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VIX CBOE Volatility Index

The VIX will be up 8% soon. 1. Higher Than Expected NFP Report: If the Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report is higher than expected, indicating strong job growth, it could lead to increased market optimism. Paradoxically, this positive news might also cause concern among investors. They might worry that a robust job market could prompt the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates to prevent the economy from overheating. Higher interest rates can make borrowing more expensive for companies, potentially affecting corporate profits and slowing down economic growth. This uncertainty can lead to higher market volatility, causing the VIX to increase. 2. Apple's Declining Sales: If Apple reports a 3% drop in sales after close, it could negatively impact investor confidence in the technology sector and the overall market. Apple is a significant component of major stock indices like the S&P 500 and NASDAQ. A decline in Apple's sales could lead investors to reevaluate their portfolios and adopt a more cautious approach, contributing to market uncertainty and potentially increasing the VIX. 3. Current Daily Support Level and Fibonacci Retracement: Technical analysis suggests that the market is currently at a daily support level and below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level in the weekly price range. Traders often pay attention to these levels as potential turning points in the market. If the market breaches these support levels, it could trigger selling pressure and increase market volatility, reflected in a higher VIX. In summary, a combination of a strong NFP report, Apple's declining sales, and technical factors indicating a potential market reversal could lead to increased uncertainty and higher market volatility, causing the VIX to rise. Investors tend to react to unexpected news and technical levels, which can influence market sentiment and impact the VIX accordingly.
TVC:VIXLong
by ttfx098_
VIX Will Move Higher! Long! Here is our detailed technical review for VIX. Time Frame: 1D Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is on a crucial zone of demand 12.66. The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 16.01 level. P.S Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
TVC:VIXLong
by SignalProvider
1
The odds of another spike in the VIX are growingOn Friday, the Volatility S&P 500 Index reached new lows unseen since January 2020. What is intriguing about this situation is that new lows in the value of the VIX tended to be followed by a subsequent spike in the index and weakness in the U.S. stock market (over the past year or so). Considering that the recovery of the Chinese stock market is starting to show signs of stagnation, with the Shanghai Composite Index and Hang Seng Index moving increasingly sideways, we are again on high alert. The odds of stock market reversal and spike in the VIX are growing. Illustration 1.01 Illustration 1.01 displays the daily chart of the Shanghai Composite Index, Hang Seng Index, and S&P 500 Index. Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section. DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for an individual investor to take any trade action. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
TVC:VIXLong
by Tradersweekly
2
#VIXI was writing once about #VIX: As history shows, the VIX can move around these values for a longer time too. This means that even if we come to 15, 11, 8-9, it is not necessary to wait for an instant market crash. We can get a not bad rally. In front of you Monthly chart of #VIX There is still space to go down. Be careful when #VIX touches levels below ***11.14 - 8.77*** Ince the price comes there - it is when you should look for shorts. Also RSI on M TF shows me that there is still a place where to go. I highlighted levels at ***40.67$*** and ***38.91%*** on RSI for you, when its time to pay extra attention and look for shorts. You can see that whenever RSI was coming there, the market was doing a pullback.
TVC:VIX
by vazitrades
"It's the holidays, I guess" -Del Griffith 9-day $VIX In FocusIt’s that time of year. Equity markets are often quiet while bond traders are sometimes caught napping on the trading floor. Thanksgiving is historically quite bullish – Stephen Suttmeier at BofA points out that in all years going back to 1928, the S&P 500 has outperformed over this period (markets are closed Thursday, and Friday is an NYSE half day). The average return during Turkey Day week is 27 basis points with the median gain being 0.36%. Returns for the balance of the year are usually strong, too – up 1.4% on average with a 70.5% positive rate. It’s indeed a sanguine stretch, and I refer investors to the 9-day VIX. This short-term volatility index is the lesser-known version of the 30-day VIX. Making my Monday morning chart rounds, I noticed that the 9-day VIX is just a smidgen from fresh 52-week lows. Zoom out the chart further back, and you’ll see that this volatility gauge doesn’t get a whole lot lower from here. The point? Don’t expect much action on Wall Street this week. I encourage traders to turn their collective attention to the end of next week and the first trading day of December. That is when we get the first major economic data point for November – the ISM Manufacturing survey. Given a weaker turn in the labor market and last week’s Retail Sales report for October that showed a softening consumer picture, I expect more signs of macro weakness to reveal themselves. Be advised that the November Nonfarm Payrolls report does not come until Friday, December 8.
