Get started

Vixfix

[TVIX] 1D, 4H, 1H and 30M All Lined Up for ReferenceMostly reference purposes here. What an epic setup. Buy Signals: 1. RSI flipping from buy to sell on the 1D and 4H and holding closely to the sell dashed line in the 4H or 30M 2. OBV trend change, up or down in the 1D or 4H overall but here the 1H and 30M will give quicker signals of the trend change 3. 1D VPT as RSI flipping from buy to sell and 4h holding close to sell dashed line, 1H should hold to buy dashed line at start of uptrend, 30M should be very volatile crossing both dashed lines back and forth frequently. 4. MACD on the 30 and 1H breaking through zero (We've got 3 beautiful waves in both charts that are still waiting on a fourth due anytime *cough*June*cough*), MACD lines on 1D and 4H primed to break up too 5. POC trending 30M>1H>4H>1D (This ones tricky to dial in properly but that's the idea) There's a lot more there, just some zoomed perspective for all the TVIX riders out there.
TLong
by ProfitHarvest
1
ridethepig | VIX Positional PlayLet me begin by congratulating all shorts from the 85 highs , perfect timing in another flawless VIX swing traded live together...btw that is now sharing its significant anniversary moves with a historic crash in Global Equities. Mission accomplished! Sellers of Vol can now really consider themselves as an integral player caught in decent profit taking areas which also happen to be the middle of a WIDE range and to put the cherry on top, buyers of Volatility are still under further protection from the virus impact.... it's time to pay attention. As you look at it be sure to notice how the inner strength which belonging to those who bought the initial breakout, failed immediately on the 85 target as expected. We could go on to consider many points which are worth considering, but for the sake of today's example we are going to look at the bullish cash here. Before we turn to the next strategy, we must sum things up: Volatility Cycles you see, project a point in defensive or attacking behaviour as they expect strategic advances of capital flows. It always comes down to the same situation: any swing complex which could be called sound, must always take in the brutal component of Volatility. It is the centrepiece for measuring confidence...and the return to 'normal' life after covid-19 (whatever that means) is all down to confidence. How fast the consumer comes back and managing these expectations is the one to track and it boils down to whether people have the confidence to return to hotels, travel, shops, bars, restaurants etc. The great charter we have traded together so far has played a vital part in predicting decisions and the economic cycle down. Now it is no surprise...It was an essential ingredient for the insane moves I forecast right on time in Unemployment claims. Economists are the unsung heroes of the financial world and their role as academics will only be recognised by politicians by the time it is too late. Selecting important movers and shakers, preparing flows and insuring facts and history align and summarising the strategy precisely all require expertise, intelligence, care and effort. The moment one starts the think about it, one realises how great an impact economic strategy must have on the development of finance. The VIX is in a position of being able to bring together its own herd of early sellers - those betting on the virus to be a one and done quick bounce, then everything is neatly protected again and the shepherd can turn to other matters with a clear mind. No...the stupid sheep will run away from the shepherd - watch-out for the flock, smells to me like the virus ending has one final manoeuvre and a sweep of 100 for a blockbuster headline would be an easily won ending. Remember, the necessity for sellers to clear shorts from the 85 highs is both strategic and planned! We are entering into key value support. This case for a fresh high in VIX would coincide with a fresh low in Global Equities, another round of demand for USD on the G10 FX board (see related ideas below)....it opens many doors, correct handling of the strategy indicates an extremely difficult few weeks ahead and requires exact knowledge of how to play the advance. So I must leave you, dear reader to your own devices, and hope that fate is kind to you. As usual thanks for keeping the support coming with likes, comments, charts and etc!
TVC:VIXLong
by ridethepig
13
ridethepig | VIX Completing the Swing to 85!!A Vix swing, which did not require "majority" or "consensus", rolled forward under the noses of retail and even some of the larger macro hands. It advanced incredibly far reaching a high of 84.8 ... Don't be a dick for a tick !!! Finally there is an opportunity to clear all targets in the breakthrough. As an example of this, let us turn to the well-know chart VIX - Capitulation Waters. There followed the initial 38 target and 85 extension. The attack was carried out with sufficient substance via Covid-19, if the panic subsides or is reaching a "peak" then Vol must fight for places to make a stand. So the natural indications are 38 and 25 (now that sellers can advance once more). Until this excellent swing was played, the closing of the highs was more of an ideal than reality... Coronavirus turned this ideal into the said reality. This corresponds to the process I have remarked on, that the notional restraint of price gives way to an information block. So much for the strategic and theoretical manoeuvre, the practicality of VIX at these levels creates two new inevitabilities: (1) ... Recession (2) ... Consumer Confidence reaching decade highs Here I would like to point out that, selling VIX remains the correct strategic plan; you can see why in the note in Gold's move. Buyers forsakes the main plan - and tries once more to get in the 1700 highs; but only manages to do so because sellers failed to spot a subtle resource . Naturally in VIX it is pragmatic to aim for 38 and 25 driving Vol buyers all the way back, but one must not go so far as to subordinate the strategically necessary plan to the idea of recessionary effect. As a whole, the classical weakness for art! Thanks as usual for keeping the likes, comments, charts and etc coming! I hope it has helped, finally time to unwind a flawless +500% swing to the topside from Q419. Well done all those that caught the move!
