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Vixlong

ridethepig | VIX Completing the Swing to 85!!A Vix swing, which did not require "majority" or "consensus", rolled forward under the noses of retail and even some of the larger macro hands. It advanced incredibly far reaching a high of 84.8 ... Don't be a dick for a tick !!! Finally there is an opportunity to clear all targets in the breakthrough. As an example of this, let us turn to the well-know chart VIX - Capitulation Waters. There followed the initial 38 target and 85 extension. The attack was carried out with sufficient substance via Covid-19, if the panic subsides or is reaching a "peak" then Vol must fight for places to make a stand. So the natural indications are 38 and 25 (now that sellers can advance once more). Until this excellent swing was played, the closing of the highs was more of an ideal than reality... Coronavirus turned this ideal into the said reality. This corresponds to the process I have remarked on, that the notional restraint of price gives way to an information block. So much for the strategic and theoretical manoeuvre, the practicality of VIX at these levels creates two new inevitabilities: (1) ... Recession (2) ... Consumer Confidence reaching decade highs Here I would like to point out that, selling VIX remains the correct strategic plan; you can see why in the note in Gold's move. Buyers forsakes the main plan - and tries once more to get in the 1700 highs; but only manages to do so because sellers failed to spot a subtle resource . Naturally in VIX it is pragmatic to aim for 38 and 25 driving Vol buyers all the way back, but one must not go so far as to subordinate the strategically necessary plan to the idea of recessionary effect. As a whole, the classical weakness for art! Thanks as usual for keeping the likes, comments, charts and etc coming! I hope it has helped, finally time to unwind a flawless +500% swing to the topside from Q419. Well done all those that caught the move!
CBOE:VIXShort
by ridethepig
23
ridethepig | VIX Market Commentary 2020.02.23Here we are tracking the massive breakup in Vol; this is looking dangerous and is right on time with Coronavirus kicking in. This was forecast miles in advance (see charts below) and has followed the mapped flows flawlessly since the previous swing we began tracking earlier last year: The sweep of the lows was a textbook example of clearing the board to open up the runway towards 38 and 85. We can continue to just keep recycling positions in the same levels and same direction. The price drivers keep telling us that; US Equities will also receive a major hammer as they are complete dislocated from reality. Good luck all those in VIX from the lows... a flawless +60% position in the @ridethepig portfolio so far from the infamous "Capitulation Waters". Thanks as usual for keeping the support coming with likes, comments, charts and etc!
CBOE:VIXLong
by ridethepig
1
SPX Expanding Triangle. Pivot point (Weekly chart)In the weekly chart we observe another touch on the expanding triangle. This is a zoom in and cleaner TA from my previous analysis. I am trading the following scenarios: 1) Short. If this scenario is right, expect considerable retracement, following the direction of the red arrow. For me, it is the most likely scenario right now. There is very clear bearish RSI divergence on the weekly chart, in an expanding structure. 2) Long. If the expanding triangle is broken to the upside, in the retest of the trendline is time to go long. Be ready, this could very well happen. Thank you @RHTrading for the feedback.
OANDA:SPX500USD
by blondengineer
13
VIX: Record Net Short OptionsAlthough we primarily trade FX contracts, staying on top of the equity markets around the world can have huge advantages when trying to identify opportunities preparatory to them even showing validity. The CBOE Volatility Index , known by its ticker symbol VIX , is a popular measure of the stock market's expectation of volatility implied by S&P 500 index options. Put simply, this chart represents volatility in the most widely used benchmark in equity markets (SPX) . As you can see, over longer term time frames price has compressed. This can be proven by looking at the average true range indicator (ATR) and historical range percentage indicator (HRP) on the daily timeframe . You will see levels very low; significant because the last time these two indicators were this low on the daily chart the VIX was prior to big spikes in volatility . These are incredibly complacent and quiet markets. There's nothing wrong with equity markets hitting new highs, however the more risk-appetite that traders have in their books and the further it deviates from what we would construe as a well founded risk position. Traders are carrying assets this high up in the market know that their exposure at these prices is risky. This is more of a risk when you consider the representation of volatility seen in the chart above. Looking at futures for the VIX , there is a net short position on the derivatives currently not expired. What's significant though is that the amount of contracts net short is 218,000 a new record. This shows the willingness of the market to take on risk through leverage. Keep in mind, the amount of free cash for Wall Street is at record lows, as the complacency of it itself can be seen just by considering this fact. _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ No part of this book may be reproduced or used in any manner without written permission of the copyright owners except for the use of quotations in a book review. All information and material is for educational and entertainment purposes only and is not intended to provide financial advice. 01:29:02 (UTC) Fri Jan 3, 2020
TVC:VIX
by TayFx
3
Time to go LONG VIX! The VIX is a volatility index based on the S&P 500. It has recently hit lows and is nearing the all-time low. The last few times it hit this low around 12 or so it rebounded up to 22-24. That doesn't mean that just because we hit that level we will rebound up to the highs and the S&P 500 drop. After a few rotations, we do see a pop and last time that pop brought the S&P 500 down to 2900 and this time the SPX is rolling over potentially to 3030, meaning VIX has the opportunity to pop. The more the VIX holds down at this level the more the spring will coil for the pop.