CBOE:VIX9D
by mikezaccardi
VIX Volatility Index ~ Trend Analysis (2H Chart)TVC:VIX chart mapping/analysis. Always been a firm-believer in strong negative correlation with SPX. Key is not matching SPX highs with VIX lows ie "catching the bottom" - it should be used as a supplementary indicator for overall market direction, by identifying key support/resistance areas for trend switches that aids you in developing a Trading Edge . Chart Example: October 2022 peak in VIX marked (temporary?) bottom in SPX VIX unable to break above ~34 resistance zone after multiple attempts = gives way to lower highs & lower lows (change in trend) SPX responds by making series of higher highs & higher lows VIX bottoms around July 2023, unable to break below ~13 resistance zone (ie trend switch) SPX peaks in July & proceeds to pull back until recent reversal - coinciding with dramatic drop in volatility This is by no means a done & dusted chart - after all it's called the "Volatility Index" lol. It will require ongoing tweaking, back-testing & confluence with SPX TA work, as well as vigilance of evolving macro-economic events which get rapidly priced into both indices. Good luck :) Note: "SPX TEMP BOTTOM horizontal line should be adjusted higher to sit on VIX peaks - can't edit chart & cbf re-publishing...but you get the idea, cheers.
TVC:VIX
by BlueHatInvestor
DXY, VIX Down = SPY, STONKS UP. Blowoff Top Continues!Traders, It has been an amazingly bullish last couple of weeks both in the stonk world and in cryptos. In this video I cover what has occurred from a technical basis and what I think the charts are now showing us. In short, stonks look to continue their upward trends but crypto is less certain. I also wanted to explain why I went short on a few trades. What was I thinking then and what I am thinking now? Was I too early on my entries or just plain wrong? Stewdamus
INDEX:BTCUSD
by stewdamus
Volatility Heads Up with a First Break OutOver the last couple of days, the previous posts have been showing a number of indications from various perspectives about a financial market breakdown, and here we have an essential heads up... VOLATILTIY. I use the VXX ETN for the metrics it provides, albeit its idiosyncrasies. August into September, a breakdown into a lower range indicated that a RISK-ON situation was in the equity markets. Since September, this started reversing, rather strongly, and consolidated at the earlier range. In the past week, Thursday, it gave an real indication of what is forming... a significant Volatility breakout. This first stage break out is seen with the breaking out of a trend line, formed by the 4/1 line of the Gann Fan. This movement is a rather solid candlestick with momentum to boot, and both MACD and VolDiv are crossing up bullishly and breaking into the next upper range. So, expect a break out of the upper range (orange rectangle), as well as the 8/1 line of the Gann Fan forming the next trend line resistance. When this happens, VXX may be spring boarding to 35, from 26-27 area. That is like a 50% increase in VXX. Keep a close eye on this... the more the signs point, the more real it becomes.
CBOE:VXXLong
by Auguraltrader
Dxy Dropped. VIX Dropped. You Know What That Means?Traders, SPY has bounced exactly as the charts had shown us it would do. I will briefly discuss what we can expect now in the weeks ahead as we continue our move towards the target of our blowoff top. We will also look at a few of my short plays. I will discuss what I was thinking in entering and what I expect now. I was stopped out of the NVDA play and will update my spreadsheet soon! BTC and SOL shorts are still on and SOL is well into profit. Stewdamus
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by stewdamus
3
VIX WARNING RALLY is SHORT COVERING SQUEEZE like I said The chart posted is the VIX of the VIX the VVIX has the cycle which I stated on monday and friday last week a short squeeze is now setup as the13.8 to 15.2 week decline would see a sharp rally. And that the IYT RSP BA and TNX were making a ending of a 5WAVES pattern we are only going to see an ABC rally and the last 5 days have been wave A so CAUTION I think the wave strurture in TLT is that of a wave 4 it should not get above 88.3 if that is the correct count then we will see a print of 81.5 to 79.6 and the VIX will be well into 29.6 to 38 so take any profits NOW
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by wavetimer