CBOE:VIXShort
by ridethepig
23
ridethepig | VIX Market Commentary 2020.02.23Here we are tracking the massive breakup in Vol; this is looking dangerous and is right on time with Coronavirus kicking in. This was forecast miles in advance (see charts below) and has followed the mapped flows flawlessly since the previous swing we began tracking earlier last year: The sweep of the lows was a textbook example of clearing the board to open up the runway towards 38 and 85. We can continue to just keep recycling positions in the same levels and same direction. The price drivers keep telling us that; US Equities will also receive a major hammer as they are complete dislocated from reality. Good luck all those in VIX from the lows... a flawless +60% position in the @ridethepig portfolio so far from the infamous "Capitulation Waters". Thanks as usual for keeping the support coming with likes, comments, charts and etc!
CBOE:VIXLong
by ridethepig
1
What to expect this week: main events and our recommendationsThe volatility in the foreign exchange market reached its minimum in recent years. The VIX Fear Index was also confidently at the bottom. The absence of significant events entailed the absence of strong movements in the foreign exchange market. Friday perhaps was the exception. Another weak statistics from the Eurozone and the UK contributed to the activation of sellers of the euro and the pound. The main concern for the markets was the adoption by the US Congress of an act in support of protesters in Hong Kong. China reacted extremely painfully to this, considering it was interference in its internal affairs. And since the first phase of the trade deal between the US and China is already at the finish line, this could potentially lead to the disruption of the deal. But on Friday, Trump said he would veto the bill. In the USA, in the meantime, the impeachment process continues, which in itself is a kind of guarantee against a sharp rise in the dollar value in the foreign exchange market. So, despite the activation of buyers of the dollar on Friday and sellers of safe-haven assets against the background of such news, we still see no reason to revise our trading preferences. And on Monday we will buy the pound and the euro against the US dollar, and we will also buy gold and the Japanese yen. Rising oil prices stopped on Friday, as we expected, our recommendation to sell oil has become even more relevant. Do not forget to sell the Russian ruble as well. As for the upcoming week, it has a chance to become low-volatility. Data on US GDP is formally extremely important, but it will be a revised value, that is, the probability of surprise appear is low.
Long
by Trade24Fx
Bitcoin Daily - Inverse H&S + signs of reversal? [BTFD]lots going on with this chart so please ask questions, this was a new personal chart and] im happy to start sharing.... As in previous charts on bitcoin we got above 6600 and 6800 which is looking to be support now, these are key levels for bulls to take control pretty obvious inverse H&S with the right shoulder about to form meeting the grey 55MA line after support from the 500MA from the previous day Was hoping to get a green bar on the Vix Fix indicator this may come in the next few days if we get some momentum and solid buying over 6800+ Also with the new LT CoP indicator, we want to see it the purple line go grey and move up into the green bullish area gann fan levels if broken up, we go into the 3/1 area and targeting the red trendline for targets.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by majorlee
2
(W) GBPMXN at a critical pointThe weekly chart on GBPMXN is at a critical stage. A fall below an important trend line (in general) does not necessarily mean trend change - it depends on so much more. Price could still re-test the trend line in coming weeks. I'm also looking carefully for an aggressive and or filtered entry on the William Vix Fix (WVF). Of course the WVF does not rule anything, it only indicates a probability. WVF signals are usually more reliable coming out of pullback in an uptrend. Chris Moody has more on this on Tradingview. On the 4H time frame this is definitely a bear market - jaws of the Aroons are well apart.
by Captain_Walker
1
Volatility Outlook (VIX) June 2016During periods of risk the VIX tends to get inverted- typically during times of stress this has stay inverted for quite some time, 6 weeks after last years shock valuation from China. When this curve goes back to a normal upwards sloping curve, this is usually a very good sign. The US equity markets has been pricing in the UK as an 'island', the risk of Brexit is enormous. The problem is and this is where the options market gets it right, it's going to be like watching a really boring movie in slow motion. There are not a lot of near time trading events from an options point of view, or a risk point of view. Borris has taken himself out, how do you really trade that? there are not a lot of really tradable events in the near-term. The end of quarter beta chase were not as important had be not had the Brexit and market been up 9% YTD The volatility floor, globally will rise to a higher level - it really comes down to the political dynamics in the euro-zone, if these can be contained.