CBOE:VIXLong
by TRADEPROAcademy
VIXY Is anyone seeing what im seeing???A topped out market showing major bearish divergences on multiple oscillators, volatility is dirt cheap and just using the most very simple basic TA anyone looking at the S and P 500 can say it is extremely overbought and just damn expensive, how much more upside can be possible in this market???? Do not get sucked in for 27 a share the upside is out of control especially if we get a major 2008 type scenario which seems to be closer and closer you will make more $$$. these are once a decade opportunities
CBOE:VIXY
by MikeySeko
1
Part 1 - Risk-off August - VIX WeeklyVIX (Volatility Index) seems to be preparing for another spike in volatility. With the start of February 2018, VIX jumped. That spike in volatility could represent the first piece of a series of similar events. This indicator is used by analysts to measure the state of buy-sell investors’ emotions, complacency versus the fear effect. In simple terms, a rise in the VIX would or bring with it a sharp fall in Stocks and/or Indices. A decrease in the VIX represents the periods when market participants are in the state of greed, being complacent and euphorically enjoying the bull market. A rise in VIX indicates a period of uncertainty, risk-off events that impact the markets directly and suddenly. Such spikes bring with them a fear effect, when investors are beginning to feel worried for the market’s destined directions.
CBOE:VIXLong
by Lionheart-EWA
Part 2 - Risk-off August - VIX 2HZooming into the 2H chart, the February 2018 VIX spike has been labeled as the 1st leg of an Intermediate Degree bullish ABC formation. Intermediate (A) (orange) presents a three swings sequence with its Minor ABC (red) sub-waves, in which Minor C (red) is unfolding with an impulsive swing. Moving into Intermediate (B) (orange) and the corrective patterns, the entire structure has been labeled as a Zig-Zag, with a Leading Diagonal in Minor A (green), an Expanded Flat in Minor B (green) and an Impulse sequence in Minor C (green). The Correction in Intermediate (B) (orange) seems to have ended, and if this scenario would be correct, then VIX could commence a larger degree rise in an Impulsive sequence. The rise labeled as Minor 1 (red) exceeded the previous lower-high and this could indicate that an Impulsive sequence could be a possibility. Minor 2 (red) unfolded with a simple ABC (turquoise) correction, showing an Ending Diagonal in its last leg. Should the VIX be destined to spike once more, it could affect the markets more than the previous one did, as Intermediate (C) (orange) could present an Extension in its Impulse. Such imminent scenario would be invalidated or delayed only by a decrease below the 11.50 levels, as a wave two cannot surpass the start of a wave one. Looking back on the previous volatility spike and towards the way this affected the markets, it can be noticed that, during those volatile events, the reactions were divided. The USD remained stable towards strong, but the YEN was treated by investors as the true safe-haven asset. Metals and EUR lost considerable ground, while global Indices have shown historical one-week drops. By looking into each market, one would notice some possible patterns and correlations with the February 2018 bears return.
CBOE:VIXLong
by Lionheart-EWA
8
VIX the index of Fear! (31/07/2018)Hello Traders! There is the devilish and confusing correction on VIX index! Although it’s readable and has the close negative correlation with E-mini S&P 500 and SPY index (etf). Sure, that the price is forming the “Leading Diagonal Triangle” (LDT) in “a” subwave. So it gives the opportunity, to predict continue of uptrend tendency on ES & SPY near time. Subscribe! Join me! «« «« «« «« «« Hold Like! »» »» »» »» »» (If you have questions, comments, write, reply thoroughly!) You're welcome!!! Best regards, trader Igor.
TVC:VIX
by youngfedor
BUY VIX The U.S. stock market’s main volatility gauge -- the CBOE Volatility Index, better known as the VIX -- is at its lowest level since 2007. That seems strange in light of the geopolitical anxiety surrounding the French elections, the saber rattling with North Korea and the mixed fiscal and economic signals coming from the U.S. While gallons of ink have been spilled on whether the VIX is “broken,” some traders are now suggesting that exchange-traded products linked to the index have a hand in the perceived distortion. What’s more, they warn, their popularity -- VIX ETPs have absorbed $700 million this year -- could exacerbate a selloff if volatility spikes.Long-VIX ETPs “roll” contracts to maintain their exposure. Each day they’ll sell the front-month contract and buy more of the second-month contract. This can suppress the price of the front-month and raise the cost of the second -- steepening the front end of the curve into an upward slope known as a contango. While no one is saying that ETPs alone can alter the curve, steepness has increased with the uptick in the products’ assets. Maximum gain at expiration (VIX at 22 or above): $380 Maximum loss at expiration: substantial if VIX falls to zero; if VIX stays above an 11 put strike price but below 18, we lose the premium of $20. Entry: today using the ticket Stop: we will pull out if the VIX falls below 9 Target: 22 or above Time horizon: 26 days
TVC:VIXLong
by TodorInchev