX Volatility Index ~ Trend Analysis (2H Chart)TVC:VIX chart mapping/analysis. Always been a firm-believer in strong negative correlation with SPX. Key is not matching SPX highs with VIX lows ie "catching the bottom" - it should be used as a supplementary indicator for overall market direction, by identifying key support/resistance areas for trend switches that aids you in developing a Trading Edge . Chart Example: October 2022 peak in VIX marked (temporary?) bottom in SPX VIX unable to break above ~34 resistance zone after multiple attempts = gives way to lower highs & lower lows (change in trend) SPX responds by making series of higher highs & higher lows VIX bottoms around July 2023, unable to break below ~13 resistance zone (ie trend switch) SPX peaks in July & proceeds to pull back until recent reversal - coinciding with dramatic drop in volatility This is by no means a done & dusted chart - after all it's called the "Volatility Index" lol. It will require ongoing tweaking, back-testing & confluence with SPX TA work, as well as vigilance of evolving macro-economic events which get rapidly priced into both indices. Good luck :) Note: "SPX TEMP BOTTOM horizontal line should be adjusted higher to sit on VIX peaks - can't edit chart & cbf re-publishing...but you get the idea, cheers.
TVC:VIX
by BlueHatInvestor
DXY, VIX Down = SPY, STONKS UP. Blowoff Top Continues!Traders, It has been an amazingly bullish last couple of weeks both in the stonk world and in cryptos. In this video I cover what has occurred from a technical basis and what I think the charts are now showing us. In short, stonks look to continue their upward trends but crypto is less certain. I also wanted to explain why I went short on a few trades. What was I thinking then and what I am thinking now? Was I too early on my entries or just plain wrong? Stewdamus
INDEX:BTCUSD
by stewdamus