TVC:VIXLong
by TheBanker
1
AUDUSD: Strong downtrend active, but for how much longer?After analyzing the vixfix spikes and 75% retracement levels, and their effects on price when retesting said levels, and contrasting these to the time at mode signals on this chart I concluded that the downtrend in the Australian dollar might be short lived, althought potentially very steep. I projected two targets on chart, as well as the different potential support levels, derived from range expansion bars, as well as vix fix spike retracements, and a linear regression of the current weekly trend. It's clear to me that for now the opportunities are to go short on retracements until the downtrend time expires, or we reach the range target at least. The dollar rally, if tied to the S&P500 and the US treasury bonds rally might be short lived based on my analysis on the subject, but don't be quick to discard this trend right here. I anticipate an accelerated decline in this pair, so I'll continue to look for short opportunities while my time at mode downtrend signal is valid. Multiple time at mode and Elliott Wave signals point to a strong rally in the S&P, with positive correlation in TLT, until it peaks. I keep getting time at mode uptrend expirations by the end of August, and if the expanding terminal wedge is confirmed, the start of the US equities bear market might match with said dates. Will update this thread with audusd opportunities from now on.
A
by IvanLabrie
8
Williams Vix Fix -Major Update -Filtered Entries - Much MoreNew CM_Williams Vix Fix_V3 - Major Update - Filtered Entries - Additional Alerts - And Much More... ***01-05-2015 Major Updates Include: ***ALL Features Available To Turn On/Off On The INPUTS Tab!!! FILTERED ENTRIES -- Plus AGGRESSIVE FILTERED ENTRIES - HIGHLIGHT BARS AND ALERTS *Alerts Enabled for 4 Different Criteria *Ability To Plot Alerts True/False Conditions on top of the WVF Histogram *Ability To Turn Off the Histogram and just see True/False Alerts Conditions. *Ability to Turn All Price Bars Gray, and Color the Price Bars to Match the WVF Colors Exactly, Including All 3 Entry Types. *Added Inputs To Adjust the 3 Numerical Inputs That Define The PRICE ACTION FILTER! Explained in Video. *Main Video is 34 Minutes…However, the New Features Are Extensive and I Go Thru All Features In Depth. *I Recommend Using the VSTOP Indicator. I Go Through How To Customize It In Video. Videos: Video: The Evolution of the Williams Vix Fix - 12 Minutes. vimeopro.com Video: Williams Vix Fix V3 - Major Update - Additional Alerts and Filtered Entries - 34 Minutes. ***Video Covers In Detail How To Use The Multiple Alerts And Plot Styles Available. vimeopro.com Posts To Reference… New Video on How to Create Alerts W/ Any Custom Indicator. www.tradingview.com Great Confirming Indicator for the Williams Vix Fix CM_WILLIAMS_VIX_FIX FINDS MARKET BOTTOMS
CME_MINI:ES1!
by ChrisMoody
43
AMD swimming in oversold territoryWell, with the recent sell-off AMD is still slow on picking the pace back up. And this is while its RSI7 and CCI21 are in pretty deep oversold, while MACD dipped a lot. Now the picture seems to shed light on a possible good bull turn with the following in play: - RSI and CCI oversold - MACD dipped and turning back to possibly form a long positive trend - RMI is in the lows and dipped in red - may continue being in red but from here it has to go up at some point - Williams VixFix has a somewhat proven trend - when the vixfix bar is green and the stock candle is green, then from here or the next one green/grey candle the price goes up and vixfix cools. We got our green+green today - We have a gap to cover at 4,40 and the stock price, although gradually, has a low angle up trend - the current price is in the lower part of the trend. AMD has been destined to touch the 5 USD mark , and although its a long shot and all other scenarios happen, should the trend turn bullish and with speed i give possibility of seeing 5 in 2014. And although the price is below the KeyHiddenLevels (props to timwest), it is still above the trading range it was the next day after the earnings (while indicators are lower). I would add on a move up and consider selling below 3.70 if you need a stop loss point. If 3.7 gets reached soon, i would assume indicators are also low/lower so i migjht not sell there... but if indicators correct and the 3.70 price is reached then, it would be a better point to get out.
ALong
by A-shot
13